Anthropometric study of the scapula in a contemporary population from granada. Sex estimation and glenohumeral osteoarthritis prevalence.

Anthropometric studies of the scapula have been rare in Spanish populations, nevertheless they are of current interest in forensic anthropology for estimation of sex. Although the estimation of sex is usually carried out on the pelvis and skull, other measurements related to the scapula can be helpful when the skeletal remains are incomplete. Glenohumeral osteoarthritis development is influenced, among others, by the morphology of the scapula, which is one of the less studied aspects. We carried out a descriptive study of anthropometric parameters in a series of 157 scapulae (82 individuals) on bone remains dated to the 20th century from a population of Granada (Southern Spain). Seventy seven (49%) were right-side and 80 (51%) left-side; 72 (45.9%) were from males and 85 (54.1%) from females, and the mean age at death was 70.76±11.7 years. The objective was to develop a discrimination function for sex estimation based on anthropometric parameters of the scapula other than those considered to date, and to analyze the prevalence of glenohumeral osteoarthritis in relation to selected anthropometric parameters. A logistic regression model based on parameters of the upper-external segment of the scapula was done. The obtained formula: 1/1+e^ (- (-57.911 + 0.350*B + 0283*C + 0.249*b + 0.166*a +-0.100*ß) classifies male sex with 98.3% accuracy and female sex with 92.1%. Glenohumeral osteoarthritis was detected in 16.6% of individuals and was related to age (p<0.05), scapular length (p<0.05), glenoid width (p<0.05), glenopolar angle (p<0.05), and α angle (p<0.05) in bivariate analyses but showed no significant associations in multivariate analyses. This approach can be useful for anthropological-forensic identification when scapula remains are incomplete. Glenohumeral osteoarthritis is significantly associated with a smaller α angle.

Twenty-year trajectories of morbidity in individuals with and without osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To identify multimorbidity trajectories over 20 years among incident osteoarthritis (OA) individuals and OA-free matched references. METHODS: Cohort study using prospectively collected healthcare data from the Skåne region, Sweden (~1.4 million residents). We extracted diagnoses for OA and 67 common chronic conditions. We included individuals aged 40+ years on 31 December 2007, with incident OA between 2008 and 2009. We selected references without OA, matched on birth year, sex, and year of death or moving outside the region. We employed group-based trajectory modelling to capture morbidity count trajectories from 1998 to 2019. Individuals without any comorbidity were included as a reference group but were not included in the model. RESULTS: We identified 9846 OA cases (mean age: 65.9 (SD 11.7), female: 58%) and 9846 matched references. Among both cases and references, 1296 individuals did not develop chronic conditions (no-chronic-condition class). We identified four classes. At the study outset, all classes exhibited a low average number of chronic conditions (≤1). Class 1 had the slowest progression towards multimorbidity, which increased progressively in each class. Class 1 had the lowest count of chronic conditions at the end of the follow-up (mean: 2.9 (SD 1.7)), while class 4 had the highest (9.6 (2.6)). The presence of OA was associated with a 1.29 (1.12, 1.48) adjusted relative risk of belonging to class 1 up to 2.45 (2.12, 2.83) for class 4. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that individuals with OA face an almost threefold higher risk of developing severe multimorbidity.

Association between organophosphorus insecticides exposure and osteoarthritis in patients with arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Organic phosphorus insecticides (OPPs) are a class of environmental pollutants widely used worldwide with potential human health risks. We aimed to assess the association between exposure to OPPs and osteoarthritis (OA) particularly in participants with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS: Participants' information was obtained from data in the National Health and Nutrition Examination (NHANES). Weighted logistic regression models were utilized to detect associations between OPPs metabolites and OA. Restricted cubic spline plots (RCS) were drawn to visualize the dose-response relationship between each metabolite and OA prevalence. Weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression and Bayesian kernel-machine regression (BKMR), were applied to investigate the joint effect of mixtures of OPPs on OA. RESULTS: A total of 6871 samples were included in our study, no significant associations between OPPs exposure and OA incidence were found in whole population. However, in a subset of 475 individuals with ASCVD, significant associations between DMP (odds ratio [OR] as a continuous variable = 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07,1.28), DEP ((odds ratio [OR] of the highest tertile compared to the lowest = 2.43, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.21,4.86), and OA were observed. DMP and DEP showed an increasing dose-response relationship to the prevalence of OA, while DMTP, DETP, DMDTP and DEDTP showed a nonlinear relationship. Multi-contamination modeling revealed a 1.34-fold (95% confidence intervals:0.80, 2.26) higher prevalence of OA in participants with high co-exposure to OPPs compared to those with low co-exposure, with a preponderant weighting (0.87) for the dimethyl dialkyl phosphate metabolites (DMAPs). The BKMR also showed that co-exposure of mixed OPPs was associated with an increased prevalence of OA, with DMP showing a significant dose-response relationship. CONCLUSION: High levels of urine dialkyl phosphate metabolites (DAP) of multiple OPPs are associated with an increased prevalence of OA in patients with ASCVD, suggesting the need to prevent exposure to OPPs in ASCVD patients to avoid triggering OA and further avoid the occurrence of cardiovascular events caused by OA.

Risk of carpal tunnel syndrome among patients with osteoarthritis: a US population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS), an entrapment neuropathy caused by pressure of the median nerve, is a progressive condition that can lead to a decreased quality of life. Studies suggest an association between CTS and arthritis; however, previous studies examining osteoarthritis (OA) and CTS are limited in number, scope and study design. This study estimated the incidence and risk of CTS among patients with OA, both overall and by specific joints, in a large population-based cohort in the United States. METHODS: Patients from the Optum claims database aged ≥ 45 years and diagnosed with OA between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2022, were eligible for the OA cohort. The non-OA cohort included those without a diagnosis of OA at the index date and no history of OA for 12 months pre-index. Baseline characteristics were balanced using propensity score matching. The risk of CTS in the OA and non-OA cohort were evaluated using incidence rates and adjusted hazard ratios that were estimated using Cox regression. RESULTS: After applying the inclusion/exclusion criteria, 3,610,240 of the 6,023,384 adults with a diagnosis of OA remained in the OA cohort. After propensity-score matching, each cohort included 1,033,439 individuals. The incidence rates for CTS per 1000 person-years were 7.35 (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.21-7.49) in the OA cohort and 1.44 (95% CI 1.38-1.50) in the non-OA cohort. The risk of developing CTS in patients with OA was ~ 4 times that of patients without (hazard ratio = 3.80; 95% CI 3.54-4.07). This increased risk was found across all OA joint types, with OA of the hand/wrist having the highest risk for CTS. Additionally, multiple OA joints presented a higher risk compared with a single affected joint. CONCLUSIONS: OA increases the risk of CTS, but this is not limited to patients with hand/wrist OA, suggesting a systemic impact of OA on CTS. While the risk appears highest for patients with hand/wrist OA, patients with more distant affected joints like knee or hip also have an increased risk of CTS.

Hyperthyroidism increases the risk of osteoarthritis in individuals aged 60-80 years.

To elucidate the currently unknown relationship between hyperthyroidism and osteoarthritis (OA). During 2007-2012, 7,433 participants (hyperthyroidism patients = 125; OA patients = 675) were included in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database. We used a weighted multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analysis to assess the association between hyperthyroidism and OA. We also assessed the causality of that relationship using publicly available genome-wide association study data and three Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis methods. The heterogeneity test, pleiotropy test, and leave-one-out tests were used for sensitivity analysis. In this cross-sectional study, after adjusting for potential confounding factors, we found that hyperthyroidism significantly (P = 0.018) increased the risk of OA (odds ratio [OR] = 2.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.2-4.17). Age-stratified analysis revealed that hyperthyroidism was associated with a greater risk of OA in the 60-80-year-old age group (OR = 2.86, 95% CI = 1.46-5.59, P = 0.002), with no significant association in the 18-59-year-old age group (all P > 0.05). The results of the inverse-variance weighting (IVW) analysis showed that hyperthyroidism increased the risk of OA (OR = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.04-1.46; P = 0.017). The weighted median estimator (WME) and MR-Egger method also confirmed this causal association (OR = 1.27 and OR = 1.32, respectively). The sensitivity analysis results confirmed the reliability of this conclusion. In addition, IVW-based reverse-MR analysis revealed that OA did not increase the risk of hyperthyroidism (OR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.97-1.08; P = 0.449). Hyperthyroidism is associated with an increased risk of OA, but the underlying pathological mechanism still needs to be clarified in future research.

Flavan-3-ol monomers intake is associated with osteoarthritis risk in Americans over 40 years of age: results from the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey database.

Objectives: Osteoarthritis (OA) stands as the prevailing progressive musculoskeletal disease, serving as the primary cause of chronic pain and activity limitations among adults over 40. Flavan-3-ols, common polyphenolic compounds, are believed to harbor anti-inflammatory and anti-aging properties. This study explores the relationship between flavan-3-ol intake and osteoarthritis risk in individuals over the age of 40 in the US. Methods: This study included 7452 participants over the age of 40 from three cycles (2007-2008, 2009-2010, and 2017-2018) of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Information on OA history was obtained via home surveys. Information on flavan-3-ol monomers intake was obtained using a survey from the Food and Nutrient Database for Dietary Studies. We used a logistic regression model and restricted cubic spline to analyze the relationships between flavan-3-ol monomers and OA. Stratified analyses were also conducted in this study. Results: There were 1056 participants with OA and 6396 without OA. Compared to the first tertile (T1) group, the adjusted odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of logistic regression model 2 for the flavan-3-ol T2 group was 1.296 (0.979-1.715) (p = 0.068), the OR for (-)-epigallocatechin was 1.292 (1.025-1.629) (p = 0.032), and the OR for (-)-epicatechin 3-gallate was 1.348 (1.013, 1.793) (p = 0.042). A dose-response curve indicated a non-linear association (p for non-linearity <0.05) between OA and total flavan-3-ol monomers (nadir point: 483.29 mg, 95% CI: 0.61-0.90). No interaction effects were found in the subgroup analysis. Conclusions: In individuals over 40 in the US, the average daily dietary intake of flavan-3-ol monomers manifests a J-shaped relationship with OA risk.

Weight change patterns across adulthood are associated with the risk of osteoarthritis: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Body weight has been recognized as a driving factor of osteoarthritis. Few studies had investigated the association between weight status across adulthood and risk of osteoarthritis (OA). This study investigates the association of weight change patterns across adulthood (lasting at least 25 years) with the risk of OA from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2013-2018. METHODS: The study assessed the relationship between weight change across adulthood and OA in 7392 individuals aged > 50 spanning a minimum of 25 years. Multivariate linear regression analyses were utilized to detect the association between weight change patterns and self-reported OA. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to examine the nonlinear relationship between absolute weight change and OA risk. RESULTS: From 10 years ago to survey, the risk of OA was 1.34-fold (95% CI 1.07-1.68) in people changed from obese to non-obese, 1.61-fold (95% CI 1.29-2.00) in people change from non-obese to obese, and 1.82-fold (95% CI 1.49-2.22) in stable obese people compared with people who were at stable normal weight. Similar patterns were also observed at age 25 years to baseline and age 25 years to 10 years before the baseline. The dose-response association of RCS found a U-shaped relationship between absolute weight change and OA risk. CONCLUSIONS: The study suggests that weight patterns across adulthood are associated with the risk of OA. These findings stressed important to maintain a normal weight throughout adulthood, especially to prevent ignored weight gain in early adulthood to reduce OA risk later.

Trends and cross-country inequalities in the global burden of osteoarthritis, 1990-2019: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the trends and cross-country inequalities of global osteoarthritis (OA) burden over the last 30 years, and further predicted its changes to 2035. METHODS: The estimates and 95 % uncertainty intervals (UIs) for incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of OA were extracted from Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. We described OA epidemiology at global, regional, and national levels, analyzed 1990-2019 trends in OA burden from overall, local, and multi-dimension scopes, decomposed OA burden according to population size, age structure, and epidemiologic changes, quantified cross-country inequalities in OA burden using standard health equity methods recommended by World Health Organization, and predicted changes of OA burden to 2035. RESULTS: GBD 2019 estimated 527,811,871 (95 % UIs: 478,667,549 to 584,793,491) prevalent cases, 41,467,542 (95 % UIs: 36,875,471 to 46,438,409) incident cases and 18,948,965 (95 % UIs: 9,571,298 to 37,659,660) DALYs cases of OA worldwide in 2019, with the highest cases in East Asia and highest age-standardized rate (ASR) in high-income North America. The global burden of OA increased overall from 1990 to 2019 with the fastest growth observed in the first decade of the 21st century. Decomposition analysis revealed that OA knee (62.78 %), women (60.47 %), and middle sociodemographic index (SDI) quintile (32.35 %) were responsible for the most significant DALYs, whose changes were primarily driven by population growth and aging. A significant increase in SDI-related inequalities was detected, and the gap in DALYs between the highest SDI country and the lowest SDI country increased from 179.5 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 149.3-209.8] per 100,000 in 1990 to 341.9 (95 % CI: 309.5-374.4) per 100,000 in 2019. Notably, although the ASR of incidence, prevalence, and DALYs of OA was predicted to decrease annually from 2020 to 2035, the case number of these metrics was predicted to keeping increasing, with predicted values of 52,870,737 [95 % credible interval (Crl): 39,330,063 to 66,411,411], 727,532,373 (95 % Crl: 542,765,783 to 912,298,962), and 25,986,983 (95 % Crl: 19,216,928 to 32,757,038) in 2035, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: As a major public health issue, the global burden of OA showed an overall increasing trend from 1990 to 2019, which was primarily driven by population growth and aging. Countries with high SDI shouldered disproportionately high OA burden, and the SDI-related inequalities across countries exacerbated over time. This study highlighted great challenges in the control and management of OA, including both growing case number and distributive inequalities worldwide, which may be instructive for better making public health policy and reasonably allocating medical source.

Farming and the risk of developing osteoarthritis in Alberta, Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Because farming is a physically demanding occupation, farmers may be susceptible to developing osteoarthritis (OA). The aim of this study was to determine the risk of developing OA in Canadian farm, non-farm rural and urban residents. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of five Alberta health administrative databases examined the risk of developing OA among three groups: farm (n=143 431), non-farm rural (n=143 431) and urban (n=143 431) residents over the fiscal years 2000-2001 through 2020-2021. The algorithm for OA ascertainment defined cases based on criteria including one hospital admission, two physician visits within a 2-year interval, or two ambulatory care visits within 2 years. Incidence rates, lifetime risk, and mortality rates were calculated. Cox proportional hazard models compared the incidence of OA for the three groups over the 21 years. RESULTS: A total of 26 957 OA cases were identified among 1 706 256 person-years (PYs) in the farm cohort. The crude incidence rate of OA over a period of 21 years ranged from 19.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) 18.6-19.6) per 1000 PYs in 2001 to 10.0 (95% CI 9.6-10.5) per 1000 PYs in 2021. The overall incidence rate was higher in the farm group (15.8 (95%CI 15.6-16.0) per 1000 PYs) as compared to the non-farm rural (14.7 (95%CI 14.5-14.9) per 1000 PYs) and the urban groups (13.3 (95%CI 13.1-13.4) per 1000 PYs). After adjusting for age and sex, the farm (6%; 95%CI 4-8%), and non-farm rural (9%; 95%CI 7-12%) groups had higher incidence rates than the urban group. The unadjusted non-injury mortality rate for the farm group with OA was lower (13.2 (95%CI 12.9-13.5) per 1000 PYs) than both the urban (14.5; 95%CI 14.1-14.8) and rural (18.0; 95%CI 17.6-18.4) groups. After adjusting for mortality, the lifetime risk of developing OA was 27.7% for farm residents, 25.6% for the non-farm rural cohort, and 24.0% for the urban cohort. CONCLUSION: When accounting for age and sex, farm and non-farm rural residents have a higher risk of developing OA as compared to the urban population. The higher mortality-adjusted lifetime risk of developing OA among farm residents highlights the necessity of specific interventions aimed at reducing the impact of this condition in rural communities. Further research is required to identify specific occupational and lifestyle risk factors associated with OA among farmers and to develop effective strategies for prevention and management.

Assessing the causal relationship of birth weight and childhood obesity on osteoarthritis: a Mendelian randomization study.

Obesity is associated with osteoarthritis (OA), but few studies have used fetal origin to explore the association. Our study aims to disentangle the causality between birth weight, childhood obesity, and adult OA using Mendelian randomization (MR). We identified single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) related to birth weight (n = 298,142) and childhood obesity (n = 24,160) from two genome-wide association studies contributed by the Early Growth Genetics Consortium. Summary statistics of OA and its phenotypes (knee, hip, spine, hand, thumb, and finger OA) from the Genetics of Osteoarthritis Consortium (n = 826,690) were used to estimate the effects of SNPs on OA. Multivariable MR (MVMR) was conducted to investigate the independent effects of exposures. It turned out that genetically predicted standard deviation increase in birth weight was not associated with OA. In contrast, there was a marginally positive effect of childhood obesity on total [odds ratio (OR) = 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.00, 1.15 using IVW], knee (OR = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.05, 1.22 using weighted median), hip (OR = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.04, 1.24 using IVW), and spine OA (OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.03, 1.22 using IVW), but not hand, thumb, or finger OA. MVMR indicated a potential adulthood body mass index-dependent causal pathway between childhood obesity and OA. In conclusion, no association of birth weight with OA was suggested. Childhood obesity, however, showed a causality with OA in weight-bearing joints, which seems to be a general association of obesity with OA.

Risk for cardiovascular disease development in rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis have significant cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of chronic inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis on cardiovascular morbidity association with cardiovascular risk factors risk factors. Mortality report is secondary just to show trends without sufficient statistical power as it is accidental endpoint. METHODS: A total of 201 individuals without previous cardiovascular disease, 124 with rheumatoid arthritis (investigation group) and 77 with osteoarthritis (control group), were included in the study and followed up for an average of 8 years to assess the development of fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular diseases. The incidence and prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors were also investigated. RESULTS: The total incidence of one or more fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular events was 43.9% in the investigation group and 37.5% in the control group. Of these patients, 31.7% and 30.9% survived cardiovascular events in the investigation and control groups, respectively. The most common cardiovascular disease among participants who completed the study and those who died during the study was chronic heart failure. The results of the subgroup analysis showed that strict inflammation control plays a central role in lowering cardiovascular risk. CONCLUSION: A multidisciplinary approach to these patients is of paramount importance, especially with the cooperation of immunologists and cardiologists for early detection, prevention, and management of cardiovascular risks and diseases.

Depression and risk of arthritis: A Mendelian randomization study.

INTRODUCTION: Observational studies have found that most patients with arthritis have depression. We aimed to determine the causal relationship between various types of arthritis and depression. METHODS: We conducted a two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomized (MR) analysis to determine whether there was a significant causal relationship between depression and multiple types of arthritis. The data of our study were derived from the publicly released genome-wide association studies (GWASs) and the largest GWAS meta-analysis. MR analysis mainly used inverse-variance weighted method; supplementary methods included weighted median, weighted mode, and MR-Egger using MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier to detect and correct for the presence of pleiotropy. RESULTS: After adjusting for heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy, we found that depression was associated with an increased risk of osteoarthritis (OA) (OR = 1.02, 95%CI: 1.01-1.02, p = 2.96 × E - 5). In the reverse analysis, OA was also found to increase the risk of depression (OR = 1.10, 95%CI: 1.04-1.15, p = .0002). Depression only increased the risk of knee OA (KOA) (OR = 1.25, 95%CI: 1.10-1.42, p = 6.46 × E - 4). Depression could potentially increase the risk of spondyloarthritis (OR = 1.52, 95%CI: 1.19-1.94, p ≤ 8.94 × E - 4). CONCLUSION: There is a bidirectional causal relationship of depression with OA. However, depression only augments the risk of developing KOA. Depression may increase the risk of spondyloarthritis and gout.

International trends in shoulder replacement: a meta-analysis from 11 public joint registers.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: International variation exists in the types of shoulder replacement used for treatment of specific diseases. Implant choice continues to evolve without high-quality evidence. Our aim was to evaluate trends in incidence rates of shoulder replacement and assess any recent changes in practice between countries by using registry data. METHODS: Patient characteristics, indication and year of surgery, type of replacement, and collection methods of patient-reported outcomes (PROMs) was extracted from 11 public joint registries. Meta-analyses examined use of reverse total shoulder replacement (RTSR) for osteoarthritis, cuff tear arthropathy, and acute fracture; use of anatomical total shoulder replacement (TSR) for osteoarthritis; and use of humeral hemiarthroplasty for fracture. RESULTS: The annual growth rate of shoulder replacements performed is 6-15% (2011-2019). The use of RTSR has almost doubled (93%). RTSR is now universally performed for cuff tear arthropathy (97.3%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 96.0-98.1). Its use for avascular necrosis, trauma, and inflammatory arthropathy is increasing. The use of RTSR was similar (43.1%, CI 30.0-57.2) versus TSR (44.7%, CI 31.1-59.1) for osteoarthritis. The types of PROMs used, collection time points, and response rates lack standardization. COVID-19 had a varying inter-registry impact on incidence rates. CONCLUSION: The incidence of shoulder replacements has grown. Use of RTSR has increased for all disease indications despite limited high-quality evidence driving this change in indications outside of cuff arthropathy. Consequently, less variation is observed in international practice. Existing differences now relate to use of newer implant types and methodology of PROMs collection, which prevents international comparison and outcome analysis.

Prevalence of osteoarthritis in the shoulder, elbow, hip and stifle joints of dogs older than 8 years.

Osteoarthritis is one of the most common diseases in veterinary medicine. There are various causes for joints developing OA, with some of them being well investigated, while others are still a matter of speculation. In this retrospective study we examined the prevalence of OA in the shoulder, elbow, hip and stifle joints in a clinic population of dogs older than 8 years, which were presented mostly due to orthopaedic complaints. Dogs were included in the study if one or more of the aforementioned joints was included in the radiographs. Radiographs were reviewed by three different observers and graded by severity. Prevalence of OA was 39.2%, 57.4%, 35.9% and 36.4% for the shoulder, elbow, hip and stifle, respectively. There was no correlation between higher grades of OA and weight as well as age, but significantly higher prevalence of OA in heavier groups when grouped for weight. Sex and castration status did not affect presence of OA. As most of the examined joints were free of OA, radiographic findings suggestive of OA should not be considered normal in senescent dogs.

Association of distal radial fracture with comorbidities: model development and validation.

BACKGROUND: To better assess the risk of distal radial fracture in the general population, we need models that take into account a wide range of risk factors other than osteoporosis. The objective was to develop and validate a model for association of patients' characteristics with distal radial fracture that effectively incorporates multifactorial aspects and includes comorbidities. METHOD: We analyzed data from a large Longitudinal Health Insurance Database between 2000 and 2013. The outcome of the study was the occurrence of distal radial fracture and the predictors were demographic and comorbidity data. Two machine learning models were developed and validated for patients ≥50 (N = 2745) and <50 (N = 1587) years of age. RESULTS: For patients aged ≥50 years, selected characteristics included sex, age, urbanization level, osteoarthritis, carpal tunnel syndrome, obesity, hyperlipidemia, trigger finger, hypertension, hypothyroidism, diabetes, hyperthyroidism, and rheumatoid arthritis. For patients <50 years old, selected characteristics included age, sex, diabetes mellitus, urbanization level, carpal tunnel syndrome, hyperlipidemia, osteoarthritis, obesity, and hypertension. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve, and likelihood ratio were 0.77, 0.83, 0.72, 0.77, and 2.92 for age ≥50 years and 0.73, 0.79, 0.67, 0.73, and 2.41 for age <50 years. CONCLUSION: The study models can serve as reliable screening tools to assess the risk of distal radial fracture in the general population before bone mineral density testing. In addition, they can be integrated into decision support systems to help healthcare providers identify high-risk patients for additional evaluation and education, ultimately improving the quality of care.

Burden evaluation and prediction of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis coupled with attributable risk factors in China from 1990 to 2030.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate and predict the burden of osteoarthritis (OA) and site-specific OA (hip, knee, hand, and others) from 1990 to 2030 and their attributable risk factors in China. METHOD: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. The burden was estimated by analyzing the trends of prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY). Population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated to assess the impact of high body mass index (BMI). The prediction from 2020 to 2030 was implemented by Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis. RESULTS: In China, prevalent cases, DALY, and incident cases of OA increased to 132.81 million, 4.72 million, and 10.68 million, respectively. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) of prevalence, DALYs, and incidence increased for OA and site-specific OA, especially for hip OA. Site-specific OA showed different susceptible peaking ages, and the burden for those over 50 years old became serious. Female preference existed in the trends for knee OA but not in those for hip, hand, and other OA. PARs of high BMI continued to increase, impacting knee OA more than hip OA and showing female preference. In the next decade, incident cases for OA and site-specific OA will continue to increase, despite that the ASR of OA incidence will decrease. CONCLUSIONS: OA and site-specific OA remain huge public health challenges in China. The burden of OA and site-specific OA is increasing, especially among people over 50 years old. Health education, exercise, and removing modifiable risk factors contribute to alleviate the growing burden. Key Points • In China, the burden of osteoarthritis and site-specific osteoarthritis (hip, knee, hand, and others) as well as the Risk Factor (high body mass index) increased greatly from 1990 to 2019. • It is estimated that incident cases for OA and site-specific OA will continue to increase, despite that the ASR of OA incidence will decrease.

Exploration beyond osteoarthritis: the association and mechanism of its related comorbidities.

Osteoarthritis is the most prevalent age-related degenerative joint disease and a leading cause of pain and disability in aged people. Its etiology is multifaceted, involving factors such as biomechanics, pro-inflammatory mediators, genetics, and metabolism. Beyond its evident impact on joint functionality and the erosion of patients' quality of life, OA exhibits symbiotic relationships with various systemic diseases, giving rise to various complications. This review reveals OA's extensive impact, encompassing osteoporosis, sarcopenia, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus, neurological disorders, mental health, and even cancer. Shared inflammatory processes, genetic factors, and lifestyle elements link OA to these systemic conditions. Consequently, recognizing these connections and addressing them offers opportunities to enhance patient care and reduce the burden of associated diseases, emphasizing the need for a holistic approach to managing OA and its complications.

Causal relationship between sarcopenia with osteoarthritis and the mediating role of obesity: a univariate, multivariate, two-step Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Recent genetic evidence supports a causal role for sarcopenia in osteoarthritis, which may be mediated by the occurrence of obesity or changes in circulating inflammatory protein levels. Here, we leveraged publicly available genome-wide association study data to investigate the intrinsic causal relationship between sarcopenia, obesity, circulating inflammatory protein levels, and osteoarthritis. METHODS: In this study, we used Mendelian randomization analyses to explore the causal relationship between sarcopenia phenotypes (Appendicular lean mass [ALM], Low hand-grip strength [LHG], and usual walking pace [UWP]) and osteoarthritis (Knee osteoarthritis [KOA], and Hip osteoarthritis [HOA]). Univariable Mendelian randomization (UVMR) analyses were performed using the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method, MR-Egger, weighted median method, simple mode, and weighted mode, with the IVW method being the primary analytical technique. Subsequently, the independent causal effects of sarcopenia phenotype on osteoarthritis were investigated using multivariate Mendelian randomization (MVMR) analysis. To further explore the mechanisms involved, obesity and circulating inflammatory proteins were introduced as the mediator variables, and a two-step Mendelian randomization analysis was used to explore the mediating effects of obesity and circulating inflammatory proteins between ALM and KOA as well as the mediating proportions. RESULTS: UVMR analysis showed a causal relationship between ALM, LHG, UWP and KOA [(OR = 1.151, 95% CI: 1.087-1.218, P = 1.19 × 10-6, PFDR = 7.14 × 10-6) (OR = 1.215, 95% CI: 1.004-1.470; P = 0.046, PFDR = 0.055) (OR = 0.503, 95% CI: 0.292-0.867; P = 0.013, PFDR = 0.027)], and a causal relationship between ALM, UWP and HOA [(OR = 1.181, 95% CI: 1.103-1.265, P = 2.05 × 10-6, PFDR = 6.15 × 10-6) (OR = 0.438, 95% CI: 0.226-0.849, P = 0.014, PFDR = 0.022)]. In the MVMR analyses adjusting for confounders (body mass index, insomnia, sedentary behavior, and bone density), causal relationships were observed between ALM, LHG, UWP and KOA [(ALM: OR = 1.323, 95%CI: 1.224- 1.431, P = 2.07 × 10-12), (LHG: OR = 1.161, 95%CI: 1.044- 1.292, P = 0.006), (UWP: OR = 0.511, 95%CI: 0.290- 0.899, P = 0.020)], and between ALM and HOA (ALM: OR = 1.245, 95%CI: 1.149- 1.348, P = 7.65 × 10-8). In a two-step MR analysis, obesity was identified to play a potential mediating role in ALM and KOA (proportion mediated: 5.9%). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that decreased appendicular lean mass, grip strength, and walking speed increase the risk of KOA and decreased appendicular lean mass increases the risk of HOA in patients with sarcopenia in a European population. Obesity plays a mediator role in the occurrence of KOA due to appendicular lean body mass reduction.

Occupational tasks associated with shoulder pain and upper extremity disability: a cross-sectional study in the Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project.

BACKGROUND: Shoulder pain is a leading cause of disability. Occupations requiring high upper extremity demands may put workers at greater risk of shoulder injury and resulting pain. We examined associations of occupation with shoulder pain and upper extremity disability in the Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project. METHODS: Work industry and occupational tasks for the longest job held were collected from participants. At follow-up ranging from 4-10 years later, participants were asked about shoulder symptoms (pain, aching, or stiffness occurring most days of 1 month in the last year) and given a 9-item, modified Disabilities Arm Shoulder and Hand (DASH) questionnaire to categorize disability from 0-4 (none-worst). Logistic regression and cumulative logit regression models were used to estimate associations with prevalent shoulder symptoms and with worse disability category, respectively. Models were adjusted for cohort, age, sex, race, education and time to follow-up. Sex- and race-stratified associations were evaluated. RESULTS: Among 1560 included participants, mean age was 62 years (standard deviation ± 9 years); 32% were men, and 31% were Black. Compared to the managerial/professional industry, higher odds of both shoulder symptoms and worse upper extremity disability were seen for most industrial groups with physically demanding jobs, particularly the service industry. Work that often or always required lifting/moving > 10 lbs. was associated with higher odds of shoulder symptoms. Work that sometimes or always required heavy work while standing was associated with higher odds of shoulder symptoms, and this association was stronger among men and White workers. CONCLUSION: Physically demanding occupations were associated with increased occurrence of shoulder pain and disability. Mitigating specific physical work demands may reduce shoulder-related disability.