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Machine learning (ML) models have been increasingly employed to predict osteoporosis. However, the incorporation of hair minerals into ML models remains unexplored. This study aimed to develop ML models for predicting low bone mass (LBM) using health checkup data and hair mineral analysis. A total of 1206 postmenopausal women and 820 men aged 50 years or older at a health promotion center were included in this study. LBM was defined as a T-score below - 1 at the lumbar, femur neck, or total hip area. The proportion of individuals with LBM was 59.4% (n = 1205). The features used in the models comprised 50 health checkup items and 22 hair minerals. The ML algorithms employed were Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost). The subjects were divided into training and test datasets with an 80:20 ratio. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and an F1 score were evaluated to measure the performances of the models. Through 50 repetitions, the mean (standard deviation) AUROC for LBM was 0.744 (± 0.021) for XGB, the highest among the models, followed by 0.737 (± 0.023) for AdaBoost, and 0.733 (± 0.023) for GB, and 0.732 (± 0.021) for RF. The XGB model had an accuracy of 68.7%, sensitivity of 80.7%, specificity of 51.1%, PPV of 70.9%, NPV of 64.3%, and an F1 score of 0.754. However, these performance metrics did not demonstrate notable differences among the models. The XGB model identified sulfur, sodium, mercury, copper, magnesium, arsenic, and phosphate as crucial hair mineral features. The study findings emphasize the significance of employing ML algorithms for predicting LBM. Integrating health checkup data and hair mineral analysis into these models may provide valuable insights into identifying individuals at risk of LBM.
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Densidad Ósea , Cabello , Aprendizaje Automático , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Cabello/química , Cabello/metabolismo , Masculino , Anciano , Osteoporosis/diagnóstico , Osteoporosis/metabolismo , Curva ROC , Algoritmos , Minerales/análisis , Minerales/metabolismoRESUMEN
Background: Osteoporosis is one of the inevitable diseases affecting an aging society, substantially impacting the quality of life of its population. Protein intake has been shown to be beneficial in reducing the incidence of osteoporosis, and the effects of both animal and vegetable proteins have been studied. However, the relationship between processed meat consumption and osteoporosis has not been studied in Korea. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the correlation between processed meat consumption and incident osteoporosis in adults. Methods: Our analysis included 1,260 adults aged 50 years and older from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES), recruited between 2005 and 2020. Participants were categorized into two groups according to their processed meat intake, assessed using a semi-quantitative 103-food item food frequency questionnaire. Diagnosis of osteoporosis was based on questionnaire answers. Multiple Cox hazard regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between processed meat intake and incident osteoporosis. Results: During an average follow-up period of 8.8 years, 230 participants developed osteoporosis. According to the Cox proportional regression models, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of incident osteoporosis in the high intake group was 0.62 (0.41-0.94), compared to the low intake group after adjusting for confounding variables. Conclusion: These findings reveal that processed meat protein intake is inversely related to the incidence of osteoporosis in adults aged 50 years and older. This in turn suggests that processed meat intake can be proposed as an additional strategy to prevent osteoporosis.
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Although many genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have evaluated the association with metabolic disorders, the current study is the first attempt to analyze the genetic risk factors for various metabolic disorders according to sex and age groups of the life course in Korean adults. A total population of 50,808 people were included in this GWAS. The genetic traits for eight metabolic phenotypes were investigated in peri-, and postmenopausal women compared to a younger group or men of corresponding age groups. The metabolic phenotypes include general obesity, abdominal obesity, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, hypertriglyceridemia, hypo-high-density lipoprotein cholesterolemia, and metabolic syndrome. In the total participants, GWAS results for eight metabolic phenotypes found 101 significant loci. Of these, 15 loci were the first reported to be associated with the risk of metabolic disorder. Interestingly, some of the significant loci presented the association with the various phenotypes, which presented when there was a correlation between phenotypes. In addition, we analyzed divided by gender and age (young adult, peri-menopausal group, older adult), and specifically identified specific loci in peri-menopausal women. Meanwhile, several genetic factors associated with metabolic disorders were newly reported in our study. In particular, several genes were significantly associated with one of the metabolic phenotypes in only a single specific group. These findings suggest that menopausal transition rather than aging itself potentiates the influence of genetic risks on metabolic disorders. In addition, some genetic loci with low frequencies may play a role in the metabolic disturbances in a specific sex and age group. The genetic traits derived from our study may contribute to understanding the genetic risk factors for metabolic disorders in the Korean population.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Síndrome Metabólico , Pueblo Asiatico/genética , Femenino , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Humanos , Lipoproteínas HDL/genética , Masculino , Síndrome Metabólico/epidemiología , Síndrome Metabólico/genética , Obesidad/genética , República de Corea/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Few studies have investigated the effects of calcium supplementation on cardiovascular outcomes in individuals with low calcium intake in real-world settings. This study examined the association between calcium supplementation and cardiovascular outcomes in the Korean population in a real-world setting. This large retrospective cohort study included patients aged ≥45 years first prescribed calcium supplements in 2010. Age- and sex-matched controls were recruited among those who had no prescription for calcium supplements. Longitudinal data were collected on 31 December 2018. Kaplan−Meier estimation and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were performed. The cumulative incidence of acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and death was significantly higher in the calcium supplementation group than in the control group (p < 0.05 by log-rank test). The calcium supplementation group had a significantly higher risk of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and death than the control group. Compared to the control group, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the incidence of myocardial infarction, stroke, and death in the supplementation group were 1.14 (1.03−1.27), 1.12 (1.05−1.20), and 1.40 (1.32−1.50), respectively, after adjusting for confounding variables. Considering the associated cardiovascular risk, calcium supplementation for osteoporosis treatment should be administered cautiously.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Infarto del Miocardio , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Calcio , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Suplementos Dietéticos , Humanos , Infarto del Miocardio/complicaciones , Programas Nacionales de Salud , República de Corea/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease(CKD) is a major public health issue and is highly prevalent in the general population. Leptin is an adipose tissue-derived endocrine factor that has been associated with several metabolic factors involved in cardiovascular diseases. Several studies have investigated the association between leptin and renal diseases so far. But the results are conflicting between the studies. The objective of our study was to verify the direct association of serum leptin level with CKD development. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 2646 adult aged 40-70 without CKD in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study(KoGES) across South Korea from November 2005 to February 2012. The primary outcome was the development of CKD as defined by National Kidney Foundation Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (KDOQI). Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis was done to assess the independent associations, for with the incident of CKD as the dependent variable, in tertiles of leptin values. RESULTS: Among 1100 men and 1546 women with 2.8 mean years of follow-up, incidence of CKD was 18(1.63%) for men and 50(3.23%) for women. In the multivariate logistic regression models, individuals in the highest serum leptin tertile showed significant associations with risk of CKD after adjustment compared to the lowest tertiles in the population. The crude odds ratio for trend was 2.95(p = 0.004) for men. After adjusting for age, baseline eGFR variables showed correlation with statistical significance (OR for trend = 2.25, p = 0.037) for men. The same trends were also seen observed in all population and women also, but no statistical significance was found. CONCLUSIONS: Higher plasma leptin levels are associated with the incidence of CKD, independent of traditional factors such as age, baseline eGFR. Our results suggest that leptin may partly explain part of the reported association between obesity and kidney disease.
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Leptina , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The quantity of alcohol leading to alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) varies individually. Genetic backgrounds contributing to the divergence in individual susceptibility to alcohol-induced liver damage have not been elucidated in detail. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Based on the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study Health Examination (KoGES_HEXA) cohort data, 21,919 participants (40-79 years old) were included and divided into cases and controls based on the ALD diagnostic criteria proposed by the American College of Gastroenterology. Data generated by a genome wide-association study were analyzed using logistic regression to assess the risk of ALD development in nondrinkers, light drinkers, and heavy drinkers. We detected three loci, gamma-glutamyltransferase 1 (GGT1), zinc protein finger 827 (ZNF827) and HNF1 homeobox A (HNF1A), which were significantly associated with ALD risk. The GGT1 rs2006227 minor allele was strongly associated with all groups. Among the minor alleles of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in HNF1A, rs1183910 had the strongest association with a protective effect from ALD in light drinkers. However, this association was not observed in heavy drinkers. Five SNPs on chromosome 11 showed suggestive significance in protective effects against ALD. CONCLUSIONS: SNPs, including HNF1A rs1183910 minor allele, are the most promising genetic candidates for protection against ALD. The expression of genes contributing to ALD development may be altered by the amount of alcohol consumed.
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Proteínas de Unión al ADN/genética , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad/epidemiología , Factor Nuclear 1-alfa del Hepatocito/genética , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/epidemiología , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/genética , gamma-Glutamiltransferasa/genética , Adulto , Anciano , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas/epidemiología , Alelos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Femenino , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , República de Corea/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
The aim of this study was to investigate the longitudinal change in muscle mass over 10 years according to serum calcium levels and calcium intake. A total of 1497 men and 1845 women aged 50 years and older were included. Significant muscle loss (SML) was defined as a 5% or greater loss from baseline, while time-dependent development of SML was assessed according to quartiles for corrected calcium level and daily calcium intake using Cox regression models. The incidence of SML was 6.7 and 7.7 per 100-person-years among men and women, respectively. Groups with the lowest corrected calcium levels had more prominent SML than those with higher calcium levels, regardless of sex. The relationship between SML and calcium intake was significant only among women. The hazard ratio for SML per 1 mmol/L increase in corrected calcium level was 0.236 and 0.237 for men and women, respectively. In conclusion, low serum calcium levels may predict SML among adults aged ≥ 50 years, while low calcium intake may be a predictor for muscle loss among women. Therefore, encouraging dietary calcium intake among middle-aged and older adults for preservation of muscle mass should be considered.
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Envejecimiento/genética , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Pueblo Asiatico/genética , Calcio/sangre , Músculo Esquelético/fisiología , Sarcopenia/genética , Adulto , Calcio/administración & dosificación , Calcio de la Dieta/administración & dosificación , Femenino , Genoma , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana EdadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: While weight gain is known as a predictor of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) incidence, it remains controversial whether adipokine levels predict the development of NAFLD. We aimed to investigate the relationship of total adiponectin, high-molecular-weight (HMW) adiponectin, and leptin with the development and improvement of non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) independent of sex and weight change over a maximum of 8.5â¯years. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled 2735 participants in a hospital health check-up setting. Adipokine levels were measured at baseline. NAFL was assessed with liver ultrasonography, and the development or improvement of NAFL was determined by repeated ultrasonography at follow-ups. RESULTS: Cross-sectional analyses revealed that total and HMW adiponectin levels were inversely associated with NAFL prevalence. In longitudinal analyses, the incidence of NAFL was 5.6 per 100-person-years during the observation period. The hazard ratios (HRs) per 1⯵g/mL increase in the levels of total and HMW adiponectin were 0.900 (0.836-0.969) and 0.846 (0.754-0.948), respectively. Sex-stratified analyses showed that total and HMW adiponectin levels were significantly related to NAFL incidence only in women. In the subgroup of minimal weight change, only HMW adiponectin was a significant predictor for NAFL. Leptin predicted NAFL in the subgroup with weight gain. The improvement of NAFL was influenced by weight change, but not by adipokine levels. CONCLUSIONS: Low levels of total and HMW adiponectin may predict the development of NAFL independent of pathophysiological factors including obesity and insulin resistance. This predictability was evident in women. Leptin was a significant predictor for NAFL in the subjects with weight gain.
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Adiponectina/sangre , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/diagnóstico , Adiponectina/química , Adulto , Biomarcadores/sangre , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Peso Molecular , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/sangre , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , República de Corea/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Copper, an essential micronutrient, is required for lipid metabolism, mitochondrial function, iron metabolism, and antioxidant defense. Copper deficiency has been linked to alterations in lipid metabolism and various metabolic processes of the liver, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD); however, most of these studies relied on copper measurements in the blood or tissues. In this study, we investigated the association between hair copper concentration and NAFLD in Korean adults, independent of metabolic syndrome status. Clinical and laboratory parameters, including factors of metabolic syndrome, were analyzed in 751 Korean adults divided into quintiles, according to hair copper concentration. Lower hair copper concentration was significantly correlated with higher body mass index, waist circumference, blood pressure, and lower levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Subjects with NAFLD showed significantly lower hair copper concentrations, and the risk of NAFLD was significantly higher for the lower hair copper quintile groups even after adjusting for metabolic syndrome-related factors. Overall, this study suggests that lower hair copper concentration could be associated with NAFLD, independent of metabolic syndrome factors.
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Cobre/análisis , Cobre/toxicidad , Cabello/química , Síndrome Metabólico/sangre , Síndrome Metabólico/inducido químicamente , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/sangre , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/inducido químicamente , Femenino , Humanos , Corea (Geográfico) , Metabolismo de los Lípidos/efectos de los fármacos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Circunferencia de la Cintura/efectos de los fármacosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Both aortic knob width and metabolic syndrome are suggested to be related to atherosclerosis and cardiovascular diseases. However, the association between aortic knob width and metabolic syndrome is unknown. This study aimed to explore this relationship. METHODS: Participants were 3,705 Korean adults aged 18-79 years who visited the health promotion center of a general hospital. Data on chest radiography, physical measurements, medical and social history, and blood tests were collected. We defined metabolic syndrome according to the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. A single reviewer measured aortic knob width on chest radiography. RESULTS: Aortic knob width was significantly correlated with age; body mass index; waist circumference; systolic and diastolic blood pressures; total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting glucose, glycated hemoglobin, insulin, and uric acid levels; and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance values. Aortic knob width significantly increased as the number of metabolic syndrome components increased. Moreover, metabolic syndrome component values tended to increase across the quartile groups of aortic knob width after adjusting for age, exercise, smoking status, and alcohol use. Through receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, we determined the clinically useful cutoff value for aortic knob width to be 30.47 mm in premenopausal women. CONCLUSION: Aortic knob width was found to be significantly related to metabolic syndrome and its individual components.
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The association between sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and arterial stiffness in women is not conclusive. In addition, obesity might also be involved in the relationship between SHBG and atherosclerosis. The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between SHBG and arterial stiffness in association with central obesity in women. This cross-sectional study included 381 women who participated in the health checkup programs in one hospital. The brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) was measured as a marker for arterial stiffness. A negative correlation was observed between SHBG levels and baPWV (rho = -0.281). The relationship was significant even after adjusting for potential confounders (beta = -0.087 in fully adjusted model). After considering the interaction between central obesity and SHBG levels, the significant association was evident only in obese women (P for interaction = 0.025). Adjustment for a 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores, instead of each cardiovascular risk factor individually, did not affect the significance of the relationship between SHBG levels and baPWV. Serum levels of SHBG were negatively associated with arterial stiffness independent of cardiovascular risk factors or 10-year ASCVD risk scores in Korean women. The relationship may be potentiated by central obesity.
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BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the association between carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and newly developed 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score. METHODS: Participants were 201 Korean adults who underwent carotid ultrasonography at the Health Promotion Center of the Eulji General Hospital. We obtained information about medical history and lifestyle, and conducted laboratory tests. Carotid IMT by B-mode ultrasonography was measured. Carotid injury was considered present when the maximum carotid IMT was ≥0.9 mm or when arteriosclerotic plaques were detected. The 10-year ASCVD risk score was calculated using the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines. RESULTS: Men had higher 10-year ASCVD risk score than did women (mean±standard deviation: 7.15±6.04 vs. 2.53±3.67, respectively; P<0.001). Ten-year ASCVD risk was significantly correlated with right maximum carotid IMT (r=0.307), left maximum carotid IMT (r=0.230), right mean carotid IMT (r=0.322), and left mean carotid IMT (r=0.264). The group with high 10-year ASCVD risk were at even higher risk of carotid injury than were the group with low 10-year ASCVD risk (odds ratio, 2.201; 95% confidence interval, 1.162-4.1706; P=0.019). Only 10-year ASCVD risk score was significantly associated with carotid injury (odds ratio, 4.104; 95% confidence interval, 1.570-10.729). Variables that were not included in the 10-year ASCVD risk score were not significantly associated with carotid injury. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest that 10-year ASCVD risk score is associated with carotid injury.