RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: To minimize unused outpatient opioids while providing adequate pain control, we sought to create a model to predict outpatient opioid use following the minimally invasive repair of pectus excavatum with cryoablation MIRPE-C. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted at a single center from May 2023 to January 2024 among patients <21 years who underwent MIPRE-C. Demographic and clinical data, including inpatient and outpatient opioid use were reviewed. Patients completed opioid use questionnaires at their first postoperative visit. Simple linear regression was employed to create a model for outpatient opioid use. RESULTS: Sixty-eight patients underwent MIRPE-C: 84% were male (mean age of 15.2 ± 1.7 years, and median Haller index 4.2[IQR:3.7-5.7]). Daily mean inpatient opioid requirement and daily opioid doses were 0.3 ± 0.2 OME/day/kg and 2 ± 1.2 opioid doses/day. At the first outpatient follow-up visit, patients reported using a median of five 5-mg oxycodone tablets [IQR:1.6-10] for 5 days [IQR:2-7] with 22% of patients needing an opioid refill. On linear regression, inpatient opioid use had a significant relationship with the number of outpatient doses taken, while patient factors were not associated with outpatient opioid use. A simple equation for predicting opioid need based on best fit (R2 = 0.211) was developed: #OUTPATIENT OPIOID TABLETS = 3 TABLETS + (0.82 x #INPATIENT OPIOID RECIEVED). CONCLUSION: The proposed outpatient opioid prescription model is simple to calculate and tailors the prescription to individual patient need. This model has the potential to provide effective pain control and avoid prescription refills, while minimizing over-prescription of opioids. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Treatment study Level III.