Asunto(s)
Agua Dulce/microbiología , Enfermedades Intestinales/epidemiología , Microbiología del Agua/normas , Abastecimiento de Agua/normas , Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Enfermedades Intestinales/etiología , Morbilidad/tendencias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estaciones del Año , Siberia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Using data on long-term dynamics of epidemic process of acute enteric infections enteric with aqueous route of transmission (typhoid fever, shigellosis caused by Shigella flexneri, hepatitis A, rotavirus gastroenteritis, etc.)the equation of regression was developed with the help of Chebyshev's polynoms. Predicted incidences of these infections for 2005 were on 61.2-99.5% in agree with the real ones on two territories of north region of West Siberia. Predicted incidence for 2006 is reflecting tendencies of epidemic process of mentioned infections.
Asunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Enfermedades Gastrointestinales/epidemiología , Modelos Teóricos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/transmisión , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Disentería Bacilar/epidemiología , Disentería Bacilar/transmisión , Hepatitis A/epidemiología , Hepatitis A/transmisión , Humanos , Incidencia , Matemática , Pronóstico , Factores de Riesgo , Infecciones por Rotavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Rotavirus/transmisión , Siberia/epidemiología , Fiebre Tifoidea/epidemiología , Fiebre Tifoidea/transmisión , Microbiología del AguaRESUMEN
The paper gives a brief account of the earlier results of papers with the development of attractive acaricidal granules (AAGs) and the results of their field tests in Tyumen Province and Krasnoyarsk Territory. AAGs in combination with sumithion yielded the best results than those with permethrin: their efficacy was over 90% and their action lasted 1.5 months.