Prognostic value of total tumor volume in patients with colorectal liver metastases: A secondary analysis of the randomized CAIRO5 trial with external cohort validation.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of total tumor volume (TTV) for early recurrence (within 6 months) and overall survival (OS) in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), treated with induction systemic therapy followed by complete local treatment. METHODS: Patients with initially unresectable CRLM from the multicenter randomized phase 3 CAIRO5 trial (NCT02162563) who received induction systemic therapy followed by local treatment were included. Baseline TTV and change in TTV as response to systemic therapy were calculated using the CT scan before and the first after systemic treatment, and were assessed for their added prognostic value. The findings were validated in an external cohort of patients treated at a tertiary center. RESULTS: In total, 215 CAIRO5 patients were included. Baseline TTV and absolute change in TTV were significantly associated with early recurrence (P = 0.005 and P = 0.040, respectively) and OS in multivariable analyses (P = 0.024 and P = 0.006, respectively), whereas RECIST1.1 was not prognostic for early recurrence (P = 0.88) and OS (P = 0.35). In the validation cohort (n = 85), baseline TTV and absolute change in TTV remained prognostic for early recurrence (P = 0.041 and P = 0.021, respectively) and OS in multivariable analyses (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.012, respectively), and showed added prognostic value over conventional clinicopathological variables (increase C-statistic, 0.06; 95 % CI, 0.02 to 0.14; P = 0.008). CONCLUSION: Total tumor volume is strongly prognostic for early recurrence and OS in patients who underwent complete local treatment of initially unresectable CRLM, both in the CAIRO5 trial and the validation cohort. In contrast, RECIST1.1 did not show prognostic value for neither early recurrence nor OS.

Physical performance has a strong association with poor surgical outcome in older patients with colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Low lumbar skeletal muscle mass and density have been associated with adverse outcomes in different populations with colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to determine whether skeletal muscle mass, density, and physical performance are associated with postoperative complications and overall survival (OS) in older CRC patients. METHODS: We analysed consecutive patients (≥70 years) undergoing elective surgery for non-metastatic CRC (stage I-III). Lumbar skeletal muscle mass and muscle density were measured using abdominal CT-images obtained prior to surgery. Low skeletal muscle mass and low muscle density were defined using commonly used thresholds and by gender-specific quartiles (Q). The preoperative use of a mobility aid served as a marker for physical performance. Cox regression proportional hazard models were used to investigate the association between the independent variables and OS. RESULTS: 174 Patients were included (mean age 78.0), with median follow-up 2.6 years. 36 Patients (21%) used a mobility aid preoperatively. Low muscle density (Q1 vs Q4) and not muscle mass was associated with worse postoperative outcomes, including severe complications (p < 0.05). Use of a mobility aid was associated with more complications, including severe complications (39% vs 17%, p = 0.004) and OS (HR 2.65, CI 1.29-5.44, p = 0.01). However, patients with mobility aid use and low skeletal muscle mass had worse OS (HR 5.68, p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Low skeletal muscle density and not muscle mass was associated with more complications after colorectal surgery in older patients. Physical performance has the strongest association for poor surgical outcomes and should be investigated when measuring skeletal muscle mass and density.

Prediction of presence of kidney disease in a general patient population undergoing intravenous iodinated contrast enhanced computed tomography.

OBJECTIVE: To assess which risk factors can be used to reduce superfluous estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measurements before intravenous contrast medium administration. METHODS: In consecutive patients, all decreased eGFR risk factors were assessed: diabetes mellitus (DM), history of urologic/nephrologic disease (HUND), nephrotoxic medication, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, age > 60 years, anaemia, malignancy and multiple myeloma/M. Waldenström. We studied four models: (1) all risk factors, (2) DM, HUND, hypertension, age > 60 years; (3) DM, HUND, cardiovascular disease, hypertension; (4) DM, HUND, age > 75 years and congestive heart failure. For each model, association with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) or eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2) was studied. RESULTS: A total of 998 patients, mean age 59.94 years were included; 112 with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and 30 with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Model 1 detected 816 patients: 108 with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and all 30 with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Model 2 detected 745 patients: 108 with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and all 30 with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Model 3 detected 622 patients: 100 with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and all 30 with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Model 4 detected 440 patients: 86 with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and all 30 with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Associations were significant (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Model 4 is most effective, resulting in the lowest proportion of superfluous eGFR measurements while detecting all patients with eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and most with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2). KEY POINTS: A major risk factor for contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is kidney disease. Risk factors are used to identify patients with pre-existent kidney disease. Evidence for risk factors to identify patients with kidney disease is limited. The number of eGFR measurements to detect kidney disease can be reduced.

Contrast induced nephropathy in patients undergoing intravenous (IV) contrast enhanced computed tomography (CECT) and the relationship with risk factors: a meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: To summarize the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) and associations between CIN incidence and risk factors in patients undergoing intravenous contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) with low- or iso-osmolar iodinated contrast medium. METHODS: This review is performed in accordance with the preferred reporting items in systematic reviews and meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. We searched the MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane databases from 2002 till November 2012. Two reviewers included papers and extracted data. The pooled data were analysed by either fixed or random-effects approach depending on heterogeneity defined as the I(2) index. RESULTS: 42 articles with 18,790 patients (mean age 61.5 years (range: 38-83 years)) were included. The mean baseline eGFR was 59.8 mL/min and ranged from 4 to 256 mL/min. Of all patients 45.0% had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<60 mL/min, 55.2% had hypertension; 20.2% had diabetes mellitus (DM) and 6.5% had congestive heart failure (CHF). The overall pooled CIN incidence, defined as a SCr increase of ≥ 25% or ≥ 0.5mg/dL, was 4.96% (95%CI: 3.79-6.47). Data analysis showed associations between CIN and the presence of renal insufficiency, DM, malignancy, age>65 years and use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID's) with odds ratios of 1.73 (95%CI: 1.06-2.82), 1.87 (95%CI: 1.55-2.26), 1.79 (95%CI: 1.03-3.11), 1.95 (95%CI: 1.02-3.70) and 2.32 (95%CI: 1.04-5.19), respectively while hypertension, anaemia and CFH were not associated (p=0.13, p=0.38, p=0.40). CONCLUSION: The mean incidence of CIN after intravenous iodinated CECT was low and associated with renal insufficiency, diabetes, presence of malignancy, old age and NSAID's use.