Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in coastal Kenya: a longitudinal open cohort study.

The mortality impact of COVID-19 in Africa remains controversial because most countries lack vital registration. We analysed excess mortality in Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System, Kenya, using 9 years of baseline data. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence studies suggest most adults here were infected before May 2022. During 5 waves of COVID-19 (April 2020-May 2022) an overall excess mortality of 4.8% (95% PI 1.2%, 9.4%) concealed a significant excess (11.6%, 95% PI 5.9%, 18.9%) among older adults ( ≥ 65 years) and a deficit among children aged 1-14 years (-7.7%, 95% PI -20.9%, 6.9%). The excess mortality rate for January 2020-December 2021, age-standardised to the Kenyan population, was 27.4/100,000 person-years (95% CI 23.2-31.6). In Coastal Kenya, excess mortality during the pandemic was substantially lower than in most high-income countries but the significant excess mortality in older adults emphasizes the value of achieving high vaccine coverage in this risk group.

Quantifying previous SARS-CoV-2 infection through mixture modelling of antibody levels.

As countries decide on vaccination strategies and how to ease movement restrictions, estimating the proportion of the population previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 is important for predicting the future burden of COVID-19. This proportion is usually estimated from serosurvey data in two steps: first the proportion above a threshold antibody level is calculated, then the crude estimate is adjusted using external estimates of sensitivity and specificity. A drawback of this approach is that the PCR-confirmed cases used to estimate the sensitivity of the threshold may not be representative of cases in the wider population-e.g., they may be more recently infected and more severely symptomatic. Mixture modelling offers an alternative approach that does not require external data from PCR-confirmed cases. Here we illustrate the bias in the standard threshold-based approach by comparing both approaches using data from several Kenyan serosurveys. We show that the mixture model analysis produces estimates of previous infection that are often substantially higher than the standard threshold analysis.

Anthropometric indices of infants born to HIV-1-infected mothers: a prospective cohort study in Lagos, Nigeria.

Numerous studies have reported that HIV-infected pregnant women are at increased risk of delivery of low birth weight (LBW) infants, of preterm deliveries and of intrauterine growth restriction. The objective of the study was to determine the effect of maternal HIV infection on the anthropometric characteristics of the babies at birth. A prospective study was carried out at the Lagos University Teaching Hospital, Nigeria. There were three times more LBW babies in the HIV-positive group than in the uninfected mothers (odds ratio = 3.47, 95% confidence interval = 1.69, 7.27; chi(2) = 12.99, P = 0.0003).The maternal weight (t = 15.85; P = 0.0001), maternal body mass index (BMI) (t = 15.07; P = 0.0003), birth weight of infants (t = 27.17; P = 0.0001) and birth length (t = 31.20; P = 0.001) were significantly less in HIV-positive mothers than in controls. In conclusion, poor maternal bodyweight and low BMI are significant contributors to LBW in HIV-infected women. Nutritional counselling, dietary intake and weight monitoring during pregnancy should be emphasized to improve pregnancy outcome in HIV-infected women.

Haematological values from a Gambian cohort--possible reference range for a West African population.

The objective of this study was to establish haematological reference ranges for the West African subregion using a Gambian cohort. We analysed full blood counts from 1279 subjects aged > or =1 year. Anthropometric and body composition measurements were performed. Haematological mean values, medians and 90% reference values were calculated and related to malnutrition in children and thinness and/or obesity in adults. Haemoglobin (Hb) and mean corpuscular volume (MCV) significantly increased with age (P < 0.00001). There were gender-related changes in Hb from 15 years of age (P = 0.001) and for MCV only in adults (P = 0.0002). Hb was significantly reduced in underweight and stunted children (P = 0.0001 and 0.0002, respectively) but was unaffected by thinness or obesity in adults. White blood cell (WBC) and platelet counts were highest under 5 years and declined significantly with age (P < 0.0001 and 0.0001). While, there were no gender-related differences with WBC, there were higher WBC counts in underweight (P = 0.0001) and stunted (P < 0.0001) children. Adult females had significantly higher mean platelet counts compared with males (P = 0.006). The mean and median values of haematological parameters in The Gambia are similar to other standards but the 90% reference range for each parameter encompasses lower values when compared with Western standards.

Effect of antiretroviral therapy on asymptomatic malaria parasitaemia in HIV-1 infected children.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of antiretroviral ARV) therapy on the level of asymptomatic malaria parasitaemia in HIV-1 infected children. METHODS: Sixty-six HIV infected children had blood films prepared for malaria parasite identification and count. Mean parasite densities were compared across clinical stages and immunologic categories of disease and antiretroviral treatment status. RESULTS: Forty-five (68%) were less than 6 years old and 50 (75.7%) had advanced HIV disease. Twenty seven (41%) were on antiretroviral therapy. The prevalence of ASMP in the treated and untreated group was 44.4% and 15.4% respectively (p<0.01). The mean parasite density in the ARV treatment group was also significantly higher than in the untreated group (p=0.0071). CONCLUSIONS: ARV therapy seems to be associated with higher rates of ASMP and higher mean parasite counts.

Effect of antiretroviral therapy on asymptomatic malaria parasitaemia in HIV-1 infected children.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of antiretroviral (ARV) therapy on the level of asymptomatic malaria parasitaemia in HIV-1 infected children. METHODS: Sixty-six HIV infected children had blood films prepared for malaria parasite identification and count. Mean parasite densities were compared across clinical stages and immunologic categories of disease and antiretroviral treatment status. RESULTS: Forty-five (68%) were less than 6 years old and 50 (75.7%) had advanced HIV disease. Twenty seven (41%) were on antiretroviral therapy. The prevalence of ASMP in the treated and untreated group was 44.4% and 15.4% respectively (p<0.01). The mean parasite density in the ARV treatment group was also significantly higher than in the untreated group (p=0.0071). CONCLUSIONS: ARV therapy seems to be associated with higher rates of ASMP and higher mean parasite counts.

Maternal HIV infection and intrauterine growth: a prospective study in Lagos, Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: Low birth weight (LBW) is the most important cause of perinatal mortality and morbidity worldwide and particularly so in developing countries. Maternal HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) infection has been identified as one of the risk factors to the development of low birth weight babies. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of maternal HIV infection on the birth weight of the newborn at tertiary hospital in West Africa. METHODS: The anthropometry of all HIV seropositive women who delivered in LUTH as well as that of their babies was determined using standard methods. Controls consisted of HIV seronegative women and their babies matched for age and parity with the above subjects. RESULTS: There were a total of 262 subjects of whom 132 (50.4%) were HIV seropositive and 130 (49.6%) were HIV seronegative controls. There were five times more low birth weight (LBW) infants in the HIV seropositive group than in the controls (OR 5.77, CI=2.19-16.80; p=0.000075). The mean maternal body mass index, BMI (p=0.0003), mean maternal weight (p=0.0004) and mean birth weight of newborns (p=0.0002) were significantly lower in the HIV seropositive group than in the controls. Maternal weight and gestational age were significantly associated with low birth weight (OR 15.3, CI=2.6-316.0; p=0.002) and (OR 3.78, CI=1.37-10.9; p=0.007) respectively. CONCLUSION: Maternal HIV infection is strongly associated with low maternal BMI and low birth weight in their offspring.

Rising ELISPOT count prior to the onset of symptoms of full-blown tuberculosis disease.

The relationship between the T-cell response to mycobacterial antigens and the likelihood of progression to disease has not been defined. We report a rapidly rising ELISPOT count in a 55-year-old man with evidence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection prior to the onset of symptoms of disease. This case illustrates the possible utility of quantitative changes in the ELISPOT count in predicting progression from M. tuberculosis infection to disease.

Haematological abnormalities associated with paediatric HIV/AIDS in Lagos.

INTRODUCTION: In HIV-1-infected children, haematological disturbances include bone marrow abnormalities and peripheral cytopenias. All three major cell lineages can be depressed. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of baseline haematological parameters was undertaken in 68 children with confirmed HIV infection. In all cases, a complete blood count was done and some had CD4+ counts and HIV RNA PCR. The CD4+ count was analysed by the Coulter manual latex particle monoclonal antibody method and HIV RNA PCR by Roche Amplicor Monitor, version 1.5. RESULTS: Anaemia (< 100 g/L) was present in 77.9%, severe (< 60 g/L) in 5.9%, moderate (60-70 g/L) in 32.3% and mild (80-99 g/L) in 39.7%. The mean haemoglobin concentration decreased as disease progressed (p < 0.05); 6% had leucopenia, 17.5% had neutropenia and 2.5% (one case) had thrombocytopenia; also, the four (6%) subjects with leucopenia were in clinical stages B and C. Neutropenia, lymphocytopenia and thrombocytopenia were seen more in clinical stages B and C, though this relationship was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Both the erythroid and other cells lines are affected by HIV/AIDS and other associated factors. Anaemia is the most common haematological abnormality. The severity of peripheral cytopenias is related to the disease burden.

Estimation of the rate of mother to child transmission of HIV in Nigeria.

Definitive diagnosis of HIV infection in infants < 18 months of age who were born to HIV-infected mothers is still posing some difficulty in Nigeria and other developing countries. Within this age definitive diagnosis can only be carried out by antigen based techniques which are indeed not available in these developing countries. This has resulted in the absence of authoritative data on the rate of mother-to-child transmission in these countries. Nigeria inclusive. The present pilot study was therefore carried out to generate some information on the rate of mother to child transmission in Nigeria using the PCR technique. Plasma samples were obtained from 68 children of both sexes less than 18 months of age and who were born to HIV infected mothers. The samples were collected from two pediatric departments. in Lagos and in Benin. The presence of HIV 1 RNA in each of the samples. was determined using the Amplicor Monitor V 1.5 technique (Roche Diagnostics). Data showed that HIV-1 RNA was detected in 15 of the 68 samples tested. This gave an HIV-1 RNA detection rate of 22%. Among women who had some intervention, the rate of transmission of infection was 11% while the rate among those without intervention was 30%. The 22% transmission rate recorded in this study is close to the range of 25 to 35% that has been reported in several developed and a few developing countries. A multicenter nationwide study will still be needed to determine the national mother to child transmission rate in Nigeria.