Natural and unnatural oil slicks in the Gulf of Mexico.

When wind speeds are 2-10 m s-1, reflective contrasts in the ocean surface make oil slicks visible to synthetic aperture radar (SAR) under all sky conditions. Neural network analysis of satellite SAR images quantified the magnitude and distribution of surface oil in the Gulf of Mexico from persistent, natural seeps and from the Deepwater Horizon (DWH) discharge. This analysis identified 914 natural oil seep zones across the entire Gulf of Mexico in pre-2010 data. Their ∼0.1 µm slicks covered an aggregated average of 775 km2. Assuming an average volume of 77.5 m3 over an 8-24 h lifespan per oil slick, the floating oil indicates a surface flux of 2.5-9.4 × 104 m3 yr-1. Oil from natural slicks was regionally concentrated: 68%, 25%, 7%, and <1% of the total was observed in the NW, SW, NE, and SE Gulf, respectively. This reflects differences in basin history and hydrocarbon generation. SAR images from 2010 showed that the 87 day DWH discharge produced a surface-oil footprint fundamentally different from background seepage, with an average ocean area of 11,200 km2 (SD 5028) and a volume of 22,600 m3 (SD 5411). Peak magnitudes of oil were detected during equivalent, ∼14 day intervals around 23 May and 18 June, when wind speeds remained <5 m s-1. Over this interval, aggregated volume of floating oil decreased by 21%; area covered increased by 49% (p < 0.1), potentially altering its ecological impact. The most likely causes were increased applications of dispersant and surface burning operations.

Cardiac responses to acoustic playback experiments in the captive bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus).

Acoustic recordings were used to investigate the cardiac responses of a captive dolphin (Tursiops truncatus) to sound playback stimuli. A suction-cup hydrophone placed on the ventral midline of the dolphin produced a continuous heartbeat signal while the dolphin was submerged. Heartbeats were timed by applying a matched-filter to the phonocardiogram. Significant heart rate accelerations were observed in response to playback stimuli involving conspecific vocalizations compared with baseline rates or tank noise playbacks. This method documents that objective psychophysiological measures can be obtained for physically unrestrained cetaceans. In addition, the results are the 1st to show cardiac responses to acoustic stimuli from a cetacean at depth. Preliminary evidence suggests that the cardiac response patterns of dolphins are consistent with the physiological defense and startle responses in terrestrial mammals and birds.

A comment on testing for a decline in upper Cretaceous dinosaur diversity.

A common problem in ecology is to determine whether the diversity of a biological community has changed over time or in response to a disturbance. This involves testing the null hypothesis that diversity is constant against the alternative hypothesis that it has changed. As the power of this test may be low, Fritsch and Hsu (1999, Biometrics 55, 1300-1305) proposed reversing the null and alternative hypothesis. Here, I return to the original formulation and point out that power can be improved by adopting a parametric model for relative abundances and by testing against an ordered alternative.

Species distributions, land values, and efficient conservation

Efforts at species conservation in the United States have tended to be opportunistic and uncoordinated. Recently, however, ecologists and economists have begun to develop more systematic approaches. Here, the problem of efficiently allocating scarce conservation resources in the selection of sites for biological reserves is addressed. With the use of county-level data on land prices and the incidence of endangered species, it is shown that accounting for heterogeneity in land prices results in a substantial increase in efficiency in terms of either the cost of achieving a fixed coverage of species or the coverage attained from a fixed budget.

Induction and post-transcriptional suppression of hepatic cytochrome P450 1A1 by 3,3',4,4'-tetrachlorobiphenyl.

3,3',4,4'-Tetrachlorobiphenyl (TCB) can induce and inhibit cytochrome P450 1A1 (CYP1A1) in vertebrates. TCB may also suppress CYP1A1 protein levels, but the mechanism is unknown. This study examined transcriptional and translational aspects of hepatic CYP1A1 regulation in the fish scup (Stenotomus chrysops) given single intraperitoneal injections of low (0.1 mg/kg) or high (5 mg/kg) doses of TCB, and sampled over 16 days. The low dose strongly induced hepatic CYP1A1 mRNA (25-fold), protein (12-fold), and activity [ethoxyresorufin O-deethylase (EROD)] (15-fold). The high dose also strongly induced CYP1A1 mRNA (29-fold), in a pattern like that at the low dose, but microsomal CYP1A1 protein content was induced only 4-fold and EROD rates were near control levels. Both TCB doses caused similar increases in microsomal cytochrome b5 content, and in rates of NADPH-cytochrome c (P450) reductase and UDP-glucuronosyltransferase (with p-nitrophenol). The contents of CYP forms other than CYP1A1 (putative CYP2B or CYP3A) were only weakly affected by TCB at either dose. The strong and largely specific post-transcriptional suppression of CYP1A1 content was associated with high concentrations of TCB measured in the liver. Incubation of scup hepatic microsomes with TCB plus NADPH led to a time-dependent inactivation of CYP1A1 that was distinct from catalytic inhibition, and appeared not to involve reactive metabolites of TCB. This in vitro result suggests that TCB may inactivate CYP1A1 in vivo, which could account for the apparent antagonistic effect of TCB on CYP1A1 induction.

An exact McNemar test for paired binary Markov chains.

A straightforward extension of the McNemar test for paired binary data yields an exact test for the equality of the limiting marginal distributions for bivariate binary Markov chains. The exact distribution of the test statistics under the null hypothesis of equal marginals depends on the classical cell occupancy statistics for the Bose-Einstein model. Exact p-values are computed for the one-sided test, and the mean and variance of the test statistic are found. The power of the Markov-McNemar test is found to be close to the power of the classical McNemar test for independent paired observations when the independence assumption holds. The method is applied to the comparison of ribosomal DNA sequences.

Detecting change in the composition of multispecies community.

This paper describes an approach to extracting a trend from a time series of the composition of a multispecies community. The approach is based on a modification of a method for trend extraction from ordinary multiple time series. Two applications to a Northwest Atlantic ecosystem are described.

Microaggregations of oceanic plankton observed by towed video microscopy.

Oceanic plankton have been hypothesized to occur in micropatches (<10 meters) that can have a large impact on marine ecosystem dynamics. Towed video microscopy was used to unobtrusively determine distributions of oceanic plankton over a continuum of scales from microns to hundreds of meters. Distinct, taxa-specific aggregations measuring less than 20 centimeters were found for copepods but not for nonmotile (cyanobacterial colonies) or asexual (doliolid phorozooids) forms, which suggests that these small patches are related to mating. Significant patchiness was also found on larger scales and was correlated among taxa, indicating physical control. These video observations provide new insights into basic plankton ecology by allowing quantitative assessment of individual plankton in their natural, undisturbed state.

A note on the statistical properties of animal locations.

A statistical model of the successive locations of an animal in the plane induces a statistical model of the relative positions of successive locations. A common locational model is that the Cartesian coordinates of successive locations in the plane are independent bivariate normal random variables. This note gives the statistical properties of the direction and length of the vector joining successive locations.

An application of circular-linear correlation analysis to the relationship between Freon concentration and wind direction in Woods Hole, Massachusetts.

Two statistical tests for correlation between a circular variate and a linear variate are presented. The tests are applied to a small data set concerning Freon-12 concentration and wind direction in Woods Hole, Massachusetts during the summer of 1987. A significant correlation is found. Further analysis suggests that this directional effect is related to onshore Freon-12 release.