From Optional to Default　- Enhancing Article Viewership Through X (Formerly Twitter) Posting.

Background: The influence of a change to a default X summary posting strategy on article viewership has not been investigated. Methods and Results: We conducted a retrospective analysis of X-posting rates and journal viewership data for both the Circulation Journal and Circulation Reports from April 2022 to September 2023. Following protocol modifications in March 2023, there was a notable increase in the X-posting rate from 12.4% to 61.7%, along with an uptick in median access counts to article pages within 30 days, from 175 to 231.5. Conclusions: Trend analysis of journal viewership after a default X-posting strategy revealed an increase in viewer access.

The association between serum cholesterol levels and mild-to-moderate cognitive impairment in the Suita Study and evidence from other epidemiological studies.

BACKGROUND: Serum cholesterols are well-documented markers of cardiovascular diseases; however, their association with cognitive well-being is uncertain. This study investigated the association between serum cholesterol levels and mild-to-moderate cognitive impairment. METHODS: Epidemiological evidence on the role of total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC), non-HDL-C, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in cognitive impairment was highlighted. Then, data from 6216 Japanese individuals, aged ≥50 years, from the Suita Study were analyzed. Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores <27 and < 24 were used to define cognitive impairment. Logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CIs) for cognitive impairment. RESULTS: Epidemiological studies investigating the association between serum cholesterol and cognitive impairment have shown conflicting findings: elevated risk with certain lipid components in some studies and no association in others. In the Suita Study, HDL-C < 40 mg/dL was associated with cognitive impairment: ORs (95 % CIs) = 1.36 (1.08, 1.72) for MMSE <27 and 1.61 (1.00, 2.60) for MMSE <24. Non-HDL-C ≥ 200 mg/dL was also associated with cognitive impairment: ORs (95 % CIs) = 1.53 (1.02, 2.31) for MMSE <27 and 1.80 (1.16, 2.79) for MMSE <24. No such associations were detected with TC. CONCLUSION: While epidemiological evidence remains inconsistent, the Suita Study showed that decreased HDL-C and increased non-HDL-C, but not increased TC, were associated with mild-to-moderate cognitive impairment. Management of serum cholesterol levels should be considered to prevent cognitive impairment.

The association between antenatal coffee consumption and preeclampsia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: A growing body of evidence has documented unfavorable maternal outcomes attributed to excessive antenatal coffee consumption. Preeclampsia is one of the most common hypertensive disorders of pregnancy with several adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. However, the association between antenatal coffee consumption and preeclampsia remains debatable. Herein, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of available evidence to investigate this association. METHODS: After systematically reviewing PubMed and Scopus for eligible studies published until October 2023, we pooled the odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of preeclampsia for women who reported the highest versus the lowest frequencies of antenatal coffee consumption. We used the I2 statistic to measure heterogeneity across studies and the funnel plot asymmetry to assess publication bias. RESULTS: This meta-analysis included seven retrospective studies (six case-control studies and one cross-sectional study) investigating 904 women with preeclampsia and 6,257 women without it. Combined, the highest frequencies of antenatal coffee consumption were associated with higher odds of preeclampsia: (pooled OR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.86), with a moderate heterogeneity across studies (I2 = 40.34% and p-value for heterogeneity = 0.122) and no publication bias (z = 0.610 and p-value for publication bias = 0.542). However, excluding the cross-sectional study, which contributed to 24.3% of the meta-analysis weight, left the association statistically non-significant: (pooled OR = 1.33, 95% CI: 0.91, 1.95; I2 = 44.59%). The association became even weaker after limiting the analysis to studies that excluded women with chronic hypertension: (pooled OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 0.77, 1.89; I2 = 41.64%) or after excluding studies with low quality: (pooled OR = 1.24, 95% CI: 0.70, 2.19; I2 = 65.79%). CONCLUSION: The association between antenatal coffee consumption and preeclampsia remains inconclusive. Future prospective cohort studies are needed to better investigate this association.

The association between stair climbing and modifiable cardiovascular disease risk factors: the Suita Study.

BACKGROUND: Stair climbing is a readily available form of physical activity with potential cardiovascular benefits. This study aimed to investigate the association between stair climbing and numerous modifiable cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we used data from 7282 Japanese people (30-84 years) residing in Suita City, Osaka. CVD risk factors and stair climbing frequency were assessed during the Suita Study health examination. Logistic regressions were used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for CVD risk factors across stair climbing frequencies. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, sex, lifestyle, and medical conditions, stair climbing >60% of the time, compared to <20% of the time, was inversely associated with obesity, smoking, physical inactivity, and stress: ORs (95% CIs) = 0.63 (0.53, 0.75), 0.81 (0.69, 0.96), 0.48 (0.41, 0.55), and 0.67 (0.58, 0.78), respectively (p-trends < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Stair climbing was inversely associated with obesity, smoking, physical inactivity, and stress; suggesting a potential role for cardiovascular disease prevention.

Central Systolic Blood Pressure as a Risk Factor for Accelerated Progression of Arterial Stiffness.

AIMS: In the arterial tree, a pressure gradient of the systolic blood pressure (SBP) is observed from the center to the periphery, with the pressure being higher in the periphery because of pressure wave reflection. However, this gradient is attenuated, with elevation of the central SBP (cSBP), in cases with abnormal pressure wave reflection in the arterial tree. It remains unclear if increase of the cSBP might be an independent risk factor for accelerated progression of arterial stiffness. We conducted this prospective observational study using latent growth curve model (LGCM) analyses to examine if elevated cSBP might be an independent risk factor for accelerated progression of the arterial stiffness in middle-aged Japanese men. METHODS: In this 9-year prospective observational study, we analyzed the data of 3862 middle-aged Japanese men (43±10years old) without cerebrocardiovascular disease at the study baseline who had undergone repeated annual measurements of the brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and cSBP, as represented by the second peak of the radial pressure waveform (SBP2) in radial pressure waveform analysis. RESULTS: During the follow-up period (6.3±2.5years), significant increases of both the baPWV and SBP2 were observed in all the subjects. Analysis using the LGCM confirmed that the SBP2, a marker of the cSBP (B=0.260, P＜0.001), was a significant determinant of the slope of the annual changes of the baPWV during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Our finding may appear to confirm elevated cSBP as an independent risk factor for accelerated progression of the arterial stiffness in middle-aged Japanese men.

2023 update and perspectives.

Total 276 manuscripts were published in Hypertension Research in 2022. Here our editorial members picked up the excellent papers, summarized the current topics from the published papers and discussed future perspectives in the sixteen fields. We hope you enjoy our special feature, 2023 update and perspectives in Hypertension Research.

Fatty Liver Index as a proxy for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the risk of stroke and coronary heart disease: The Suita Study.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease in developed countries, but its role in predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) needs further investigation. Herein, we studied the association between NAFLD and the risk of CVD, stroke, and coronary heart disease (CHD) among Japanese people. METHODS: This prospective cohort study analyzed data from 2,517 men and 3,958 women, aged 30-84 years, who were registered in the Suita Study. NAFLD was defined as Fatty Liver Index (FLI) ≥ 60. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of incident CVD, stroke, and CHD events by baseline FLI. The results were adjusted for age, smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes, lipid profile, chronic kidney disease, and cardiac murmur or valvular diseases. RESULTS: Within 16.6 years of median follow-up, 590 participants developed CVD (346 stroke events and 244 CHD events). Women with NAFLD (FLI ≥ 60) showed a higher risk of CVD and stroke: HRs (95% CIs) = 1.69 (1.16, 2.46) and 2.06 (1.31, 3.24), respectively. Besides, women in the fourth and fifth (highest) FLI quintiles showed a higher risk of CVD and stroke than those in the third (middle) quintile: HRs (95% CIs) = 1.60 (1.08, 2.36) and 1.67 (1.13, 2.45) for CVD and 1.73 (1.07, 2.79) and 1.90 (1.18, 3.05) for stroke, respectively. No corresponding associations were detected in men. NAFLD was not associated with CHD risk in either sex. CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD, diagnosed by FLI, was associated with a higher risk of CVD and stroke in Japanese women. From a preventive perspective, women with NAFLD should be targeted for CVD screenings and interventions.

The association between the estimated glomerular filtration rate and cognitive impairment: the Suita Study.

This cross-sectional study investigated the association between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), a measure of chronic kidney disease (CKD), and cognitive impairment. We used data from 6215 Japanese individuals registered in the Suita Study. Cognitive impairment was defined as a Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score of ≤ 26. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of cognitive impairment for eGFR 45-59.9 and < 45 mL/min/1.73 m2 (mild and moderate-to-severe eGFR reductions) compared to eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (normal eGFR). The results showed that both mild and moderate-to-severe eGFR reductions were associated with cognitive impairment: ORs (95% CIs) = 1.49 (1.22-1.83) and 2.35 (1.69-3.26), respectively (p-trend < 0.001). Each increment of eGFR by 10 mL/min/1.73m2 was associated with 4.8% lower odds of cognitive impairment. In conclusion, eGFR reduction was associated with cognitive impairment. Managing CKD is essential for preventing cognitive impairment.

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and the risk of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

This study aimed to investigate the association between hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) and subsequent risk of dementia using a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies. We searched PubMed and Scopus for eligible studies that investigated the association between HDP and dementia risk. Using the random-effects model, pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of dementia risk in women with HDP were calculated. We applied the I2 statistic to measure heterogeneity across studies and the test for funnel plot asymmetry to evaluate publication bias. Six cohort studies were eligible: three from the United States, two from Sweden, and one from Denmark. When combined, HDP was associated with the risk of dementia: pooled HR (95% CI) = 1.31 (1.12, 1.53). The heterogeneity across studies was moderate (I2 = 47.3%, p-heterogeneity = 0.091), but no signs of publication bias were detected. The association of HDP with vascular dementia was stronger than that with Alzheimer's disease: pooled HRs (95% CIs) = 1.66 (1.13, 2.43) and 1.29 (0.97, 1.72), respectively. In conclusion, HDP was associated with a higher risk of dementia and this association was more prominent with vascular dementia.

Monitoring for adverse drug events of high-risk medications with a computerized clinical decision support system: a prospective cohort study.

Monitoring is recommended to prevent severe adverse drug events, but such examinations are often missed. To increase the number of monitoring that should be ordered for high-risk medications, we introduced a clinical decision support system (CDSS) that alerts and orders the monitoring for high-risk medications in an outpatient setting. We conducted a 2-year prospective cohort study at a tertiary care teaching hospital before (phase 1) and after (phase 2) the activation of a CDSS. The CDSS automatically provided alerts for liver function tests for vildagliptin, thyroid function tests for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and multikinase inhibitors (MKIs), and a slit-lamp examination of the eyes for oral amiodarone when outpatients were prescribed the medications but not examined for a fixed period. The order of laboratory tests automatically appeared if alert was accepted. The alerts were hidden and did not appear on the display before activation of the CDSS. The outcomes were the number of prescriptions with alerts and examinations. During the study period, 330 patients in phase 1 and 307 patients in phase 2 were prescribed vildagliptin, 20 patients in phase 1 and 19 patients in phase 2 were prescribed ICIs or MKIs, and 72 patients in phase 1 and 66 patients in phase 2 were prescribed oral amiodarone. The baseline characteristics were similar between the phases. In patients prescribed vildagliptin, the proportion of alerts decreased significantly (38% vs 27%, P < 0.0001), and the proportion of examinations increased significantly (0.9% vs 4.0%, P < 0.0001) after activation of the CDSS. In patients prescribed ICIs or MKIs, the proportion of alerts decreased significantly (43% vs 11%, P < 0.0001), and the proportion of examinations increased numerically, but not significantly (2.6% vs 7.0%, P = 0.13). In patients prescribed oral amiodarone, the proportion of alerts decreased (86% vs 81%, P = 0.055), and the proportion of examinations increased (2.2% and 3.0%, P = 0.47); neither was significant. The CDSS has potential to increase the monitoring for high-risk medications. Our study also highlighted the limited acceptance rate of monitoring by CDSS. Further studies are needed to explore the generalizability to other medications and the cause of the limited acceptance rates among physicians.

Development of new scores for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease using specific medical examination items: the Suita Study.

BACKGROUND: We previously developed risk models predicting stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) among Japanese people from the Suita Study. Yet, applying these models at the national level was challenging because some of the included risk factors differed from those collected in the Japanese governmental health check-ups, such as Tokutei-Kenshin. We, therefore, conducted this study to develop new risk models for stroke, CHD, and atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD), based on data from the Suita Study. The new models used traditional cardiovascular risk factors similar to those in the Japanese governmental health check-ups. METHODS: We included 7,413 participants, aged 30-84 years, initially free from stroke and CHD. All participants received baseline health examinations, including a questionnaire assessing their lifestyle and medical history, medical examination, and blood and urine analysis. The risk factors of stroke, CHD, and ASCVD (cerebral infarction or CHD) were determined using the multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. The models' performance was assessed using the C-statistics for discrimination and the Hosmer-Lemeshow for calibration. We also developed three simple scores (zero to 100) that could predict the 10-year incidence of stroke, CHD, and ASCVD. RESULTS: Within 110,428 person-years (median follow-up = 16.6 years), 410 stroke events, 288 CHD events, and 527 ASCVD events were diagnosed. Age, smoking, hypertension, and diabetes were associated with stroke, CHD, and ASCVD risk. Men and those with decreased high-density lipoproteins or increased low-density lipoproteins showed a higher risk of CHD and ASCVD. Urinary proteins were associated with an increased risk of stroke and ASCVD. The C-statistic values of the risk models were >0.750 and the p-values of goodness-of-fit were >0.30. The 10-year incidence of stroke, CVD, and ASCVD events was 3.8%, 3.5%, and 5.7% for scores 45-54, 10.3%, 11.8%, and 19.6% for scores 65-74, and 27.7%, 23.5%, and 60.5% for scores ≥85, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We developed new Suita risk models for stroke, CHD, and ASCVD using variables similar to those in the Japanese governmental health check-ups. We also developed new risk scores to predict incident stroke, CHD, and ASCVD within 10 years.

Cardiovascular Hospitalizations and Hospitalization Costs in Japan During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, cardiovascular hospitalizations decreased and in-hospital mortality for ST-elevation myocardial infarction and heart failure increased. However, limited research has been conducted on hospitalization and mortality rates for cardiovascular disease (CVD) other than ischemic heart disease and heart failure. Methods and Results: We analyzed the records of 530 certified hospitals affiliated with the Japanese Circulation Society obtained from the nationwide JROAD-DPC database between April 2014 and March 2021. A quasi-Poisson regression model was used to predict the counterfactual number of hospitalizations for CVD treatment, assuming there was no pandemic. The observed number of inpatients compared with the predicted number in 2020 was 88.1% for acute CVD, 78% for surgeries or procedures, 77.2% for catheter ablation, and 68.5% for left ventricular assist devices. Furthermore, there was no significant change in in-hospital mortality, and the decrease in hospitalizations for catheter ablation and valvular heart disease constituted 47.6% of the total decrease in annual hospitalization costs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: Cardiovascular hospitalizations decreased by more than 10% in 2020, and the number of patients scheduled for left ventricular assist device implantation decreased by over 30%. In addition, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, annual cardiovascular hospitalization costs were reduced, largely attributed to decreased catheter ablation and valvular heart disease.

Fatty Liver Index and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in a General Japanese Population　- The Suita Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most diagnosed arrhythmia in clinical settings. The fatty liver index (FLI) is a marker of liver steatosis with potential cardiovascular implications. This study investigated whether FLI could predict the risk of AF.Methods and Results: We used data from the Suita Study, a Japanese population-based prospective cohort study. A total of 2,346 men and 3,543 women, aged 30-84 years, without prevalent AF were included and followed up. The diagnosis of AF was established during follow-up using electrocardiograms, hospital records, and death certificates. FLI was assessed during a baseline health checkup. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for incident AF per FLI quintile and log-transformed FLI. Within a median 14.5 years of follow-up, 142 men and 105 women developed AF. Compared with women in the third (middle) FLI quintile, women in the first (lowest), fourth, and fifth (highest) quintiles showed a higher risk of AF, with multivariable-adjusted HRs of 2.37 (95% CI 1.06-5.31), 2.60 (95% CI 1.30-5.17), and 2.04 (95% CI 1.00-4.18), respectively. No corresponding associations were observed in men. The change in log-transformed FLI was not associated with the risk of AF in either sex. CONCLUSIONS: A U-shaped association between FLI and AF risk was detected in Japanese women. FLI could be a screening tool to detect women at high risk of developing AF.

Liver enzymes and the risk of stroke among the general Japanese population: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Liver enzymes, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), are markers of liver diseases with potential cardiovascular implications. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the prospective association between liver enzymes and stroke risk. METHODS: We analyzed data from 3,379 men and 4,007 women without cardiovascular disease and registered in the Suita Study; a Japanese population-based prospective cohort study. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of stroke risk were estimated per quintiles of ALT, AST, and GGT in men and women. RESULTS: Within a median follow-up period of 16.7 years, 438 incident stroke events were diagnosed. In men, compared to the second quintiles, the fifth (highest) quintiles of liver enzymes showed increased stroke risks: HRs (95% CIs) = 2.07 (1.35, 3.18) in ALT, 1.66 (1.10, 2.53) in AST, and 1.76 (1.11, 2.81) in GGT. The associations did not change with cerebral infarction risk: HRs (95% CIs) = 2.09 (1.24, 3.50) in ALT, 1.84 (1.11, 3.06) in AST, and 1.74 (1.00, 3.04) in GGT, respectively. The lowest ALT, AST, and GGT quintiles tended to show increased stroke and cerebral infarction risks, yet these associations were statistically insignificant. No such associations were shown in women. CONCLUSION: Elevated ALT, AST, and GGT levels were associated with increased stroke and cerebral infarction risks among Japanese men.

Lifelong Heterogeneous Contribution of Cardiovascular Risk Factors to Slow and Fast Progression of Arterial Stiffness.

BACKGROUND: Although some cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) are known to be associated with increased arterial stiffness, increased arterial stiffness does not mediate the cardiovascular risk associated with all CVRFs. Here, based on long-term repeated-measurement data, we examined the association of the lifelong status of each CVRF with the rate of progression of arterial stiffness. METHODS: We utilized the data from annual health checkups with the brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity measurements over a 16-year period in middle-aged Japanese occupational cohort. RESULTS: Totally, 29 090 brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity data were obtained during the follow-up of 3763 subjects ranging in age from around 30 to 70 years. Smoking, heavy alcohol intake, hypertension, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, and hyperuricemia were independently associated with the fast progression of arterial stiffness. Also, lower values in nondisease range in blood pressure, glycosylated hemoglobin A1c, triglyceride, and uric acid were independently associated with the slow progression of arterial stiffness. For body mass index and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, no clear associations with the progression of arterial stiffness were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The present prospective study provided more robust epidemiological evidence for the heterogeneity of the significance of contribution of lifelong status of each CVRF to the slow and fast rate of progression of arterial stiffness. These findings suggest the important need to examine, in further studies, the effects of global early interventions to control the levels of the culprit CVRFs, even from middle age, not only to prevent a fast progression of the arterial stiffness but also to maintain a relatively slow progression of arterial stiffness.

Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors reduce the incidence of first cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients.

BACKGROUND: Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors do not suppress cardiovascular events in diabetic patients with a history of cardiovascular disease. However, the effect of DPP-4 inhibitors on cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients is unclear. Therefore, we investigated whether DPP-4 inhibitors alter the incidence of cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients without a history of cardiovascular events. METHODS: The Japanese Primary Prevention of Atherosclerosis with Aspirin for Diabetes (JPAD) trial was a multicenter, prospective, randomized, open label, blinded, end-point study conducted from 2002 to 2008. After completion of the JPAD trial, we followed up the patients until 2019. Patients who had had a cardiovascular event by the 2013 follow-up were excluded from the study. JPAD patients were divided into a DPP-4 group and a non-DPP-4 group based on whether they were taking DPP-4 inhibitors at the 2013 follow-up because few patients took DPP-4 inhibitors before 2013. We investigated the incidence of cardiovascular events consisting of coronary events, cerebrovascular events, heart failure requiring hospitalization, and aortic and peripheral vascular disease in 1099 JPAD patients until 2019. RESULTS: During the observation period from 2013 to 2019, 37 (7%) first cardiovascular events occurred in the DPP-4 group (n = 518) and 66 (11%) in the non-DPP-4 group (n = 581). The incidence of cardiovascular events was significantly lower in the DPP-4 group than in the non-DPP-4 group (Log-Rank P = 0.0065). Cox proportional hazards model analysis revealed that the use of DPP-4 inhibitors (hazard ratio 0.65; 95% confidence interval 0.43-0.98; P = 0.038) was an independent factor after adjustment for age ≥ 65 years, hypertension, statin usage, and insulin usage. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings have demonstrated that the use of DPP-4 inhibitors may be associated with a reduced incidence of first cardiovascular events in Japanese diabetic patients. The results require confirmation in randomized controlled trials.

Impact of Tweet Content on the Number of Retweets　- "Tweet the Meeting 2022".

Background: Previous research has investigated the effectiveness of the "Tweet the Meeting" campaign, but the relationship between tweet content and the number of retweets has not been fully evaluated. Methods and Results: We analyzed the number of tweets and retweets during the Japanese Circulation Society's 2022 annual meeting. The ambassador group had significantly more session- and symposium-related tweets than the non-ambassador group (P<0.001), associated with the nubmer of retweets. Symposium-related tweets with figures generated more retweets than those without figures (mean [±SD] 3.47±3.31 vs. 2.48±1.94 retweets per tweet, respectively; P=0.001). Conclusions: The study revealed that official meeting-designated Twitter ambassadors disseminate more educational content than non-ambassadors, and generated more retweets.

Serum cholesterol levels and the risk of brain natriuretic peptide-diagnosed heart failure in postmenopausal women: a population-based prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Hormonal changes during menopause can disturb serum cholesterol which is closely associated with cardiovascular disease. This study investigated the prospective association between serum cholesterol and heart failure (HF) risk in postmenopausal women. METHODS: We analyzed data from 1,307 Japanese women, aged 55 to 94 years. All women had no history of HF, and their baseline brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were less than 100 pg/mL. During the follow-ups conducted every 2 years, HF was diagnosed among women who developed BNP of 100 pg/mL or greater. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to calculate hazard ratios and 95% CI of HF for women per their baseline total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels. The Cox regression models were adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking, alcohol drinking, hypertension, diabetes, cardiac murmurs, arrhythmia, stroke or ischemic heart disease, chronic kidney disease, and lipid-lowering agent use. RESULTS: Within an 8-year median follow-up, 153 participants developed HF. In the multivariable-adjusted model, women with total cholesterol of 240 mg/dL or greater (compared with 160-199 mg/dL) and HDL-C of 100 mg/dL or greater (compared with 50-59 mg/dL) showed an increased risk of HF: hazard ratios (95% CI) = 1.70 (1.04-2.77) and 2.70 (1.10-6.64), respectively. The results remained significant after further adjusting for baseline BNP. No associations were observed with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. CONCLUSIONS: Total cholesterol of 240 mg/dL or greater and HDL-C of 100 mg/dL or greater were positively associated with the risk of HF in postmenopausal Japanese women.