Mortality prediction in head trauma patients: performance of Glasgow Coma Score and general severity systems.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the performance of general severity systems (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation [APACHE] II, Simplified Acute Physiology Score [SAPS] II, and Mortality Probability Models [MPM] II) for head trauma patients and to compare these systems with the Glasgow Coma Score, in order to obtain a good estimate of severity of illness and probability of hospital mortality. DESIGN: Inception cohort. SETTING: Adult medical and surgical intensive care units in 12 European and North American countries. PATIENTS: Patients (n = 401) who were diagnosed with head trauma (with/without multiple trauma), leading to intensive care unit admission, and who were not brain dead at the time of arrival. INTERVENTIONS: Statistical analysis to assess the performance of general severity systems. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Vital status at the time of hospital discharge was the outcome measure. Performance of the severity systems (SAPS II, MPM II0 [MPM at admission], MPM II24 [MPM at 24 hrs], and APACHE II) was assessed by evaluating calibration and discrimination. Logistic regression was used to convert the Glasgow Coma Score into a probability of death. The MPM II system (either MPM II0 or MPM 1124) provided an adequate estimation of the mortality experience in patients with head trauma. SAPS II and APACHE II systems did not calibrate well, although they showed high discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.95 for SAPS II, 0.94 for APACHE II, and 0.90 for MPM II0 and MPM II24). The logistic regression model containing the Glasgow Coma Score as an independent variable and developed in this group of patients was not as well calibrated as MPM II. The discrimination of this model was very high, in the range observed for the APACHE II, SAPS II, and MPM II systems. CONCLUSIONS: The MPM II system performs better than APACHE II, SAPS II, and Glasgow Coma Score for head trauma patients. If our results are supported by other studies, MPM II would be an appropriate tool to assess severity of illness in head trauma patients, with applications to clinical practice and clinical research.

Meningococcal meningitis with 'normal' cerebrospinal fluid.

A prospective study was made of all patients with normal CSF counts and positive cultures for Neisseria meningitidis diagnosed in "El Vallés" County, Barcelona between January 1987 and December 1990. Meningococcal meningitis was documented in 82 patients, eight of whom (seven children, five boys and two girls with a mean age of 5.6 +/- 3.3 years, and a 69-year-old male patient) had no apparent CSF abnormalities in the initial lumbar puncture. At the time of admission all patients had fever (mean 39.1 degrees C) of 10.8 +/- 5.6 hour duration and petechial rash which had been present for a mean of 3.6 +/- 3.3 hours. Signs of meningeal irritation were not found. A 4-month-old infant with symptoms of circulatory collapse, intracranial hypertension and impairment of consciousness subsequently died of septicemia in 48 hours. Group B N. meningitidis was isolated in six cases (reduced penicillin-susceptibility in two cases) and group C N. meningitidis in the remaining two (reduced penicillin-susceptibility in one case). Patients without pleocytosis did not differ in a statistically significant fashion from the patients with high pleocytosis in the duration of temperature, and petechial rash, leukopenia, positive blood culture and fatal outcome.

Predictive factors for invasive disease due to penicillin-resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae: a population-based study.

A prospective population-based study was carried out to determine predictive factors associated with penicillin-resistant pneumococcal invasive disease. A total of 374 patients (250 males and 124 females; mean age, 50.3 +/- 27 years) with invasive pneumococcal infection were admitted to one of the five hospitals in El Vallés County (an industrial area with 800,000 inhabitants in the province of Barcelona, Spain) over a period of 5 years. Of the 374 episodes, 21 (5.6%) were due to highly penicillin-resistant pneumococci and 67 (17.9%) to intermediately penicillin-resistant pneumococci. Multivariate analysis showed a statistically significant association between infection with intermediately penicillin-resistant pneumococci and an age of 0-4 years (odds ratio [OR] = 5.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.2-12.6), the presence of an immunosuppressive underlying disease (OR = 3.0; 95% CI = 1.5-6.0), and the previous use of beta-lactam antibiotics (OR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.0-4.5). Infection with highly penicillin-resistant pneumococci was associated only with the previous use of beta-lactam antibiotics (OR = 5.9; 95% 95% CI = 2.2-15.8). Highly resistant strains were of serotypes 6, 9, 14, 15, 19, and 23, of which all but serotypes 9 and 15 are included in the newly formulated conjugated vaccine.

Prospective epidemiological study of invasive Haemophilus influenzae disease in adults.

The incidence and characteristics of invasive Haemophilus influenzae disease were studied in 43 adult patients admitted to the acute care hospitals in El Vallés County (Barcelona, Spain) between January 1987 and June 1992. The annual incidence of Haemophilus influenzae disease was 1.2 per 100,000 inhabitants. Pneumonia occurred in 24 patients, meningitis in five, intraabdominal infections in three, obstetric infections in two, epiglottitis in two and cellulitis in one. In six patients the source of infection was unknown. Ten (23%) of the infections were hospital acquired. Underlying conditions were diagnosed in 30 (70%) patients. Nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae strains predominated in all adult age groups. Sixty-one percent of type b and 34% of nontypeable strains were ampicillin resistant (p = 0.08). Multiple antibiotic resistance was also high among type b (53%) and nontypeable (18%) strains. The mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with pneumonia, bacteremia from an unidentified focus or shock at presentation.

Neisseria meningitidis with reduced sensitivity to penicillin: observations in 10 children.

10/84 strains (11.9%) of Neisseria meningitidis isolated from blood and/or cerebrospinal fluid in children 1986-1987 had reduced sensitivity to benzylpenicillin (MICs 0.1-0.4 mg/l). Group C meningococci predominated among these strains. The clinical course was satisfactory in all cases regardless of the antibiotic treatment used, although the time to abatement of fever was prolonged compared to that of children infected with susceptible strains.