Recent HIV infection and associated factors among newly diagnosed HIV cases in the Southwest Ethiopia Regional State: HIV case-based surveillance analysis (2019-2022).

BACKGROUND: Globally, there were an estimated 39 million people living with HIV with 1.3 million new HIV infections by the end of 2023. The Sub-Saharan Africa accounted 51% of new HIV infections. HIV case-based Surveillance collects data on newly diagnosed HIV cases, recent HIV infections, and other sentinel events, aiding evidence-based decision making. There is limited evidence on these in Ethiopia. The objective of this study is to determine the incidence proportion of recent infections and associated factors among newly diagnosed HIV cases and their distribution by person, place, and time in the Southwest Ethiopia Regional State. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on HIV case-based surveillance dataset (July 2019 to June 2022) from the Southwest Ethiopia Regional State. Recent HIV infection is an infection that acquired within the last 12 months as diagnosed by Asante recency test kits. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 26. ArcGIS version 10.8 was used for mapping recent infections. Logistic regression was employed to identify factors associated with recent infections. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, variables with p-value < 0.05 and an adjusted odds ratio with 95% confidence interval were considered to declare significant association. RESULTS: A total of 1,167 newly diagnosed HIV cases (eligible cases) were identified. Among these, 786 (67.3%) recency tests were performed. The mean age of individuals with recent infection was 28.4 years. The proportion of recent infection is 89 (11.3%, 95% CI: 11.2, 11.5%). The highest proportion of recent infection is reported from the West Omo zone (42.9%), whereas 13.2% in Bench Sheko zone. Recent infection is significantly associated with age 15-24 years [AOR = 7.14, 95%CI: 2.89,17.57], age 25-34 years [AOR = 5.34, 95%CI: 2.20,12.94], females [AOR = 2.03, 95%CI: 1.26,3.25], and contact history with the index case [AOR = 0.48, 95%CI: 0.28, 0.83]. The incidence of recent infection increased from 86 (in 2019/20) to 132 (in 2022) recent infections per 1,000 newly diagnosed cases. CONCLUSIONS: Recent HIV infection is a public health concern in the Southwest Ethiopia Regional State with an increasing incidence. Targeted prevention efforts are necessary, especially for females and younger people.

Measles outbreak investigation in Tocha district, southwestern Ethiopia: an unmatched case-control study.

Background: Measles continues to be a public health challenge in Ethiopia. Rumors of suspected measles were notified on April 8, 2023 from Tocha district. We conducted an assessment to describe measles outbreak and determine risk factors for measles infection in the Tocha district of the Dawuro zone, Southwest Ethiopia. Methods: We conducted a 1:2 unmatched case-control studies from April to May 2023. We took all 147 cases registered on line list for descriptive analyses. We used a total of 74 randomly selected cases and 147 controls for case-control part. Any person in Tocha district with laboratory-confirmed measles IgM antibody; or any suspected person epidemiologically linked to confirmed measles cases from March 23 to April 26 2023, were included in the case. Neighborhood who did not fulfill this standard case definition were included in controls. Data were collected using standardized questionnaires deployed on Kobo Collect. Descriptive analyses were conducted using Epi info version 7.2.5.0. The analyses were performed using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 26. Binary logistic regression analyses were utilized to select candidate variables. We conducted multiple logistic regression analysis to identify determinants of measles infection at a p value ≤0.05 with 95% confidence interval. Results: The overall attack rate of 22.64/10,000 for general population and 104.59/10,000 among under-five children were attributed to the outbreak with a case fatality rate of 2.72%. Vaccine coverage in the last year and this year were 73.52 and 53.88%, respectively, while vaccine effectiveness in the district was 79%. Poor house ventilation (AOR = 3.540, 95% CI: 1.663-7.535) and having contact history with the case (AOR = 2.528, 95% CI: 1.180-4.557) were positively related to measles infection while being previously vaccinated for measles (AOR = 0.209, 95% CI: 0.180-4.577) reduce risk of measles infections. Conclusion: The highest attack rate was observed among children under 5 years of age, with a case fatality rate of 2.72%. Vaccination coverage was less than what expected to develop herd immunity. Strategies to increase vaccination coverage and strengthening surveillance systems for rumor identification and early responses to prevent person to person transmission are recommended.