CONSANGUINEOUS MARRIAGE IN JORDAN: AN UPDATE.

This study examined the recent level, trends and determinants of consanguineous marriage in Jordan using time-series data from the Jordan Population and Family Health Surveys (JPFHSs). According to the 2012 JPFHS, 35% of all marriages were consanguineous in Jordan in 2012. There has been a declining trend in consanguinity in the country, with the rate decreasing from a level of 57% in 1990. Most consanguineous marriage in 2012 were first cousin marriages, constituting 23% of all marriages and 66% of all consanguineous marriages. The data show that women with a lower age at marriage, older marriage cohort, larger family size, less than secondary level of education, rural place of residence, no employment, no exposure to mass media, a monogamous marriage, a husband with less than higher level of education and lower economic status, and those from the Badia region, were more likely to have a consanguineous marriage. Increasing age at marriage, level of education, urbanization and knowledge about the health consequences of consanguinity, and the ongoing socioeconomic and demographic transition in the country, will be the driving forces for further decline in consanguinity in Jordan.

Identifying Optimal Models of Evolution.

Most phylogenetic methods are model-based and depend on models of evolution designed to approximate the evolutionary processes. Several methods have been developed to identify suitable models of evolution for phylogenetic analysis of alignments of nucleotide or amino acid sequences and some of these methods are now firmly embedded in the phylogenetic protocol. However, in a disturbingly large number of cases, it appears that these models were used without acknowledgement of their inherent shortcomings. In this chapter, we discuss the problem of model selection and show how some of the inherent shortcomings may be identified and overcome.