The subjective wellbeing of people living with Multiple Sclerosis in Australia: insights from the Personal Wellbeing Index.

OBJECTIVES: Subjective wellbeing has been defined as an individual's personal appraisal of their quality of life. Subjective wellbeing is associated with positive health behaviours and improved coping abilities. This study aimed to investigate the subjective wellbeing of people living with multiple sclerosis (MS), using the novel Personal Wellbeing Index, and make comparisons with the general population. METHODS: Cross-sectional data was obtained from the Australian Multiple Sclerosis Longitudinal Study and the How Is Your Life Australian general population study in August-October 2020. Subjective wellbeing was measured as life satisfaction using the Personal Wellbeing Index. This instrument measures life satisfaction globally and in seven life domains, allowing the importance of domain-specific life satisfaction to be explored. Descriptive and multivariable regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS: One thousand six hundred eighty-three MS and 1,021 general population participants entered the study (mean age 52.4 and 58.6; female 79.9% and 52.4%, respectively). For people living with MS the most important life domains were standard of living and achieving in life. The domain of personal health was more influential for people living with MS (p < 0.01) than the general population. The life domains most susceptible to MS-related disability were personal health, achieving in life, and community connectedness (p < 0.01 for these domains). CONCLUSION: Personal health and achieving in life are key domains through which the subjective wellbeing of people living with MS is modified. This study recommends the development of interventions to support healthy perceptions of illness and continued employment as paramount in improving the subjective wellbeing of people living with MS.

Long-term disability trajectories in multiple sclerosis: a group-based trajectory analysis of the AusLong cohort.

BACKGROUND: Previous natural history studies highlighted a consistent heterogeneity of disability trajectories among individuals with primary or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). However, evidence on disability progression in relapsing onset MS is scarce.The aim of this study was to investigate heterogeneity in disability accumulation over 10 years following a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination (FCD) and identify genetic, demographic, environmental and clinical factors associated with these trajectories. METHODS: We used group-based trajectory models to measure heterogeneity in disability trajectories based on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) in a prospectively assessed cohort of 263 participants. To capture sustained neurological impairments and avoid issues related to significant changes in EDSS associated with relapse, we did not consider EDSS points recorded within 3 months of a relapse. RESULTS: We identified three distinct and clinically meaningful disability trajectories: No/minimal, moderate and severe. Those in the no/minimal disability trajectory showed no appreciable progression of disability (median EDSS∼1 at 10-year review) while those in the moderate and severe disability trajectories experienced disability worsening (median time to reach EDSS 4 was 9 and 7 years, respectively). Compared with the no/minimal disability trajectory, those with older age, a higher number of relapses within the first 5 years post-FCD, and a higher number of comorbidities at baseline were more likely to be in the worse disability trajectory. Surprisingly, baseline MRI and anatomical site of initial symptoms did not influence long-term outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Those at higher risk of faster MS disability progression can be identified based on their early clinical characteristics with potential therapeutic implications for early intervention and treatment escalation.

Low sun exposure is associated with both progressive-onset and relapse-onset multiple sclerosis risk: a case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Sun exposure has consistently been associated with Multiple Sclerosis (MS) onset, but case samples are predominantly relapse-onset MS (ROMS), and risk estimates have rarely been reported separately for ROMS and progressive-onset MS (POMS). We aimed to determine whether sun exposure prior to disease onset was associated with POMS, and whether the effect differed between POMS and ROMS. METHODS: This nationwide case-control study included 153 POMS cases, 204 incident ROMS cases, and 558 community controls with data from two separate datasets: the PPMS Study (2015-2019) and the Ausimmune Study (2003-2006). Information on time spent in the sun before first MS symptom, skin phenotype, sun protection behavior was collected. Satellite data on ambient ultraviolet radiation (UVR) was used to calculate cumulative UVR dose. Unconditional logistic regression was used with adjustment for covariates. RESULTS: There were consistent dose-response associations, with higher levels of UVR exposure associated with a reduced risk of POMS, both for leisure-time and occupational UVR from age 6 to symptom onset. Associations were overall stronger for POMS than ROMS. For example, cumulative leisure-time UVR dose (per 100 kJ/m2 increment) was associated with POMS (aOR 0.93, 95% CI 0.91-0.95) and the association was slightly weaker for ROMS (aOR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.99) for age 6 to symptom onset (test for interaction p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Low levels of sun exposure, throughout the whole life span, are associated with increased risk of POMS and ROMS onset. The sun effects are usually stronger for POMS than ROMS.

Estimation of Transition Probabilities from a Large Cohort (> 6000) of Australians Living with Multiple Sclerosis (MS) for Changing Disability Severity Classifications, MS Phenotype, and Disease-Modifying Therapy Classifications.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune/neurodegenerative disease associated with progressing disability affecting mostly women. We aim to estimate transition probabilities describing MS-related disability progression from no disability to severe disability. Transition probabilities are a vital input for health economics models. In MS, this is particularly relevant for pharmaceutical agency reimbursement decisions for disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). METHODS: Data were obtained from Australian participants of the MSBase registry. We used a four-state continuous-time Markov model to describe how people with MS transition between disability milestones defined by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (scale 0-10): no disability (EDSS of 0.0), mild (EDSS of 1.0-3.5), moderate (EDSS of 4.0-6.0), and severe (EDSS of 6.5-9.5). Model covariates included sex, DMT usage, MS-phenotype, and disease duration, and analysis of covariate groups were also conducted. All data were recorded by the treating neurologist. RESULTS: A total of N = 6369 participants (mean age 42.5 years, 75.00% female) with 38,837 person-years of follow-up and 54,570 clinical reviews were identified for the study. Annual transition probabilities included: remaining in the no, mild, moderate, and severe states (54.24%, 82.02%, 69.86%, 77.83% respectively) and transitioning from no to mild (42.31%), mild to moderate (11.38%), and moderate to severe (9.41%). Secondary-progressive MS was associated with a 150.9% increase in the hazard of disability progression versus relapsing-remitting MS. CONCLUSIONS: People with MS have an approximately 45% probability of transitioning from the no disability state after one year, with people with progressive MS transitioning from this health state at a much higher rate. These transition probabilities will be applied in a publicly available health economics simulation model for Australia and similar populations, intended to support reimbursement of a plethora of existing and upcoming interventions including medications to reduce progression of MS.

Significantly increasing multiple sclerosis prevalence in Australia from 2010 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence is increasing globally. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether increased prevalence is continuing within Australia using our validated prescription-based ascertainment method. METHODS: We used methods employed in our 2010 and 2017 prevalence estimates. Disease-modifying therapy (DMT) prescriptions were extracted from Australia's Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme data for January-December 2021. DMT penetrance was calculated using data from the Australian MS Longitudinal Study. We divided the total number of monthly prescriptions by 12 or 2 (except alemtuzumab), adjusted for DMT penetrance and Australian population estimates. Prevalences in Australian states/territories were age-standardised. 2021 prevalence estimates were compared with 2010 and 2017 prevalence estimates using Poisson regression. RESULTS: Number of people with MS in Australia in 2021 was 33,335; an increase of 7728 from 2017 (30.2%) and 12,092 from 2010 (56.6%) and increasing at a faster rate than population change (+10.1%, +14.1%). Age-standardised prevalence was 136.1/100,000 (increased from 103.7/100,000 in 2017). The previously demonstrated positive latitudinal gradient in 2010 and 2017 persisted in 2021, with Tasmania (southernmost state) having the highest prevalence (age-standardised: 203.5/100,000) while northernmost states had the lowest. CONCLUSIONS: In line with global trends, MS prevalence is escalating in Australia, particularly in higher-latitude states. MS prevention is crucial to halt this disturbing trend.

Disability, health-related quality of life, and self-concept change in people with multiple sclerosis: A moderated mediation.

BACKGROUND: Disability is a key factor related to self-concept change following a Multiple Sclerosis (MS) diagnosis. Psychosocial factors (e.g., social integration, marital support) are also associated with changing self-concept in people with MS (pwMS). What remains unclear however, is whether psychosocial factors account for the relationship between disability and self-concept change. The current study aimed to investigate the potential mediation effect of Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL) on the relationship between disability and self-concept change in pwMS, and whether relationship satisfaction is a moderator of the mediated relationship. METHOD: Nine hundred and ninety-five pwMS (79.5 % female; Age M = 59.72 years, SD = 11.15) completed measures of disability, HRQoL, and self-concept change. Of these participants, seven hundred and twenty-six pwMS who indicated they were currently in a relationship also completed a measure of relationship satisfaction. RESULTS: A moderated mediation (conditional process) analysis indicated that the relationship between disability and self-concept change was partially mediated by HRQoL. A further parallel mediation found that across the eight subdomains of HRQoL, only participants' reported levels of 'relationships' and 'coping' significantly mediated the relationship between disability and self-concept change. However, for those participants in a relationship, relationship satisfaction did not moderate any mediation effects. CONCLUSION: The findings highlight the role that perceptions of HRQoL in some domains may have in explaining the relationship between disability and self-concept change. Further research is needed to explicate the causal direction of these relationships through longitudinal studies.

The association of comorbidities with sleep quality among Australians with multiple sclerosis: Insights from the Australian Multiple Sclerosis Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: Comorbidities and poor sleep quality are prevalent among individuals with multiple sclerosis (MS). Our understanding of the effects of comorbidities on sleep quality in MS remains limited. OBJECTIVES: The objectives were to investigate whether the number and presence of specific comorbidities have associations with sleep quality and to assess the relative contribution of comorbidity groups to sleep quality. METHODS: We collected data on sleep quality (using Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI)) and presence of comorbidities in people with MS (n = 1597). Associations between comorbidities and sleep quality were examined using linear regression and dominance analysis. RESULTS: Having more comorbidities was associated with poorer sleep quality (p for trend < 0.001). All 13 groups of comorbidities explained 12.9% of the variance in PSQI from which half of the variance was contributed by mental health disorders. In total, 16 of the 28 comorbidities were associated with significantly worse sleep quality, with the strongest associations seen for 'other autoimmune diseases' (ß = 1.98), depression (ß = 1.76), anxiety (ß = 1.72) and rheumatoid arthritis (ß = 1.62). CONCLUSIONS: Many individual comorbidities are associated with poorer sleep quality, with mental health disorders making the largest relative contribution. Optimal management of comorbidities that make the greatest contributions could have the largest benefit for improving sleep in MS.

Protocol for a pragmatic randomised controlled feasibility study of MS WorkSmart: an online intervention for Australians with MS who are employed.

INTRODUCTION: Multiple sclerosis (MS) causes a wide variety of symptoms. Loss of income due to sickness and early retirement comprise one-third of the total cost of MS in Australia. An intervention that maximises work productivity and keeps people with MS in the workforce for longer could provide a large societal cost saving and improve quality of life. The aim is to test the feasibility of delivering and evaluating a 10-week digitally delivered intervention called 'MS WorkSmart'. Findings will provide insights into participant profiles and address key methodological and procedural uncertainties (recruitment, retention, intervention adherence and engagement, and selection of primary outcome) in preparation for a subsequent definitive trial. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A parallel-arm randomised controlled feasibility study, comparing those randomised to receive the MS WorkSmart package plus usual care (n=20) to those receiving usual care only (n=20). Australians with MS, aged 18-60 years, who are employed, and self-report work instability will be recruited from the Australian MS Longitudinal Study. Online surveys, at baseline and 1-month postintervention, will include MS-related work productivity loss and risk of job loss, MS work behaviour self-efficacy, health-related quality of life, fatigue severity, MS symptom impact on work, intention to retire due to MS, MS-related work difficulties, and awareness and readiness for change at work. Qualitative feedback will be obtained via a semistructured survey following the intervention (for participants) and via interviews (coaches). Analyses will be primarily descriptive and focus on the feasibility and acceptability of the intervention and study procedures. Progression criteria will guide decisions around whether to progress to a full trial. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has been approved by the University of Tasmania Human Research Ethics Committee (H0024544). Findings will be disseminated via publication in peer-reviewed journals, conference presentations and community presentations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12622000826741.

The quality of life impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns for people living with multiple sclerosis (MS): evidence from the Australian MS Longitudinal Study.

PURPOSE: People living with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) in metropolitan Victoria, Australia, experienced a 112-day, COVID-19-related lockdown in mid-2020. Contemporaneously, Australian PwMS elsewhere experienced minimal restrictions, resulting in a natural experiment. This study investigated the relationships between lockdowns, COVID-19-related adversity, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). It also generated health state utilities (HSU) representative of changes in HRQoL. METHODS: Data were extracted from Australian MS Longitudinal Study surveys, which included the Assessment of Quality of Life-Eight Dimensions (AQoL-8D) instrument and a COVID-19 questionnaire. This COVID-19 questionnaire required participants to rank their COVID-19-related adversity across seven health dimensions. Ordered probits were used to identify variables contributing to adversity. Linear and logit regressions were applied to determine the impact of adversity on HRQoL, defined using AQoL-8D HSUs. Qualitative data were examined thematically. RESULTS: N = 1666 PwMS (average age 58.5; 79.8% female; consistent with the clinical presentation of MS) entered the study, with n = 367 (22.0%) exposed to the 112-day lockdown. Lockdown exposure and disability severity were strongly associated with higher adversity rankings (p < 0.01). Higher adversity rankings were associated with lower HSUs. Participants reporting major adversity, across measured health dimensions, had a mean HSU 0.161 (p < 0.01) lower than participants reporting no adversity and were more likely (OR: 2.716, p < 0.01) to report a clinically significant HSU reduction. Themes in qualitative data supported quantitative findings. CONCLUSIONS: We found that COVID-19-related adversity reduced the HRQoL of PwMS. Our HSU estimates can be used in health economic models to evaluate lockdown cost-effectiveness for people with complex and chronic (mainly neurological) diseases.

Exploring the cost-effectiveness of EBV vaccination to prevent multiple sclerosis in an Australian setting.

BACKGROUND: Increasing evidence suggests the potential of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) vaccination in preventing multiple sclerosis (MS). We aimed to explore the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical EBV vaccination to prevent MS in an Australian setting. METHODS: A five-state Markov model was developed to simulate the incidence and subsequent progression of MS in a general Australian population. The model inputs were derived from published Australian sources. Hypothetical vaccination costs, efficacy and strategies were derived from literature. Total lifetime costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated for two hypothetical prevention strategies versus no prevention from the societal and health system payer perspectives. Costs and QALYs were discounted at 5% annually. One-way, two-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: From societal perspective, EBV vaccination targeted at aged 0 and aged 12 both dominated no prevention (ie, cost saving and increasing QALYs). However, vaccinating at age 12 was more cost-effective (total lifetime costs reduced by $A452/person, QALYs gained=0.007, ICER=-$A64 571/QALY gained) than vaccinating at age 0 (total lifetime costs reduced by $A40/person, QALYs gained=0.003, ICER=-$A13 333/QALY gained). The probabilities of being cost-effective under $A50 000/QALY gained threshold for vaccinating at ages 0 and 12 were 66% and 90%, respectively. From health system payer perspective, the EBV vaccination was cost-effective at age 12 only. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated the cost-effectiveness of EBV vaccination to prevent MS under a wide range of plausible scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: MS prevention using future EBV vaccinations, particularly targeted at adolescence population, is highly likely to be cost-effective.