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Intervención en la Crisis (Psiquiatría) , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Conducta Autodestructiva , Intento de Suicidio , Humanos , Intento de Suicidio/psicología , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Intervención en la Crisis (Psiquiatría)/métodos , Conducta Autodestructiva/terapia , Conducta Autodestructiva/psicología , Adulto , MasculinoRESUMEN
Cellular electrophysiology is the foundation of many fields, from basic science in neurology, cardiology, oncology to safety critical applications for drug safety testing, clinical phenotyping, etc. Patch-clamp voltage clamp is the gold standard technique for studying cellular electrophysiology. Yet, the quality of these experiments is not always transparent, which may lead to erroneous conclusions for studies and applications. Here, we have developed a new computational approach that allows us to explain and predict the experimental artefacts in voltage-clamp experiments. The computational model captures the experimental procedure and its inadequacies, including: voltage offset, series resistance, membrane capacitance and (imperfect) amplifier compensations, such as series resistance compensation and supercharging. The computational model was validated through a series of electrical model cell experiments. Using this computational approach, the artefacts in voltage-clamp experiments of cardiac fast sodium current, one of the most challenging currents to voltage clamp, were able to be resolved and explained through coupling the observed current and the simulated membrane voltage, including some typically observed shifts and delays in the recorded currents. We further demonstrated that the typical way of averaging data for current-voltage relationships would lead to biases in the peak current and shifts in the peak voltage, and such biases can be in the same order of magnitude as those differences reported for disease-causing mutations. Therefore, the presented new computational pipeline will provide a new standard of assessing the voltage-clamp experiments and interpreting the experimental data, which may be able to rectify and provide a better understanding of ion channel mutations and other related applications.
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OBJECTIVE: Traumatic brain injuries (TBI), irrespective of severity, may have long-term social implications. This study explores the relationships between TBI severity and outcomes related to work stability, divorce, and academic achievement. METHODS: Using a Danish nationwide sample of persons with and without TBI, we employed case-control and longitudinal cohort designs. The case-control design utilized individuals aged 18 to 60 years and examined work stability. Each case, employed at time of TBI, was compared with 10 matched controls. The cohort design utilized individuals alive from 1980 to 2016 with and without TBI and assessed the likelihood of 1) divorce and 2) higher-level education. TBI exposures included concussion, skull fractures, or confirmed TBI. RESULTS: TBI cases exhibited higher odds ratios (OR) for work instability at all follow-ups compared to controls. Increased TBI severity was associated with a higher risk of work instability at 2-year follow-up (concussion: OR = 1.83; skull fracture: OR = 2.22; confirmed TBI: OR = 4.55), and with a higher risk of not working at 10-year follow-up (confirmed TBI: OR = 2.82; concussion: OR = 1.63). The divorce incidence rate ratio (IRR) was elevated in individuals with TBI (males: IRR = 1.52; females: IRR = 1.48) compared to those without TBI. Individuals with childhood TBI had reduced chances of attaining high school degree or higher (males: IRR = 0.79; females: IRR = 0.85) compared to those without TBI. CONCLUSION: TBI is associated with an increased long-term risk of social consequences, including work instability, divorce, and diminished chances of higher education, even in cases with concussion.
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Éxito Académico , Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo , Divorcio , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Divorcio/estadística & datos numéricos , Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo/epidemiología , Adulto , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Longitudinales , Adolescente , Empleo/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Hospital records are used to identify suicide attempts in many countries but not all individuals present to hospital after a suicide attempt i.e., suggesting a 'hidden number'. Our aim was to present the prevalence of suicide ideation, plans, attempts, and suicides among Danish adolescents, including attempts not resulting in hospital contact. The study population consisted of participants in the Danish National Birth Cohort participating in an 18-year follow-up, with individual-level linkage to national register data. Prevalence was estimated with a variable with mutually exclusive categories ranging from no suicidality to self-reported suicide ideation, -plans, -attempt and hospital-recorded suicide attempt and stratified on sex and parental income. The 'hidden number' was estimated as the ratio between suicide attempts with and without hospital contact. Among 47 858 participants, all aged 18-years, 36% girls and 28% boys reported suicide ideation at least once in their life. In addition, 6% girls and 3% boys had either reported or been recorded with a suicide attempt. For every attempt recorded in the hospital setting, two girls (ratio, 1:2) and six boys (ratio, 1:6) reported having attempted suicide without hospital contact. The prevalence of any suicide attempt was 8% and 3% in the lowest and highest income group, respectively. Before age 18, 0·011% girls and 0·016% boys had died by suicide. In conclusion, suicidal ideation and behaviour are common in adolescents and there is a substantial 'hidden number' of adolescents with suicide attempt. These results emphasize the need for early age suicide preventive interventions in community-settings e.g., school environments.
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Step-down oral antibiotic therapy is associated with a non-inferior long-term outcome compared with continued intravenous antibiotic therapy in the treatment of left-sided infective endocarditis. We aimed to analyze whether step-down oral therapy compared with continued intravenous antibiotic therapy is also associated with a non-inferior outcome in patients with large vegetations (vegetation length ≥ 10 mm) or among patients who underwent surgery before step-down oral therapy. We included patients without presence of aortic root abscess at diagnosis from the POET (Partial Oral Antibiotic Endocarditis Treatment) study. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to find associations between large vegetation, cardiac surgery, step-down oral therapy, and the primary end point (composite of all-cause mortality, unplanned cardiac surgery, embolic event, or relapse of positive blood cultures during follow-up). A total of 368 patients (age 68 ± 12, 77% men) were included. Patients with large vegetations (n = 124) were more likely to undergo surgery compared with patients with small vegetations (n = 244) (65% vs 20%, p <0.001). During a median 1,406 days of follow-up, 146 patients reached the primary end point. Large vegetations were not associated with the primary end point (hazard ratio 0.74, 95% confidence interval 0.47 to 1.18, p = 0.21). Step-down oral therapy was non-inferior to continued intravenous antibiotic in all subgroups when stratified by the presence of a large vegetation at baseline and early cardiac surgery. Step-down oral therapy is safe in the presence of a large vegetation at diagnosis and among patients who underwent early cardiac surgery.
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Antibacterianos , Endocarditis Bacteriana , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Antibacterianos/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Administración Oral , Endocarditis Bacteriana/tratamiento farmacológico , Resultado del Tratamiento , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Seguimiento , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Cardíacos , Administración IntravenosaRESUMEN
Human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (iPSC-CMs) offer potential as an in vitro model for studying drug cardiotoxicity and patient-specific cardiovascular disease. The inherent electrophysiological heterogeneity of these cells limits the depth of insights that can be drawn from well-designed experiments. In this review, we provide our perspective on some sources and the consequences of iPSC-CM heterogeneity. We demonstrate the extent of heterogeneity in the literature and explain how such heterogeneity is exacerbated by patch-clamp experimental artifacts in the manual and automated set-up. Finally, we discuss how this heterogeneity, caused by both intrinsic and extrinsic factors, limits our ability to build digital twins of patient-derived cardiomyocytes.
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All new drugs must go through preclinical screening tests to determine their proarrhythmic potential. While these assays effectively filter out dangerous drugs, they are too conservative, often misclassifying safe compounds as proarrhythmic. In this study, we attempt to address this shortcoming with a novel, medium-throughput drug-screening approach: we use an automated patch-clamp system to acquire optimized voltage clamp (VC) and action potential (AP) data from human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (iPSC-CMs) at several drug concentrations (baseline, 3×, 10× and 20× the effective free plasma concentrations). With our novel method, we show correlations between INa block and upstroke slowing after treatment with flecainide or quinine. Additionally, after quinine treatment, we identify significant reductions in current during voltage steps designed to isolate If and IKs. However, we do not detect any IKr block by either drug, and upon further investigation, do not see any IKr present in the iPSC-CMs when prepared for automated patch experiments (i.e. in suspension) - this is in contrast to similar experiments we have conducted with these cells using the manual patch setup. In this study, we: (1) present a proof-of-concept demonstration of a single-cell medium-throughput drug study, and (2) characterize the non-canonical electrophysiology of iPSC-CMs when prepared for experiments in a medium-throughput setting. KEY POINTS: Human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (iPSC-CMs) offer potential as an in vitro model to study the proarrhythmic potential of drugs, but insights from these cells are often limited by the low throughput of manual patch-clamp. In this study, we use a medium-throughput automated patch-clamp system to acquire action potential (AP) and complex voltage clamp (VC) data from single iPSC-CMs at multiple drug concentrations. A correlation between AP upstroke and INa transients was identified and drug-induced changes in ionic currents found. We also characterize the substantially altered physiology of iPSC-CMs when patched in an automated system, suggesting the need to investigate differences between manual and automated patch experiments.
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AIMS: The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate the effects of family-based health promotion interventions on child-level risk factors for type 2 diabetes in vulnerable families. METHODS: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist for systematic reviews formed the methodological framework. CINAHL, Embase, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, and Web of Science were searched on January 12, 2024. The NTP-OHAT Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess the risk of bias in the individual studies, and meta-analyses were performed. RESULTS: The 4723 studies were identified, and 55 studies met the inclusion criteria. Results showed significant effects on children's body mass index (mean difference [MD], -0.18, 95% CI [-0.33 to -0.03], p = 0.02), body fat percentage (MD, -2.00, 95% CI [-3.31 to -0.69], p = 0.003), daily activity (standardized mean difference [SMD], 0.23, 95% CI [0.01; 0.44], p = 0.04), physical activity self-efficacy (SMD, 0.73, 95% CI [0.36 to 1.10], p < 0.01), intake of snacks (MD, -0.10, 95% CI [-0.17 to -0.04], p = 0.002), and sugar-sweetened beverages (SMD, -0.21, 95% CI [-0.42 to -0.01], p = 0.04). Subgroup analyses suggested that interventions aiming to change child and parent behavior simultaneously have larger effect on fasting glucose and nutrition consumption, and that interventions longer than 26 weeks have larger effects on body composition and physical activity behavior than shorter interventions.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Promoción de la Salud , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevención & control , Niño , Promoción de la Salud/métodos , Ejercicio Físico , Obesidad Infantil/prevención & control , Índice de Masa CorporalRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Despite young children's widespread use of mobile devices, little research exists on this use and its association with children's language development. The aim of this study was to examine the associations between mobile device screen time and language comprehension and expressive language skills. An additional aim was to examine whether three factors related to the domestic learning environment modify the associations. METHODS: The study uses data from the Danish large-scale survey TRACES among two- and three-year-old children (n = 31,125). Mobile device screen time was measured as time spent on mobile devices on a normal day. Measurement of language comprehension and expressive language skills was based on subscales from the Five to Fifteen Toddlers questionnaire. Multivariable linear regression was used to examine the association between child mobile device screen time and language development and logistic regression to examine the risk of experiencing significant language difficulties. Joint exposure analyses were used to examine the association between child mobile device screen time and language development difficulties in combination with three other factors related to the domestic learning environment: parental education, reading to the child and child TV/PC screen time. RESULTS: High mobile device screen time of one hour or more per day was significantly associated with poorer language development scores and higher odds for both language comprehension difficulties (1-2 h: AOR = 1.30; ≥ 2 h: AOR = 1.42) and expressive language skills difficulties (1-2 h: AOR = 1.19; ≥ 2 h: AOR = 1.46). The results suggest that reading frequently to the child partly buffers the negative effect of high mobile device screen time on language comprehension difficulties but not on expressive language skills difficulties. No modifying effect of parental education and time spent by the child on TV/PC was found. CONCLUSIONS: Mobile device screen time of one hour or more per day is associated with poorer language development among toddlers. Reading frequently to the child may have a buffering effect on language comprehension difficulties but not on expressive language skills difficulties.
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Trastornos del Desarrollo del Lenguaje , Tiempo de Pantalla , Humanos , Preescolar , Trastornos del Desarrollo del Lenguaje/epidemiología , Desarrollo del Lenguaje , Computadoras de Mano , Encuestas y CuestionariosRESUMEN
Human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (iPSC-CMs) are a promising tool to study arrhythmia-related factors, but the variability of action potential (AP) recordings from these cells limits their use as an in vitro model. In this study, we use recently published brief (10 s), dynamic voltage-clamp (VC) data to provide mechanistic insights into the ionic currents contributing to AP heterogeneity; we call this approach rapid ionic current phenotyping (RICP). Features of this VC data were correlated to AP recordings from the same cells, and we used computational models to generate mechanistic insights into cellular heterogeneity. This analysis uncovered several interesting links between AP morphology and ionic current density: both L-type calcium and sodium currents contribute to upstroke velocity, rapid delayed rectifier K+ current is the main determinant of the maximal diastolic potential, and an outward current in the activation range of slow delayed rectifier K+ is the main determinant of AP duration. Our analysis also identified an outward current in several cells at 6 mV that is not reproduced by iPSC-CM mathematical models but contributes to determining AP duration. RICP can be used to explain how cell-to-cell variability in ionic currents gives rise to AP heterogeneity. Because of its brief duration (10 s) and ease of data interpretation, we recommend the use of RICP for single-cell patch-clamp experiments that include the acquisition of APs.NEW & NOTEWORTHY We present rapid ionic current phenotyping (RICP), a current quantification approach based on an optimized voltage-clamp protocol. The method captures a rich snapshot of the ionic current dynamics, providing quantitative information about multiple currents (e.g., ICa,L, IKr) in the same cell. The protocol helped to identify key ionic determinants of cellular action potential heterogeneity in iPSC-CMs. This included unexpected results, such as the critical role of IKr in establishing the maximum diastolic potential.
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Células Madre Pluripotentes Inducidas , Miocitos Cardíacos , Humanos , Miocitos Cardíacos/metabolismo , Potenciales de Acción/fisiología , Arritmias Cardíacas/metabolismo , Transporte IónicoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: With aging populations worldwide, identification of predictors of age-related cognitive decline is becoming increasingly important. The Danish Aging and Cognition Cohort (DanACo) including more than 5000 Danish men was established to investigate predictors of age-related cognitive decline from young adulthood to late mid-life. CONSTRUCTION AND CONTENT: The DanACo cohort was established through two separate data collections with identical designs involving a follow-up examination in late mid-life of men for whom intelligence test scores were available from their mandatory conscription board examination. The cohort consists of 5,183 men born from 1949 through 1961, with a mean age of 20.4 years at baseline and a mean age of 64.4 years at follow-up. The baseline measures consisted of height, weight, intelligence test score and educational level collected at the conscription board examination. The follow-up assessment consisted of a re-administration of the same intelligence test and a comprehensive questionnaire covering socio-demographic factors, lifestyle, and health-related factors. The data were collected in test sessions with up to 24 participants per session. Using the unique personal identification number assigned to all Danes, the cohort has been linked to data from national administrative and health registers for prospectively collected data on socioeconomic and health-related factors. UTILITY AND DISCUSSION: The DanACo cohort has some major strengths compared to existing cognitive aging cohorts such as a large sample size (n = 5,183 men), a validated global measure of cognitive ability, a long retest interval (mean 44.0 years) and the availability of prospectively collected data from registries as well as comprehensive questionnaire data. The main weakness is the low participation rate (14.3%) and that the cohort consists of men only. CONCLUSION: Cognitive decline is a result of a summary of factors across the life-course. The DanACo cohort is characterized by a long retest interval and contains data on a wealth of factors across adult life which is essential to establish evidence on predictors of cognitive decline. Moreover, the size of the cohort ensures sufficient statistical power to identify even relatively weak predictors of cognitive decline.
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Envejecimiento , Cognición , Pueblos Nórdicos y Escandinávicos , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Joven , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Pruebas de Inteligencia , Persona de Mediana EdadRESUMEN
Recent research suggests a link between air pollution and cognitive development in children, and studies on air pollution and academic achievement are emerging. We conducted a nationwide cohort study in Denmark to explore the associations between lifetime exposure to air pollution and academic performance in 9th grade. The study encompassed 785,312 children born in Denmark between 1989 and 2005, all of whom completed 9th-grade exit examinations. Using linear mixed models with a random intercept for each school, we assessed the relationship between 16 years of exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and gaseous pollutants and Grade Point Averages (GPA) in exit examinations, covering subjects such as Danish literature, Danish writing, English, mathematics, and natural sciences. The study revealed that a 5 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with a decrease of 0.99 (95 % Confidence Intervals: -1.05, -0.92) and 0.46 (-0.50, -0.41) in GPA, respectively. Notably, these negative associations were more pronounced in mathematics and natural sciences compared to language-related subjects. Additionally, girls and children with non-Danish mothers were found to be particularly susceptible to the adverse effects of air pollution exposure. These results underscore the potential long-term consequences of air pollution on academic achievement, emphasizing the significance of interventions that foster healthier environments for children's cognitive development.
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Éxito Académico , Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Dinamarca , Dióxido de NitrógenoRESUMEN
Cardiac ion currents may compensate for each other when one is compromised by a congenital or drug-induced defect. Such redundancy contributes to a robust repolarization reserve that can prevent the development of lethal arrhythmias. Most efforts made to describe this phenomenon have quantified contributions by individual ion currents. However, it is important to understand the interplay between all major ion-channel conductances, as repolarization reserve is dependent on the balance between all ion currents in a cardiomyocyte. Here, a genetic algorithm was designed to derive profiles of nine ion-channel conductances that optimize repolarization reserve in a mathematical cardiomyocyte model. Repolarization reserve was quantified using a previously defined metric, repolarization reserve current, i.e., the minimum constant current to prevent normal action potential repolarization in a cell. The optimization improved repolarization reserve current up to 84% compared to baseline in a human adult ventricular myocyte model and increased resistance to arrhythmogenic insult. The optimized conductance profiles were not only characterized by increased repolarizing current conductances but also uncovered a previously unreported behavior by the late sodium current. Simulations demonstrated that upregulated late sodium increased action potential duration, without compromising repolarization reserve current. The finding was generalized to multiple models. Ultimately, this computational approach, in which multiple currents were studied simultaneously, illuminated mechanistic insights into how the metric's magnitude could be increased and allowed for the unexpected role of late sodium to be elucidated.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Genetic algorithms are typically used to fit models or extract desired parameters from data. Here, we use the tool to produce a ventricular cardiomyocyte model with increased repolarization reserve. Since arrhythmia mitigation is dependent on multiple cardiac ion-channel conductances, study using a comprehensive, unbiased, and systems-level approach is important. The use of this optimization strategy allowed us to find robust profiles that illuminated unexpected mechanistic determinants of key ion-channel conductances in repolarization reserve.
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Arritmias Cardíacas , Miocitos Cardíacos , Adulto , Humanos , Miocitos Cardíacos/metabolismo , Canales Iónicos , Ventrículos Cardíacos , Sodio/metabolismo , Potenciales de AcciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Pulmonary arteriovenous malformations (PAVMs) may cause recurrent brain abscess. The primary aim was to determine the prevalence of PAVM amongst survivors of brain abscess. The proportion with cardiac right-to-left shunts was also assessed post hoc. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional population-based study of adult (≥18 years) survivors of cryptogenic bacterial brain abscess in Denmark from 2007 through 2016. Patients were invited for bubble-echocardiography to detect vascular right-to-left shunting and, if abnormal, subsequent computed tomography thorax for diagnosis of PAVM. Data are presented as n/N (%) or median with interquartile range (IQR). RESULTS: Study participation was accepted by 47/157 (30%) eligible patients amongst whom two did not appear for scheduled bubble-echocardiography. The median age of participants was 54 years (IQR 45-62) and 19/57 (33%) were females compared with 59 years (IQR 48-68, p = 0.05) and 41/85 females (48%, p = 0.22) in non-participants. Bubble-echocardiography was suggestive of shunt in 10/45 (22%) participants and PAVM was subsequently confirmed by computed tomography in one patient with grade 1 shunting. The corresponding prevalence of PAVM was 2% (95% confidence interval 0.06-11.8) amongst all examined participants. Another 9/45 (20%) were diagnosed with patent in persistent foramen ovale (n = 8) or atrial septum defect (n = 1), which is comparable with the overall prevalence of 25% amongst adults in the Danish background population. CONCLUSIONS: Undiagnosed PAVM amongst adult survivors of cryptogenic bacterial brain abscess is rare but may be considered in select patients. The prevalence of cardiac right-to-left shunts amongst brain abscess patients corresponds to the prevalence in the general population.
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Fístula Arteriovenosa , Malformaciones Arteriovenosas , Absceso Encefálico , Arteria Pulmonar/anomalías , Venas Pulmonares/anomalías , Telangiectasia Hemorrágica Hereditaria , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Telangiectasia Hemorrágica Hereditaria/diagnóstico , Telangiectasia Hemorrágica Hereditaria/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Malformaciones Arteriovenosas/diagnóstico , Malformaciones Arteriovenosas/etiología , Absceso Encefálico/complicaciones , Absceso Encefálico/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: The risk of suicidal behavior after discharge from psychiatric admission is high. The aim of this study was to examine whether the SAFE intervention, an implementation of a systematic safer discharge procedure, was associated with a reduction in suicidal behavior after discharge. METHODS: The SAFE intervention was implemented at Mental Health Center Copenhagen in March 2018 and consisted of three systematic discharge procedures: (1) A face-to-face meeting between patient and outpatient staff prior to discharge, (2) A face-to-face meeting within the first week after discharge, and (3) Involvement of relatives. Risk of suicide attempt at six-month post-discharge among patients discharged from the SAFE intervention was compared with patients discharged from comparison mental health centers using propensity score matching. RESULTS: 7604 discharges took place at the intervention site, which were 1:1 matched with discharges from comparison sites. During the six months of follow-up, a total of 570 suicide attempts and 25 suicides occurred. The rate of suicide attempt was 11,652 per 100,000 person-years at the SAFE site, while it was 10,530 at comparisons sites. No observable difference in suicide attempt 1.10 (95% CI: 0.89-1.35) or death by suicide (OR = 1.27; 95% CI:0.58-2.81) was found between sites at 6-month follow-up. CONCLUSION: No difference in suicidal behavior between the sites was found in this pragmatic study. High rates of suicidal behavior were found during the 6-months discharge period, which could suggest that a preventive intervention should include support over a longer post-discharge period than the one-week follow-up offered in the SAFE intervention.
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INTRODUCTION: To develop machine learning models capable of predicting suicide and non-fatal suicide attempt as separate outcomes in the first 30 days after discharge from a psychiatric inpatient stay. METHODS: Prospective cohort study using nationwide Danish registry data. We included individuals who were 18 years or older, and all discharges from psychiatric hospitalizations in Denmark from 1995 to 2018. We trained predictive models using 10-fold cross validation on 80% of the data and did testing on the remaining 20%. RESULTS: The best model for predicting non-fatal suicide attempt was an ensemble of predictions from gradient boosting (XGBoost) and categorical boosting (catBoost). The ROC-AUC for predicting suicide attempt was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.84-0.85). At a risk threshold of 4.36%, positive predictive value (PPV) was 11.0% and sensitivity was 47.2%. The best model for predicting suicide was an ensemble of predictions from random forest, XGBoost and catBoost. For suicide, the ROC-AUC was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.70-0.73). At a risk threshold of 0.15%, PPV was 0.34% and sensitivity was 56.0%. The most contributing predictors differed when predicting suicide and suicide attempt, indicating that separate models are needed. The ensemble model was fair across sex and age, and more so than the penalized logistic regression model. CONCLUSIONS: We achieved good performance for predicting suicide attempts and demonstrated a clinical application of ensemble models. Our results indicate a difference in predictive performance for models predicting suicide and suicide attempt, respectively. Thus, we recommend that suicide and suicide attempt are treated as two separate endpoints, in particular for clinical application. We demonstrated that the ensemble model is fairer across sex and age compared with a penalized logistic regression, and therefore we recommend the use of well-tested ensembles despite a more complex explainability.
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Alta del Paciente , Intento de Suicidio , Humanos , Intento de Suicidio/psicología , Estudios Prospectivos , Pacientes Internos , Aprendizaje Automático , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: An estimated 41,000 lives are lost to suicide each year in World Health Organization Eastern Mediterranean Region Office (WHO EMRO) countries. The objective of this study was to conduct a situation analysis for suicide and self-harm in the WHO EMRO region. METHODS: Data on suicide were obtained from the WHO Global Health Estimates for the years 2000-2019. Information on risk groups efforts to prevent self-harm and suicide in the EMRO region were retrieved through scientific studies, grey literature, and public websites. RESULTS: During 2000-2019, the age-standardized suicide rate was 6.7 per 100,000 inhabitants, albeit there are concerns regarding data quality. Self-harm and suicide remain criminal acts in more than half of the countries. Few countries have a national plan for prevention of suicide. Toxic agents, such as pesticides and black henna, are easily available and frequently used for suicide in some areas, as are firearms and self-immolation. Successful prevention measures include means restriction and psychosocial interventions after self-harm. CONCLUSION: Many WHO EMRO countries remain underserved in terms of mental health care. Decriminalization of suicide and means restriction might be further promoted. Online-based tools for mental health literacy and psychosocial therapy are other options to explore.
Suicidal behavior remains a criminal act in more than half of the WHO EMRO countries.Easily available toxic agents, such as pesticides and black henna, and firearms are common methods used for suicidal behavior in the WHO EMRO countries.Access to mental health care is limited in many of the WHO EMRO countries.Online-based psychoeducation and psychosocial intervention programs might be further explored as preventive efforts.
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BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend that relatives of index patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are offered clinical investigations to identify individuals at risk of adverse disease complications and sudden cardiac death. However, the value of family screening in relatives of index patients with a normal genetic investigation of recognized HCM genes is largely unknown. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to perform family screening among relatives of HCM index patients with a normal genetic investigation to establish the frequency of familial disease and the clinical characteristics of affected individuals. METHODS: Clinical and genetic investigations were performed in consecutive and unrelated HCM index patients. Relatives of index patients who did not carry pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants in recognized HCM genes were invited for clinical investigations. RESULTS: In total, 60% (270 of 453) of HCM index patients had a normal genetic investigation. A total of 80% of their relatives (751 of 938, median age 44 years) participated in the study. Of these, 5% (34 of 751) were diagnosed with HCM at baseline, whereas 0.3% (2 of 717 [751-34]) developed the condition during 5 years of follow-up. Their median age at diagnosis was 57 years (IQR: 51-70 years). Two-thirds (22 of 36) were diagnosed following family screening, whereas one-third (14 of 36) had been diagnosed previously because of cardiac symptoms, a murmur, or an abnormal electrocardiogram. None of the affected relatives experienced adverse disease complications. The risk of SCD was low. CONCLUSIONS: Systematic family screening of index patients with HCM and normal genetic investigations was associated with a low frequency of affected relatives who appeared to have a favorable prognosis.
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Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica , Pruebas Genéticas , Humanos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/diagnóstico , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/epidemiología , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/genética , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiología , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/etiología , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/prevención & control , PronósticoRESUMEN
This study aimed to identify the 20-year trajectories of positive and negative symptoms after the first psychotic episode in a sample of patients with an ICD-10 diagnosis of schizophrenia spectrum disorder, and to investigate the baseline characteristics and long-term outcomes associated with these trajectories. A total of 373 participants in the OPUS trial were included in the study. Symptoms were assessed at baseline and after 1, 2, 5, 10 and 20 years using the Scales for the Assessment of Positive and Negative Symptoms. We used latent class growth mixture modelling to identify trajectories, and multinominal regression analyses to investigate predictors of membership to identified trajectories. Five trajectories of positive symptoms were identified: early continuous remission (50.9% of the sample), stable improvement (18.0%), intermittent symptoms (10.2%), relapse with moderate symptoms (11.9%), and continuous severe symptoms (9.1%). Substance use disorder (odds ratio, OR: 2.83, 95% CI: 1.09-7.38, p=0.033), longer duration of untreated psychosis (OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.03, p=0.007) and higher level of negative symptoms (OR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.07-2.39, p=0.021) were predictors of the relapse with moderate symptoms trajectory, while only longer duration of untreated psychosis (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02, p=0.030) predicted membership to the continuous severe symptoms trajectory. Two trajectories of negative symptoms were identified: symptom remission (51.0%) and continuous symptoms (49.0%). Predictors of the continuous symptoms trajectory were male sex (OR: 3.03, 95% CI: 1.48-6.02, p=0.002) and longer duration of untreated psychosis (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02, p=0.034). Trajectories displaying continuous positive and negative symptoms were linked to lower neurocognition, as measured by the Brief Assessment of Cognition in Schizophrenia (BACS) (z-score: -0.78, CI: -1.39 to -0.17, for continuous positive symptoms; z-score: -0.33, CI: -0.53 to -0.13, for continuous negative symptoms). The same trajectories were also linked to higher use of antipsychotic medication at 20-year follow-up (continuous positive symptoms: 78%; continuous negative symptoms: 67%). These findings suggest that the majority of patients with first-episode schizophrenia spectrum disorder have a trajectory with early stable remission of positive symptoms. Long duration of untreated psychosis and comorbid substance abuse are modifiable predictors of poor trajectories for positive symptoms in these patients. In about half of patients, negative symptoms do not improve over time. These symptoms, in addition to being associated with poor social and neurocognitive functioning, may prevent patients from seeking help.