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The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate a model for predicting post-treatment survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients using their CT images and clinical information, including various treatment information. We collected pre-treatment contrast-enhanced CT images and clinical information including patient-related factors, initial treatment options, and survival status from 692 patients. The patient cohort was divided into a training cohort (n = 507), a testing cohort (n = 146), and an external CT cohort (n = 39), which included patients who underwent CT scans at other institutions. After model training using fivefold cross-validation, model validation was performed on both the testing cohort and the external CT cohort. Our cascaded model employed a 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) to extract features from CT images and derive final survival probabilities. These probabilities were obtained by concatenating previously predicted probabilities for each interval with the patient-related factors and treatment options. We utilized two consecutive fully connected layers for this process, resulting in a number of final outputs corresponding to the number of time intervals, with values representing conditional survival probabilities for each interval. Performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index), the mean cumulative/dynamic area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (mC/D AUC), and the mean Brier score (mBS), calculated every 3 months. Through an ablation study, we found that using DenseNet-121 as the backbone network and setting the prediction interval to 6 months optimized the model's performance. The integration of multimodal data resulted in superior predictive capabilities compared to models using only CT images or clinical information (C index 0.824 [95% CI 0.822-0.826], mC/D AUC 0.893 [95% CI 0.891-0.895], and mBS 0.121 [95% CI 0.120-0.123] for internal test cohort; C index 0.750 [95% CI 0.747-0.753], mC/D AUC 0.819 [95% CI 0.816-0.823], and mBS 0.159 [95% CI 0.158-0.161] for external CT cohort, respectively). Our CNN-based discrete-time survival prediction model with CT images and clinical information demonstrated promising results in predicting post-treatment survival of patients with HCC.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether tenofovir or entecavir has different effects on the prevention of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in secondary and tertiary preventive settings is still a matter of debate. This study aimed to compare the long-term prognosis of HCC between tenofovir and entecavir in patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis B patients diagnosed with HCC between November 2008 and December 2018 and treated with either entecavir or tenofovir at a tertiary center in Korea were included. The effect of tenofovir compared with entecavir on the prognosis of HBV-related HCC was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox and propensity score (PS)-matched analyses. Various predefined subgroup analyses were conducted. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 3.0 years, the mortality rate for entecavir-treated patients (n = 3469) was 41.2%, while tenofovir-treated patients (n = 3056) had a mortality rate of 34.6%. Overall survival (OS) was better in the tenofovir group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.79; P < .001), which were consistently observed in the PS-matched analysis. The magnitude of the risk difference in OS was more prominent 2 years after the diagnosis of HCC (aHR, 0.50; P < .001) than 2 years before (aHR, 0.88; P = .005), and it was more pronounced in patients with earlier HCC stages. In all subgroups, except for those with shorter life expectancy, such as those with compromised liver function, tenofovir was associated with better OS compared with entecavir. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with HBV-related HCC, those treated with tenofovir had a better prognosis than those treated with entecavir, particularly among those with prolonged survival.
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BACKGROUND AND AIM: The steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE) score has been developed to distinguish clinically significant fibrosis in patients with steatotic liver disease (SLD). However, validation of its performance in Asian subjects is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the SAFE score in Asian subjects with biopsy-proven SLD and in different subgroups according to age, sex, and body mass index. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 6383 living liver donors who underwent a liver biopsy between 2005 and 2023. Of these, 1551 subjects with biopsy-proven SLD were included. The performance of the SAFE score was evaluated using areas under the curve and compared with those of the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). RESULTS: The prevalence of clinically significant fibrosis in the cohort was 2.2%. The proportion of subjects with a "low-risk" SAFE score was the highest (91.0%), followed by those with "intermediate-risk" (7.8%) and "high-risk" (1.2%) scores. The prevalence of fibrosis in subjects with low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk scores was 1.6%, 6.6%, and 21.1%, respectively. The SAFE outperformed FIB-4 and NFS (area under the curve: 0.70 vs 0.64 for both NFS and FIB-4). However, it showed low diagnostic accuracy and sensitivity (27%) at the low cutoff (SAFE < 0) in subjects aged 30-39 years (fibrosis: 1.2%), despite having a high negative predictive value (0.99). CONCLUSION: While the SAFE score demonstrates superior performance compared with other noninvasive tests in Asian subjects with SLD, its performance varies across age groups. In younger subjects, particularly, its performance may be more limited.
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Purpose: This study aimed to identify clinical and radiologic characteristics that could predict response to atezolizumab-bevacizumab combination therapy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods: This single-center retrospective study included 108 advanced HCC patients with intrahepatic lesions who were treated with atezolizumab-bevacizumab. Two radiologists independently analyzed Imaging characteristics of the index tumor on pretreatment computed tomography. Predictive factors associated with progressive disease (PD) at the best response based on Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, Version 1.1 were evaluated using logistic regression analysis. Progression-free survival (PFS) was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. Results: Of 108 patients with a median PFS of 15 weeks, 40 (37.0%) had PD during treatment. Factors associated with PD included the presence of extrahepatic metastases (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 4.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19-14.35; p=0.03), the infiltrative appearance of the tumor (aOR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.05-8.93; p=0.04), and the absence of arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) (aOR, 6.34; 95% CI, 2.18-18.47; p<0.001). Patients with two or more of these factors had a PD of 66.7% and a median PFS of 8 weeks, indicating a significantly worse outcome compared to the patients with one or no of these factors. Conclusion: In patients with advanced HCC treated with atezolizumab-bevacizumab treatment, the absence of APHE, infiltrative appearance of the intrahepatic tumor, and presence of extrahepatic metastases were associated with poor response and survival. Evaluation of early response may be necessary in patients with these factors.
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BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study aims to reevaluate upper reference limit (URL) for alanine aminotransferase (ALT) by considering the changing epidemiology of major liver diseases. We employed histological and metabolic parameters in Asian living liver donors. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 5455 potential living liver donors from 2005 to 2019. Participants were screened for hepatitis B, C, HIV, and alcohol use. Histologically and metabolically healthy participants were assessed using the Prati criteria (body mass index <23 kg/m2, triglyceride ≤200 mg/dL, fasting glucose ≤105 mg/dL, total cholesterol ≤220 mg/dL). The updated ALT-URL was determined as the 95th percentile among participants without hepatic steatosis and who met the Prati criteria. RESULTS: The median age was 30 years, with a male predominance (66.2%). Among 5455 participants, 3162 (58.0%) showed no hepatic steatosis, with 1553 (49.1%) meeting both the criteria for no steatosis and the Prati criteria for metabolic health. The updated URL for ALT in these participants was 34 U/L for males and 22 U/L for females, which was significantly lower than conventionally accepted values. Using this revised ALT-URL, 72.8% of males with ALT levels ≥34 U/L and 55.0% of females with ALT levels ≥22 U/L showed signs of steatosis, whereas 32.7% of males and 22.2% of females met the criteria for metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provided the newly established reference intervals for ALT levels in a metabolically and histologically verified Asian population. The proposed URL for ALT are 34 U/L and 22 U/L for males and females, respectively.
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Background: This study aimed to compare the outcomes of liver resection (LR) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with multinodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria who were not eligible for liver transplantation. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 483 patients with multinodular HCC within the Milan criteria, who underwent either LR or TACE as an initial therapy between 2013 and 2022. The overall survival (OS) in the entire population and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients who underwent LR and TACE and achieved a complete response were analyzed. Propensity score (PS) matching analysis was also used for a fair comparison of outcomes between the two groups. Results: Among the 483 patients, 107 (22.2%) and 376 (77.8%) underwent LR and TACE, respectively. The median size of the largest tumor was 2.0 cm, and 72.3% of the patients had two HCC lesions. The median OS and RFS were significantly longer in the LR group than in the TACE group (p <0.01 for both). In the multivariate analysis, TACE (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.81 and aHR, 2.41) and large tumor size (aHR, 1.43 and aHR, 1.44) were significantly associated with worse OS and RFS, respectively. The PS-matched analysis also demonstrated that the LR group had significantly longer OS and RFS than the TACE group (PS <0.05). Conclusion: In this study, LR showed better OS and RFS than TACE in patients with multinodular Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A HCC. Therefore, LR can be considered an effective treatment option for these patients.
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BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) has set targets to eliminate viral hepatitis, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, by 2030. We present the results of the in-hospital Reflex tEsting ALarm-C (REAL-C) model, which incorporates reflex HCV RNA testing and sending alerts to physicians. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study analysing the data of 1730 patients who newly tested positive for anti-HCV between March 2020 and June 2023. Three distinct periods were defined: pre-REAL-C (n = 696), incomplete REAL-C (n = 515) and complete REAL-C model periods (n = 519). The primary outcome measure was the HCV RNA testing rate throughout the study period. Additionally, we assessed the referral rate to the gastroenterology department, linkage time for diagnosis and treatment and the treatment rate. RESULTS: The rate of HCV RNA testing increased significantly from 51.0% (pre-REAL-C) to 95.6% (complete REAL-C). This improvement was consistent across clinical departments, regardless of patients' comorbidities. Among patients with confirmed HCV infection, the gastroenterology referral rate increased from 57.1% to 81.1% after the REAL-C model. The treatment rate among treatment-eligible patients was 92.4% during the study period. The mean interval from anti-HCV positivity to HCV RNA testing decreased from 45.1 to 1.9 days. The mean interval from the detection of anti-HCV positivity to direct-acting antiviral treatment also decreased from 89.5 to 49.5 days with the REAL-C model. CONCLUSION: The REAL-C model, featuring reflex testing and physician alerts, effectively increased HCV RNA testing rates and streamlined care cascades. Our model facilitated progress towards achieving WHO's elimination goals for HCV infection.
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Hepatitis C Crónica , Hepatitis C , Humanos , Hepacivirus/genética , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hepatitis C Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Hepatitis C/tratamiento farmacológico , Hospitales , ARN ViralRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Tumour microenvironment heterogeneity among different organs can influence immunotherapy responses. Here, we evaluated the impact of differential organ-specific responses on survival in patients with advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev). METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 366 consecutive patients with advanced-stage HCC treated with Atezo/Bev as first-line systemic treatment. Therapeutic response was assessed using RECIST v1.1. Patients were divided into an intention-to-treat (ITT) group (patients treated with ≥1 dose of Atezo/Bev) and a per-protocol (PP) analysis group (patients with at least one measurable lesion irrespective of location treated with ≥3 doses of Atezo/Bev). Overall response and organ-specific response at initial and best response were evaluated in the PP group. Responders were defined as patients achieving complete remission or partial response. Initial progressors were defined as patients with progressive disease after three doses of Atezo/Bev. RESULTS: The ITT and PP groups comprised 324 and 236 patients, respectively. In the PP group, the organ-specific response rate of lung and lymph node (LN) metastases at both initial and best responses were higher than those of intrahepatic lesions and macrovascular tumour thrombosis. Lung and LN-specific response rates were 21.1% and 23.5%, respectively, at initial response, and 24.7% and 31.4%, respectively, at best response. Both initial pulmonary and lymphatic progressors (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals], 6.37 [2.10-19.3], and 8.36 [2.16-32.4], respectively) were independently associated with survival regardless of intrahepatic response. CONCLUSIONS: The response of metastatic HCC to the Atezo/Bev regimen may be used to determine whether to continue treatment or switch to second-line treatment at an early phase of therapy.
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Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados , Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamiento farmacológico , Bevacizumab/uso terapéutico , Metástasis Linfática , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Pulmón , Microambiente TumoralRESUMEN
The treatment decisions for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma are determined by a wide range of factors, and there is a significant difference between the recommendations of widely used staging systems and the actual initial treatment choices. Herein, we propose a machine learning-based clinical decision support system suitable for use in multi-center settings. We collected data from nine institutions in South Korea for training and validation datasets. The internal and external datasets included 935 and 1750 patients, respectively. We developed a model with 20 clinical variables consisting of two stages: the first stage which recommends initial treatment using an ensemble voting machine, and the second stage, which predicts post-treatment survival using a random survival forest algorithm. We derived the first and second treatment options from the results with the highest and the second-highest probabilities given by the ensemble model and predicted their post-treatment survival. When only the first treatment option was accepted, the mean accuracy of treatment recommendation in the internal and external datasets was 67.27% and 55.34%, respectively. The accuracy increased to 87.27% and 86.06%, respectively, when the second option was included as the correct answer. Harrell's C index, integrated time-dependent AUC curve, and integrated Brier score of survival prediction in the internal and external datasets were 0.8381 and 0.7767, 91.89 and 86.48, 0.12, and 0.14, respectively. The proposed system can assist physicians by providing data-driven predictions for reference from other larger institutions or other physicians within the same institution when making treatment decisions.
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Background/Aims: With the wide application of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus infection, the number of patients achieving a sustained virologic response (SVR) will continue to increase. However, no consensus has been achieved on exempting SVR-achieving patients from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance. Methods: Between 2013 and 2021, 873 Korean patients who achieved SVR following DAA treatment were analyzed. We evaluated the predictive performance of seven noninvasive scores (PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, Toronto HCC risk index, fibrosis-4, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, albumin-bilirubin, and age male albumin-bilirubin platelet [aMAP]) at baseline and after SVR. Results: The mean age of the 873 patients (39.3% males) was 59.1 years, and 224 patients (25.7%) had cirrhosis. During 3,542 person-years of follow-up, 44 patients developed HCC, with an annual incidence of 1.24/100 person-years. Male sex (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 2.21), cirrhosis (AHR, 7.93), and older age (AHR, 1.05) were associated with a significantly higher HCC risk in multivariate analysis. The performance of all scores at the time of SVR were numerically better than those at baseline as determined by the integrated area under the curve. Time-dependent area under the curves for predicting the 3-, 5-, and 7-year risk of HCC after SVR were higher in mPAGE-B (0.778, 0.746, and 0.812, respectively) and aMAP (0.776, 0.747, and 0.790, respectively) systems than others. No patients predicted as low-risk by the aMAP or mPAGE-B systems developed HCC. Conclusions: aMAP and mPAGE-B scores demonstrated the highest predictive performance for de novo HCC in DAA-treated, SVR-achieving patients. Hence, these two systems may be used to identify low-risk patients that can be exempted from HCC surveillance.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis C Crónica , Hepatitis C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/etiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/complicaciones , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis C Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hepatitis C/tratamiento farmacológico , Cirrosis Hepática , Respuesta Virológica Sostenida , Albúminas , Bilirrubina/uso terapéutico , República de Corea/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is known to have a lipid-lowering effect. This is in contrast to tenofovir alafenamide (TAF), which has a lipid-neutral effect. Therefore, concerns have been raised as to whether these differences affect long-term cardiovascular risk. Here, we aimed to evaluate the long-term risk of cardiovascular events in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients treated with TAF or TDF. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 4,124 treatment-naïve CHB patients treated with TDF (n=3,186) or TAF (n=938) between 2012 and 2022. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and hospitalization for unstable angina or heart failure. Serial changes in lipid profiles between two treatments were also explored. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 50.6 years, and 60.6% of the patients were male. At baseline, 486 (11.8%) and 637 (15.4%) of the patients had dyslipidemia and fatty liver, respectively. A total of 42 MACE occurred, with an annual incidence of 0.2%/100 person-years (PYs). At 1, 3, and 5 years, the cumulative risk of MACE was 0.4%, 0.8%, and 1.2% in patients treated with TDF, and 0.2%, 0.7%, and 0.7% in patients treated with TAF, respectively (p=0.538). No significant differences in the risk of MACE were observed between TDF and TAF. A multivariable analysis found that current smoker and a history of cardiovascular events were risk factors associated with an increased risk of MACE. CONCLUSION: Patients treated with TAF had comparable risks of cardiovascular outcomes, defined as MACE, as patients treated with TDF.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Hepatitis B Crónica , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Tenofovir/efectos adversos , Hepatitis B Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis B Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/inducido químicamente , Factores de Riesgo , Alanina/uso terapéutico , Adenina/uso terapéutico , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , LípidosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) on nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs) often experience renal function decline. Conflicting results regarding the impact of NUC use and renal function have recently been reported. AIM: To examine longitudinal changes in renal function according to the NUC treatment type compared with untreated patients METHODS: From 2014 to 2022, we retrospectively analysed 10,642 patients with CHB. The primary outcome was chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, which was defined as a minimum one-stage elevation. We applied propensity score (PS) matching for outcome comparisons. RESULTS: In the PS-matched cohort of 1996 pairs, the NUC-treated group (7.6/100 person-years [PYs]) had a significantly higher CKD progression risk than the untreated group (4.4/100 PYs), with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.70 (p < 0.001). The tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)-treated group (7.9/100 PYs) showed a 1.76-fold increased CKD progression risk compared with the untreated group (4.5/100 PYs) in the PS-matched cohort (p < 0.001). Both the entecavir- and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF)-treated groups showed CKD progression risks comparable to those of the untreated group in the PS-matched cohorts of 755 and 426 pairs, respectively (p = 0.132 and p = 0.120, respectively). No significant CKD progression risk was found between the entecavir- (6.0/100 PYs) and TAF-treated (5.2/100 PYs) groups in the PS-matched cohort of 510 pairs (p = 0.118). CONCLUSIONS: NUC-treated patients, especially those on TDF, faced a higher CKD progression risk than untreated patients. Entecavir- and TAF-treated patients had comparable CKD progression risks to untreated patients. No difference was observed between entecavir and TAF in the risk of CKD progression.
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Hepatitis B Crónica , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Humanos , Antivirales/efectos adversos , Hepatitis B Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tenofovir/efectos adversos , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Riñón , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Background: The majority of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatic resection experience tumor recurrence. Statin use is associated with a reduced risk of HCC development; however, the association between statin use and the prognosis of HCC after resection remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the effect of statin use on the prognosis after hepatic resection among patients with HCC. Methods: A nationwide cohort study was performed with data from the National Health Insurance Service Database in Korea. Among 65,101 HCC patients who underwent hepatic resection between January 2002 and December 2017, we included 21,470 patients. For validation, a hospital-based cohort of 3366 patients with very early or early-stage HCC who received curative-intent hepatic resection between January 2010 and December 2018 was analyzed. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was compared between statin users and non-users. Findings: Among the nationwide cohort of 21,470 patients, 2399 (11.2%) used statins and 19,071 (88.8%) did not. Among the hospital cohort of 3366 patients, 363 (10.8%) used statins and 3003 (89.2%) did not. In the propensity score-matched nationwide cohort, statin users had better RFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.60; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.64; P < 0.001) and OS (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.45-0.53; P < 0.001), with a duration-response relationship. In the propensity score-matched validation hospital cohort, statin treatment was significantly associated with better RFS (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.59-0.90; P = 0.003) and OS (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.32-0.72; P < 0.001). The beneficial effects of statins were more prominent in non-cirrhotics, tumors sized ≥3 cm, tumors with microscopic vascular invasion, or early HCC recurrence (<2 years after resection). Interpretation: Statin use was associated with a better prognosis in a population-based cohort of patients with HCC after hepatic resection, which was further validated in a large hospital-based cohort. Funding: Asan Institute for Life Sciences and Corporate Relations; Korean Association for the Study of the Liver.
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Background The value of CT in assessment of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) has not been well determined. Purpose To evaluate the performance of CT features that have been associated with portal hypertension for diagnosing CSPH in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Materials and Methods This retrospective study included patients with CLD who underwent contrast-enhanced CT and subsequent hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement within 3 months at two tertiary institutions from January 2001 to December 2019. Two readers independently evaluated the presence of gastroesophageal varix, spontaneous portosystemic shunt (SPSS), and ascites on CT images. Splenomegaly at CT was determined using three methods, as follows: personalized or fixed volume criteria, based on spleen volume as measured by a deep learning algorithm, or manually measured spleen diameter. The diagnostic performance of these findings alone or in combination for detecting CSPH (HVPG ≥10 mm Hg) was evaluated. Results A total of 235 patients (mean age, 53.2 years ± 13.0 [SD]; 155 male patients), including 110 (46.8%) with CSPH, were included. Detection of CSPH according to the presence of both splenomegaly and at least one other CT feature (ie, gastroesophageal varix, SPSS, and ascites) achieved specificities of 94.4%-97.6%, whereas detection of CSPH according to the presence of any feature (ie, splenomegaly, gastroesophageal varix, SPSS, or ascites) achieved sensitivities of 94.5%-98.2%. When employing the former as rule-in criteria with the absence of splenomegaly, gastroesophageal varix, SPSS, and ascites as rule-out criteria for CSPH, 171-185 (range, 72.8%-78.7%) of 235 patients were correctly classified as either having CSPH or not, seven to 13 (range, 3%-5.5%) of 235 patients were incorrectly classified, and 42-54 (range, 17.9%-23%) of 235 patients were unclassified. Conclusion The presence or absence of splenomegaly, gastroesophageal varix, SPSS, and/or ascites on CT images may be useful for ruling in and ruling out CSPH in patients with CLD. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Fraum in this issue.
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Hipertensión Portal , Várices , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Esplenomegalia/diagnóstico por imagen , Ascitis , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hipertensión Portal/diagnóstico por imagen , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos XRESUMEN
Considering the lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving long-term potent antiviral therapy, models predicting HCC after 5 years of therapy are needed. We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study to construct and validate a model predicting HCC after 5 years of entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir (TFV) therapy for CHB. The endpoint was HCC after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy. Information on age, sex, liver cirrhosis (assessed by diagnosis code and confirmed by clinical findings) and type of antiviral agent was obtained at baseline (initiation of ETV/TFV). Laboratory values were collected at baseline and 5 years. Risk factors for HCC were identified in the training set and the final prediction model was validated using the test set. Among 7542 patients, 345 (4.6%) developed HCC after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy. HCC risk after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy was increased by 4-fold in patients with liver cirrhosis than in those without cirrhosis at baseline. Furthermore, Platelet counts and Prothrombin time at 5 years, Age at baseline and Sex were associated with risk of HCC and were incorporated into a prediction model, PPACS. PPACS showed a good performance with a time-dependent area under the curve of 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.85) at 8-year of ETV/TFV therapy, a Brier score of 0.031 and an integrated Brier score of 0.006 in the test set. In conclusion, the PPACS model provides a reliable assessment of HCC risk after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy (https://ppacs.shinyapps.io/shiny_app_up/).
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis B Crónica , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Tenofovir/uso terapéutico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Hepatitis B Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis B Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Factores de Riesgo , Cirrosis Hepática/tratamiento farmacológico , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Background/Aim: The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) guidelines recommend systemic therapy as the only first-line treatment for patients with BCLC stage C hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) despite its heterogeneity of disease extent. We aimed to identify patients who might benefit from combined transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and radiation therapy (RT) by subclassifying BCLC stage C. Methods: A total of 1,419 treatment-naïve BCLC stage C patients with macrovascular invasion (MVI) who were treated with combined TACE and RT (n=1,115) or systemic treatment (n=304) were analyzed. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Factors associated with OS were identified and assigned points by the Cox model. The patients were subclassified into three groups based on these points. Results: The mean age was 55.4 years, and 87.8% were male. The median OS was 8.3 months. Multivariate analysis revealed a significant association of Child-Pugh B, infiltrative-type tumor or tumor size ≥10 cm, main or bilateral portal vein invasion, and extrahepatic metastasis with poor OS. The sub-classification was categorized into low (point ≤1), intermediate (point=2), and high (point ≥3) risks based on the sum of points (range, 0-4). The OS in the low, intermediate, and high-risk groups was 22.6, 8.2, and 3.8 months, respectively. In the low and intermediate-risk groups, patients treated with combined TACE and RT exhibited significantly longer OS (24.2 and 9.5 months, respectively) than those who received systemic treatment (6.4 and 5.1 months, respectively; P<0.0001). Conclusions: Combined TACE and RT may be considered as a first-line treatment option for HCC patients with MVI when classified into low- and intermediate-risk groups.
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PURPOSE: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been demonstrated to be effective for unresectable or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) in prior prospective trials. However, the clinical outcomes of ICIs in patients with combined HCC-CCA (cHCC-CCA) have not been investigated. Accordingly, we retrospectively evaluated the effectiveness and safety of ICIs in patients with unresectable or metastatic cHCC-CCA. METHODS: Among 101 patients with histologically documented cHCC-CCA who received systemic therapy, 25 received ICIs between January 2015 and September 2021 and were included in the current analysis. Overall response rate (ORR) per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and adverse events (AEs) were retrospectively evaluated. RESULTS: The median age was 64 years (range 38-83) and 84% (n = 21) of patients were males. Most patients had Child-Pugh A liver function (n = 22, 88%) and hepatitis B virus infection (17, 68%). Nivolumab (n = 17, 68%) was the most frequently used ICI, followed by pembrolizumab (n = 5, 20%), atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (n = 2, 8%), and ipilimumab plus nivolumab (n = 1, 4%). All patients, except one, had previously received systemic therapy; median two lines (1-5 lines) of systemic therapy were administered prior to ICIs. With a median follow-up duration of 20.1 months (95% CI 4.9-35.2 months), the median PFS was 3.5 months (95% CI 2.4-4.8 months), and the median OS was 8.3 months (95% CI 6.8-9.8 months). The ORR was 20.0% (n = 5, nivolumab for 2 patients, pembrolizumab for 1, atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for 1, and ipilimumab plus nivolumab for 1) and the duration of response was 11.6 months (95% CI 11.2-12.0 months). CONCLUSIONS: ICIs displayed clinical anti-cancer effectiveness, aligning with the results of prior prospective studies for HCC or CCA. Further international studies are required to define the optimal strategies for managing unresectable or metastatic cHCC-CCA.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Colangiocarcinoma , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Masculino , Humanos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Nivolumab/uso terapéutico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamiento farmacológico , Ipilimumab , Estudios Prospectivos , Bevacizumab , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Colangiocarcinoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/tratamiento farmacológico , Conductos Biliares IntrahepáticosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Limited data are available regarding the association between liver cirrhosis (LC) and the risk of herpes zoster (HZ). This study aimed to determine the risk of HZ in patients with LC. METHODS: HZ was defined as the presence of the International Classification of Diseases-10th revision code for HZ and concomitant prescription of antiviral medication. The incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of HZ in patients with LC were analyzed using data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service in Korea claims database from 2009 to 2019. RESULTS: A total of 504,986 Korean patients with LC were included. The mean age was 52.4 years, and 60.8% were men. Chronic hepatitis B was the most common cause of LC. The incidence rates for HZ and HZ-related hospitalization were 21.6 of 1,000 and 1.81 of 1,000 person-years, respectively. The SIRs for HZ and HZ-related hospitalization were 1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.09) and 1.48 (95% CI: 1.44-1.52), respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the general population. Patients with LC aged 20-29, 30-39, and 40-49 years had SIRs for HZ of 1.41 (95% CI: 1.33-1.48), 1.16 (1.13-1.19), and 1.17 (1.13-1.19), respectively. In multivariable analysis, woman (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 1.48), steroid (AHR: 1.20), immunosuppressant use (AHR: 1.26), and combined comorbidities were associated with an increased risk of HZ among patients with LC. DISCUSSION: Patients with LC, particularly those who are not currently recommended for HZ vaccination, were at an increased risk of HZ and HZ-related hospitalization compared with the general Korean population.
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Herpes Zóster , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Herpes Zóster/epidemiología , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Incidencia , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The initiation of antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis and low-level viremia (LLV; HBV DNA 15-2,000 IU/mL) remains controversial. We sought to compare the long-term outcomes of these untreated patients according to their viremic status. METHODS: Six hundred twenty-seven untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis were analyzed retrospectively. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related clinical events, including hepatic decompensation, were compared between patients with LLV and undetectable HBV DNA. Patients who received antiviral treatment were censored during treatment initiation. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 54.7 years, 64.4% of whom were male. During the study period, 59 patients developed HCC (20 and 39 in the undetectable and LLV groups, respectively) with an annual incidence of 2.44/100 person-years. Multivariable analysis revealed that the LLV group was associated with a significantly higher risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.36, P = 0.002) than the undetectable group. In the 204 propensity score-matched cohort, the LLV group had a 2.16-fold greater risk of HCC than the undetectable group ( P = 0.014). Liver-related clinical events occurred in 121 patients with an annual incidence of 5.25/100 person-years. Despite not reaching statistical significance, the LLV group tended to have a higher risk of liver-related events in the propensity score-matched cohort (hazard ratio: 1.14, P = 0.50). DISCUSSION: Compared with patients with undetectable HBV DNA, those with compensated cirrhosis and LLV had a significantly higher risk of HCC. Antiviral treatment should be advised for these patients.
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Antivirales , Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis B , Cirrosis Hepática , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Viremia , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Viremia/complicaciones , Hepatitis B/tratamiento farmacológico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamiento farmacológico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/virología , Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Cirrosis Hepática/tratamiento farmacológico , Cirrosis Hepática/virología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/virología , Estudios Retrospectivos , ADN Viral , Virus de la Hepatitis BRESUMEN
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is among the most common malignant cancers worldwide, with an increasing incidence associated with an increase in deaths due to liver cancer. HCC is typically detected at an advanced stage in patients with underlying liver dysfunction, resulting in high mortality. The identification of HCC-specific targets represents a desired but unmet need for liver cancer treatment. To identify potentially novel HCC therapeutic targets, we performed a secretome analysis using HCC spheroids. Sorbitol dehydrogenase (SORD) was identified as uniquely enriched in the secretomes and lysates derived from HCC spheroids, and high SORD expression in HCC tissues was associated with favorable effects on overall survival among patients with liver cancer. We found that the introduction of excess SORD in HCC cells inhibited tumor growth and stemness by enhancing necroptosis signal and bypassing energy-yielding pathways through regulation of lactate dehydrogenase A (LDHA) expression and mitochondrial dynamics. Treatment with human recombinant SORD (hrSORD) controlled HCC cell growth and regulated macrophage polarization in the tumor microenvironment. These results demonstrate that SORD plays critical functional roles in HCC suppression through polyol pathway-independent mechanisms, suggesting that targeting SORD expression might represent a promising therapeutic strategy for liver cancer therapy.