Factors Predicting Loss of Remission in Crohn's Disease Patients in Endoscopic Remission in the Real World: Results From TARGET-IBD.

BACKGROUND: There is limited evidence that histologic remission improves outcomes in Crohn's disease (CD). We aimed to characterize a cohort of patients with CD in endoscopic remission and explore factors associated with subsequent loss of remission (LOR). METHODS: In total, 4474 patients were enrolled in TARGET-IBD, a longitudinal, observational cohort study. Patients with a normal steroid-free colonoscopy (index) were defined as "in endoscopic remission" and were followed for LOR, defined as presence of inflammation, erosion, ulceration, or stricturing on a subsequent colonoscopy or commencement of steroids. Histologic activity was dichotomized using standard of care reports for active inflammation. Unadjusted and multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of LOR in relation to independent variables. RESULTS: Of 658 patients with CD with steroid-free endoscopic remission, the majority were female (57%), white (83%), non-Hispanic (93%); 20% had ileal and 20% isolated colonic disease. Inflammatory (B1) disease was the most common phenotype (43%). Of these 658 patients, 257 (39%) had histologic inflammation on index colonoscopy. Histologic inflammation at index colonoscopy was associated with nearly twice the LOR risk (HR 1.96, 95% CI: 1.50-2.57) with median time to relapse of 1.20 years. Biologic use at index was associated with lower LOR risk (monotherapy, HR 0.61, 95% CI: 0.45-0.82; combination therapy, HR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.28-0.66). CONCLUSIONS: Active histologic inflammation despite endoscopic remission, and lack of biologic use were independently associated with risk of subsequent LOR, providing evidence that histologic remission may impart improved outcomes in patients with CD.

Ozanimod in Patients With Moderate to Severe Ulcerative Colitis Naive to Advanced Therapies.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The pivotal phase 3 True North (TN) study demonstrated the efficacy and safety of ozanimod in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis. This analysis assessed ozanimod during TN and the ongoing open-label extension (OLE) in patients with active disease who were naive to advanced therapies (ATs). METHODS: TN was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial consisting of 10-week induction period and 42-week maintenance period. Eligible patients could enter the OLE. Symptomatic efficacy was evaluated from induction through the OLE. Clinical, endoscopic, and mucosal outcomes were evaluated at the end of induction (Week [W] 10) and maintenance (W52) and at predefined OLE timepoints (OLE W46 and W94). Safety during TN was reported. RESULTS: This analysis included 616 AT-naive patients. Numerically greater proportions of patients receiving ozanimod than placebo achieved symptomatic response (39% vs 29%, 95% confidence interval, -0.1 to 18.8) by W2, with significant differences (56% vs 39%, 95% confidence interval, 6.3-26.3) achieved by W4. Patients receiving ozanimod showed significant improvements across efficacy outcomes versus placebo at W10 and W52 (P < .05, all endpoints). In patients on continuous ozanimod who entered the OLE in clinical response at W52, 91% maintained clinical response through OLE W94, and 74% achieved endoscopic improvement and 57% achieved mucosal healing at OLE W94. In ozanimod-treated patients without clinical response by W10 who received extended induction in the OLE, 62% achieved symptomatic response by OLE W10. Safety outcomes in AT-naive patients were consistent with the total TN population. CONCLUSIONS: Ozanimod is an effective, durable, and well-tolerated oral therapy for AT-naive ulcerative colitis patients. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, numbers NCT02435992 and NCT02531126.

Considerations for Colorectal Neoplasia Detection in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND: High-quality colonoscopic surveillance can lead to earlier and increased detection of colorectal neoplasia in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In IBD clinical trials, endoscopy is used to assess mucosal disease activity before and after treatment but also provides an opportunity to surveil for colorectal neoplasia during follow-up. SUMMARY: Best practices for colorectal cancer identification in IBD clinical trials require engagement and collaboration between the clinical trial sponsor, site endoscopist and/or principal investigator, and central read team. Each team member has unique responsibilities for maximizing dysplasia detection in IBD trials. KEY MESSAGES: Sponsors should work in accordance with scientific guidelines to standardize imaging procedures, design the protocol to ensure the trial population is safeguarded, and oversee trial conduct. The site endoscopist should remain updated on best practices to tailor sponsor protocol-required procedures to patient needs, examine the mucosa for disease activity and potential dysplasia during all procedures, and provide optimal procedure videos for central read analysis. Central readers may detect dysplasia or colorectal cancer and a framework to report these findings to trial sponsors is essential. Synergistic relationships between all team members in IBD clinical trials provide an important opportunity for extended endoscopic evaluation and colorectal neoplasia identification.

Cardiovascular Safety of Ozanimod in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis: True North and Open-Label Extension Analyses.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Evaluating cardiovascular safety of sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) receptor modulators is warranted due to S1P receptor expression on cardiomyocytes and vascular endothelial cells. This analysis reports the cardiovascular safety of ozanimod, an S1P receptor modulator, in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis from the phase 3 True North (TN) and open-label extension (OLE). METHODS: All patients who received ozanimod in TN (n = 796) and all eligible TN patients who entered the OLE (n = 823) were included. Cardiovascular-related adverse events were evaluated in patients with up to 146 weeks of ozanimod exposure (2219 patient-years), which included 52 weeks during TN. RESULTS: On TN day 1, first-dose ozanimod resulted in a 0.2 beats per minute mean decrease in heart rate from pretreatment to hour 6; 2 patients experienced bradycardia, which resolved without treatment modification. Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure increases of 5.1 and 2.2 mm Hg, respectively, were observed at TN week 52. No second-degree Mobitz type II atrioventricular block events were reported; 1 third-degree atrioventricular block unrelated to ozanimod occurred in the OLE. Cardiac and vascular treatment-emergent adverse events were infrequent (3.8% [31 of 823] and 8.5% [70 of 823]); no ozanimod-related cardiovascular deaths occurred. The incidences of deep-vein thrombosis (0.2%; 2 of 823), pulmonary embolism (0.2%; 2 of 823), and ischemic stroke (0.4%; 3 of 823) in the OLE were low. CONCLUSIONS: No new cardiovascular safety signals were identified, consistent with findings from previous ozanimod studies. There were few major adverse cardiovascular events or thromboembolic events, which were unrelated or unlikely related to ozanimod. Ozanimod has a well-tolerated cardiovascular safety profile when prescribed in accordance with the label. Clinical trial registry website and trial numbers: ClinicalTrials.gov numbers: NCT02435992 and NCT02531126.

Artificial intelligence in inflammatory bowel disease: implications for clinical practice and future directions.

Inflammatory bowel disease encompasses Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis and is characterized by uncontrolled, relapsing, and remitting course of inflammation in the gastrointestinal tract. Artificial intelligence represents a new era within the field of gastroenterology, and the amount of research surrounding artificial intelligence in patients with inflammatory bowel disease is on the rise. As clinical trial outcomes and treatment targets evolve in inflammatory bowel disease, artificial intelligence may prove as a valuable tool for providing accurate, consistent, and reproducible evaluations of endoscopic appearance and histologic activity, thereby optimizing the diagnosis process and identifying disease severity. Furthermore, as the applications of artificial intelligence for inflammatory bowel disease continue to expand, they may present an ideal opportunity for improving disease management by predicting treatment response to biologic therapies and for refining the standard of care by setting the basis for future treatment personalization and cost reduction. The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of the unmet needs in the management of inflammatory bowel disease in clinical practice and how artificial intelligence tools can address these gaps to transform patient care.

Declining Enrolment and Other Challenges in IBD Clinical Trials: Causes and Potential Solutions.

BACKGROUND: Rates of enrolment in clinical trials in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] have decreased dramatically in recent years. This has led to delays, increased costs and failures to develop novel treatments. AIMS: The aim of this work is to describe the current bottlenecks of IBD clinical trial enrolment and propose solutions. METHODS: A taskforce comprising experienced IBD clinical trialists from academic centres and pharmaceutical companies involved in IBD clinical research predefined the four following levels: [1] study design, [2] investigative centre, [3] physician and [4] patient. At each level, the taskforce collectively explored the reasons for declining enrolment rates and generated an inventory of potential solutions. RESULTS: The main reasons identified included the overall increased demands for trials, the high screen failure rates, particularly in Crohn's disease, partly due to the lack of correlation between clinical and endoscopic activity, and the use of complicated endoscopic scoring systems not reflective of the totality of inflammation. In addition, complex trial protocols with restrictive eligibility criteria, increasing burden of procedures and administrative tasks enhance the need for qualified resources in study coordination. At the physician level, lack of dedicated time and training is crucial. From the patients' perspective, long washout periods from previous medications and protocol requirements not reflecting clinical practice, such as prolonged steroid management and placebo exposures, limit their participation in clinical trials. CONCLUSION: This joint effort is proposed as the basis for profound clinical trial transformation triggered by investigative centres, contract research organizations, sponsors and regulatory agencies.

Artificial Intelligence in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Endoscopy: Implications for Clinical Trials.

Artificial intelligence shows promise for clinical research in inflammatory bowel disease endoscopy. Accurate assessment of endoscopic activity is important in clinical practice and inflammatory bowel disease clinical trials. Emerging artificial intelligence technologies can increase efficiency and accuracy of assessing the baseline endoscopic appearance in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and the impact that therapeutic interventions may have on mucosal healing in both of these contexts. In this review, state-of-the-art endoscopic assessment of mucosal disease activity in inflammatory bowel disease clinical trials is described, covering the potential for artificial intelligence to transform the current paradigm, its limitations, and suggested next steps. Site-based artificial intelligence quality evaluation and inclusion of patients in clinical trials without the need for a central reader is proposed; for following patient progress, a second reading using AI alongside a central reader with expedited reading is proposed. Artificial intelligence will support precision endoscopy in inflammatory bowel disease and is on the threshold of advancing inflammatory bowel disease clinical trial recruitment.

Palatability assessment of prescribed diets on domestic shorthair cats.

Background and Aim: The value of the pet food industry, which is majorly the prescribed diet, exponentially increased over the years due to increased awareness among pet owners to provide a healthy lifestyle for their pets. However, several factors such as aroma, flavor, texture, and shape of prescribed diets greatly influenced the palatability in cats. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the palatability of the prescribed diet for domestic shorthair (DSH) cats. Materials and Methods: The two-bowl method was employed to determine the palatability of prescribed diets on five DSH cats for 6 days. Furthermore, the four types of prescribed diet assessed in this study were struvite, renal, hypersensitivity, and intestinal. Furthermore, the pet food palatability was analyzed using "First Approached," "First Consumed," "Total Consumption," and "Intake ratios." Results: Our findings revealed that "Total Consumption" and "Intake Ratios" were significantly different in struvite, renal, and intestinal diets compared to the hypersensitivity diet. In addition, this result indicates that the hypersensitivity diet is the most unpalatable compared with other diets. Conclusion: A detailed investigation of the diet ingredients showed that a hypersensitivity diet lacks herbs and spices than the other diets. Therefore, these ingredients lacking in the hypersensitivity diet influence the palatability of pet foods.

Identification of poor prognostic joint locations in an early rheumatoid arthritis cohort at risk of rapidly progressing disease: a post-hoc analysis of the Phase III AGREE study.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a heterogeneous disease with established poor prognostic factors such as seropositivity, joint damage, and high disease activity at an early, treatment-naïve stage of disease. However, few studies have examined if specific joint locations are correlated with these factors in such a population. This analysis explored the potential correlation of individual swollen and erosive joints with other disease characteristics at baseline and with remission rates in a post-hoc analysis of the Phase III randomized AGREE study. METHODS: Methotrexate (MTX)-naïve, erosive, RF- and/or ACPA-positive early RA patients (N = 509) were retrospectively evaluated. Baseline joint swelling was analyzed for large and small joints. Baseline erosions were analyzed for wrist, MCP1-5, IP1, PIP2-5 and MTP1-5. Remission rates were assessed after 6 months of treatment with abatacept (ABA) + MTX (N = 256) or MTX (N = 253). The following statistical tests were used: Chi-Square or Fisher's exact test (categorical variables); Student's t-test or Wilcoxon rank-sum test (continuous variables); continuity-corrected Chi-square test (efficacy remission endpoints). RESULTS: Baseline swelling was most frequent in wrist (91.9%) and MCP2 joint (89.1%), while baseline erosion was most frequent in MTP5 joint (43.5%). Swollen shoulder was significantly correlated (p < 0.0001) with swelling of almost all other large or medium joints. Baseline swelling in the knee, temporomandibular joint (TMJ), wrist and elbow was highly correlated (p < 0.001) with higher tender and swollen joint counts, higher DAS28(CRP) and higher SDAI and CDAI. Baseline swelling was not correlated with erosion per joint, except for MCP2. The largest difference in mean Boolean remission rates at 6 months was in patients with baseline swollen wrist favoring ABA + MTX (14.0% vs 4.4%; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Swelling in the large and medium joints (knee, TMJ, elbow and wrist) was highly correlated with severe disease activity while MCP2 swelling seemed to be correlated with joint damage. The correlation of joint locations at an early, treatment-naïve stage with poor prognostic factors, higher disease activity and joint damage, could establish a rapidly progressing anatomical pattern in early RA. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00122382, registered July 2005.

Implementation of the OMERACT Psoriatic Arthritis Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scoring System in a randomized phase IIb study of abatacept in psoriatic arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate if the OMERACT PsA MRI Scoring System (PsAMRIS), including a novel total inflammation score, shows sensitivity to change with an agent (abatacept) known to impact clinical outcomes in PsA. METHODS: We performed a post hoc analysis of a randomized phase IIb study of abatacept in patients with PsA and inadequate DMARD response. Participants received one of three abatacept dosing regimens [ABA3, ABA10 or ABA30/10 mg/kg (30 mg/kg switched to 10 mg/kg after two doses)] or placebo until day 169, then ABA10 through day 365. MRIs at baseline and days 85, 169 and 365 were centrally evaluated by two readers blinded to chronological order and treatment arm. Synovitis, osteitis, tenosynovitis, periarticular inflammation, bone erosions, joint space narrowing and bone proliferation were assessed using the PsAMRIS. A novel total inflammation score was tested. RESULTS: MRIs for 123 patients were included. On day 169, ABA10 and ABA30/10 significantly reduced MRI synovitis and tenosynovitis, respectively, vs placebo [differences -0.966 (P = 0.039) and -1.652 (P = 0.014), respectively]. Synovitis in the placebo group increased non-significantly from baseline to day 169, total inflammation and tenosynovitis decreased non-significantly and all measures improved significantly after a switch to ABA10 [-1.019, -0.940, -2.275 (P < 0.05), respectively, day 365 vs day 169]. Structural outcomes changed minimally across groups. CONCLUSION: Adults with PsA receiving ABA10 and ABA30/10 demonstrated significant resolution of inflammatory components of disease, confirmed by MRI, with synovitis and tenosynovitis improvements consistent with previously reported clinical responses for these doses. Results indicate that a reduction in OMERACT PsAMRIS inflammation scores may provide proof of tissue-level efficacy in PsA clinical trials. REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (https://clinicaltrials.gov), NCT00534313.

Prediction of flare following remission and treatment withdrawal in early rheumatoid arthritis: post hoc analysis of a phase IIIb trial with abatacept.

BACKGROUND: Drug-free remission is a desirable goal in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) for both patients and clinicians. The aim of this post hoc analysis was to investigate whether clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) variables in patients with early RA who achieved remission with methotrexate and/or abatacept at 12 months could predict disease flare following treatment withdrawal. METHODS: In the AVERT study of abatacept in early RA, patients with low disease activity at month 12 entered a 12-month period with all treatment discontinued (withdrawal, WD). This post hoc analysis assessed predictors of disease flare at WD+6months (mo) and WD+12mo of patients with Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28)-defined remission (DAS28[C-reactive protein (CRP)] <2.6) at withdrawal using univariate and multivariable regression models. Predictors investigated included the Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI), pain, Patient Global Assessment; MRI synovitis, erosion, bone edema, and combined (synovitis + bone edema) inflammation scores. RESULTS: Remission was achieved by 172 patients; 100 (58%) and 113 (66%) patients had experienced a flare at WD+6mo and WD+12mo, respectively. In univariate analyses, higher HAQ-DI and MRI synovitis, erosion, bone edema, and combined inflammation scores at WD were identified as potential predictors of flare (P ≤ 0.01). In multivariable analysis, high scores at WD for HAQ-DI and MRI erosion were confirmed as independent predictors of flare at WD+6mo and WD+12mo (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: In patients with early RA achieving clinical remission, patient function (HAQ-DI), and MRI measures of bone damage (erosion) predicted disease flare 6 and 12 months after treatment withdrawal. These variables may help identify patients with early RA in clinical remission as candidates for successful treatment withdrawal. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01142726 (date of registration: June 11, 2010).

P038 Ozanimod First-Dose Cardiac Effects in Patients with Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis and Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Ozanimod, an oral sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) receptor modulator that selectively targets S1P1 and S1P5, is approved in the US for treating moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC) and in multiple countries for treating relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (MS). In a Phase 1 study of ozanimod in healthy participants, first-dose cardiac effects were mitigated with gradual dose escalation. Based on these results, an initial 7-day ozanimod dose escalation regimen was implemented in all Phase 2 and 3 UC and MS trials. The objective of this analysis was to evaluate the number of patients who were excluded from ozanimod treatment due to contraindications of pre-existing cardiac disorders and to evaluate the incidence of cardiac-related treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) following first-dose ozanimod administration in all patients and patients with a history of non-exclusionary cardiac disorders in the UC and MS clinical trials. METHODS: For UC, the analysis included pooled data from the Phase 2 Touchstone (NCT01647516) and Phase 3 True North (NCT02435992) trials. For MS, the analysis included pooled data from the Phase 3 Radiance (NCT02047734) and Sunbeam (NCT02294058) trials. Patients with clinically relevant cardiac conditions or clinically significant electrocardiogram (ECG) disorders were excluded from the trials. On Day 1, all patients received ozanimod 0.23 mg (equivalent to ozanimod HCl 0.25 mg). Day 1 cardiac monitoring included collection of vital signs (including heart rate) prior to dosing and hourly for at least 6 hours after dosing, and ECG prior to dosing and at Hour 6 after dosing. RESULTS: Among patients screened, 26/2178 (1.2%) in the UC studies and 47/3351 (1.4%) in the MS studies were excluded due to protocol-defined pre-existing cardiac disorders. Of 496 patients who received ozanimod in the UC studies, 1 (0.2%) experienced a cardiac-related TEAE on Day 1 (asymptomatic bradycardia). Of 1774 patients who received ozanimod in the MS studies, 11 (0.6%) experienced a cardiac-related TEAE on Day 1. In both the UC and MS studies, no cases of second- or third-degree AV block were observed. A decrease in mean heart rate from baseline (UC, 0.7 bpm; MS, 1.2 bpm) was observed at first-dose that reached a nadir at Hour 5 and returned to baseline by Hour 6. Among 496 patients with UC who received ozanimod, 34 (6.9%) had a known history of cardiac disorders, of whom 1 experienced a cardiac-related TEAE on Day 1 (asymptomatic bradycardia). Among the 1774 patients with MS who received ozanimod, 96 (5.4%) had a known history of cardiac disorders, of whom 2 experienced symptomatic bradycardia on Day 1. CONCLUSION: In clinical trials of ozanimod, the number of patients with UC or MS who failed screening because of exclusionary cardiac disorders was low. Most patients with a history of cardiac disorders who were enrolled in ozanimod clinical trials did not have Day 1 cardiac events, and the events that occurred were manageable.

Endoscopy and central reading in inflammatory bowel disease clinical trials: achievements, challenges and future developments.

Central reading, that is, independent, off-site, blinded review or reading of imaging endpoints, has been identified as a crucial component in the conduct and analysis of inflammatory bowel disease clinical trials. Central reading is the final step in a workflow that has many parts, all of which can be improved. Furthermore, the best reading algorithm and the most intensive central reader training cannot make up for deficiencies in the acquisition stage (clinical trial endoscopy) or improve on the limitations of the underlying score (outcome instrument). In this review, academic and industry experts review scoring systems, and propose a theoretical framework for central reading that predicts when improvements in statistical power, affecting trial size and chances of success, can be expected: Multireader models can be conceptualised as statistical or non-statistical (social). Important organisational and operational factors, such as training and retraining of readers, optimal bowel preparation for colonoscopy, video quality, optimal or at least acceptable read duration times and other quality control matters, are addressed as well. The theory and practice of central reading and the conduct of endoscopy in clinical trials are interdisciplinary topics that should be of interest to many, regulators, clinical trial experts, gastroenterology societies and those in the academic community who endeavour to develop new scoring systems using traditional and machine learning approaches.

Background Glucocorticoid Therapy Has No Impact on Efficacy and Safety of Abatacept or Adalimumab in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis.

To date, the impact of background glucocorticoids (GC) on the efficacy and safety of abatacept or adalimumab in patients with active rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is not clearly established. This post hoc analysis of (AMPLE) trial (NCT00929864) compared efficacy and safety outcomes over 2 years in patients treated with abatacept or adalimumab plus background methotrexate (MTX), who continued GC (≤10 mg/day) versus those who were not receiving GC (no-GC). Of 646 randomized patients, 317 received abatacept + MTX (161 GC, 156 no-GC) and 326 received adalimumab + MTX (162 GC, 164 no-GC). At Year 2, the adjusted mean changes from baseline in Disease Activity Score (DAS28 C-reactive protein (CRP)) and Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) were not significantly different in the GC versus no-GC subgroups receiving abatacept or adalimumab. A similar proportion of patients achieved remission, HAQ-DI score improvement ≥0.3 and radiographic progression rates. No clinically meaningful safety differences were observed between GC versus no-GC subgroups either with abatacept or adalimumab. In patients with active RA of similar baseline disease activity treated with abatacept or adalimumab plus background MTX, there was no additional value of background GC on clinical, functional or radiographic outcomes over two years.

Poor prognostic factors in predicting abatacept response in a phase III randomized controlled trial in psoriatic arthritis.

In ASTRAEA (NCT01860976), abatacept significantly increased American College of Rheumatology criteria 20% (ACR20) responses at Week 24 versus placebo in patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA). This post hoc analysis explored relationships between prospectively identified baseline characteristics [poor prognostic factors (PPFs) ] and response to abatacept. Patients were randomized (1:1) to receive subcutaneous abatacept 125 mg weekly or placebo for 24 weeks; those without ≥ 20% improvement in joint counts at Week 16 switched to open-label abatacept. Potential predictors of ACR20 response were identified by treatment arm using multivariate analyses. Likelihood of ACR20 response to abatacept versus placebo was compared in univariate and multivariate analyses in subgroups stratified by the PPF, as defined by EULAR and/or GRAPPA treatment guidelines. Odds ratios (ORs) were generated using logistic regression to identify meaningful differences (OR cut-off: 1.2). 424 patients were randomized and treated (abatacept n = 213; placebo n = 211). In abatacept-treated patients, elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), high Disease Activity Score based on 28 joints (CRP), presence of dactylitis, and ≥ 3 joint erosions were identified as predictors of response (OR > 1.2). In placebo-treated patients, only dactylitis was a potential predictor of response. In the univariate analysis stratified by PPF, ACR20 response was more likely (OR > 1.2) with abatacept versus placebo in patients with baseline PPFs than in those without; multivariate analysis confirmed this finding. Response to abatacept versus placebo is more likely in patients with features indicative of high disease activity and progressive disease; these characteristics are recognized as PPFs in treatment guidelines for PsA.

Baseline Objective Inflammation by Magnetic Resonance Imaging as a Predictor of Therapeutic Benefit in Early Rheumatoid Arthritis With Poor Prognosis.

OBJECTIVE: High magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-detected inflammation is associated with greater progression and poorer outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). This analysis aimed to determine if baseline MRI inflammation was related to clinical response and remission in the Assessing Very Early Rheumatoid arthritis Treatment (AVERT) study. METHODS: AVERT was a phase IIIb, randomized, controlled trial with a 12-month, double-blind treatment period enrolling patients with early (≤2 years' duration), anti-citrullinated peptide-positive methotrexate (MTX)-naive RA. In this post hoc analysis, patients in the abatacept plus MTX (n = 114) and MTX (n = 111) arms with available MRI results were stratified into low and high baseline MRI inflammation groups based on previously developed cutoffs of synovitis and osteitis on unilateral hand-wrist contrast-enhanced MRI. Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI) remission (≤3.3), Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) remission (≤2.8), Boolean remission, and Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the C-reactive protein level (<2.6) were assessed. RESULTS: Overall, 100 of 225 patients (44.4%) had high baseline MRI inflammation. In patients with high baseline MRI inflammation, a significantly greater proportion achieved remission at 12 months with abatacept plus MTX versus MTX across SDAI (45.1% versus 16.3%; P = 0.0022), CDAI (47.1% versus 20.4%; P = 0.0065), and Boolean indices (39.2% versus 16.3%; P = 0.0156). In patients with low baseline MRI inflammation, remission rates were not significantly different with abatacept plus MTX versus MTX (SDAI: 39.7% versus 32.3%; P = 0.4961). CONCLUSION: In seropositive, MTX-naive patients with early RA and presence of objectively measured high inflammation by MRI, indicating poor prognosis, remission rates were higher with abatacept plus MTX treatment versus MTX.

Disease activity measures at baseline predict structural damage progression: data from the randomized, controlled AMPLE and AVERT trials.

OBJECTIVE: Data from two double-blind, randomized, Phase III studies were analysed to investigate the ability of Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3, DAS28 (CRP), modified (M)-DAS28 (CRP) and Simplified or Clinical Disease Activity Indices to predict structural damage progression in RA. METHODS: This post hoc analysis included data from the 2-year Abatacept vs adaliMumab comParison in bioLogic-naïvE RA subjects with background MTX (AMPLE) trial in biologic-naïve patients with active RA (<5 years) and an inadequate response to MTX, and the 12-month treatment period of the Assessing Very Early Rheumatoid arthritis Treatment (AVERT) trial in MTX-naïve patients with early RA (⩽2 years) and poor prognostic indicators. Adjusted logistic regression analysis assessed the relationship between baseline disease activity and structural damage progression (defined as change from baseline greater than the smallest detectable change) at 12 and 24 months in AMPLE and 6 and 12 months in AVERT. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the impact of baseline disease activity on structural damage progression were calculated. RESULTS: Adjusted logistic regression analyses included all randomized and treated patients in AMPLE (N = 646) and those who received abatacept plus MTX or MTX monotherapy in AVERT (N = 235). Baseline Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3, DAS28 (CRP) and M-DAS28 (CRP) scores significantly predicted structural progression at months 12 and 24 in AMPLE (P < 0.05) and months 6 and 12 in AVERT (P < 0.01), and were stronger predictors than Simplified or Clinical Disease Activity Indices. CONCLUSION: In this post hoc analysis of two patient populations with RA, Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3, DAS28 (CRP) and M-DAS28 (CRP) were good at predicting structural damage. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, http://clinicaltrials.gov: NCT00929864 (AMPLE); NCT01142726 (AVERT).

Efficacy of Abatacept and Adalimumab in Patients with Early Rheumatoid Arthritis With Multiple Poor Prognostic Factors: Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial (AMPLE).

INTRODUCTION: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with poor prognostic factors, such as seropositivity for anti-citrullinated protein antibodies and early erosions, may benefit from early intensive treatment. However, information to guide physicians on the best choice of therapy in these patients is limited. The objective of this study was to describe the efficacy of subcutaneous abatacept versus adalimumab over 2 years in patients with seropositive, erosive early RA in the AMPLE study. METHODS: This exploratory post hoc analysis compared clinical, functional and radiographic outcomes in two subsets of patients: patients with early RA (≤ 6 months' disease duration) who were seropositive for rheumatoid factor and/or anti-citrullinated protein antibodies and had > 1 radiographic erosion (Cohort 1); and patients with RA and absence of ≥ 1 of these inclusion criteria (Cohort    2). RESULTS: Of the 646 randomized patients, Cohort 1 included 38 patients receiving abatacept and 45 receiving adalimumab, and Cohort 2 included 280 patients receiving abatacept and 283 receiving adalimumab. Baseline demographics and disease characteristics were generally similar between treatment groups in both cohorts. Over 2 years, in Cohort 1, the adjusted mean change from baseline in the Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (using C-reactive protein) was numerically greater for abatacept than for adalimumab (mean difference at day 365 was 0.9, 95% confidence interval - 1.47 to - 0.33). Similar patterns of improvement were observed for other disease activity measures and physical function, but not for radiographic outcomes. No treatment-related differences were observed in Cohort 2. CONCLUSION: This analysis indicates a trend towards improved disease activity and physical function with abatacept versus adalimumab in patients with seropositive, erosive early RA. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00929864. FUNDING: Bristol-Myers Squibb.

Determining MRI Inflammation Targets When Considering a Rheumatoid Arthritis Treat-to-Target Strategy: Results of a Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

INTRODUCTION: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is increasingly used in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) to determine residual inflammation after treatment and as a predictor of structural damage progression. Establishing an optimal threshold of inflammatory activity that predicts lower risk of structural damage progression may inform treatment decisions. This post hoc analysis investigated whether patients with RA at low risk of structural damage progression can be identified based on MRI inflammation thresholds. METHODS: Hand and wrist MRI was performed at baseline, and at months 6 and 12 in a phase 3b, randomized, active-controlled, double-blind trial of abatacept in early RA (AVERT). Pathologies were scored using the OMERACT RA MRI Score. Data were stratified into two risk subgroups (less and more severe inflammation) for structural damage progression (erosion change > 0.5) based on baseline inflammation. In this post hoc analysis, log odds ratios of probability of progression {adjusted for baseline Disease Activity Score in 28 joints [C-reactive protein; DAS28 (CRP)]} were compared between subgroups to test the performance of inflammation thresholds. RESULTS: There were 351 randomized and treated patients with baseline MRIs, of whom 276 (78.6%) and 235 (67.0%) had MRIs available at months 6 and 12, respectively. The DAS28 (CRP)-adjusted probabilities of progression from baseline to month 12 based on scores at baseline, and from months 6 to 12 based on month 6 scores, were significantly lower among patients with less inflammation (P < 0.0001-0.0459), independent of clinical disease activity. Predefined thresholds of synovitis ≤ 3 (total score 21), osteitis ≤ 3 (total score 69) and total inflammation score (osteitis double-weighted) ≤ 9 were associated with a lower likelihood of structural damage progression in unadjusted analyses. CONCLUSION: Levels of MRI-determined inflammatory activity below defined thresholds were independently associated with a lower risk of structural damage progression in early RA, providing a potential trial endpoint for levels of inflammation not associated with progression. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT01142726. FUNDING: Bristol-Myers Squibb.

Body mass index and treatment response to subcutaneous abatacept in patients with psoriatic arthritis: a post hoc analysis of a phase III trial.

Objective: This post hoc analysis of the phase III Active PSoriaTic Arthritis RAndomizEd TriAl (ASTRAEA) evaluated the effect of baseline body mass index (BMI) on subsequent response to subcutaneous (SC) abatacept in patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Methods: In ASTRAEA, patients with active PsA were randomised (1:1) to receive blinded weekly SC abatacept 125 mg or placebo for 24 weeks. Treatment response at week 24 was assessed by the proportions of patients achieving American College of Rheumatology 20% improvement response, Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28 (C reactive protein (CRP))) ≤3.6 and <2.6, Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index reduction from baseline ≥0.35 and radiographic non-progression (defined as change from baseline ≤0 in PsA-modified total Sharp/van der Heijde score). Responses were stratified by baseline BMI (underweight/normal, <25 kg/m2; overweight, 25-30 kg/m2; obese, >30 kg/m2) and compared in univariate and multivariate models. Results: Of 212/213 and 210/211 patients with baseline BMI data in the abatacept and placebo groups, respectively, 15% and 19% were underweight/normal, 36% and 27% were overweight, and 49% and 54% were obese. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, there were no significant differences for any outcome measure at week 24 with abatacept in the overweight or obese versus underweight/normal subgroup. In the placebo group, patients in the obese versus underweight/normal subgroup were significantly less likely to achieve DAS28 (CRP) <2.6 at week 24 (OR 0.26; 95% CI 0.08 to 0.87; p=0.03). Conclusion: BMI does not impact clinical or radiographic response to SC abatacept in patients with PsA. Trial registration number: NCT01860976.