[Quality of care of acute ischemic stroke in Germany 2018]. / Versorgungsqualität des akuten ischämischen Schlaganfalls in Deutschland 2018.

In this overview the current quality of acute in-hospital care of stroke patients in Germany in 2018 is described based on standardized and evidence-based quality indicators. For this purpose the reports of the regional quality assurance projects for stroke care, which collaborated within the German-speaking Stroke Registers Study Group (ADSR) were analyzed. Overall, more than 280,000 acute admissions of stroke patients were documented in the included quality assurance projects. The results regarding the defined 16 quality indicators comprising diagnostics, acute treatment, rehabilitation and secondary prevention showed a high level of acute inpatient treatment of stroke in Germany. Only a few quality indicators, such as early transfer for thrombectomy indicated a great necessity for process optimization.

The prognostic impact of the stroke unit care versus conventional care in treatment of patients with transient ischemic attack: a prospective population-based German study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The risk of a stroke after a transient ischemic attack (TIA) is high in the short time following a TIA. The German Stroke Society recommends an early hospitalization of patients with TIA preferably in a stroke unit (SU). This study aims to compare the impact of SU care with conventional care (CC) in patients with TIA. METHODS: In a prospective study, during a 36-month phase (starting November 2007), patients with TIA who were admitted to the hospital within 48 h of symptom onset were enrolled. Stroke rate during hospitalization and the 90-day rates of stroke and mortality were studied. Logistic regression analyses were used to estimate the odds ratio (OR). RESULTS: Of 2,200 patients (mean age, 17.6 ± 12 years, 49% female), 1,347 (61%) treated in a SU and 853 (39%) received CC at general departments. Patients treated in SU were significantly younger than those received a CC (69.9 vs. 71.7 years; P = 0.001). TIA patients treated on SU received more ultrasound investigations of the neck arteries (98 vs. 96%; P = 0.003) and of the brain arteries (97 vs. 82%; P < 0.001) than those of CC. The primary outcomes (stroke during hospitalization, stroke after 90 days, and mortality after 90 days) did not show a difference between the SU and CC groups. In patients of male sex, the 90-day stroke rate was significantly lower in the SU group than the CC group (1.8 vs. 4.5%; P = 0.033). Using the adjusted logistic regression analysis, treatment in a SU revealed a reduction of 90-day stroke rate in patients of male sex (OR 0.38; 95% CI 0.15-0.95; P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: The impact of evaluation and treatment of patients with TIA in SU and CC appears to differ only among patients of male sex. Further randomized trials are necessary.

Stroke recurrence in patients with recently symptomatic carotid stenosis and scheduled for carotid revascularization.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis (sCS) have a higher risk of stroke recurrence following the first ischaemic event. Guidelines recommend that patients undergo carotid revascularization (CR), preferably within 2 weeks of the event. We aimed to determine the rate of stroke recurrence during hospitalization in patients who were admitted to the hospital with an acute ischaemic event and who underwent CR for recently sCS. METHODS: As part of the stroke registry in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany (QugSS2; Qualitätsgemeinschaft Schlaganfallversorgung in Schleswig-Holstein), over a 4.5-year period (starting 2007) all patients (N = 15,797) who were admitted to the hospital with an acute cerebral ischaemic event were included and prospectively evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 597 (3.8%) patients (mean age, 71 ± 10 years; 30% women) underwent a CR. The median time between symptom onset and admission to hospitals was 6 h. During the mean hospitalization of 10 days, 30 patients (5%) suffered a stroke. The rates of stroke recurrence were higher, albeit non-significantly, in men compared with women (6% vs. 2.3%, respectively; P = 0.059), and in patients admitted with ischaemic stroke compared with patients admitted with transient ischaemic attack (6.1% vs. 2%, respectively; P = 0.052). The risk of stroke recurrence did not show any association with the other demographic and clinical parameters. CONCLUSION: The rate of stroke recurrence was 5% in patients with recently sCS who scheduled for CR. This suggests that CR should be performed immediately after presenting event to prevent stroke recurrence.

Whom to treat? The contribution of vertebral X-rays to risk-based algorithms for fracture prediction. Results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study.

INTRODUCTION: Vertebral fracture is a strong risk factor for future spine and hip fractures; yet recent data suggest that only 5-20% of subjects with a spine fracture are identified in primary care. We aimed to develop easily applicable algorithms predicting a high risk of future spine fracture in men and women over 50 years of age. METHODS: Data was analysed from 5,561 men and women aged 50+ years participating in the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study (EPOS). Lateral thoracic and lumbar spine radiographs were taken at baseline and at an average of 3.8 years later. These were evaluated by an experienced radiologist. The risk of a new (incident) vertebral fracture was modelled as a function of age, number of prevalent vertebral fractures, height loss, sex and other fracture history reported by the subject, including limb fractures occurring between X-rays. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the predictive ability of models. RESULTS: In a negative binomial regression model without baseline X-ray data, the risk of incident vertebral fracture significantly increased with age [RR 1.74, 95% CI (1.44, 2.10) per decade], height loss [1.08 (1.04, 1.12) per cm decrease], female sex [1.48 (1.05, 2.09)], and recalled fracture history; [1.65 (1.15, 2.38) to 3.03 (1.66, 5.54)] according to fracture site. Baseline radiological assessment of prevalent vertebral fracture significantly improved the areas subtended by ROC curves from 0.71 (0.67, 0.74) to 0.74 (0.70, 0.77) P=0.013 for predicting 1+ incident fracture; and from 0.74 (0.67, 0.81) to 0.83 (0.76, 0.90) P=0.001 for 2+ incident fractures. Age, sex and height loss remained independently predictive. The relative risk of a new vertebral fracture increased with the number of prevalent vertebral fractures present from 3.08 (2.10, 4.52) for 1 fracture to 9.36 (5.72, 15.32) for 3+. At a specificity of 90%, the model including X-ray data improved the sensitivity for predicting 2+ and 1+ incident fractures by 6 and 4 fold respectively compared with random guessing. At 75% specificity the improvements were 3.2 and 2.4 fold respectively. With the modelling restricted to the subjects who had BMD measurements (n=2,409), the AUC for predicting 1+ vs. 0 incident vertebral fractures improved from 0.72 (0.66, 0.79) to 0.76 (0.71, 0.82) upon adding femoral neck BMD (P=0.010). CONCLUSION: We conclude that for those with existing vertebral fractures, an accurately read spine X-ray will form a central component in future algorithms for targeting treatment, especially to the most vulnerable. The sensitivity of this approach to identifying vertebral fracture cases requiring anti-osteoporosis treatment, even when X-rays are ordered highly selectively, exceeds by a large margin the current standard of practice as recorded anywhere in the world.

[Predicting gainful employment in a population sample of 4225 statutory pension insurance members covering a prognostic period of five years using a brief subjective prognostic employment scale (SPE Scale)]. / Vorhersage der Erwerbstätigkeit in einer Bevölkerungsstichprobe von 4225 Versicherten der LVA über einen Prognosezeitraum von fünf Jahren mittels einer kurzen Skala (SPE-Skala).

PURPOSE: Vocational (dis-)ability is a key concept in social medicine. It plays a major role in the realm of statutory pension funds (e. g. appraisal of applications for early retirement) as well as in epidemiologic or rehabilitation research. In a former population-based survey reliability of a short scale assessing the subjective prognosis of gainful employment (SPE-Scale, range = 0 - 3) had been tested. We now wanted to explore whether the SPE-Scale allows a prediction of vocational outcomes (early retirement) in the population sample over longer periods of time. METHODS: Statutory pension insurees from Luebeck and surroundings aged between 40 and 55 were surveyed by questionnaire in 1999/2000. For 4225 subjects (= 95% of the original cohort) we obtained the following outcome data from pension fund records: dates of any applications for early retirement and beginning of retirement, date of death. The follow-up period covers 4.75 years on average. During this period 323 applications for early retirement (= 7.6%) were filed, and 200 subjects (= 4.7%) actually retired. RESULTS: First analysis including age and sex as covariates showed a threefold (SPE = 2) and eightfold (SPE = 3) risk of early retirement. Multivariate analysis (covariates: overall health status, number of chronic conditions, approved disability, subjective vocational ability, and length of sick leave measured at study onset) yielded a twofold risk of filing an application for early retirement (SPE = 3). CONCLUSIONS: The SPE-Scale is an appropriate screening instrument for hazards regarding gainful employment. It also can be recommended for use in epidemiologic or rehabilitation surveys.

[The need for rehabilitation services: concept and data]. / Bedarf an rehabilitativen Leistungen: Theorie und Empirie.

Whether rehabilitation services are initiated, applied for and (granted by German statutory pension funds) according to objectifyable need is uncertain as long as we lack a scientifically valid and operationally defined concept of "rehabilitation need". Traditionally three criteria are mentioned: neediness, ability, and prognosis. The text extends and specifies these criteria based on theoretical grounds, research evidence, and sociolegal considerations. It introduces a screening algorithm to objectify and assess individual rehabilitation needs focusing, as far as they are risk factors for participation restrictions, on a central disorder and its complications, risk and prognostic factors, comorbidities, motivational and other context factors. It proposes to relate more or less complex disturbances of functional health to more or less complex rehabilitation programmes and to indicate the typically complex ("holistic") in-patient rehabilitation only for equally complex health impairments and participation restrictions. Illustrative empirical data relate to three disorders, diabetes mellitus type 2, chronic disabling back pain, and chronic obstructive lung disease.

[Missing data in the somatisation subscale of the scl-90-R due to a 'checklist effect': occurrence in different surveys and results of various imputation methods]. / Fehlende Werte in der Somatisierungsskala des SCL-90-R durch "Listenfragen-Effekt": Häufigkeit in verschiedenen Surveys und Vergleich unterschiedlicher Imputationsmethoden.

Item non-response is a potential threat to the validity of study results. Taking the somatisation subscale of the SCL-90-R as an example, we hypothesise a specific response pattern ("checklist-effect") that is characterised by symptom-free persons not checking the "not at all"-category. The present study analyses the extent and relevance of this postulated "checklist-effect". Our data is derived from a survey of n = 228 blue-collar workers who previously had filed applications for medical rehabilitation benefits (A1-study), and two additional surveys as well. We defined the "checklist-effect" by the following response pattern: (1) at least one missing value and (2) at least one valid item response and (3) no "not at all"-responses. Occurrence of the "checklist-effect" in the three datasets differed widely. 75 % of the responders in the A1-Study had complete data, 16.2 % a postulated "checklist-effect". Imputation of missing values under the assumption of a "checklist-effect" led to a reduction of missing data in the somatisation-subscale from 12.3 % to 0.4 %. Ignoring the "checklist-effect" would overestimate the symptom level. Possible explanations for the effect are discussed. However, the validity of this effect has yet to be proven via methodological studies.

[Physical impairments and comorbidities in a sample of members of a pension fund of blue-collar workers suffering from severe low back pain]. / Anamnestische und klinische Befunde bei schweren Rückenschmerzen: eine klinisch epidemiologische Untersuchung an einer Stichprobe von LVA-Versicherten.

AIM: Idiopathic (unspecific) low back pain is the most common rheumatological complaint. Results of international studies give evidence that in about 80 % of the cases a specific diagnosis is not possible, thus creating an unsatisfactory situation for the orthopaedist. We feel that it is necessary to keep the discussion on the rate of specific causes for low back pain open. METHODS: In the context of a research project on the need for rehabilitation, 335 subjects suffering from severe low back pain were subjected to a physical (orthopaedic-neurological) examination. Also, a questionnaire was distributed assessing psychological status, work situation, comorbid conditions, risk factors, and demography. RESULTS: In more than half of the subjects, clues for a specific cause for the back pain were found; in more than one third of the cases there were one or more neurological signs. CONCLUSION: The data presented demonstrate that specific causes for low back pain might be more common than generally assumed. This leads us to the conclusion that there is a need for more clinically-oriented, population-based (epidemiological) research on possible pathologic causes of low back pain and comorbid conditions.

Back pain, disability, and radiographic vertebral fracture in European women: a prospective study.

Vertebral fractures are associated with back pain and disability. There are, however, few prospective data looking at back pain and disability following identification of radiographic vertebral fracture. The aim of this analysis was to determine the impact of radiographically identified vertebral fracture on the subsequent occurrence of back pain and disability. Women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 18 European centers for participation in the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study. Participants completed an interviewer-administered questionnaire which included questions about back pain in the past year and various activities of daily living, and they had lateral spine radiographs performed. Participants in these centers were followed prospectively and had repeat spine radiographs performed a mean of 3.7 years later. In addition they completed a questionnaire with the same baseline questions concerning back pain and activities of daily living. The presence of prevalent and incident vertebral fracture was defined using established morphometric criteria. The data were analyzed using logistic regression with back pain or disability (present or absent) at follow-up as the outcome variable with adjustment made for the baseline value of the variable. The study included 2,260 women, mean age 62.2 years. The mean time between baseline and follow-up survey was 5.0 years. Two hundred and forty participants had prevalent fractures at the baseline survey, and 85 developed incident fractures during follow-up. After adjustment for age, center, and the baseline level of disability, compared with those without baseline prevalent fracture, those with a prevalent fracture (odds ratio [OR] = 1.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 2.0) or an incident fracture (OR = 1.7; 95% CI, 0.9 to 3.2) were more likely to report disability at follow-up, though the confidence intervals embraced unity. Those with both a prevalent and incident fracture, however, were significantly more likely to report disability at follow-up (OR = 3.1; 95% CI, 1.4 to 7.0). After adjustment for age, center, and frequency of back pain at baseline, compared with those without baseline vertebral fracture, those with a prevalent fracture were no more likely to report back pain at follow-up (OR = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.7). There was a small increased risk among those with a preexisting fracture who had sustained an incident fracture during follow-up (OR = 1.6; 95% CI, 0.6 to 4.1) though the confidence intervals embraced unity. In conclusion, although there was no significant increase in the level of back pain an average of 5 years following identification of radiographic vertebral fracture, women who suffered a further fracture during follow-up experienced substantial levels of disability with impairment in key physical functions of independent living.

[Theories and models of chronicity: on the way to a broader definition of chronic back pain]. / Theorien und Modelle der Chronifizierung: Auf dem Weg zu einer erweiterten Definition chronischer Rückenschmerzen.

Chronic back pain is one of the most common and costly disorders. An overview shows that chronicity has various definitions, of which purely temporal ones predominate. Back pain is said to be "chronic" if it lasts for a variable number of weeks or months. Our attempt to refine such definitions is based on three previous works: Loeser's multidimensional pain model, the oncological TNM model and the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health of WHO (ICF). We suggest an unidirectional process of pain in the back to a complex pain syndrome including other types of pain, various bodily complaints and cognitive as well as emotional impairments, and propose an empirically testable research model.

[Chronic back pain: more than pain in the back. Findings of a regional survey among insurees of a workers pension insurance fund]. / Chronische Rückenschmerzen: Mehr als Schmerzen im Rücken. Ergebnisse eines regionalen Surveys unter Versicherten einer Landesversicherungsanstalt.

BACKGROUND: Surveys with a main focus on back pain tend to isolate the complaint from possibly concomitant pains, other symptoms and disorders. Severe chronic back pain is assumed here to imply more than pain in the back. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: We report results from a two stage survey conducted in 1998 - 2000. The initial postal questionnaire addressed all 10,000 actively employed blue collar workers from a regional pension fund (Landesversicherungsanstalt Schleswig-Holstein) aged 40 - 54 and residing in or around Luebeck/Germany (68 % males). Subjects reporting severe and disabling back pain were invited to a socio-medical examination. The response and participation rates were 58 % and 65 % respectively. Non-response and non-participation seem to result in minor though opposite, effects. RESULTS: The prevalence of current back pain (back pain of any severity within the past 7 days) is high (68 %; including 16 % with severe, disabling back pain) despite the preponderance of males and a probable healthy worker effect. 82 % of subjects participating in the second round reported recurrent or persisting back pain on the day of examination, in the majority with a chronic fluctuating and overall deteriorating course pattern. 18 % reported no current back pain and hence gave prospective (and additionally retrospective) evidence of an episodic-intermittent course of the disorder. The former group showed significantly more pains, bodily complaints, dysfunctional cognitions, emotional distress and concomitant disorders. 35 % of them indicated back pain as their dominant health problem; 49 % identified back pain and another disorder as dominant, and 16 % reported other prominent health problems. More than 70 % of "other" disorders originated from the musculoskeletal system often involving the extremities. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION: Back pain is very common among blue collar workers. Severe disabling back pain is usually associated with numerous other pains, bodily complaints, disorders, and indicators of psychological distress ("amplified back pain"). However, even amplified back pain is not always the sole or dominant health problem. Assessing the degree of "amplification" seems helpful in splitting a previously homogeneous group of severely affected back pain sufferers-with possible prognostic and therapeutic consequences.

Determinants of incident vertebral fracture in men and women: results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study (EPOS).

The aim of this analysis was to determine the influence of lifestyle, anthropometric and reproductive factors on the subsequent risk of incident vertebral fracture in men and women aged 50-79 years. Subjects were recruited from population registers from 28 centers across Europe. At baseline, they completed an interviewer-administered questionnaire and had lateral thoraco-lumbar spine radiographs performed. Repeat spinal radiographs were performed a mean of 3.8 years later. Incident vertebral fractures were defined morphometrically and also qualitatively by an experienced radiologist. Poisson regression was used to determine the influence of the baseline risk factor variables on the occurrence of incident vertebral fracture. A total of 3173 men (mean age 63.1 years) and 3402 women (mean age 62.2 years) contributed data to the analysis. In total there were 193 incident morphometric and 224 qualitative fractures. In women, an age at menarche 16 years or older was associated with an increased risk of vertebral fracture (RR = 1.80; 95%CI 1.24, 2.63), whilst use of hormonal replacement was protective (RR = 0.58; 95%CI 0.34, 0.99). None of the lifestyle factors studied including smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity or milk consumption showed any consistent associations with incident vertebral fracture. In men and women, increasing body weight and body mass index were associated with a reduced risk of vertebral fracture though, apart from body mass index in men, the confidence intervals embraced unity. For most variables the strengths of the associations observed were similar using the qualitative and morphometric approaches to fracture definition. In conclusion our data suggest that modification of other lifestyle risk factors is unlikely to have a major impact on the population occurrence of vertebral fractures. The important biological mechanisms underlying vertebral fracture risk need to be explored using new investigational strategies.

[Rehabilitation score for patients with type 2 Diabetes mellitus: An instrument to standardize assessment of the need for rehabilitation]. / Reha-Score für Typ-2-Diabetes mellitus: Ein Instrument zur Abschätzung des Rehabilitationsbedarfs.

Type 2 diabetes is considered a multidimensional health impairment which includes several components like risk factors, cofactors and complications. The early and consequent therapy of all of these components reduces secondary complications. Instead of simply applying drug treatment, a more holistic concept including behavioural medicine therapy and empowerment of patients has been found much more effective. The facilities required for such a multifactorial therapy by different health care professions could easily be provided by the medical rehabilitation services available under the German pension insurance scheme. However, this emphasizes the demand for standardized protocols to achieve an objective allocation of rehabilitation services to individuals in need. In an epidemiological study on 12 429 working insurants (age 41 - 60 years) of the pension insurance fund in the region of Luebeck, persons suffering from type 2 diabetes were identified and evaluated regarding a need for medical rehabilitation. Therefore, an algorithm was developed quantifying the multidimensional disturbances which accumulate in type 2 diabetes mellitus. The following indicators are taken into consideration: risk factors like eating behaviour, lack of physical activity, smoking and stress; metabolic parameters such as HbA1c and plasma lipids; cofactors like hypertension and depression and, additionally, the acute complication of hypoglycaemia. Based on this rehabilitation score, 19 % of cases in a preliminary evaluation of 79 patients with type 2 diabetes showed a need for medical rehabilitation therapy.

Incidence of limb fracture across Europe: results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study (EPOS).

The aim of this population-based prospective study was to determine the incidence of limb fracture by site and gender in different regions of Europe. Men and women aged 50-79 years were recruited from population registers in 31 European centers. Subjects were invited to attend for an interviewer-administered questionnaire and lateral spinal radiographs. Subjects were subsequently followed up using an annual postal questionnaire which included questions concerning the occurrence of new fractures. Self-reported fractures were confirmed where possible by radiograph, attending physician or subject interview. There were 6451 men and 6936 women followed for a median of 3.0 years. During this time there were 140 incident limb fractures in men and 391 in women. The age-adjusted incidence of any limb fracture was 7.3/1000 person-years [pyrs] in men and 19 per 1000 pyrs in women, equivalent to a 2.5 times excess in women. Among women, the incidence of hip, humerus and distal forearm fracture, though not 'other' limb fracture, increased with age, while in men only the incidence of hip and humerus fracture increased with age. Among women, there was evidence of significant variation in the occurrence of hip, distal forearm and humerus fractures across Europe, with incidence rates higher in Scandinavia than in other European regions, though for distal forearm fracture the incidence in east Europe was similar to that observed in Scandinavia. Among men, there was no evidence of significant geographic variation in the occurrence of these fractures. This is the first large population-based study to characterize the incidence of limb fracture in men and women over 50 years of age across Europe. There are substantial differences in the descriptive epidemiology of limb fracture by region and gender.

Incidence of vertebral fracture in europe: results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study (EPOS).

Vertebral fracture is one of the major adverse clinical consequences of osteoporosis; however, there are few data concerning the incidence of vertebral fracture in population samples of men and women. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of vertebral fracture in European men and women. A total of 14,011 men and women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population-based registers in 29 European centers and had an interviewer-administered questionnaire and lateral spinal radiographs performed. The response rate for participation in the study was approximately 50%. Repeat spinal radiographs were performed a mean of 3.8 years following the baseline film. All films were evaluated morphometrically. The definition of a morphometric fracture was a vertebra in which there was evidence of a 20% (+4 mm) or more reduction in anterior, middle, or posterior vertebral height between films--plus the additional requirement that a vertebra satisfy criteria for a prevalent deformity (using the McCloskey-Kanis method) in the follow-up film. There were 3174 men, mean age 63.1 years, and 3,614 women, mean age 62.2 years, with paired duplicate spinal radiographs (48% of those originally recruited to the baseline survey). The age standardized incidence of morphometric fracture was 10.7/1,000 person years (pyr) in women and 5.7/1,000 pyr in men. The age-standardized incidence of vertebral fracture as assessed qualitatively by the radiologist was broadly similar-12.1/1,000 pyr and 6.8/1,000 pyr, respectively. The incidence increased markedly with age in both men and women. There was some evidence of geographic variation in fracture occurrence; rates were higher in Sweden than elsewhere in Europe. This is the first large population-based study to ascertain the incidence of vertebral fracture in men and women over 50 years of age across Europe. The data confirm the frequent occurrence of the disorder in men as well as in women and the rise in incidence with age.

Falls explain between-center differences in the incidence of limb fracture across Europe.

There is important geographic variation in the occurrence of the major osteoporotic fractures across Europe. The aim of this study was to determine whether between-center variation in limb fracture rates across Europe could be explained by variation in the incidence of falls. Men and women, aged 50-79 years, were recruited from population-based registers in 30 European centers. Subjects were followed by postal questionnaire to ascertain the occurrence of incident fractures, and were also asked about the occurrence and number of recent falls. Self-reported fractures were confirmed, where possible, by review of the radiographs, medical record, or subject interview. The age- and gender-adjusted incidence of falls was calculated by center using Poisson regression. Poisson regression was also used to assess the extent to which between-center differences in the incidence of limb fractures could be explained by differences in the age- and gender-adjusted incidence of falls at those centers. In all, 6302 men (mean age 63.9 years) and 6761 women (mean age 63.1 years) completed at least one questionnaire concerning fractures and falls. During a median follow-up time of 3 years, 3647 falls were reported by men and 4783 by women. After adjusting for age and gender, there was evidence of significant between-center differences in the occurrence of falls. There was also between-center variation in the occurrence of upper limb, lower limb, and distal forearm fractures. Variation in the age- and gender-adjusted center-specific fall rates explained 24%, 14%, and 6% of the between-center variation in incidence of distal forearm and upper and lower limb fractures, respectively. Given the constraints inherent in such an analysis, in men and women aged 50-79 years, variation in fall rates could explain a significant proportion of the between-center variation in the incidence of limb fracture across Europe.

Prevalent vertebral deformity predicts incident hip though not distal forearm fracture: results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study.

The presence of a vertebral deformity increases the risk of subsequent spinal deformities. The aim of this analysis was to determine whether the presence of vertebral deformity predicts incident hip and other limb fractures. Six thousand three hundred and forty-four men and 6788 women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 31 European centers and followed prospectively for a median of 3 years. All subjects had radiographs performed at baseline and the presence of vertebral deformity was assessed using established morphometric methods. Incident limb fractures which occurred during the follow- up period were ascertained by annual postal questionnaire and confirmed by radiographs, review of medical records and personal interview. During a total of 40348 person-years of follow-up, 138 men and 391 women sustained a limb fracture. Amongst the women, after adjustment for age, prevalent vertebral deformity was a strong predictor of incident hip fracture, (rate ratio (RR) = 4.5; 95% CI 2.1-9.4) and a weak predictor of 'other' limb fractures (RR = 1.6; 95% CI 1.1-2.4), though not distal forearm fracture (RR = 1.0; 95% CI 0.6-1.6). The predictive risk increased with increasing number of prevalent deformities, particularly for subsequent hip fracture: for two or more deformities, RR = 7.2 (95% CI 3.0-17.3). Amongst men, vertebral deformity was not associated with an increased risk of incident limb fracture though there was a nonsignificant trend toward an increased risk of hip fracture with increasing number of deformities. In summary, prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities in women are a strong predictor of hip fracture, and to a lesser extent humerus and 'other' limb fractures; however, they do not predict distal forearm fractures.

[Determining the need for medical rehabilitation services of employed members of the legal pension fund. A recommendation from social medicine and social legal viewpoints]. / Zur Feststellung von Bedarf an medizinischen Rehabilitationsleistungen unter erwerbstätigen Mitgliedern der Gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung. Ein Vorschlag aus sozialmedizinischer und sozialrechtlicher Sicht.

Assessing health care needs in populations has become a major activity of public health medicine worldwide. Its methodology has been developing mainly in the English-speaking world. Concept, methods, and techniques have not yet reached Germany though recently the national expert advisory council for the concerted action in health care (Sachverständigenrat für die Konzertierte Aktion im Gesundheitswesen) provided first "official" definitions of demand, supply, and need to identify over- and undersupply in health care. This article aims at defining, from a combined sociolegal and sociomedical perspective, the need for medical rehabilitation measures among insurees of German pension funds. According to section 15 SGB VI rehabilitation is conceived as a medically coordinated multimodal-multidisciplinary intervention with a cognitive-behavioural orientation. To objectify the need for rehabilitation a series of 9 questions was developed enquiring inter alia about the presence of a disease or disability, the extent or "amplification" of the disorder, its course pattern, the implied risk of permanent work disability and likely success of rehabilitation. Nonspecific back pain served as a paradigmatic condition. One of the main problems encountered is the presently small evidence base to arrive at the necessary prognostic and therapeutic judgements.

Validity of self-report of fractures: results from a prospective study in men and women across Europe. EPOS Study Group. European Prospective Osteoporosis Study Group.

In population-based studies of osteoporosis, ascertainment of fractures is typically based on self-report, with subsequent verification by medical records. The aim of this analysis was to assess the validity of self-report of incident nonspine fractures using a postal questionnaire. The degree of overreporting of fracture (false positives) was assessed by comparing self-reports of new fracture from respondents in the multicenter European Prospective Osteoporosis Study with data from other sources including radiographs and medical records. In the analysis, 563 subjects reported nonspine fractures. Verification of the presence of fracture was possible in 510 subjects. Of these, fractures were not confirmed in 11% (false positives). The percentage of false positives was greater in men than in women (15% vs 9%, p = 0.04), and less for fractures of the distal forearm and hip than for fractures at other sites. In a separate study, the degree of underreporting (false negatives) was assessed by follow-up of 251 individuals with confirmed fracture ascertained from the records of fracture clinics in three European centers (Lubeck, Oviedo, Warsaw). Questionnaire responses were received from 174 (69%) subjects. Of these, 12 (7%) did not recall sustaining a fracture (false negatives). The percentage of false negatives was lower for hip and distal forearm fractures with only 3 of 90 (3%) such fractures not recalled. Using the combined data from both studies, of those who reported a 'date' of fracture on the questionnaire, 91% of subjects were correct to within 1 month of the actual date of the fracture. A postal questionnaire is a relatively simple and accurate method for obtaining information about the occurrence of hip and distal forearm fractures, including their timing. Accuracy of ascertainment of fractures at other sites is less good and where possible self-reported fractures at such sites should be verified from other sources.

Does location of vertebral deformity within the spine influence back pain and disability? European Vertebral Osteoporosis Study (EVOS) Group.

OBJECTIVE: Vertebral deformity is associated with back pain and disability. The aim of this analysis was to determine whether location within the spine influences the strength of association between vertebral deformity, back pain and disability. METHODS: Men and women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 30 European centres. Subjects were invited for an interviewer administered questionnaire, and for lateral spinal radiographs. The questionnaire included questions about back pain, general health and functional ability. The spinal radiographs were evaluated morphometrically and vertebral deformity defined according to the McCloskey-Kanis method. RESULTS: 756 (11.7%) men and 885 (11. 8%) women had evidence of one or more vertebral deformities. Among women with a single deformity, after adjusting for age and centre, those with a lumbar deformity were more likely than those with a thoracic deformity to report back pain, both currently (OR=1.4; 95% CI 1.0, 2.0) and in the past year (OR=1.5; 95% CI 1.0, 2.3). No association was observed in men. Among women with two deformities, those with adjacent deformities were more likely than those with non-adjacent deformities to report poor general health (OR=2.2; 95%CI 0.9, 5.6), impaired functional ability (OR=1.9; 95%CI 0.8, 4. 7) and current back pain (OR=2.1; 95%CI 0.9, 4.9), though none of these associations were statistically significant. By contrast, among men, non-adjacent deformities were associated with impaired functional ability compared with those with adjacent deformities. CONCLUSION: Location within the spine influences the strength of association between self reported health factors and vertebral deformity.