Additively-separable and rank-discounted variable-population social welfare functions: A characterization.

Economic policy evaluations require social welfare functions for variable-size populations. Two important candidates are critical-level generalized utilitarianism (CLGU) and rank-discounted critical-level generalized utilitarianism, which was recently characterized by Asheim and Zuber (2014) (AZ). AZ introduce a novel axiom, existence of egalitarian equivalence (EEE). First, we show that, under some uncontroversial criteria for a plausible social welfare relation, EEE suffices to rule out the Repugnant Conclusion of population ethics (without AZ's other novel axioms). Second, we provide a new characterization of CLGU: AZ's set of axioms is equivalent to CLGU when EEE is replaced by the axiom same-number independence.

Against the De Minimis Principle.

According to the class of de minimis decision principles, risks can be ignored (or at least treated very differently from other risks) if the risk is sufficiently small. In this article, we argue that a de minimis threshold has no place in a normative theory of decision making, because the application of the principle will either recommend ignoring risks that should not be ignored (e.g., the sure death of a person) or it cannot be used by ordinary bounded and information-constrained agents.

Brain age prediction using deep learning uncovers associated sequence variants.

Machine learning algorithms can be trained to estimate age from brain structural MRI. The difference between an individual's predicted and chronological age, predicted age difference (PAD), is a phenotype of relevance to aging and brain disease. Here, we present a new deep learning approach to predict brain age from a T1-weighted MRI. The method was trained on a dataset of healthy Icelanders and tested on two datasets, IXI and UK Biobank, utilizing transfer learning to improve accuracy on new sites. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) of PAD in the UK Biobank data (discovery set: [Formula: see text], replication set: [Formula: see text]) yielded two sequence variants, rs1452628-T ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text]) and rs2435204-G ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text]). The former is near KCNK2 and correlates with reduced sulcal width, whereas the latter correlates with reduced white matter surface area and tags a well-known inversion at 17q21.31 (H2).

On the Limits of the Precautionary Principle.

The precautionary principle (PP) is an influential principle of risk management. It has been widely introduced into environmental legislation, and it plays an important role in most international environmental agreements. Yet, there is little consensus on precisely how to understand and formulate the principle. In this article I prove some impossibility results for two plausible formulations of the PP as a decision-rule. These results illustrate the difficulty in making the PP consistent with the acceptance of any tradeoffs between catastrophic risks and more ordinary goods. How one interprets these results will, however, depend on one's views and commitments. For instance, those who are convinced that the conditions in the impossibility results are requirements of rationality may see these results as undermining the rationality of the PP. But others may simply take these results to identify a set of purported rationality conditions that defenders of the PP should not accept, or to illustrate types of situations in which the principle should not be applied.

Genome-wide common and rare variant analysis provides novel insights into clozapine-associated neutropenia.

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/mp.2016.97.

Rare and Common Variants Conferring Risk of Tooth Agenesis.

We present association results from a large genome-wide association study of tooth agenesis (TA) as well as selective TA, including 1,944 subjects with congenitally missing teeth, excluding third molars, and 338,554 controls, all of European ancestry. We also tested the association of previously identified risk variants, for timing of tooth eruption and orofacial clefts, with TA. We report associations between TA and 9 novel risk variants. Five of these variants associate with selective TA, including a variant conferring risk of orofacial clefts. These results contribute to a deeper understanding of the genetic architecture of tooth development and disease. The few variants previously associated with TA were uncovered through candidate gene studies guided by mouse knockouts. Knowing the etiology and clinical features of TA is important for planning oral rehabilitation that often involves an interdisciplinary approach.

15q11.2 CNV affects cognitive, structural and functional correlates of dyslexia and dyscalculia.

Several copy number variants have been associated with neuropsychiatric disorders and these variants have been shown to also influence cognitive abilities in carriers unaffected by psychiatric disorders. Previously, we associated the 15q11.2(BP1-BP2) deletion with specific learning disabilities and a larger corpus callosum. Here we investigate, in a much larger sample, the effect of the 15q11.2(BP1-BP2) deletion on cognitive, structural and functional correlates of dyslexia and dyscalculia. We report that the deletion confers greatest risk of the combined phenotype of dyslexia and dyscalculia. We also show that the deletion associates with a smaller left fusiform gyrus. Moreover, tailored functional magnetic resonance imaging experiments using phonological lexical decision and multiplication verification tasks demonstrate altered activation in the left fusiform and the left angular gyri in carriers. Thus, by using convergent evidence from neuropsychological testing, and structural and functional neuroimaging, we show that the 15q11.2(BP1-BP2) deletion affects cognitive, structural and functional correlates of both dyslexia and dyscalculia.

Counterfactual Desirability.

The desirability of what actually occurs is often influenced by what could have been. Preferences based on such value dependencies between actual and counterfactual outcomes generate a class of problems for orthodox decision theory, the best-known perhaps being the so-called Allais paradox. In this article we solve these problems by extending Richard Jeffrey's decision theory to counterfactual prospects, using a multidimensional possible-world semantics for conditionals, and showing that preferences that are sensitive to counterfactual considerations can still be desirability-maximizing. We end the article by investigating the conditions necessary and sufficient for a desirability function to be a standard expected-utility function. It turns out that the additional conditions imply highly implausible epistemic principles. 1Two Paradoxes of Rational Choice2Jeffrey Desirability3Counterfactuals 3.1Probability and desirability of counterfactuals3.2Representations4Counterfactual-Dependent Preferences 4.1Preference actualism and desirability maximization4.2Modelling Allais's and Diamond's preferences5Ethical Actualism and Separability 5.1Independence and additive separability5.2 Ethical actualism5.3Expected utility, separability, and ethical actualism6Concluding Remarks7Appendix.

Genome-wide common and rare variant analysis provides novel insights into clozapine-associated neutropenia.

The antipsychotic clozapine is uniquely effective in the management of schizophrenia; however, its use is limited by its potential to induce agranulocytosis. The causes of this, and of its precursor neutropenia, are largely unknown, although genetic factors have an important role. We sought risk alleles for clozapine-associated neutropenia in a sample of 66 cases and 5583 clozapine-treated controls, through a genome-wide association study (GWAS), imputed human leukocyte antigen (HLA) alleles, exome array and copy-number variation (CNV) analyses. We then combined associated variants in a meta-analysis with data from the Clozapine-Induced Agranulocytosis Consortium (up to 163 cases and 7970 controls). In the largest combined sample to date, we identified a novel association with rs149104283 (odds ratio (OR)=4.32, P=1.79 × 10-8), intronic to transcripts of SLCO1B3 and SLCO1B7, members of a family of hepatic transporter genes previously implicated in adverse drug reactions including simvastatin-induced myopathy and docetaxel-induced neutropenia. Exome array analysis identified gene-wide associations of uncommon non-synonymous variants within UBAP2 and STARD9. We additionally provide independent replication of a previously identified variant in HLA-DQB1 (OR=15.6, P=0.015, positive predictive value=35.1%). These results implicate biological pathways through which clozapine may act to cause this serious adverse effect.

Genome-wide common and rare variant analysis provides novel insights into clozapine-associated neutropenia.

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/mp.2016.97.

Genetic overlap between Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease at the MAPT locus.

We investigated the genetic overlap between Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Parkinson's disease (PD). Using summary statistics (P-values) from large recent genome-wide association studies (GWAS) (total n=89 904 individuals), we sought to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associating with both AD and PD. We found and replicated association of both AD and PD with the A allele of rs393152 within the extended MAPT region on chromosome 17 (meta analysis P-value across five independent AD cohorts=1.65 × 10(-7)). In independent datasets, we found a dose-dependent effect of the A allele of rs393152 on intra-cerebral MAPT transcript levels and volume loss within the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus. Our findings identify the tau-associated MAPT locus as a site of genetic overlap between AD and PD, and extending prior work, we show that the MAPT region increases risk of Alzheimer's neurodegeneration.

Cutaneous melanoma in Iceland: changing Breslow's tumour thickness.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of cutaneous melanoma increased dramatically in Iceland during the last two decades of the 20th century. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the trend in Breslow's tumour thickness during the years 1980-2009. METHODS: The population-based Icelandic Cancer Registry provided information on all cutaneous melanomas diagnosed in the country during the study period, a total of 854 cases. Incidence rates were stratified according to gender, age at diagnosis, year of diagnosis and Breslow's tumour thickness. RESULTS: When stratified by gender and age, the incidence of thin (≤1.0 mm) melanomas increased dramatically in all subgroups. The increase in thin (≤1.0 mm) melanomas was more apparent in women or 2.6 per 100,000 in 1980-1989 to 13.3 in 2000-2009 and especially in young (<50 years) women or from 1.6 to 12.2 per 100,000 during the same period compared to an increase from 0.2 to 3.4 per 100,000 for young (<50 years) men (P < 0.05). In intermediate thickness (1.01-4.0 mm) tumours, the incidence increased only in men over the age of 50 from 2.1 in 1980-1989 to 11.3 per 100,000 in 2000-2009 (P < 0.05). The incidence of thick melanomas (>4 mm) did not increase. The median Breslow's thickness declined from 2.15 mm in 1980-1989 to 0.9 mm in 2000-2009 in males and from 1.0 to 0.6 mm in females for the same period (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The rise in melanoma incidence in individuals under 50 years and in women over 50 years was confined to thin tumours. However, among older males there was also an increased incidence of tumours of an intermediate thickness. This could indicate that future melanoma educational campaigns in Iceland should be directed at older individuals, and that older men may need special attention regarding suspicious nevi.

Convergent lines of evidence support CAMKK2 as a schizophrenia susceptibility gene.

Genes that are differentially expressed between schizophrenia patients and healthy controls may have key roles in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia. We analyzed two large-scale genome-wide expression studies, which examined changes in gene expression in schizophrenia patients and their matched controls. We found calcium/calmodulin (CAM)-dependent protein kinase kinase 2 (CAMKK2) is significantly downregulated in individuals with schizophrenia in both studies. To seek the potential genetic variants that may regulate the expression of CAMKK2, we investigated the association between single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within CAMKK2 and the expression level of CAMKK2. We found one SNP, rs1063843, which is located in intron 17 of CAMKK2, is strongly associated with the expression level of CAMKK2 in human brains (P=1.1 × 10(-6)) and lymphoblastoid cell lines (the lowest P=8.4 × 10(-6)). We further investigated the association between rs1063843 and schizophrenia in multiple independent populations (a total of 130 623 subjects) and found rs1063843 is significantly associated with schizophrenia (P=5.17 × 10(-5)). Interestingly, we found the T allele of rs1063843, which is associated with lower expression level of CAMKK2, has a higher frequency in individuals with schizophrenia in all of the tested samples, suggesting rs1063843 may be a causal variant. We also found that rs1063843 is associated with cognitive function and personality in humans. In addition, protein-protein interaction (PPI) analysis revealed that CAMKK2 participates in a highly interconnected PPI network formed by top schizophrenia genes, which further supports the potential role of CAMKK2 in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia. Taken together, these converging lines of evidence strongly suggest that CAMKK2 may have pivotal roles in schizophrenia susceptibility.

Replication and meta-analysis of common variants identifies a genome-wide significant locus in migraine.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Genetic factors contribute to the aetiology of the prevalent form of migraine without aura (MO) and migraine with typical aura (MTA). Due to the complex inheritance of MO and MTA, the genetic background is still not fully established. In a population-based genome-wide association study by Chasman et al. (Nat Genet 2011: 43: 695-698), three common variants were found to confer risk of migraine at a genome-wide significant level (P < 5 × 10(-8) ). We aimed to evaluate the top association single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from the discovery set by Chasman et al. in a primarily clinic-based Danish and Icelandic cohort. METHODS: The top association SNPs were assessed in 2523 cases and 38,170 controls, and a meta-analysis was performed, combining the discovery set with all the follow-up studies. Finally the confirmed SNPs were assessed in a genotype-phenotype analysis. RESULTS: Two out of three SNPs that showed genome-wide significant associations in the previous study: rs10166942 (near TRPM8) and rs11172113 (in LRP1) were significantly associated with migraine in the present study. The meta-analysis confirmed the previous three genome-wide significant associated SNPs (rs2651899, rs10166942 and rs11172113) to confer risk of migraine. In addition, the C-allele of rs2078371 (near TSPAN-2) also reached genome-wide significance for association with migraine [OR = 1.14; CI = (1.09-1.20); P = 2.55 × 10(-8) ]. CONCLUSION: TSPAN-2 encodes an integral membrane protein involved in oligodendrogenesis. This new finding supports the plausible implication of neuroglia in the pathophysiology of MO and MTA.

De novo CNV analysis implicates specific abnormalities of postsynaptic signalling complexes in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia.

A small number of rare, recurrent genomic copy number variants (CNVs) are known to substantially increase susceptibility to schizophrenia. As a consequence of the low fecundity in people with schizophrenia and other neurodevelopmental phenotypes to which these CNVs contribute, CNVs with large effects on risk are likely to be rapidly removed from the population by natural selection. Accordingly, such CNVs must frequently occur as recurrent de novo mutations. In a sample of 662 schizophrenia proband-parent trios, we found that rare de novo CNV mutations were significantly more frequent in cases (5.1% all cases, 5.5% family history negative) compared with 2.2% among 2623 controls, confirming the involvement of de novo CNVs in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia. Eight de novo CNVs occurred at four known schizophrenia loci (3q29, 15q11.2, 15q13.3 and 16p11.2). De novo CNVs of known pathogenic significance in other genomic disorders were also observed, including deletion at the TAR (thrombocytopenia absent radius) region on 1q21.1 and duplication at the WBS (Williams-Beuren syndrome) region at 7q11.23. Multiple de novos spanned genes encoding members of the DLG (discs large) family of membrane-associated guanylate kinases (MAGUKs) that are components of the postsynaptic density (PSD). Two de novos also affected EHMT1, a histone methyl transferase known to directly regulate DLG family members. Using a systems biology approach and merging novel CNV and proteomics data sets, systematic analysis of synaptic protein complexes showed that, compared with control CNVs, case de novos were significantly enriched for the PSD proteome (P=1.72 × 10⁻6. This was largely explained by enrichment for members of the N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) (P=4.24 × 10⁻6) and neuronal activity-regulated cytoskeleton-associated protein (ARC) (P=3.78 × 10⁻8) postsynaptic signalling complexes. In an analysis of 18 492 subjects (7907 cases and 10 585 controls), case CNVs were enriched for members of the NMDAR complex (P=0.0015) but not ARC (P=0.14). Our data indicate that defects in NMDAR postsynaptic signalling and, possibly, ARC complexes, which are known to be important in synaptic plasticity and cognition, play a significant role in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia.

Copy number variations of chromosome 16p13.1 region associated with schizophrenia.

Deletions and reciprocal duplications of the chromosome 16p13.1 region have recently been reported in several cases of autism and mental retardation (MR). As genomic copy number variants found in these two disorders may also associate with schizophrenia, we examined 4345 schizophrenia patients and 35,079 controls from 8 European populations for duplications and deletions at the 16p13.1 locus, using microarray data. We found a threefold excess of duplications and deletions in schizophrenia cases compared with controls, with duplications present in 0.30% of cases versus 0.09% of controls (P=0.007) and deletions in 0.12 % of cases and 0.04% of controls (P>0.05). The region can be divided into three intervals defined by flanking low copy repeats. Duplications spanning intervals I and II showed the most significant (P = 0.00010) association with schizophrenia. The age of onset in duplication and deletion carriers among cases ranged from 12 to 35 years, and the majority were males with a family history of psychiatric disorders. In a single Icelandic family, a duplication spanning intervals I and II was present in two cases of schizophrenia, and individual cases of alcoholism, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and dyslexia. Candidate genes in the region include NTAN1 and NDE1. We conclude that duplications and perhaps also deletions of chromosome 16p13.1, previously reported to be associated with autism and MR, also confer risk of schizophrenia.

Dissociation of accumulated genetic risk and disease severity in patients with schizophrenia.

Genotype-phenotype correlations of common monogenic diseases revealed that the degree of deviation of mutant genes from wild-type structure and function often predicts disease onset and severity. In complex disorders such as schizophrenia, the overall genetic risk is still often >50% but genotype-phenotype relationships are unclear. Recent genome-wide association studies (GWAS) replicated a risk for several single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) regarding the endpoint diagnosis of schizophrenia. The biological relevance of these SNPs, however, for phenotypes or severity of schizophrenia has remained obscure. We hypothesized that the GWAS 'top-10' should as single markers, but even more so upon their accumulation, display associations with lead features of schizophrenia, namely positive and negative symptoms, cognitive deficits and neurological signs (including catatonia), and/or with age of onset of the disease prodrome as developmental readout and predictor of disease severity. For testing this hypothesis, we took an approach complementary to GWAS, and performed a phenotype-based genetic association study (PGAS). We utilized the to our knowledge worldwide largest phenotypical database of schizophrenic patients (n>1000), the GRAS (Göttingen Research Association for Schizophrenia) Data Collection. We found that the 'top-10' GWAS-identified risk SNPs neither as single markers nor when explored in the sense of a cumulative genetic risk, have any predictive value for disease onset or severity in the schizophrenic patients, as demonstrated across all core symptoms. We conclude that GWAS does not extract disease genes of general significance in schizophrenia, but may yield, on a hypothesis-free basis, candidate genes relevant for defining disease subgroups.

Screen for CACNA1A and ATP1A2 mutations in sporadic hemiplegic migraine patients.

The aim of this study was to investigate the involvement of the CACNA1A and ATP1A2 gene in a population-based sample of sporadic hemiplegic migraine (SHM). Patients with SHM (n = 105) were identified in a nationwide search in the Danish population. We sequenced all exons and promoter regions of the CACNA1A and ATP1A2 genes in 100 patients with SHM to search for possible SHM mutations. Novel DNA variants were discovered in eight SHM patients, four in exons of the CACNA1A gene and four in exons of the ATP1A2 gene. Six of the variants were considered non-pathogenic. The causal role of the two remaining DNA variants is unknown until functional studies have been made or independent genetic evidence is discovered. Only very few DNA variants were identified in 100 SHM patients, and regardless of whether the identified variants are causal the CACNA1A and ATP1A2 genes are not major genes in SHM.

The genetic spectrum of a population-based sample of familial hemiplegic migraine.

Familial hemiplegic migraine (FHM) is a rare subtype of migraine with aura and transient hemiplegia. FHM mutations are known in three genes, the CACNA1A (FHM1) gene, the ATP1A2 (FHM2) and the SCN1A (FHM3) gene and seem to have an autosomal-dominant mode of inheritance. The aim of this study was to search for FHM mutations in FHM families identified through a screen of the Danish population of 5.2 million people. FHM patients were diagnosed according to the International Classification of Headache Disorders and all FHM patients had a physical and neurological examination by a physician. A total of 147 FHM patients from 44 different families were identified; 43 FHM families participated in this study. Linkage analysis of these families shows clear linkage to the FHM locus (FHM1) on chromosome 19, supportive linkage to the FHM2 locus whereas no linkage was found to the FHM3 locus. Furthermore, we sequenced all exons and promoter regions of the CACNA1A and ATP1A2 genes and screened for the Q1489K mutation in the SCN1A gene. CACNA1A gene mutations were identified in three of the FHM families, two known FHM mutations, R583Q and T666M and one novel C1369Y mutation. Three FHM families were identified with novel mutations in the ATP1A2 gene; a family with a V138A mutation, a family with a R202Q mutation and a family with a R763C mutation. None of the Danish FHM families have the Q1489K mutation in the SCN1A gene. Our study shows that only 14% (6/42) of FHM families in the general Danish population have exonic FHM mutations in the CACNA1A or ATP1A2 gene. The families we identified with FHM mutations in the CACNA1A and ATP1A2 genes were extended, multiple affected families whereas the remaining FHM families were smaller. The existence of many small families in the Danish FHM cohort may reflect less bias in FHM family ascertainment and/or more locus heterogeneity than described previously.