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Background: The risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) with hemodialysis remain not fully understood. In this study, we developed and validated a clinical-longitudinal model for predicting CVD in patients with hemodialysis, and employed Mendelian randomization to evaluate the causal 6study included 468 hemodialysis patients, and biochemical parameters were evaluated every three months. A generalized linear mixed (GLM) predictive model was applied to longitudinal clinical data. Calibration curves and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to evaluate the performance of the model. Kaplan-Meier curves were applied to verify the effect of selected risk factors on the probability of CVD. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) data for CVD (n = 218,792,101,866 cases), end-stage renal disease (ESRD, n = 16,405, 326 cases), diabetes (n = 202,046, 9,889 cases), creatinine (n = 7,810), and uric acid (UA, n = 109,029) were obtained from the large-open GWAS project. The inverse-variance weighted MR was used as the main analysis to estimate the causal associations, and several sensitivity analyses were performed to assess pleiotropy and exclude variants with potential pleiotropic effects. Results: The AUCs of the GLM model was 0.93 (with accuracy rates of 93.9% and 93.1% for the training set and validation set, sensitivity of 0.95 and 0.94, specificity of 0.87 and 0.86). The final clinical-longitudinal model consisted of 5 risk factors, including age, diabetes, ipth, creatinine, and UA. Furthermore, the predicted CVD response also allowed for significant (p < 0.05) discrimination between the Kaplan-Meier curves of each age, diabetes, ipth, and creatinine subclassification. MR analysis indicated that diabetes had a causal role in risk of CVD (ß = 0.088, p < 0.0001) and ESRD (ß = 0.26, p = 0.007). In turn, ESRD was found to have a causal role in risk of diabetes (ß = 0.027, p = 0.013). Additionally, creatinine exhibited a causal role in the risk of ESRD (ß = 4.42, p = 0.01). Conclusions: The results showed that old age, diabetes, and low level of ipth, creatinine, and UA were important risk factors for CVD in hemodialysis patients, and diabetes played an important bridging role in the link between ESRD and CVD.
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Currently, the relationship between household size and incident dementia, along with the underlying neurobiological mechanisms, remains unclear. This prospective cohort study was based on UK Biobank participants aged ≥ 50 years without a history of dementia. The linear and non-linear longitudinal association was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic spline models. Additionally, the potential mechanisms driven by brain structures were investigated by linear regression models. We included 275,629 participants (mean age at baseline 60.45 years [SD 5.39]). Over a mean follow-up of 9.5 years, 6031 individuals developed all-cause dementia. Multivariable analyses revealed that smaller household size was associated with an increased risk of all-cause dementia (HR, 1.06; 95% CI 1.02-1.09), vascular dementia (HR, 1.08; 95% CI 1.01-1.15), and non-Alzheimer's disease non-vascular dementia (HR, 1.09; 95% CI 1.03-1.14). No significant association was observed for Alzheimer's disease. Restricted cubic splines demonstrated a reversed J-shaped relationship between household size and all-cause and cause-specific dementia. Additionally, substantial associations existed between household size and brain structures. Our findings suggest that small household size is a risk factor for dementia. Additionally, brain structural differences related to household size support these associations. Household size may thus be a potential modifiable risk factor for dementia.
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Demencia , Composición Familiar , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Encéfalo/patología , Demencia/epidemiología , Demencia/etiología , Incidencia , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Biobanco del Reino Unido , Reino Unido/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Our primary objective was to assess the association between joint exposure to various air pollutants and the risk of ischemic stroke (IS) and the modification of the genetic susceptibility. METHODS: This observational cohort study included 307 304 British participants from the United Kingdom Biobank, who were stroke-free and possessed comprehensive baseline data on genetics, air pollutant exposure, alcohol consumption, and dietary habits. All participants were initially enrolled between 2006 and 2010 and were followed up until 2022. An air pollution score was calculated to assess joint exposure to 5 ambient air pollutants, namely particulate matter with diameters equal to or <2.5 µm, ranging from 2.5 to 10 µm, equal to or <10 µm, as well as nitrogen oxide and nitrogen dioxide. To evaluate individual genetic risk, a polygenic risk score for IS was calculated for each participant. We adjusted for demographic, social, economic, and health covariates. Cox regression models were utilized to estimate the associations between air pollution exposure, polygenic risk score, and the incidence of IS. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up duration of 13.67 years, a total of 2476 initial IS events were detected. The hazard ratios (95% CI) of IS for per 10 µg/m3 increase in particulate matter with diameters equal to or <2.5 µm, ranging from 2.5 to 10 µm, equal to or <10 µm, nitrogen dioxide, and nitrogen oxide were 1.73 (1.33-2.14), 1.24 (0.88-1.70), 1.13 (0.89-1.33), 1.03 (0.98-1.08), and 1.04 (1.02-1.07), respectively. Furthermore, individuals in the highest quintile of the air pollution score exhibited a 29% to 66% higher risk of IS compared with those in the lowest quintile. Notably, participants with both high polygenic risk score and air pollution score had a 131% (95% CI, 85%-189%) greater risk of IS than participants with low polygenic risk score and air pollution score. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggested that prolonged joint exposure to air pollutants may contribute to an increased risk of IS, particularly among individuals with elevated genetic susceptibility to IS.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Ambientales , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/efectos adversos , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/inducido químicamente , Biobanco del Reino Unido , Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Óxidos de Nitrógeno , Óxido Nítrico , Puntuación de Riesgo Genético , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversosRESUMEN
Background: Thymomas and thymic carcinoma are thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) of the anterior mediastinum. On the basis of The AJCC 8th Edition of TNM classification, no prognostic prediction model has been established for TETs patients undergoing surgical resection. In this study, based on data from Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, we identified prognostic factors and developed a nomogram to predict the prognosis for TETs patients undergoing extended thymectomy. Methods: Patients with TETs who underwent thymectomy between 2010 and 2020 were consecutively enrolled. An analysis of multivariate Cox regression and stepwise regression using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) was conducted to identify prognostic factors, and a nomogram for TETs was derived from the results of these analyses. The model was validated internally with the Kaplan-Meier curves, ROC curves and calibration curves. Results: There were 350 patients with TETs enrolled in the study, and they were divided into a training group (245,0.7) and a validation group (105,0.3). Age, histological type, tumor size, myasthenia gravis, and TNM stage were independent prognostic factors for CSS. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significant difference between high nomorisk group and low nomorisk group. A nomogram for CSS was formulated based on the independent prognostic factors and exhibited good discriminative ability as a means of predicting cause-specific mortality, as evidenced by the area under the ROC curves (AUCs) of 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year being 0.946, 0.949, and 0.937, respectively. The calibration curves further revealed excellent consistency between the predicted and actual mortality when using this nomogram. Conclusion: There are several prognostic factors for TETs. Based on TNM stage and other prognostic factors, the nomogram accurately predicted the 3-, 5-, and 10-year mortality rates of patients with TETs in this study. The nomogram could be used to stratify risk and optimize therapy for individual patients.
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BACKGROUND: Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) is a perioperative management protocol to accelerate patient recovery. This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of ERAS protocols implemented in patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) before minimally invasive McKeown esophagectomy. METHODS: This retrospective study compared the short-term clinical outcomes in esophagectomy patients from June 2018 to June 2021. Subjects were divided into two categories: those who underwent NACT (NACT group) and the non-NACT group. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in total postoperative complication morbidity between the NACT and non-NACT groups (21.2% vs. 20.7%, P=0.936). In addition, the hospital length of stay post-surgery (7.90 vs. 7.71 days, P=0.424) was not significantly longer when compared to the non-NACT group. The time to chest tube removal (5.37 vs. 5.13 days, P=0.238) and first bowel movement (2.92 vs. 3.01 days, P=0.560) was also similar between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: There was no significant difference in postoperative complications rate, postoperative hospital length of stay, and readmission rate between the two group. This study proved that ERAS protocols seemed to be safe and feasible for patients who received NACT before esophagectomy.
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Recuperación Mejorada Después de la Cirugía , Neoplasias Esofágicas , Neoplasias Esofágicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirugía , Esofagectomía/métodos , Estudios de Factibilidad , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Terapia Neoadyuvante/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Emerging studies have revealed that platelets are involved in tumor metastasis in lung adenocarcinoma (ADC). The solid pathological subtype of lung ADC is associated with metastasis, recurrence, and poor prognosis. However, there is no study exploring the relationship between platelets and different lung pathological subtypes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The association between platelet counts and lymph node metastasis was analyzed in 852 patients with lung ADC who underwent surgery and lymph node dissection. Multivariate logistic analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors of lymph node metastasis. Then, lymph node metastasis and other factors were analyzed to determine their correlation with platelet count and histological subtype. RESULTS: We found that the platelet count was associated with lymph node metastasis (P = 0.01) in multivariable analysis, independent of tumor size, predominant subtype, visceral pleural invasion, and microvessel invasion. In patients with a platelet count ≥300 × 109/L, the rate of lymph node metastasis was 38.5%, almost twice as high as that in patients with a platelet count <300 × 109/L (23.2%). Additionally, elevated platelet counts, even those within the normal range, were significantly associated with a higher rate of lymph node metastasis. The mean platelet count in patients with solid-predominant histology (269.70 ± 69.38 × 109/L) was significantly higher than that in patients with other histologies (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Elevated platelet counts are significantly associated with a higher rate of lymph node metastasis, even if the platelet counts are within the reference range. Platelet counts were significantly higher in patients with solid-predominant histology than in patients with other histologies. In addition, VEGF-C may play an important role in lymphatic metastasis in patients with lung ADC. We hypothesize that antiplatelet therapy may reduce lymph node metastasis in lung ADC patients.