The effect of weight loss interventions for obesity on fertility and pregnancy outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Weight loss could improve fertility, perhaps by reducing insulin resistance. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effect of weight loss interventions on fertility in women with obesity not recruited because of known infertility. SEARCH STRATEGY: Three databases during 1966-2020, trial registry. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with a follow-up of 1 year or more, with a mean cohort BMI of 30 kg/m2 or above. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted. The primary outcome was pregnancy. The secondary outcome was weight change. MAIN RESULTS: A total of 27 RCTs (5938 women) were included. Weight loss interventions showed no statistically significant increase in pregnancies compared to control interventions (24 trials, 97 women with pregnancy; risk ratio [RR] 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-2.23); weight change (mean difference [MD] -2.36 kg, 21 trials, 95% CI -3.17 to -1.55). Compared with low-fat diets, very-low-carbohydrate diets showed no statistically significant effect on women with pregnancy (three trials, 14 women with pregnancy; RR 1.37, 95% CI 0.49-3.84) or weight change (MD -0.32 kg, 95% CI -3.84 to 3.21). CONCLUSIONS: Diet-based weight loss interventions for women with obesity not recruited because of infertility were effective at producing long-term weight loss. The effects on fertility were not statistically significant, but few trials provided data. Weight loss trials should routinely collect fertility outcomes. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42017078819.

SHARP risk score: A predictor of poor outcomes in adults admitted for emergency general surgery: A prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: Post-operative complications following emergency abdominal surgery are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite the knowledge of prognostic factors associated with poor surgical outcomes; few have described risks of poor outcomes based on admission information in acute surgical setting. We aimed to derive a simple, point-of-care risk scale that predicts adults with increased risk of poor outcomes. METHODS: We used data from an international multi-centre prospective cohort study. The effect of characteristics; age, hypoalbuminaemia, anaemia, renal insufficiency and polypharmacy on 90-day mortality was examined using fully adjusted multivariable models. For our secondary outcome we aimed to test whether these characteristics could be combined to predict poor outcomes in adults undergoing emergency general surgery. Subsequently, the impact of incremental increase in derived SHARP score on outcomes was assessed. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 419 adult patients between the ages of 16-94 years (median 52; IQR(39) consecutively admitted to five emergency general surgical units across the United Kingdom and one in Ghent, Belgium. In fully adjusted models the aforementioned characteristics; were associated with 90-day mortality. SHARP score was associated with higher odds of mortality in adults who underwent emergency general surgery, with a SHARP score of five also being associated with an increased length of hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: SHARP risk score is a simple prognostic tool, using point-of-care information to predict poor outcomes in patients undergoing emergency general surgery. This information may be used to improve management plans and aid clinicians in delivering more person-centred care. Further validation studies are required to prove its utility.

A review of trauma and orthopaedic randomised clinical trials published in high-impact general medical journals.

INTRODUCTION: The recent past has seen a significant increase in the number of trauma and orthopaedic randomised clinical trials published in "the big five" general medical journals. The quality of this research has, however, not yet been established. METHODS: We therefore set out to critically appraise the quality of available literature over a 10-year period (April 2010-April 2020) through a systematic search of these 5 high-impact general medical journals (JAMA, NEJM, BMJ, Lancet and Annals). A standardised data extraction proforma was utilised to gather information regarding: trial design, sample size calculation, results, study quality and pragmatism. Quality assessment was performed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 tool and the modified Delphi list. Study pragmatism was assessed using the PRECIS-2 tool. RESULTS: A total of 25 studies were eligible for inclusion. Over half of the included trials did not meet their sample size calculation for the primary outcome, with a similar proportion of these studies at risk of type II error for their non-significant results. There was a high degree of pragmatism according to PRECIS-2. Non-significant studies had greater pragmatism that those with statistically significant results (p < 0.001). Only 56% studies provided adequate justification for the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) in the population assessed. Overall, very few studies were deemed high quality/low risk of bias. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight that there are some important methodological concerns present within the current evidence base of RCTs published in high-impact medical journals. Potential strategies that may improve future trial design are highlighted. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 1.

The influence of hospital-level variables on hip fracture outcomes.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to determine the impact of hospital-level service characteristics on hip fracture outcomes and quality of care processes measures. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of publicly available audit data obtained from the National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD) 2018 benchmark summary and Facilities Survey. Data extraction was performed using a dedicated proforma to identify relevant hospital-level care process and outcome variables for inclusion. The primary outcome measure was adjusted 30-day mortality rate. A random forest-based multivariate imputation by chained equation (MICE) algorithm was used for missing value imputation. Univariable analysis for each hospital level factor was performed using a combination of Tobit regression, Siegal non-parametric linear regression, and Mann-Whitney U test analyses, dependent on the data type. In all analyses, a p-value < 0.05 denoted statistical significance. RESULTS: Analyses included 176 hospitals, with a median of 366 hip fracture cases per year (interquartile range (IQR) 280 to 457). Aggregated data from 66,578 patients were included. The only identified hospital-level variable associated with the primary outcome of 30-day mortality was hip fracture trial involvement (no trial involvement: median 6.3%; trial involvement: median 5.7%; p = 0.039). Significant key associations were also identified between prompt surgery and presence of dedicated hip fracture sessions; reduced acute length of stay and both a higher number of hip fracture cases per year and more dedicated hip fracture operating lists; Best Practice Tariff attainment and greater number of hip fracture cases per year, more dedicated hip fracture operating lists, presence of a dedicated hip fracture ward, and hip fracture trial involvement. CONCLUSION: Exploratory analyses have identified that improved outcomes in hip fracture may be associated with hospital-level service characteristics, such as hip fracture research trial involvement, larger hip fracture volumes, and the use of theatre lists dedicated to hip fracture surgery. Further research using patient level data is warranted to corroborate these findings. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(10):1627-1632.

Anticholinergic burden in middle-aged women and recurrent falls in later life: findings from the Aberdeen prospective osteoporosis screening study (APOSS).

BACKGROUND: Anticholinergic burden (ACB) is a recognised risk factor for falls in older people; however, whether ACB in middle age predicts falls in later life is unknown. METHODS: We examined this association in the middle-aged women of the Aberdeen Prospective Osteoporosis Screening Study (APOSS). ACB was calculated at the second health visit (1997-1999, study baseline) using the Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden Scale. Outcomes were incidence of 1 fall and recurrent falls (⩾2 falls) during the 12 months prior to follow up 2007-2011. Multinomial logistic regression analyses adjusted for potential confounders including demographics, comorbidities and falls history. RESULTS: A total of 2125 women {mean age (standard deviation [SD]): 54.7 (2.2) years at baseline and 66.0 (2.2) years at follow up} were included. Prevalence of baseline ACB score of 0, 1 and ⩾2 was 87.1%, 7.3% and 5.6%, respectively. Compared with no ACB, ACB ⩾2 was associated with recurrent falls in the previous 12 months [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 2.34, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.31, 4.19] at an average of 11 years after initial exposure. No such association was found for an ACB score of 1. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the potential negative effects of anticholinergic medications in middle age. While cautious use of anticholinergic medications is advisable, further longitudinal research should be conducted to confirm these findings before any specific clinical recommendations can be made.

Fractures in Adults After Weight Loss from Bariatric Surgery and Weight Management Programs for Obesity: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Weight loss interventions for obesity, such as bariatric surgery, are associated with reductions in bone mineral density and may increase the risk of fractures. We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of bariatric surgery and lifestyle weight management programs (WMPs) with fracture outcomes. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from 1966 to 2018, and our trial registry of WMP randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We included RCTs, non-randomized trials, and observational studies of bariatric surgery, and RCTs of WMPs. Studies had follow-up ≥ 12 months, mean group body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2. The primary outcome measure was incidence of any type of fracture in participants, and the secondary outcome was weight change. We used random effects meta-analysis for trial data. RESULTS: Fifteen studies were included. Three small trials provided short-term evidence of the association between bariatric surgery and participants with any fracture (365 participants; RR 0.82; 95% CI 0.29 to 2.35). Four out of six observational studies of bariatric surgery demonstrated significantly increased fracture risk. Six RCTs of WMPs with 6214 participants, the longest follow-up 11.3 years, showed no clear effect on any type of fracture (RR 1.04; 95% CI 0.91 to 1.18), although authors of the largest RCT reported an increased risk of frailty fracture by their definition (RR 1.40; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.90). CONCLUSION: Bariatric surgery appears to increase the risk of any fracture; however, longer-term trial data are needed. The effect of lifestyle WMPs on the risk of any fracture is currently unclear.

Anti-cholinergic burden and patient related clinical outcomes in an emergency general surgical setting.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: The impact of medications with anti-cholinergic properties on morbidity and mortality of unselected adult patients admitted to the emergency general surgical setting has not been investigated. METHODS: All cases were identified prospectively from unselected adult patients admitted to the emergency general surgical ward between May to July 2016 in a UK centre with a catchment population circa 500,000. Prescribed medication lists were ascertained from case notes and electronic medical records. Anti-Cholinergic Burden (ACB) was calculated from medication lists. Patients were categorised into three groups based on ACB; none (ACB score of 0); moderate (up to ACB score of two); high (ACB score more than two). The effect of increasing ACB on selected outcomes of 30- and 90-day mortality, hospital readmission within 30-days of discharge and increased length of hospital stay were examined using multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: The 452 patients had a mean age (SD) of 51.7 (±20.6) years, 273 (60.4%) patients had no ACB burden, 106 (23.5%) had a ACB burden of up to two; and 73 (16.2%) had an ACB burden of > 2. Multivariable analyses showed no association between high ACB burden and 90-day (fully adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.56 (95%CI 0.12-2.85); P = 0.48) and 30-day mortality (fully adjusted OR = 0.75 (95%CI 0.05-11.04); P = 0.84). A significant association was observed between moderate ACB burden and 30-day hospital readmission (fully adjusted OR = 2.01 (95%CI 1.09-3.71); P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Anti-cholinergic burden may be linked to hospital readmission in adults admitted to an emergency general surgical ward.

Cognitive impairment is associated with mortality in older adults in the emergency surgical setting: Findings from the Older Persons Surgical Outcomes Collaboration (OPSOC): A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment is prevalent in older surgical patients; however, the condition is greatly under-recognized, and outcomes associated with it are poorly understood. METHODS: This is a prospective multicenter cohort study of unselected consecutive older adults admitted to 5 emergency general surgical units across the United Kingdom participating in the Older Persons Surgical Outcomes Collaboration from 2013-2014. The effect of moderate cognitive impairment defined as ≤17, bottom quartile of Montreal Cognitive Assessment was examined using multivariate logistic regression models. Primary outcome measure was the relationship between a low Montreal Cognitive Assessment score (≤17) and mortality at 30 and 90 days. Secondary outcome measures included the association between having a low Montreal Cognitive Assessment and hospital length of stay. RESULTS: A total of 539 older patients admitted consecutively to 5 surgical units during the 2013 and 2014 study periods were included. The median age (interquartile range) was 76 years (70-82 years), the emergency operation rate was 13% (n = 72). The prevalence of cognitive impairment, using the traditional Montreal Cognitive Assessment cutoff score of ≤26, was 84.4% and, using the recently suggested cutoff score of ≤23, the prevalence was 61.0%. Multivariable analyses showed patients with a low Montreal Cognitive Assessment score (≤17) had a three-fold increase in 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio = 3.10; 95% confidence interval:1.19-8.11; P = .021) and an increased length of hospital stay (10 or more days; 1.80 [1.10-2.94; P = .02] and 14 or more days; 2.06 [1.17-3.61; P = .012]). CONCLUSION: We recommend a routine cognitive assessment in an emergency surgical setting whenever feasible to help identify patients at risk of poor outcomes.

A high anticholinergic burden is associated with a history of falls in the previous year in middle-aged women: findings from the Aberdeen Prospective Osteoporosis Screening Study.

PURPOSE: To examine the cross-sectional association between anticholinergic medication burden (ACB) and a history of falls, bone mineral density, and low trauma fractures in middle-aged women aged under 65 years from the Aberdeen Prospective Osteoporosis Screening Study. METHODS: ACB (0 = none, 1 = possible, ≥2 = definite) was calculated from medication use for 3883 Caucasian women [mean age (SD) = 54.3 (2.3) years] attending the second Aberdeen Prospective Osteoporosis Screening Study visit (1997-2000). Outcomes were examined using logistic regression. Model adjustments were selected a priori based on expert opinion. RESULTS: Of 3883 participants, 3293 scored ACB = 0, 328 scored ACB = 1, and 262 scored ACB ≥2. High ACB burden (≥2) was associated with increased odds (ACB = 0 reference) for falls (fully adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence intervals] = 1.81 [1.25-2.62]; P = 0.002) and having low bone mineral density (lowest quintile-20%) at Ward's triangle (3.22 [1.30-7.99]; P = 0.01). A history of falls over the year prior to the study visit in participants with ACB score ≥2 was 32 per 100. For ACB categories 1 and 0, a history of falls per 100 was 21 and 22, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of falling associated with ACB observed in older age may also extend to middle-aged women.