RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive power of the high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) to albumin (Alb) ratio for cardiovascular events in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). METHODS: This retrospective study enrolled 202 ESRD patients undergoing MHD at Bobai County People's Hospital from November 2020 to November 2022, with follow-up extending to November 2023. Patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of cardiovascular events during follow-up: the occurrence group (n = 92) and the non-occurrence group (n = 110). Clinical data were compared between these groups. Independent risk factors for cardiovascular events post-MHD were identified using a multivariate logistic regression model. The hs-CRP/Alb ratio's predictive utility was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, establishing an optimal cutoff value. A decision tree prediction model was developed to further delineate the probability of cardiovascular events. RESULTS: The occurrence group was older and had a longer duration of dialysis compared to the non-occurrence group (P < 0.05). They also showed a higher prevalence of diabetic and hypertensive nephropathy and a higher proportion of smokers (all P < 0.05). Notably lower levels of hemoglobin (HGB), triglycerides, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein, albumin (Alb), and calcium were detected (all P < 0.05), whereas ß2-microglobulin (ß2-mg), hs-CRP, phosphorus, and the hs-CRP/Alb ratio were markedly increased (all P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed diabetic nephropathy or hypertensive nephropathy, a high hs-CRP/Alb ratio, and elevated phosphorus levels as risk factors for cardiovascular events, while high hemoglobin levels were protective (P < 0.05). The ROC analysis indicated the hs-CRP/Alb ratio (AUC = 0.884) outperformed other predictors with an optimal cutoff at 0.111. Patients with a hs-CRP/Alb ratio ≥ 0.111 were found to have a 29-fold increased risk of cardiovascular events (95% CI: 11.304-74.842). CONCLUSION: The hs-CRP/Alb ratio is a significant predictive biomarker for cardiovascular events in ESRD patients undergoing MHD. An elevated hs-CRP/Alb ratio is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, underscoring its utility in this patient population.