Predicting acute renal failure after cardiac surgery: external validation of two new clinical scores.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Different scores to predict acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery have been developed recently. The purpose of this study was to validate externally two clinical scores developed at Cleveland and Toronto. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A retrospective analysis was conducted of a prospectively maintained database of all cardiac surgeries performed during a 5-yr period (2002 to 2006) at a University Hospital in Madrid, Spain. Acute kidney injury was defined as the need for renal replacement therapy. For evaluation of the performance of both models, discrimination and calibration were measured. RESULTS: Frequency of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery was 3.7% in the cohort used to validate the Cleveland score and 3.8% in the cohort used to validate the Toronto score. Discrimination of both models was excellent, with values for the areas under the receiving operator characteristics curves of 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.81 to 0.9) and 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.76 to 0.87), respectively. Calibration was poor, with underestimation of the risk for acute kidney injury except for patients within the very-low-risk category. The performance of both models clearly improved after recalibration. CONCLUSIONS: Both models were found to be very useful to discriminate between patients who will and will not develop acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery; however, before using the scores to estimate risk probabilities at a specific center, recalibration may be needed.

Analysis of renal function in the immediate postoperative period after partial liver transplantation.

Although renal dysfunction is common after liver transplantation, postoperative renal function after split liver transplantation (SLT) has not been well studied. Renal function immediately after surgery was analyzed retrospectively in 16 patients that received a SLT (SLT group). The results were compared with corresponding data from 31 matched patients that received a full-size liver transplant (FSLT group) during the same period. Serum creatinine (SCr) was measured before surgery, and, after transplantation, daily during the first week and at days 14, 21, and 28. Renal dysfunction (RD) was defined as the requirement for renal replacement therapy (RRT) or a 100% increase in SCr if the basal value had been <1.0 mg/dL or a 50% increase in SCr if the basal value had been >1.0 mg/dL. SCr had to be at least 1.5 mg/dL for a diagnosis of RD to be considered. The classification of RD was: mild, SCr 1.5-2.4 mg/dL; moderate, SCr 2.5-4.0 mg/dL; or severe, SCr >4.0 mg/dL (the requirement for RRT). Both donor and recipient age and cold ischemia time were lower in the SLT group than in the FSLT group (P < 0.05). Length of surgery was longer in the SLT group (P < 0.05). There were no significant differences between groups with respect to Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores, the need for transfusions, the length of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), survival rate, individual severity index, or sepsis-related organ failure assessment scores at the time of diagnosing RD. Immunosuppression regimens were similar in both groups. RD developed in 82% of SLT patients, but in only 58% of FSLT patients (P = not significant [NS]). Among SLT patients, RD (23.0% mild, 15.5% moderate, and 61.5% severe) was more severe (P = 0.007) than in FSLT patients (63.1% mild, 15.8% moderate, and 24.1% severe). The requirement for RRT in the SLT group (43.7%) was significantly greater (P < 0.05) than that in the FSLT group (12.9%). This finding may be due to the different incidence of sepsis in the 2 groups (SLT 37.5% vs. FSLT 9.7%; P < 0.05). In conclusion, although the number of patients studied was small, our data suggest a higher incidence of RD and a greater requirement for RRT in patients that receive a split liver graft than in those that receive a full size liver graft.