Can Triage Nurses Accurately Predict Patient Dispositions in the Emergency Department?

Contemporary emergency departments experience crowded conditions with poor patient outcomes. If triage nurses could accurately predict admission, one theoretical intervention to reduce crowding is to place patients in the admission cue on arrival to the emergency department. The purpose of this study was to determine if triage nurses could accurately predict patient dispositions. METHODS: This prospective study was conducted in a tertiary academic hospital's emergency department using a data collection tool embedded in the ED electronic information system. Study variables included the predicted and actual disposition, as well as level of care, gender, age, and Emergency Severity Index level. Data were collected for 28 consecutive days from September 17 through October 9, 2013. Sensitivity and specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy of prediction, as well as the associations between patient characteristics and nurse prediction, were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 5,135 cases were included in the analysis. The triage nurses predicted admissions with a sensitivity of 71.5% and discharges with a specificity of 88.0%. Accuracy was significantly higher for younger patients and for patients at very low or very high severity levels. DISCUSSION: Although the ability to predict admissions at triage by nurses was not adequate to support a change in the bed procurement process, a specificity of 88.0% could have implications for rapid ED discharges or other low-acuity processes designed within the emergency department. Further studies in additional settings and on alternative interventions are needed.

Impact of emergency department transitions of care on thrombolytic use in acute ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In-hospital mortality is higher for certain medical conditions based on the time of presentation to the emergency department. The primary goal of this study was to determine whether patients with acute ischemic stroke who arrived to the emergency department during a nursing shift change had similar rates of thrombolytic use and functional outcomes compared with patients presenting during nonshift change hours. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients with acute ischemic stroke presenting to the emergency department of a primary stroke center from 2005 through 2010. The time to notify the stroke team, perform a head CT scan, and to start intravenous or intra-arterial thrombolysis was assessed. Thrombolysis rates, mortality rate, discharge disposition, change in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and change in modified Barthel Index at 3 and 12 months were assessed. RESULTS: Of 3133 patients with acute ischemic stroke, 917 met criteria for inclusion. Arrival during nursing shift change, weekends, and July through September had no impact on process times, thrombolysis rates, and functional outcomes. Arrival at night did result in longer time to intra-arterial but not to intravenous thrombolysis, higher mortality rate, and smaller gain in functional status as measured by the modified Barthel Index at 3 months. The degree of emergency department "busyness" also did not influence tissue-type plasminogen activator treatment times. CONCLUSIONS: Presentation during a nursing shift change, a time of transition of care, did not delay thrombolytic use in eligible patients with acute ischemic stroke. Presentation with acute ischemic stroke at night did result in delays of care for patients undergoing interventional therapies.