Integrating user- and data-driven weather forecasts to develop legitimate, credible, and salient information services for smallholders in the Global South.

Climate-related risks and variability pose significant challenges to the livelihoods and food security of smallholder farmers practicing rainfed agriculture. Many smallholders have limited access to weather information from climate services, and this information is often not tailored to their specific context and needs. Therefore, they rely on local ecological knowledge. This study utilizes the second generation of climate services, which provide demand-driven forecast information systems through mobile apps. We present three cases from agricultural communities in Guatemala, Bangladesh, and Ghana where we collaborated with farmers to develop local weather forecasts (LF) and combined them with scientific weather forecasts (SF) to create hybrid weather forecasts (HF). The integration of user-driven forecasts (LF) and data-driven forecasts (SF) enhances the legitimacy of the service, thereby increasing farmers' trust and credibility by providing skilful forecasts. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that the hybrid weather forecast approach facilitates climate-smart, adaptive agricultural decision-making, enhancing the resilience and capacity of smallholder farmers in the Global South to adapt to a changing climate.

Sustainability appraisal of water governance regimes: the case of Guanacaste, Costa Rica.

Sustainability appraisals produce evidence for how well water governance regimes operate and where problems exist. This evidence is particularly relevant for regions that face water scarcity and conflicts. In this study, we present a criteria-based and participatory sustainability appraisal of water governance in a region with such characteristics-the dry tropics of NW Costa Rica. Data collection included 47 interviews and three stakeholder workshops. The appraisal was conducted through a collaborative and iterative process between researchers and stakeholders. Out of the 25 sustainability criteria used, seven posed a significant challenge for the governance regime. We found challenges faced by the governance regime primarily clustered around and were re-enforced by failing coordination related to the use, management, and protection of groundwater resources; and inadequate leadership to identify collective goals and to constructively deliberate alternative ways of governing water with diverse groups. The appraisal yielded some positive impact in the study area, yet we found its application provided only limited strategic information to support broader problem-solving efforts. Insights from this study suggest key starting points for sustainable water governance in the Central American dry tropics, including investing in increasingly influential collective organizations that are already active in water governance; and leveraging policy windows that can be used to build confidence and disperse more governing authority to regional and local governing actors that are in-tune with the challenges faced in the dry tropics. We conclude the article with reflections on how to produce research results that are actionable for sustainable water governance.