Flare during tapering of biological DMARDs in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in routine care: characteristics and predictors.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of flare in a 2-year follow-up study of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in sustained clinical remission tapering towards withdrawal of biological disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARDs). METHODS: Sustained clinical remission was defined as Disease Activity Score for 28 joints (DAS28)-C reactive protein (CRP) ≤2.6 without radiographic progression for >1 year. bDMARDs were tapered according to a mandatory clinical guideline to two-thirds of standard dose at baseline, half of dose at week 16 and discontinuation at week 32. Prospective assessments for 2 years included clinical evaluation, conventional radiography, ultrasound and MRI for signs of inflammation and bone changes. Flare was defined as DAS28-CRP ≥2.6 with ∆DAS28-CRP ≥1.2 from baseline. Baseline predictors of flare were assessed by logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Of 142 included patients, 121 (85%) flared during follow-up of which 86% regained remission within 24 weeks after flare. Patients that flared were more often rheumatoid factor positive, had tried more bDMARDs and had higher baseline ultrasound synovitis sum scores than those not flaring. For patients on standard dose, predictors of flare within 16 weeks after reduction to two-thirds of standard dose were baseline MRI-osteitis (OR 1.16; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.33; p=0.014), gender (female) (OR 6.71; 95% CI 1.68 to 46.12; p=0.005) and disease duration (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.11; p=0.020). Baseline predictors for flare within 2 years were ultrasound grey scale synovitis sum score (OR 1.19; 95% CI 1.02 to 1.44; p=0.020) and number of previous bDMARDs (OR 4.07; 95% CI 1.35 to 24.72; p=0.007). CONCLUSION: The majority of real-world patients with RA tapering bDMARDs flared during tapering, with the majority regaining remission after stepwise dose increase. Demographic and imaging parameters (MR-osteitis/ultrasound greyscale synovitis) were independent predictors of immediate flare and flare overall and may be of importance for clinical decision-making in patients eligible for tapering.

Effect of initiating biologics compared to intensifying conventional DMARDs on clinical and MRI outcomes in established rheumatoid arthritis patients in clinical remission: Secondary analyses of the IMAGINE-RA trial.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the effect of treat-to-target-based escalations in conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs) and biologics on clinical disease activity and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) inflammation in a rheumatoid arthritis (RA) cohort in clinical remission. METHOD: One-hundred patients with established RA, Disease Activity Score based on 28-joint count-C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) < 3.2, and no swollen joints (hereafter referred to as 'in clinical remission') who received csDMARDs underwent clinical evaluation and MRI of the wrist and second to fifth metacarpophalangeal joints every 4 months. They followed a 2 year MRI treatment strategy targeting DAS28-CRP ≤ 3.2, no swollen joints, and absence of MRI osteitis, with predefined algorithmic treatment escalation: first: increase in csDMARDs; second: adding a biologic; third: switch biologic. MRI osteitis and Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) (co-primary outcomes) and MRI combined inflammation and Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI) (key secondary outcomes) were assessed 4 months after treatment change and expressed as estimates of group differences. Statistical analyses were based on the intention-to-treat population analysed using repeated-measures mixed models. RESULTS: Escalation to first biologic compared to csDMARD escalation more effectively reduced MRI osteitis (difference between least squares means 1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.0-2.6), HAQ score (0.08, 0.03-0.1), MRI combined inflammation (2.5, 0.9-4.1), and SDAI scores (2.7, 1.9-3.5). CONCLUSIONS: Treat-to-target-based treatment escalations to biologics compared to escalation in csDMARDs more effectively improved MRI inflammation, physical function, and clinical disease activity in patients with established RA in clinical remission. Treatment escalation in RA patients in clinical remission reduces clinical and MRI-assessed disease activity. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT01656278.

Validation and assessment of minimally clinically important difference of the unadjusted Health Assessment Questionnaire in a Danish cohort: uncovering ordinal bias.

Objectives: The Stanford Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI) is a widely used patient-reported outcome for functional disability in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) in the HAQ-DI were previously calculated based on device-corrected ordinal HAQ-DI scores, leading to limited generalizability and validity for today's patients. Our objectives were to examine the internal construct validity of the unadjusted HAQ-DI and to determine an MCID in a cohort of Danish RA patients based on the transformed linear logit scale of the HAQ-DI.Method: The study included 362 RA patients registered in the DANBIO registry. The Rasch model was fitted to HAQ-DI data at baseline and after 3 months' follow-up. MCID was calculated as the median changes in the original HAQ-DI score and logit HAQ-DI score in those patients who had experienced minimal improvement (15-30 mm on a 0-100 mm Patient Global scale).Results: HAQ-DI data showed acceptable fit to the Rasch model at both time-points, and consistent item ranking across time indicated instrument invariance. Sixty-one patients (16.8%, ~1/6) had an improvement above the MCID on the logit scale but improvement below the MCID on the original scale, while the opposite was not the case for any patients.Conclusions: The Danish unadjusted version of the HAQ-DI showed acceptable internal construct validity. Application of the logit MCID classified an additional one in six patients as having achieved an MCID compared to the MCID calculated on the ordinal scale, which may have potential implications for the powering of future studies.

Predictive value of a multi-biomarker disease activity score for clinical remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: a post-hoc study of the OPERA trial.

OBJECTIVES: Measurement of serum biomarkers at disease onset may improve prediction of disease course in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We evaluated the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score and early changes in MBDA score for prediction of 28-joint Disease Activity Score based on C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) remission and radiographic progression in the double-blinded OPERA trial. METHOD: Treatment-naïve RA patients (N = 180) with moderate or high DAS28 were randomized to methotrexate (MTX) + adalimumab (n = 89) or MTX + placebo (n = 91) in combination with glucocorticoid injection into swollen joints. X-rays of hands and feet were evaluated at months 0 and 12 (n = 164) by the total Sharp van der Heijde score (TSS). The smallest detectable change (1.8 TSS units) defined radiographic progression (∆TSS ≥ 2). Clinical remission (DAS28-CRP < 2.6) was assessed at baseline and 6 months. MBDA score was determined at 0 and 3 months and tested in a multivariable logistic regression model for predicting DAS28 remission at 6 months and radiographic progression at 1 year. RESULTS: Baseline MBDA score was independently associated with radiographic progression at 1 year [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03/unit, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.06], and changes in MBDA score from baseline to 3 months with clinical remission at 6 months [OR = 0.98/unit, 95% CI 0.96-1.00). In anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP)-positive patients, 35 of 89 with high MBDA score (> 44) showed radiographic progression (PPV = 39%), compared with 0 of 15 patients (NPV = 100%) with low/moderate MBDA score (≤ 44) (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Early changes in MBDA score were associated with clinical remission based on DAS28-CRP at 6 months. In anti-CCP-positive patients, a non-high baseline MBDA score (≤ 44) had a clinical value by predicting very low risk of radiographic progression at 12 months.

Circulating serum interleukin-6, serum chitinase-3-like protein-1, and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor are not predictive for remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: post-hoc explorative and validation studies based on the CIMESTRA and OPERA trials.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), serum chitinase-3-like protein-1 (YKL-40), and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) as measures of disease activity and predictors of clinical remission and radiographic progression in two early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) randomized controlled trials (RCTs). METHOD: Treatment-naïve patients with early RA (< 6 months' duration) and active disease, participating in two investigator-initiated RCTs, were treated according to a predefined treat-to-target algorithm aiming at inflammatory control, using methotrexate (MTX) + cyclosporine versus MTX + placebo (CIMESTRA study, n = 150, 5 year follow-up) or MTX + adalimumab versus MTX + placebo (OPERA study, n = 180, 2 year follow-up). The 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) and conventional radiography [bilateral hands and feet at baseline, 2 years and 5 years (only CIMESTRA)] were obtained at baseline and during follow-up. Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were measured in baseline blood samples and during follow-up. Hypotheses regarding the biomarkers' relation with DAS28 and ability to predict clinical remission (DAS28 < 2.6) and radiographic progression (change in total Sharp van der Heijde score ≥ 2) were generated in CIMESTRA and validated in OPERA, by Spearman's correlation and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Baseline IL-6, YKL-40, and VEGF correlated significantly with DAS28 in CIMESTRA (r = 0.50, r = 0.36, r = 0.36, respectively, all p < 0.01) and these results were confirmed in OPERA patients (r = 0.52, p < 0.01; r = 0.18, p = 0.01; r = 0.23, p = 0.002, respectively). None of the biomarkers (absolute values or change) was predictive of clinical remission or radiographic progression at 2 or 5 years in either study. CONCLUSION: Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were significantly correlated with DAS28 at baseline, but did not have consistent predictive value for clinical remission or radiographic progression in two early RA RCTs.

Impact of patient-reported flares on radiographic progression and functional impairment in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a cohort study based on the AMBRA trial.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of patient-reported flares on radiographic damage and disability in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHOD: Patients with low-active (Disease Activity Score based on 28-joint count with C-reactive protein < 3.2) RA were followed for 2 years. Based on annual questionnaires about incidence of flares, three 'flare phenotypes' were distinguished: no flares (NF), transient flares (TF), and a mixed category reporting persistent joint complaints (PJC) in at least one year. Baseline and 2 year radiographs of hands and feet were evaluated according to the Sharp/van der Heijde method. Major outcomes were change from baseline in Total Sharp Score (ΔTSS) and functional impairment, expressed by the Health Assessment Questionnaire (ΔHAQ). Their association with flare phenotype was analysed by logistic regression. RESULTS: The study included 268 RA patients (70% female; 73% immunoglobulin M rheumatoid factor positive), with a median age (interquartile range) of 63 (55-70) years, and 7 (4-13) years' disease duration. Flares were recalled as NF (n = 77), TF (n = 141), and PJC (n = 50). ΔTSS > 0 was observed in 35%, 37%, and 46%, respectively (p = 0.42), but statistically significantly (p = 0.01) more patients progressed in the TF (10%) and PJC (14%) compared to NF (0%), based on the smallest detectable change (> 4.4 ΔTSS unit). ΔHAQ above the minimal clinically important difference (> 0.22) was seen in 13% (NF), 21% (TF), and 40% (PJC) (p = 0.0015), with PJC being associated with statistically significant impairment in function (odds ratio 4.47, 95% confidence interval 1.87-10.69) compared to NF. CONCLUSION: In RA patients with low disease activity, the incidence of radiographic progression and functional impairment was higher in patients with flares and persistent complaints, compared to those without flares.

Hand bone loss in early rheumatoid arthritis during a methotrexate-based treat-to-target strategy with or without adalimumab-a substudy of the optimized treatment algorithm in early RA (OPERA) trial.

This study aims to investigate 1-year hand bone loss (HBL1-year) in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients treated with a methotrexate (MTX) and intra-articular triamcinolone treat-to-target strategy +/- adalimumab and to determine if HBL6months is associated with radiographic progression after 2 years. In a clinical trial (OPERA) of 180 treatment-naive early RA patients, bone mineral density (BMD) was estimated from hand radiographs with digital X-ray radiogrammetry (DXR) at baseline, after 6 (n = 90) and 12 months (n = 70) of follow-up. Baseline and 2-year radiographs were scored according to the Sharp/van der Heijde method. Baseline characteristics and HBL6months (0-6 months changes in DXR-BMD) were investigated as predictors of structural damage by univariate linear (∆ total Sharp/van der Heijde score (TSS) as dependent variable) and logistic (+/-radiographic progression (∆TSS >0) as dependent variable) regression analyses. Variables with p < 0.10 were included in multivariable models. In 70 patients with available HBL1-year data, HBL1-year was median (interquartile range (IQR)) -1.9 (-3.3; -0.26 mg/cm2) in the MTX + placebo group and -1.8 (-3.6; 0.06) mg/cm2 in the MTX + adalimumab group, p = 0.98, Wilcoxon signed-rank. Increased HBL (compared to general population reference values) was found in 26/37 and 23/33 patients in the MTX + placebo and MTX + adalimumab groups, chi-squared = 0.99. In 90 patients with HBL6months data and 2-year radiographic data, HBL6months was independently associated with ∆TSS after 2 years (ß = -0.086 (95% confidence interval = -0.15; -0.025) TSS unit/mg/cm2 increase, p = 0.006) but not with presence of radiographic progression (∆TSS >0) (OR 0.96 (0.92-1.0), p = 0.10). In early RA patients treated with a methotrexate-based treat-to-target strategy, the majority of patients had increased HBL1-year, irrespective of adalimumab; HBL6months was independently associated with ∆TSS after 2 years.

Clinical and radiographic outcome of a treat-to-target strategy using methotrexate and intra-articular glucocorticoids with or without adalimumab induction: a 2-year investigator-initiated, double-blinded, randomised, controlled trial (OPERA).

OBJECTIVES: To study clinical and radiographic outcomes after withdrawing 1 year's adalimumab induction therapy for early rheumatoid arthritis (eRA) added to a methotrexate and intra-articular triamcinolone hexacetonide treat-to-target strategy (NCT00660647). METHODS: Disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD)-naive patients with eRA started methotrexate (20 mg/week) and intra-articular triamcinolone (20 mg/ml) for 2 years. In addition, they were randomised to receive placebo adalimumab (DMARD group, n=91) or adalimumab (40 mg/every other week) (DMARD+adalimumab group, n=89) during the first year. Sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine were added if disease activity persisted after 3 months. During year 2, synthetic DMARDs continued. Adalimumab was (re)initiated if active disease reoccurred. Clinical response, remission, disability, quality of life and radiographic changes were assessed. RESULTS: One year after adalimumab withdrawal, treatment profiles and clinical responses did not differ between groups. In the DMARD/DMARD+adalimumab groups, the median 2-year methotrexate dose was 20/20 mg/week (p=0.45), triple DMARD therapy had been initiated in 33/27 patients (p=0.49), adalimumab was (re)initiated in 12/12 patients and cumulative triamcinolone dose was 160/120 mg (p=0.15). The treatment target (disease activity score, 4 variables, C-reactive protein (DAS28CRP) ≤3.2 or DAS28>3.2 without swollen joints) was achieved at all visits in ≥85% of patients in year 2; remission rates were DAS28CRP<2.6:69%/66%; Clinical Disease Activity Index ≤2.8:55%/57%; Simplified Disease Activity Index <3.3:54%/49%; American College of Rheumatology/European League against Rheumatism (28 joints):44%/45% (p=0.66-1.00). Radiographic progression (Δtotal Sharp score/year) was similar 1.31/0.53 (p=0.12). Erosive progression (Δerosion score (ES)/year) was year 1:0.57/0.06 (p=0.02); year 2:0.38/0.05 (p=0.005). Proportion of patients without erosive progression (ΔES≤0) was year 1: 59%/76% (p=0.03); year 2:64%/79% (p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: An aggressive triamcinolone and synthetic DMARD treat-to-target strategy in eRA provided excellent 2-year clinical and radiographic disease control independent of adalimumab induction therapy. ES progression was slightly less during and following adalimumab induction therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00660647.