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1.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 21(1): 760, 2021 Jul 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34332571

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study is the first part of a register-based research program with the overall aim to increase the knowledge of the health status among geriatric patients and to identify risk factors for readmission in this population. The aim of this study was two-fold: 1) to evaluate the validity of the study cohorts in terms of health care utilization in relation to regional cohorts; 2) to describe the study cohorts in terms of health status and health care utilization after discharge. METHODS: The project consist of two cohorts with data from patient records of geriatric in-hospital stays, health care utilization data from Stockholm Regional Healthcare Data Warehouse 6 months after discharge, socioeconomic data from Statistics Sweden. The 2012 cohort include 6710 patients and the 2016 cohort, 8091 patients; 64% are women, mean age is 84 (SD 8). RESULTS: Mean days to first visit in primary care was 12 (23) and 10 (19) in the 2012 and 2016 cohort, respectively. Readmissions to hospital was 38% in 2012 and 39% in 2016. The validity of the study cohorts was evaluated by comparing them with regional cohorts. The study cohorts were comparable in most cases but there were some significant differences between the study cohorts and the regional cohorts, especially regarding amount and type of primary care. CONCLUSION: The study cohorts seem valid in terms of health care utilization compared to the regional cohorts regarding hospital care, but less so regarding primary care. This will be considered in the analyses and when interpreting data in future studies based on these study cohorts. Future studies will explore factors associated with health status and re-admissions in a population with multi-morbidity and disability.


Asunto(s)
Alta del Paciente , Readmisión del Paciente , Anciano , Femenino , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Estudios Retrospectivos , Suecia/epidemiología
2.
Crit Rev Food Sci Nutr ; 60(20): 3461-3474, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31760761

RESUMEN

This article compares and contrasts microbial and chemical risk assessment methodologies in order to evaluate the potential for a common framework for ranking of risk of chemical and microbiological hazards, and developments needed for such a framework. An overview of microbial (MRA) and chemical (CRA) risk assessment is presented and important differences are highlighted. Two microbiological and two chemical hazard-food combinations were ranked based on both a margin of exposure and a risk assessment approach. The comparisons illustrated that it is possible to rank chemical and microbiological hazard-food combinations with traditional approaches from each domain and indicated that the rank order but not the absolute measures is similar using either approach. Including severity in the assessment using DALY reduced differences between hazards and affected the outcome more than which approach was used. Ranking frameworks should include assessment of uncertainty as an integral part of the ranking, and be based on assessment of risk, not safety, and expressed in a common health metric such as disease burden. Necessary simplifications to address data gaps can involve the use of default scenarios. Challenges include comparisons of case-based vs. non-case-based health-endpoints, e.g. biomarker concentration, and integration of the severity of health effects into ranking.


Asunto(s)
Microbiología de Alimentos , Alimentos , Contaminación de Alimentos , Medición de Riesgo
3.
EFSA J ; 16(Suppl 1): e160813, 2018 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32626063

RESUMEN

Risk ranking is a versatile tool used to prioritise activities performed by public health regulatory bodies. It also allows efficient communication between all stakeholders in the process of risk analysis. However, risk ranking methods are still not optimal. Because of the different approaches employed in the risk assessment of microbiological agents and chemicals, it is difficult to rank them together using the same metrics. In our work, we first discuss differences and commonalities between chemical and microbiological risk assessment to provide a starting point for consideration of a common risk ranking platform. In the second part, we perform risk ranking of contaminants and regulated chemicals using the recently developed Risk Thermometer tool. In this approach, chemicals are not ranked solely on the basis of the margin of exposure between a reference value and the exposure, but also by considering the severity of the critical health effects used. The results show that ranking using both methods provides different results from the use of either method alone. Overall, specific chemical groups (i.e. heavy metals, pesticides, etc.) do not generally rank higher or lower, but individual compounds are scattered in the rankings from low to high. Risk ranking methods demand further development to gain wide acceptability and recognition.

4.
Appl Environ Microbiol ; 80(9): 2715-27, 2014 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24561587

RESUMEN

A model to predict the population density of verotoxigenic Escherichia coli (VTEC) throughout the elaboration and storage of fermented raw-meat sausages (FRMS) was developed. Probabilistic and kinetic measurement data sets collected from publicly available resources were completed with new measurements when required and used to quantify the dependence of VTEC growth and inactivation on the temperature, pH, water activity (aw), and concentration of lactic acid. Predictions were compared with observations in VTEC-contaminated FRMS manufactured in a pilot plant. Slight differences in the reduction of VTEC were predicted according to the fermentation temperature, 24 or 34°C, with greater inactivation at the highest temperature. The greatest reduction was observed during storage at high temperatures. A population decrease greater than 6 decimal logarithmic units was observed after 66 days of storage at 25°C, while a reduction of only ca. 1 logarithmic unit was detected at 12°C. The performance of our model and other modeling approaches was evaluated throughout the processing of dry and semidry FRMS. The greatest inactivation of VTEC was predicted in dry FRMS with long drying periods, while the smallest reduction was predicted in semidry FMRS with short drying periods. The model is implemented in a computing tool, E. coli SafeFerment (EcSF), freely available from http://www.ifr.ac.uk/safety/EcoliSafeFerment. EcSF integrates growth, probability of growth, and thermal and nonthermal inactivation models to predict the VTEC concentration throughout FRMS manufacturing and storage under constant or fluctuating environmental conditions.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación de Alimentos/análisis , Productos de la Carne/microbiología , Toxinas Shiga/biosíntesis , Escherichia coli Shiga-Toxigénica/aislamiento & purificación , Escherichia coli Shiga-Toxigénica/metabolismo , Animales , Fermentación , Manipulación de Alimentos , Almacenamiento de Alimentos , Escherichia coli Shiga-Toxigénica/genética , Escherichia coli Shiga-Toxigénica/crecimiento & desarrollo , Porcinos
5.
Int J Nurs Stud ; 51(5): 744-51, 2014 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24144276

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The present shortage of registered nurses (RNs) in many European countries is expected to continue and worsen, which poses a substantial threat to the maintenance of healthcare in this region. Work-family conflict is a known risk factor for turnover and sickness absence. OBJECTIVE: This paper empirically examines whether the nurse practice environment is associated with experienced work-family conflict. DESIGN: A multilevel model was fit with the individual RN at the 1st, and the hospital department at the 2nd level using cross-sectional RN survey data from the Swedish part of RN4CAST, an EU 7th framework project. The data analyzed here is based on a national sample of 8356 female and 592 male RNs from 369 hospital departments. RESULTS: We found that 6% of the variability in work-family conflict experienced by RNs was at the department level. Organizational level factors significantly accounted for most of the variability at this level with two of the work practice environment factors examined, staffing adequacy and nurse involvement in hospital affairs, significantly related to work-family conflict. Due to the design of the study, factors on ward and work group levels could not be analyzed, but are likely to account for additional variance which in the present analysis appears to be on the individual level, with private life factors likely explaining another major part. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that higher level organizational factors in health care have a significant impact on the risk of work-family conflict among RNs through their impact on the nurse practice environment. Lower level organizational factors should be investigated in future studies using hierarchical multilevel sampling.


Asunto(s)
Conflicto Psicológico , Familia , Administración Hospitalaria , Personal de Enfermería en Hospital , Carga de Trabajo , Adulto , Anciano , Estudios Transversales , Recolección de Datos , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Suecia , Adulto Joven
6.
Int J Food Microbiol ; 166(1): 186-92, 2013 Aug 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23911759

RESUMEN

Identification and prioritisation of food safety interventions requires an understanding of the relationship between food, pathogens and cases. Such understanding can be gained through different approaches, e.g. microbial subtyping to attribute cases of foodborne disease to food vehicles or other sources of illness. In this study, Listeria monocytogenes isolates (n=166) from (i) three categories of ready-to-eat (RTE) foods, (ii) food processing plant environments, and (iii) human listeriosis cases, all sampled during 2010 in Sweden, were subtyped. In addition, 121 isolates from human listeriosis cases, collected 2005-2009, were subtyped. Subtyping consisted of both serotyping (conventional method and PCR) and genotyping using pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Serotype 1/2a dominated in all three groups of isolates (range 73-96%). Eighteen percent of the human isolates (2010) belonged to serotype 4b, but only 1.4% of the food isolates. The food isolates differentiated into 19 pulsotypes (ID=0.843), the human isolates collected 2010 into 31 pulsotypes (ID=0.950) and the processing plant isolates into 22 pulsotypes (ID=0.991). Six of the pulsotypes were shared between the food and human isolates. These pulsotypes comprised 42% of the human isolates and 59% of the food isolates. For some processing plants, there was suggested persistence of one or more specific L. monocytogenes strains, as indicated by repetitive isolation of the same pulsotype from food. This study indicated the presence of L. monocytogenes in the processing plant environment as a likely source of contamination of gravad and cold-smoked fish, and this food category as an important source of human exposure to the pathogen.


Asunto(s)
Microbiología Ambiental , Microbiología de Alimentos , Listeria monocytogenes/clasificación , Listeriosis/microbiología , Anciano , Animales , Electroforesis en Gel de Campo Pulsado , Femenino , Manipulación de Alimentos , Genotipo , Humanos , Listeria monocytogenes/genética , Listeria monocytogenes/aislamiento & purificación , Listeriosis/epidemiología , Masculino , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Serotipificación , Suecia/epidemiología
7.
Euro Surveill ; 17(28)2012 Jul 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22835440

RESUMEN

Echinococcus multilocularis is a parasite that can cause alveolar echinococcosis disease. After the first positive finding of E. multilocularis in Sweden in 2011, a consulting group with representatives from relevant authorities was summoned. In this group, all relevant information was shared, strategies for information dissemination and any actions to be taken due to the finding of E. multilocularis were discussed and decided. The present paper describes the actions taken during 2011 and the results thereof, including surveillance in animals, risk assessment for humans to become infected and recommendations given to the public. Further discussion about whether the parasite was introduced, and if so, how, as well as possible future development of the infection in animals and humans in Sweden and future actions are included.


Asunto(s)
Equinococosis/veterinaria , Echinococcus multilocularis/aislamiento & purificación , Zorros/parasitología , Animales , Equinococosis/diagnóstico , Equinococosis/epidemiología , Equinococosis/transmisión , Helmintiasis Animal/epidemiología , Humanos , Prevalencia , Medición de Riesgo , Vigilancia de Guardia/veterinaria , Suecia/epidemiología
8.
Lett Appl Microbiol ; 50(3): 308-13, 2010 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20102508

RESUMEN

AIMS: To model the effect of water activity (a(w)) and concentration of undissociated lactic acid (HLac) on the time to growth (TTG) and the growth/no growth boundary of acid-adapted generic Escherichia coli, used as model organisms for Shiga toxin-producing E. coli (STEC). METHODS AND RESULTS: For each of two E. coli strains, the TTG in brain heart infusion broth at 27 degrees C was estimated at 30 combinations of a(w) (range 0.945-0.995) and concentration of HLac (range 0-6.9 mol m(-3)) by using an automated turbidity reader. Survival analysis was used to develop a model predicting the TTG and the growth/no growth boundary. CONCLUSIONS: The present model can be used to predict the TTG and to indicate the growth/no growth boundary of acid-adapted E. coli strains as a function of a(w) and concentration of HLac. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: Fermented food products have been implicated as sources of STEC in several outbreaks. The study results are relevant for modelling of growth of STEC in fermented food and can be used in microbiological risk assessments or in the design and validation of food-production processes.


Asunto(s)
Escherichia coli/crecimiento & desarrollo , Ácido Láctico/farmacología , Modelos Biológicos , Agua , Fenómenos Biológicos , Medios de Cultivo , Escherichia coli/efectos de los fármacos , Microbiología de Alimentos , Concentración de Iones de Hidrógeno , Escherichia coli Shiga-Toxigénica/crecimiento & desarrollo , Análisis de Supervivencia
9.
J Food Prot ; 70(8): 1790-7, 2007 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17803133

RESUMEN

This 13-month survey was conducted to estimate the prevalence and counts of foodborne pathogenic bacteria and indicator bacteria on swine carcasses in Sweden. A total of 541 swine carcasses were sampled by swabbing prechill at the 10 largest slaughterhouses in Sweden. Pathogenic Yersinia enterocolitica was detected by PCR in 16% of the samples. The probability of finding Y. enterocolitica increased with increasing counts of Escherichia coli. No samples were positive for Salmonella. The prevalences of Campylobacter, Listeria monocytogenes, and verocytotoxin-producing E. coli were low (1, 2, and 1%, respectively). None of the verocytotoxin-positive enrichments, as determined by a reverse passive latex agglutination assay, tested positive for the virulence genes eaeA or hlyA by PCR. Coagulase-positive staphylococci, E. coli, and Enterobacteriaceae were recovered from 30, 57, and 87% of the samples, respectively, usually at low levels (95th percentiles, 0.79, 1.09, and 1.30 log CFU/cm2, respectively). The mean log level of Enterobacteriaceae was 0.35 log CFU/cm2 higher than that of E. coli on carcasses positive for both bacteria. The mean log level of aerobic microorganisms was 3.48 log CFU/cm2, and the 95th percentile was 4.51 log CFU/cm2. These data may be useful for risk assessment purposes and can serve as a basis for risk management actions, such as the use of E. coli as an alternative indicator organism for process hygiene control.


Asunto(s)
Mataderos , Enterobacteriaceae/aislamiento & purificación , Escherichia coli/aislamiento & purificación , Contaminación de Alimentos/análisis , Porcinos/microbiología , Yersinia enterocolitica/aislamiento & purificación , Animales , Bacterias Aerobias , Campylobacter/aislamiento & purificación , Recuento de Colonia Microbiana , Seguridad de Productos para el Consumidor , Microbiología de Alimentos , Humanos , Listeria monocytogenes/aislamiento & purificación , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa/métodos , Prevalencia , Medición de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología
10.
J Food Prot ; 69(12): 2875-82, 2006 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17186653

RESUMEN

This 1-year study was conducted to estimate the prevalence and concentrations of pathogenic and indicator bacteria on Swedish broiler chickens. A total of 636 chilled carcasses were collected from 10 slaughterhouses and sent to the National Food Administration for analyses of carcass rinses. No carcasses were positive for Salmonella. Campylobacter, predominantly Campylobacter jejuni, were detected on 15% (by enrichment) or 14% (by direct plating) of the carcasses. With one exception, all samples from late December through April were Campylobacter negative. The 10th and 90th percentiles of Campylobacter numbers per carcasses were 3.0 and 5.0 log CFU, respectively, and the maximum was 7.1 log CFU. Coagulase-positive staphylococci were detected on 68% of the carcasses, with a maximum of 3.5 log CFU/cm2. The 10th and 90th percentiles were 3.4 and 4.4 log CFU/cm2 for total aerobic microorganisms, 1.8 and 3.3 log CFU/cm2 for Enterobacteriaceae, and 2.0 and 3.6 log CFU/cm2 for Escherichia coli. No correlation was found between numbers of any indicator bacteria and numbers of pathogenic bacteria. Subsets of the samples were analyzed for Listeria monocytogenes, Clostridium perfringens, pathogenic Yersinia enterocolitica, and Enterococcus, resulting in prevalence estimates of 29, 18, 9 (as determined by a PCR assay), and 97%, respectively. L. monocytogenes was most common at slaughterhouses with a low prevalence of coagulase-positive staphylococci, and vice versa. These results will improve the ability of researchers to assess the importance of chicken as a source of foodborne pathogens and can serve as a basis for risk management actions.


Asunto(s)
Mataderos , Bacterias Aerobias/aislamiento & purificación , Campylobacter/aislamiento & purificación , Pollos/microbiología , Contaminación de Alimentos/análisis , Mataderos/normas , Animales , Campylobacter jejuni/aislamiento & purificación , Recuento de Colonia Microbiana , Seguridad de Productos para el Consumidor , Enterobacteriaceae/aislamiento & purificación , Escherichia coli/aislamiento & purificación , Microbiología de Alimentos , Humanos , Salmonella/aislamiento & purificación , Staphylococcus/aislamiento & purificación , Suecia
11.
J Food Prot ; 69(12): 2902-7, 2006 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17186657

RESUMEN

The highly discriminatory genotyping methods now available for Campylobacter have enabled investigation of the diversity, origin, and route of transmission of this organism. In this study, we investigated the frequency of several genotypes of Campylobacter on chicken carcasses postchilling and on neck skin and cloacal swabs taken at slaughter. Campylobacter isolates recovered with and without enrichment from carcasses were subtyped by macrorestriction profiling. Subtyping 199 Campylobacter isolates from 36 carcasses revealed an average of 1.5 genotypes per carcass. The genotypes present on carcasses were, in most cases, also found in the cloacal samples taken at the beginning of the slaughter process. However, genotypes present on carcasses were, in some cases, not found in the corresponding cloacal samples but in cloacal samples of the preceding slaughter group and, in one case, from the preceding day. The genotypes present in cloacal samples were, with one exception, also found on the corresponding carcasses, indicating that most genotypes survive processing. In most cases, there was a difference of several bands between genotypes present in the same slaughter group, indicating different origins of the isolates rather than the occurrence of a recombination event. However, in two cases, a recombination event could have generated the difference in band patterns seen for two pairs of isolates with nearly identical band patterns, even after cleavage with a second restriction enzyme. The results indicate that individual Campylobacter-positive Swedish chicken carcasses, as well as whole carcass groups, are, in general, contaminated by one or two different genotypes.


Asunto(s)
Mataderos , Campylobacter/genética , Pollos/microbiología , Contaminación de Alimentos/análisis , Animales , Técnicas de Tipificación Bacteriana , Campylobacter/aislamiento & purificación , Campylobacter jejuni/aislamiento & purificación , Recuento de Colonia Microbiana , Seguridad de Productos para el Consumidor , Microbiología de Alimentos , Humanos , Prevalencia
12.
Appl Environ Microbiol ; 72(7): 4862-70, 2006 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16820481

RESUMEN

Turbidity methods offer possibilities for generating data required for addressing microorganism variability in risk modeling given that the results of these methods correspond to those of viable count methods. The objectives of this study were to identify the best approach for determining growth parameters based on turbidity data and use of a Bioscreen instrument and to characterize variability in growth parameters of 34 Staphylococcus aureus strains of different biotypes isolated from broiler carcasses. Growth parameters were estimated by fitting primary growth models to turbidity growth curves or to detection times of serially diluted cultures either directly or by using an analysis of variance (ANOVA) approach. The maximum specific growth rates in chicken broth at 17 degrees C estimated by time to detection methods were in good agreement with viable count estimates, whereas growth models (exponential and Richards) underestimated growth rates. Time to detection methods were selected for strain characterization. The variation of growth parameters among strains was best described by either the logistic or lognormal distribution, but definitive conclusions require a larger data set. The distribution of the physiological state parameter ranged from 0.01 to 0.92 and was not significantly different from a normal distribution. Strain variability was important, and the coefficient of variation of growth parameters was up to six times larger among strains than within strains. It is suggested to apply a time to detection (ANOVA) approach using turbidity measurements for convenient and accurate estimation of growth parameters. The results emphasize the need to consider implications of strain variability for predictive modeling and risk assessment.


Asunto(s)
Técnicas Bacteriológicas/métodos , Pollos/microbiología , Nefelometría y Turbidimetría/métodos , Staphylococcus aureus/clasificación , Staphylococcus aureus/crecimiento & desarrollo , Animales , Recuento de Colonia Microbiana , Medios de Cultivo
13.
J Food Prot ; 69(3): 495-9, 2006 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16541677

RESUMEN

Data from an ongoing national surveillance program of Campylobacter prevalence in broiler slaughter groups were related to results from a 1-year baseline study of broiler carcasses postchill. The goals were to establish the relation between Campylobacter prevalence in slaughter groups and on carcasses and to determine the effect of various chilling systems on Campylobacter prevalence. Pooled cloacal and neck skin samples from the surveillance program were analyzed after enrichment. Carcass rinse samples from the baseline study were analyzed after enrichment and by direct plating. Data from both studies were available for 614 carcasses. Direct-plating analyses indicated that the percentages of carcasses positive for Campylobacter jejuni and other Campylobacter spp. in slaughter groups with negative cloacal samples were 2 and 10%, respectively, whereas enrichment analyses indicated prevalences of 2% in both cases. Campylobacter prevalence in slaughter groups with a high degree of intestinal colonization (more than half of the pooled cloacal samples positive) was significantly higher than in slaughter groups with a low degree of colonization (76 to 85% and 30 to 50%, respectively, depending on Campylobacter spp. and analytical method). The prevalence of Campylobacter-positive carcasses postchill was at the same level as the prevalence of carcasses that originated from slaughter groups with positive neck skin samples at four of the six slaughterhouses. Only at one slaughterhouse, with an air-chilling system, was the postchill prevalence (13%) lower than that expected from slaughter group data (23%). The postchill prevalence (43%) was higher than that expected from slaughter group data (33%) at one slaughterhouse with immersion chilling.


Asunto(s)
Campylobacter/aislamiento & purificación , Pollos/microbiología , Frío , Contaminación de Alimentos/análisis , Manipulación de Alimentos/métodos , Mataderos , Animales , Campylobacter jejuni/aislamiento & purificación , Recuento de Colonia Microbiana , Microbiología de Alimentos , Prevalencia , Factores de Tiempo
14.
J Food Prot ; 67(11): 2570-7, 2004 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15553644

RESUMEN

The lack of data on consumer refrigeration temperatures and storage times limits our ability to assess and manage risks associated with microbial hazards. This study addressed these limitations by collecting data on temperatures and storage handling practices of chilled foods. Consumers from 102 households in Uppsala, Sweden, were instructed to purchase seven food items (minced meat, fresh herring fillets, soft cheese, milk, sliced cooked ham, vacuum-packed smoked salmon, and ready-to-eat salad) and to store them using their normal practices. They were interviewed the next day, and food temperatures were measured. In general, there were no significant relations between temperature and characteristics of the respondents (e.g., sex, age, education, age of the refrigerator). Mean storage temperatures ranged from 6.2 degrees C for minced meat to 7.4 degrees C for ready-to-eat salad. Maximum temperatures ranged from 11.3 to 18.2 degrees C. Data were not significantly different from a normal distribution, except for ready-to-eat salad, although distributions other than the normal fitted data better in most cases. Five percent to 20% of the food items were stored at temperatures above 10 degrees C. Most respondents knew the recommended maximum temperature, but less than one fourth claimed to know the temperature in their own refrigerator. Practical considerations usually determined where food was stored. For products with a long shelf life, stated storage times were different for opened and unopened packages. The current situation might be improved if consumers could be persuaded to use a thermometer to keep track of refrigerator temperature.


Asunto(s)
Seguridad de Productos para el Consumidor , Manipulación de Alimentos/métodos , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Refrigeración/normas , Adulto , Análisis de Varianza , Recolección de Datos , Femenino , Microbiología de Alimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Suecia , Temperatura , Factores de Tiempo
15.
J Appl Microbiol ; 97(3): 609-16, 2004.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15281942

RESUMEN

AIMS: To model the probability of exceeding the European legislative limit of 5 microg ochratoxin A (OTA) per kilogram grain in relation to Penicillium verrucosum levels and storage conditions, and to evaluate the possibilities of using P. verrucosum colony counts for predicting noncompliant OTA levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cereal samples were inoculated with P. verrucosum spores and stored for up to 9 months at temperatures and water activities ranging from 10-25 degrees C and aw 0.77-0.95. A logistic regression analysis showed that the probability of exceeding 5 microg OTA kg(-1) grain was related to colony counts of P. verrucosum and water activity. The sensitivity and specificity of various P. verrucosum count thresholds for predicting noncompliant OTA levels were estimated, using data from the storage trial and natural cereal samples. CONCLUSION: The risk of exceeding 5 microg OTA kg(-1) grain increased with increasing levels of P. verrucosum, and with increasing water activities. A threshold of 1000 CFU P. verrucosum per gram grain is suggested to predict whether or not the legislative limit is exceeded. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: This study has provided a tool to evaluate the levels of P. verrucosum in grain in relation to OTA levels. Hence, mycological analyses can be used to identify cereal samples with high risk of containing OTA levels above the legislative limit.


Asunto(s)
Grano Comestible/química , Manipulación de Alimentos/legislación & jurisprudencia , Ocratoxinas/análisis , Penicillium/aislamiento & purificación , Avena/química , Avena/microbiología , Carcinógenos/análisis , Recuento de Colonia Microbiana , Grano Comestible/microbiología , Europa (Continente) , Micotoxinas/análisis , Probabilidad , Triticum/química , Triticum/microbiología
16.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 7(3 Suppl): 588-92, 2001.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11485680

RESUMEN

Surveillance was enhanced and a retrospective interview study performed in 1998-99 to determine incidence, causes, and costs of foodborne illnesses in Uppsala, Sweden. Sixty-eight percent of the detected foodborne illness incidents were single cases, and 32% were outbreaks. Most (85%) of the incidents came to the attention of the municipal authorities through telephone calls from affected persons. Calicivirus, Campylobacter spp., and Staphyloccocus aureus were the most common etiological agents; meat, meat products, and mixed dishes were the most implicated food categories. The incidence of foodborne illness was estimated to be 38 cases per 1,000 inhabitants per year. The estimated average costs per illness were 2,164 Swedish Krona (SEK) ($246) to society and 500 SEK ($57) to the patient. The annual cost of foodborne illnesses in Sweden was estimated to be 1,082 million SEK ($123 million).


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/etiología , Adolescente , Infecciones Bacterianas/epidemiología , Infecciones Bacterianas/microbiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/economía , Humanos , Incidencia , Carne/microbiología , Productos de la Carne/microbiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Estudios Retrospectivos , Suecia/epidemiología , Población Urbana , Virosis/epidemiología , Virosis/virología
17.
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand ; 80(2): 137-41, 2001 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11167208

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The proportion of women who stop smoking during pregnancy has varied between 17 and 40% percent in Sweden with a tendency of lower prevalence in recent years. The aim of the present study was to examine the factors that might influence the ability to stop smoking during pregnancy. METHOD: One hundred and two women were interviewed shortly after their first visit to the antenatal clinic and a second time approximately one month after delivery. Two women who had late spontaneous abortions were excluded. The women were asked about background factors, smoking habits of their parents, smoking history and current smoking habits. The carbon monoxide in expiratory air was measured to verify reported smoking habits. RESULTS: Fifty-six of the 100 participating women had stopped smoking before the second interview. Having started smoking at an older age, having no previous children, smoking few cigarettes, a higher level of education, positive support from the partner and having lived with non-smoking parents were all associated with stopping smoking when tested as single factors. Reported smoking habits could be verified. Age, smoking habits of the partner, passive smoking at work, quality of sleep, general perceived health, length of sick-leave or amount of nausea were not correlated to stopping smoking. CONCLUSION: The presence of several factors found to influence stopping smoking during pregnancy, and the tendency for smoking habits to be passed over to the new generation, are reasons for comprehensive and individualized, anti-smoking support.


Asunto(s)
Embarazo/psicología , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/psicología , Factores de Edad , Actitud Frente a la Salud , Escolaridad , Familia , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Padres , Paridad , Sueño , Apoyo Social , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Suecia
18.
J Food Prot ; 63(10): 1315-20, 2000 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11041128

RESUMEN

Reports of foodborne disease incidents in Sweden from 1992 to 1997 are summarized. The results are based on reports from the municipal environmental and public health authorities to the National Food Administration and from medical authorities to the Swedish Institute for Infectious Diseases Control. A total of 555 incidents, of which 84% were outbreaks, were reported, involving 11,076 ill people. In 66% of the incidents, no disease agent was determined. Bacterial agents were implicated in 25% and viruses in 8% of the incidents. Calicivirus was the most reported agent both in terms of incidents and cases. Mixed dishes was the food category most often implicated in outbreaks, and smorgasbord and casserole or stews were the subcategories that caused the most cases. The place of consumption was unknown in 8% of the incidents. In about 60% of the incidents, the implicated food was consumed in commercial food establishments; in approximately 20% of incidents, it was consumed at home. The average annual incidence of reported foodborne disease in Sweden was estimated to be 21 cases per 100,000. The average annual incidence of reported foodborne salmonellosis and campylobacteriosis was estimated to be 2.0 and 0.6 cases per 100,000, respectively. The awareness and motivation to report foodborne diseases need to be improved, but additional sources of information are needed to counteract some of the limitations of reporting discussed in this work.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Contaminación de Alimentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Microbiología de Alimentos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Caliciviridae/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones por Caliciviridae/epidemiología , Infecciones por Campylobacter/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/microbiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Intoxicación Alimentaria por Salmonella/epidemiología , Suecia/epidemiología
19.
Int J Food Microbiol ; 58(3): 181-96, 2000 Jul 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10939268

RESUMEN

The objective of the present work was to develop a quantitative risk assessment model in which the exposure and risk of acquiring listeriosis from consumption of packaged smoked or gravad salmon and rainbow trout were estimated. An Excel spreadsheet model was constructed in which variables were represented by distributions based on surveys of L. monocytogenes in these food products, and on demographic and consumption data. Growth or inactivation was not included in the model. The model was run through Monte Carlo simulations using the @Risk software (Palisade Corporation). The probability of illness per serving was calculated using two dose-response models from the literature. The first was an exponential model in which the species specific constant R, that helps define the dose-response curve, previously has been estimated to be 1.18 x 10(-10) based on German data (GR). In this study, R was estimated to 5.6 x 10(-10) based on Swedish data. The second model was a flexible Weibull-Gamma model (WG), with different coefficients for high- and low-risk groups. The exponential model (GR), although conservative and generally overestimating the risk, still predicted a lower probability of illness than the WG-model. The estimated mean risk per serving was 2.8 x 10(-5) (GR, high-risk group), 2.0 x 10(-3) (WG, low-risk group) and 0.016 (WG, high-risk group), respectively. The average number of reported listeriosis cases in Sweden is 37 per year. In comparison, the mean number of annual cases predicted by the risk assessment model was 168 (range 47 to 2800, GR, high-risk group), and 95 000 (range 34 000 to 1.6 x 10(6), WG high-risk group), respectively. If 1 to 10% (uniform distribution) of strains, instead of all, were considered virulent, the mean number of predicted cases would decrease to nine (GR) and 5200 (WG), respectively. The mean annual cumulative individual risk in the high-risk group based on a monthly exposure was estimated to be 4.0 x 10(-4) (range 8.0 x 10(-8) to 5.4 x 10(-3), GR). This risk increased to 1.5 x 10(-3) (range 1.7 x 10(-5) to 9.2 x 10(-3), GR) based on a weekly exposure. The risk assessment model was most sensitive to the input distribution describing the level of contamination and to a lesser degree on the prevalence of L. monocytogenes, the proportion of virulent strains, and serving sizes. A lack of data on the prevalence and concentration of L. monocytogenes in these products, dose-response data and quantitative information on the proportion of virulent strains were identified.


Asunto(s)
Microbiología de Alimentos , Listeria monocytogenes/patogenicidad , Listeriosis , Oncorhynchus mykiss/microbiología , Medición de Riesgo , Salmón/microbiología , Animales , Simulación por Computador , Relación Dosis-Respuesta Inmunológica , Sustancias Peligrosas/normas , Humanos , Listeria monocytogenes/crecimiento & desarrollo , Listeria monocytogenes/inmunología , Listeriosis/diagnóstico , Listeriosis/epidemiología , Listeriosis/terapia , Modelos Biológicos , Método de Montecarlo , Prevalencia , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Medición de Riesgo/normas , Suecia/epidemiología
20.
J Adv Nurs ; 31(6): 1398-408, 2000 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10849152

RESUMEN

In the study reported here 55 spouses of patients living with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) were investigated with respect to coping strategies and health-related quality of life. Findings from the study were compared to two random samples of the Swedish general population (n = 454, and n = 1200). The study design was correlational and comparative. Coping was measured by the Jalowiec Coping Scale, and quality of life (QoL) by the Swedish Health-Related Quality of Life Survey (SWED-QUAL). Data were analysed using a number of statistical tests including Pearson's product moment correlations, Student's t-test and two way ANOVAs. The combined sample of spouses used significantly more optimistic and palliative coping than the general population, but less confrontative, self-reliant, evasive and emotive coping. In the study fatalistic, evasive and emotive coping was associated with low perceived efficiency in handling various aspects of the partners' situation. The male spouses used significantly less optimistic, supportive and palliative coping than did the female spouses. The spouses of transplant patients had better overall quality of life than the continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis and haemodialysis spouse groups, most likely due to the lower age of the former group. The study findings suggest that emotive, evasive and fatalistic coping are less than optimal ways to deal with problems occasioned by the partner's treatment.


Asunto(s)
Adaptación Psicológica , Cuidadores/psicología , Fallo Renal Crónico/enfermería , Fallo Renal Crónico/psicología , Calidad de Vida , Esposos/psicología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Análisis de Varianza , Femenino , Humanos , Trasplante de Riñón/enfermería , Trasplante de Riñón/psicología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diálisis Peritoneal Ambulatoria Continua/enfermería , Diálisis Peritoneal Ambulatoria Continua/psicología , Diálisis Renal/enfermería , Diálisis Renal/psicología
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