Spatial accessibility of home visiting nursing: An exploratory ecological study.

Background and Aims: Japan is one of the oldest societies worldwide and manages a system of care for older adults in the community. In the 2000s, a community-based integrated care system was introduced to enable older adults to live in their neighborhoods. Home visiting nursing (HVN) is a crucial component of this system; however, the current and future shortage of home visiting nurses is a concern. Thus, HVN services may not be available in some areas; however, no indicators of the accessibility of HVN services have been developed. Developing accessibility indicators will serve as a standard for considering the allocation of health care resources and supporting future nursing policies that improve regional disparities. Methods: We estimated the population-weighted spatial accessibility index (PWSAI) of HVN services in Hokkaido, using the two-step floating catchment area method (2SFCA). The 2SFCA comprised population, location of HVN agencies, number of home visiting nurses, and travel time. A multivariate regression model was run for the number of HVN users in each municipality as the objective variable to test the validity of the PWSAI; the number of home care support clinics, home care support hospitals, HVN agencies, home visiting nurses, home visiting nurses (24/7), total beds in health care facilities for older adults, and nursing homes for older adults were included as other explanatory variables. Results: The PWSAI was median 9.0 [interquartile range: 6.2-11.8]. The distribution of the PWSAI was mapped to visualize the existence of regional differences. As a result of the conditional autoregressive model, PWSAI and home visiting nurses (24/7) were significant, Exp(ß) and 95% credible interval were 1.043 [1.015-1.076] and 1.021 [1.006-1.036], respectively. Conclusion: The PWSAI was positively correlated with the number of HVN users in each municipality and can serve as an indicator for assessing the accessibility of HVN.

The Capacitated Maximal Covering Location Problem Improves Access to Stroke Treatment: A Cross-Sectional Simulation Study.

Disparities in accessing advanced stroke treatment have been recognized as a policy challenge in multiple countries, including Japan, necessitating priority solutions. Nevertheless, more practical healthcare policies must be implemented due to the limited availability of healthcare staff and financial resources in most nations. This study aimed to evaluate the supply and demand balance of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) and identify areas with high priority for enhancing stroke centers. The target area of this study was Hokkaido, Japan. We adopted the capacitated maximal covering location problem (CMCLP) to propose an optimal allocation without increasing the number of medical facilities. Four realistic scenarios with varying levels of total MT supply capacity for Primary stroke centers and assuming a range of 90 minutes by car from the center were created and simulated. From scenarios 1 to 4, the coverage increased by approximately 53% to 85%, scenarios 2 and 3 had 5% oversupply, and scenario 4 had an oversupply of approximately 20%. When the supply capacity cap was eliminated and 8 PSCs received 31 or more patients, they became priority enhancement targets. The CMCLP estimates demand coverage considering the supply and demand balance and indicates areas and facilities where MT supply capacity enhancement is a priority.

COVID-19 Online Health Monitoring System to Support Municipal Health Centers.

An online health-monitoring system for COVID-19-infected patients who are staying in hotels and homes was developed using geographical information systems. This system provides display functions for sending health observation forms to infected residents, scoring for medical risk assessment, and centralized management. More than 1,146,000 health observation records were registered in November 2022, and the system contributed to maintaining the functionality of the municipal health center in Sapporo, Japan.

Optimal Transport System for Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

This study conducted cost utility analysis comparing 4 systems of transporting acute ischemic stroke patients in Hokkaido, Japan. Hypothetical patients were generated on a geographic information system, and their outcomes were estimated according to their transport time to hospitals administering tissue plasminogen activator and/or endovascular thrombectomy. The transport systems where a neurointerventionist traveled for earlier endovascular thrombectomy were most cost-effective in some rural areas, while direct transportation to comprehensive stroke centers was more cost-effective in other areas.

Optimal allocation of physicians improves accessibility and workload disparities in stroke care.

BACKGROUND: Inequalities in access to stroke care and the workload of physicians have been a challenge in recent times. This may be resolved by allocating physicians suitable for the expected demand. Therefore, this study analyzes whether reallocation using an optimization model reduces disparities in spatial access to healthcare and excessive workload. METHODS: This study targeted neuroendovascular specialists and primary stroke centers in Japan and employed an optimization model for reallocating neuroendovascular specialists to reduce the disparity in spatial accessibility to stroke treatment and workload for neuroendovascular specialists in Japan. A two-step floating catchment area method and an inverted two-step floating catchment area method were used to estimate the spatial accessibility and workload of neuroendovascular specialists as a potential crowdedness index. Quadratic programming has been proposed for the reallocation of neuroendovascular specialists. RESULTS: The reallocation of neuroendovascular specialists reduced the disparity in spatial accessibility and the potential crowdedness index. The standard deviation (SD) of the demand-weighted spatial accessibility index improved from 125.625 to 97.625. Simultaneously, the weighted median spatial accessibility index increased from 2.811 to 3.929. Additionally, the SD of the potential crowdedness index for estimating workload disparity decreased from 10,040.36 to 5934.275 after optimization. The sensitivity analysis also showed a similar trend of reducing disparities. CONCLUSIONS: The reallocation of neuroendovascular specialists reduced regional disparities in spatial accessibility to healthcare, potential crowdedness index, and disparities between facilities. Our findings contribute to planning health policies to realize equity throughout the healthcare system.

Access to mechanical thrombectomy and ischemic stroke mortality in Japan: a spatial ecological study.

Background: Advances in stroke treatment have greatly improved outcomes; however, disparities in access to treatment might increase. Achieving equitable access to stroke treatment is a health policy challenge, as rapid treatment is essential for positive outcomes. This ecological cross-sectional study aimed to determine the relationship between the disparities in spatial accessibility to mechanical thrombectomy (SAMT) and stroke mortality rates in Japan, hypothesizing that disparities in SAMT may increase the differences in stroke mortality between regions. Methods: We used the average number of ischemic stroke (IS) deaths between 2020 and 2021 as the response variable; and SAMT, medical resources, and socioeconomic characteristics of each municipality as explanatory variables. A conditional autoregressive model was used to examine the association between the risk of stroke mortality and SAMT. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was mapped to understand the nationwide disparities in stroke mortality risk. Results: The median number of IS deaths was 17.5 persons per year in the municipalities (2020 to 2021). The study also found that municipalities with low SAMT were located in the northern part of Japan. The non-spatial regression model results indicated that poor accessibility, a small proportion of bachelor's degrees or higher, and a high proportion of workers in secondary industries were related to high IS mortality. Three models were evaluated using spatial analysis; Model 1 with accessibility indicators alone, Model 2 with medical resources added to Model 1, and Model 3 with socioeconomic characteristics added to Model 2. In Models 1 and 2, the population-weighted spatial accessibility index (PWSAI) showed a significant negative relationship with stroke mortality. However, this was not evident in Model 3. Mapping using Model 3 showed that the high-risk areas were predominantly located in northern Japan, excluding Hokkaido. Conclusion: Access to mechanical thrombectomy was estimated, and regional differences were observed. The relationship between accessibility and IS mortality is unknown; however, regardless of accessibility, municipalities with a high proportion of workers in secondary industries and a small proportion with bachelor's degrees or above are at risk of death from stroke.

Cost-effectiveness of seven-days-per-week rehabilitation schedule for acute stroke patients.

BACKGROUND: Rehabilitation is an essential medical service for patients who have suffered acute stroke. Although the effectiveness of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation schedule has been studied in comparison with 5- or 6-days-per-week rehabilitation schedule, its cost-effectiveness has not been analyzed. In this research, to help formulate more cost-effective medical treatments for acute stroke patients, we analyzed the cost-effectiveness of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation for acute stroke from public health payer's perspective, and public healthcare and long-term care payer's perspective in Japan. METHODS: Cost-effectiveness of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation for acute stroke patients was analyzed based on the result from a previous study using a Japanese database examining the efficacy of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation. Cost utility analysis was conducted by comparing 7-days-per-week rehabilitation with 5- or 6-days-per-week rehabilitation, with its main outcome incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) calculated by dividing estimated incremental medical and long-term care costs by incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALY). The costs were estimated using the Japanese fee table and from published sources. The time horizon was 5 years, and Markov modeling was used for the analysis. RESULTS: The ICER was $6339/QALY from public health payer's perspective, lower than 5,000,000 Yen/QALY (approximately US$37,913), which was the willingness-to-pay used for the cost-effectiveness evaluation in Japan. The 7-day-per-week rehabilitation was dominant from public healthcare and long-term care payer's perspective. The result of sensitivity analysis confirmed the results. CONCLUSION: The results indicated that 7-days-per-week rehabilitation for acute stroke rehabilitation was likely to be cost-effective.

Spatial-temporal analysis of cerebral infarction mortality in Hokkaido, Japan: an ecological study using a conditional autoregressive model.

BACKGROUND: Accessibility to stroke treatments is a challenge that depends on the place of residence. However, recent advances in medical technology have improved health outcomes. Nevertheless, the geographic heterogeneity of medical resources may increase regional disparities. Therefore, evaluating spatial and temporal influences of the medical system on regional outcomes and advanced treatment of cerebral infarction are important from a health policy perspective. This spatial and temporal study aims to identify factors associated with mortality and to clarify regional disparities in cerebral infarction mortality at municipality level. METHODS: This ecological study used public data between 2010 and 2020 from municipalities in Hokkaido, Japan. We applied spatial and temporal condition autoregression analysis in a Bayesian setting, with inference based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. The response variable was the number of deaths due to cerebral infarction (ICD-10 code: I63). The explanatory variables were healthcare accessibility and socioeconomic status. RESULTS: The large number of emergency hospitals per 10,000 people (relative risk (RR) = 0.906, credible interval (Cr) = 0.861 to 0.954) was associated with low mortality. On the other hand, the large number of general hospitals per 10,000 people (RR = 1.123, Cr = 1.068 to 1.178) and longer distance to primary stroke centers (RR = 1.064, Cr = 1.014 to 1.110) were associated with high mortality. The standardized mortality ratio decreased from 2010 to 2020 in Hokkaido by approximately 44%. Regional disparity in mortality remained at the same level from 2010 to 2015, after which it narrowed by approximately 5% to 2020. After mapping, we identified municipalities with high mortality rates that emerged in Hokkaido's central and northeastern parts. CONCLUSION: Cerebral infarction mortality rates and the disparity in Hokkaido improved during the study period (2010-2020). This study emphasized that healthcare accessibility through places such as emergency hospitals and primary stroke centers was important in determining cerebral infarction mortality at the municipality level. In addition, this study identified municipalities with high mortality rates that require healthcare policy changes. The impact of socioeconomic factors on stroke is a global challenge, and improving access to healthcare may reduce disparities in outcomes.

ERRATUM: Differences in spatial patterns of long-term care depending on severity in Hokkaido, Japan.

Due to a mistake, the authors' affiliations were incorrectly reported in this article, published in Geospatial Health in 2022 (DOI: 10.4081/gh.2022.1077 - PMID: 35579241). The correct affiliations appear above. Geospatial Health DOI: 10.4081/gh.2022.1137.

Potential crowdedness of mechanical thrombectomy and cerebral infarction mortality in Japan: Application of inverted two-step floating catchment area method.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate a stroke medical delivery system based on population coverage and the potential crowdedness index (PCI) of mechanical thrombectomy and investigate the relationship between PCI and cerebral infarction mortality in Japan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study defined 662 facilities and 1605 neurointerventionalists as supply, population aged 55 years or older as demand, and set the reachable area for demand as 120 min in driving time. Multiple regression analysis adjusted for spatial autocorrelation was used to examine the relationship between PCI and cerebral infarction mortality. RESULTS: In the 2020 data, 99% of the population aged 55 years or older had access to mechanical thrombectomy (≤120 min), and the PCI ranged from 5876 to 129838, with a median of 30426. From 2020 to 2035, the PCI is estimated to increase (30426 to 32510), decreasing after 2035 (32510 to 29469). The PCI distribution exhibited geographical heterogeneity. High PCI values emerged in eastern Japan. According to regression analysis, the increase in PCI by 1% led to an increase of 0.13% in standardized mortality ratio of cerebral infarction in men. However, PCI did not significantly correlate with cerebral infarction mortality in women. CONCLUSIONS: PCI for hospitals based on supply and demand was geographically heterogeneous in Japan. Optimization of PCI contributes equalization of mechanical thrombectomy provision system and may improve cerebral infarction mortality.