The Role of cfDNA Biomarkers and Patient Data in the Early Prediction of Preeclampsia: Artificial Intelligence Model.

OBJECTIVE: Accurate individualized assessment of preeclampsia risk enables the identification of patients most likely to benefit from initiation of low-dose aspirin at 12-16 weeks' gestation when there is evidence for its effectiveness, as well as guiding appropriate pregnancy care pathways and surveillance. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of artificial neural network models for the prediction of preterm preeclampsia (<37 weeks' gestation) using patient characteristics available at the first antenatal visit and data from prenatal cell-free DNA (cfDNA) screening. Secondary outcomes were prediction of early onset preeclampsia (<34 weeks' gestation) and term preeclampsia (≥37 weeks' gestation). METHODS: This secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational prenatal cfDNA screening study (SMART) included singleton pregnancies with known pregnancy outcomes. Thirteen patient characteristics that are routinely collected at the first prenatal visit and two characteristics of cfDNA, total cfDNA and fetal fraction (FF), were used to develop predictive models for early-onset (<34 weeks), preterm (<37 weeks), and term (≥37 weeks) preeclampsia. For the models, the 'reference' classifier was a shallow logistic regression (LR) model. We also explored several feedforward (non-linear) neural network (NN) architectures with one or more hidden layers and compared their performance with the LR model. We selected a simple NN model built with one hidden layer and made up of 15 units. RESULTS: Of 17,520 participants included in the final analysis, 72 (0.4%) developed early onset, 251 (1.4%) preterm, and 420 (2.4%) term preeclampsia. Median gestational age at cfDNA measurement was 12.6 weeks and 2,155 (12.3%) had their cfDNA measurement at 16 weeks' gestation or greater. Preeclampsia was associated with higher total cfDNA (median 362.3 versus 339.0 copies/ml cfDNA; p<0.001) and lower FF (median 7.5% versus 9.4%; p<0.001). The expected, cross-validated area under the curve (AUC) scores for early onset, preterm, and term preeclampsia were 0.782, 0.801, and 0.712, respectively for the LR model, and 0.797, 0.800, and 0.713, respectively for the NN model. At a screen-positive rate of 15%, sensitivity for preterm preeclampsia was 58.4% (95% CI 0.569, 0.599) for the LR model and 59.3% (95% CI 0.578, 0.608) for the NN model.The contribution of both total cfDNA and FF to the prediction of term and preterm preeclampsia was negligible. For early-onset preeclampsia, removal of the total cfDNA and FF features from the NN model was associated with a 6.9% decrease in sensitivity at a 15% screen positive rate, from 54.9% (95% CI 52.9-56.9) to 48.0% (95% CI 45.0-51.0). CONCLUSION: Routinely available patient characteristics and cfDNA markers can be used to predict preeclampsia with performance comparable to other patient characteristic models for the prediction of preterm preeclampsia. Both LR and NN models showed similar performance.

Combining Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Fraction and Quantity to Detect Kidney Transplant Rejection Using Molecular Diagnoses and Histology as Confirmation.

BACKGROUND: Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) fraction and quantity have both been shown to be associated with allograft rejection. The present study compared the relative predictive power of each of these variables to the combination of the two, and developed an algorithm incorporating both variables to detect active rejection in renal allograft biopsies. METHODS: The first 426 sequential indication biopsy samples collected from the Trifecta study ( ClinicalTrials.gov # NCT04239703) with microarray-derived gene expression and dd-cfDNA results were included. After exclusions to simulate intended clinical use, 367 samples were analyzed. Biopsies were assessed using the molecular microscope diagnostic system and histology (Banff 2019). Logistic regression analysis examined whether combining dd-cfDNA fraction and quantity adds predictive value to either alone. The first 149 sequential samples were used to develop a two-threshold algorithm and the next 218 to validate the algorithm. RESULTS: In regression, the combination of dd-cfDNA fraction and quantity was found to be significantly more predictive than either variable alone ( P = 0.009 and P < 0.0001). In the test set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the two-variable system was 0.88, and performance of the two-threshold algorithm showed a sensitivity of 83.1% and specificity of 81.0% for molecular diagnoses and a sensitivity of 73.5% and specificity of 80.8% for histology diagnoses. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective, biopsy-matched, multisite dd-cfDNA study in kidney transplant patients found that the combination of dd-cfDNA fraction and quantity was more powerful than either dd-cfDNA fraction or quantity alone and validated a novel two-threshold algorithm incorporating both variables.

A novel donor-derived cell-free DNA assay for the detection of acute rejection in heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Endomyocardial biopsy (EMB), the reference surveillance test for acute rejection (AR) in heart transplant (HTx) recipients, is invasive, costly, and shows significant interobserver variability. Recent studies indicate that donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA), obtained non-invasively from blood, is associated with AR and could reduce the frequency of EMB surveillance. The aim of this study was to examine the performance characteristics of a novel test for detecting AR in adult HTx recipients. METHODS: Plasma samples with contemporaneous EMBs were obtained from HTx recipients. A clinically available SNP-based massively multiplexed-PCR dd-cfDNA assay was used to measure dd-cfDNA fraction. dd-cfDNA fractions were compared with EMB-defined rejection status and test performance was assessed by constructing ROC curves and calculating accuracy measures. RESULTS: A total of 811 samples from 223 patients with dd-cfDNA testing and contemporaneous EMB were eligible for the study. dd-cfDNA fraction was significantly higher in AR (median 0.58%, IQR, 0.13%-1.68%) compared to non-AR (median 0.04%, IQR, 0.01%-0.11%, pc < 0.001). ROC analysis produced an area under the curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.77-0.96). Defining samples with dd-cfDNA fraction ≥0.15% as AR yielded 78.5% sensitivity (95% CI, 60.7%-96.3%) and 76.9% specificity (95% CI, 71.1%-82.7%). Positive and negative predictive values were 25.1% (95% CI, 18.8%-31.5%) and 97.3% (95% CI, 95.1%-99.5%) respectively, calculated using the cohort AR prevalence of 9.0% (95% CI, 5.3%-12.8%) with adjustment for repeat samples. CONCLUSIONS: This novel dd-cfDNA test detects AR in HTx recipients with good accuracy and holds promise as a noninvasive test for AR in HTx recipients.

Clinical Validation of a Plasma Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Assay to Detect Allograft Rejection and Injury in Lung Transplant.

Background: Lung transplant patients are vulnerable to various forms of allograft injury, whether from acute rejection (AR) (encompassing acute cellular rejection [ACR] and antibody-mediated rejection [AMR]), chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), or infection (INFXN). Previous research indicates that donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) is a promising noninvasive biomarker for the detection of AR and allograft injury. Our aim was to validate a clinical plasma dd-cfDNA assay for detection of AR and other allograft injury and to confirm and expand on dd-cfDNA and allograft injury associations observed in previous studies. Methods: We measured dd-cfDNA fraction using a novel single-nucleotide polymorphism-based assay in prospectively collected plasma samples paired with clinical-pathologic diagnoses. dd-cfDNA fraction was compared across clinical-pathologic cohorts: stable, ACR, AMR, isolated lymphocytic bronchiolitis, CLAD/neutrophilic-responsive allograft dysfunction (NRAD), and INFXN. Performance characteristics were calculated for AR and combined allograft injury (AR + CLAD/NRAD + INFXN) versus the stable cohort. Results: The study included 195 samples from 103 patients. Median dd-cfDNA fraction was significantly higher for ACR (1.43%, interquartile range [IQR]: 0.67%-2.32%, P = 5 × 10-6), AMR (2.50%, IQR: 2.06%-3.79%, P = 2 × 10-5), INFXN (0.74%, IQR: 0.46%-1.38%, P = 0.02), and CLAD/NRAD (1.60%, IQR: 0.57%-2.60%, P = 1.4 × 10-4) versus the stable cohort. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for AR versus stable was 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.98). Using a ≥1% dd-cfDNA fraction threshold, sensitivity for AR was 89.1% (95% CI: 76.2%-100.0%), specificity 82.9% (95% CI: 73.3%-92.4%), positive predictive value, 51.9% (95% CI: 37.5%-66.3%), and negative predictive value, 97.3% (95% CI: 94.3%-100%). For combined allograft injury area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66-0.85), sensitivity 59.9% (95% CI: 46.0%-73.9%), specificity 83.9% (95% CI: 74.1%-93.7%), positive predictive value, 43.6% (95% CI: 27.6%-59.6%), and negative predictive value, 91.0% (95% CI: 87.9%-94.0%). Conclusions: These results indicate that our dd-cfDNA assay detects AR and other allograft injury. dd-cfDNA monitoring, accompanied by standard clinical assessments, represents a valuable precision tool to support lung transplant health and is appropriate for further assessment in a prospective randomized-controlled study.

Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Shows High Sensitivity for the Diagnosis of Pancreas Graft Rejection in Simultaneous Pancreas-kidney Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Pancreas graft status in simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplant (SPKTx) is currently assessed by nonspecific biochemical markers, typically amylase or lipase. Identifying a noninvasive biomarker with good sensitivity in detecting early pancreas graft rejection could improve SPKTx management. METHODS: Here, we developed a pilot study to explore donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) performance in predicting biopsy-proven acute rejection (P-BPAR) of the pancreas graft in a cohort of 36 SPKTx recipients with biopsy-matched plasma samples. dd-cfDNA was measured using the Prospera test (Natera, Inc.) and reported both as a fraction of the total cfDNA (fraction; %) and as concentration in the recipient's plasma (quantity; copies/mL). RESULTS: In the absence of P-BPAR, dd-cfDNA was significantly higher in samples collected within the first 45 d after SPKTx compared with those measured afterward (median, 1.00% versus 0.30%; median, 128.2 versus 35.3 cp/mL, respectively with both; P = 0.001). In samples obtained beyond day 45, P-BPAR samples presented a significantly higher dd-cfDNA fraction (0.83 versus 0.30%; P = 0.006) and quantity (81.3 versus 35.3 cp/mL; P = 0.001) than stable samples. Incorporating dd-cfDNA quantity along with dd-cfDNA fraction outperformed dd-cfDNA fraction alone to detect active rejection. Notably, when using a quantity cutoff of 70 cp/mL, dd-cfDNA detected P-BPAR with a sensitivity of 85.7% and a specificity of 93.7%, which was more accurate than current biomarkers (area under curve of 0.89 for dd-cfDNA (cp/ml) compared with 0.74 of lipase and 0.46 for amylase). CONCLUSIONS: dd-cfDNA measurement through a simple noninvasive blood test could be incorporated into clinical practice to help inform graft management in SPKTx patients.

Incorporation of Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Into Clinical Practice for Renal Allograft Management.

BACKGROUND: Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) in plasma is an established noninvasive biomarker for allograft injury and rejection. A single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based massively multiplexed polymerase chain reaction methodology can be used to quantify dd-cfDNA in kidney transplant recipients. In this study we describe our clinical experience in using a SNP-based dd-cfDNA assay for the management of active rejection in renal transplant recipients. METHODS: To assess the clinical utility of a clinically available SNP-based massively multiplexed polymerase chain reaction dd-cfDNA assay, we analyzed biopsy data contemporaneous to dd-cfDNA results at 33 participating clinics and calculated the rate of rejection in dd-cfDNA-matched biopsy results. RESULTS: A total of 1347 dd-cfDNA test samples from 879 patients were accessioned from October 3, 2019, to November 2, 2020. The dd-cfDNA testing classified 25.2% (340/1347) of samples as high-risk (dd-cfDNA fraction ≥ 1%). Clinical follow-up was available for 32.1% (109/340) of the high-risk results, which included samples from 28 patients with definitive biopsy results within 2 weeks of dd-cfDNA testing. Pathology reports indicated a 64% (18/28) rate of active rejection in biopsy result-matched samples. Total cfDNA measurements indicated a skewed distribution and a correlation with dd-cfDNA-derived patient risk classification. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first report showing the impact of dd-cfDNA on patient management in a multicenter real-world clinical cohort. The data indicate that incorporating dd-cfDNA testing into practice may improve physician decision making regarding renal allograft recipients.

Extremely High Cell-free DNA Levels Observed in Renal Allograft Patient With SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

Beyond its widely recognized morbidity and mortality, coronavirus disease 2019 poses an additional health risk to renal allograft recipients. Detection and measurement of donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA), expressed as a fraction of the total cell-free DNA (cfDNA), has emerged as a noninvasive biomarker for allograft rejection. Here, we present a case report of a patient who was infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, 11 mo post-kidney transplant. The patient was serially monitored using an analytically and clinically validated massively multiplex PCR-based dd-cfDNA assay to assess allograft injury and risk for rejection. Over the course of infection, low dd-cfDNA fractions were observed (below the 1% cutoff) and were accompanied by unusually highly elevated levels of total cfDNA, which gradually declined as the infection resolved. The case study highlights the variability in total cfDNA levels during and after viral infection, and the need to consider both total and dd-cfDNA levels when clinically interpreting the results for allograft rejection. Furthermore, the study highlights the importance of serial testing, wherein an interplay between total cfDNA and dd-cfDNA can inform the optimization of a patient's immunosuppressive treatment regimen in response to infection.

Validation of a Single-Nucleotide Polymorphism-Based Non-Invasive Prenatal Test in Twin Gestations: Determination of Zygosity, Individual Fetal Sex, and Fetal Aneuploidy.

We analyzed maternal plasma cell-free DNA samples from twin pregnancies in a prospective blinded study to validate a single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based non-invasive prenatal test (NIPT) for zygosity, fetal sex, and aneuploidy. Zygosity was evaluated by looking for either one or two fetal genome complements, fetal sex was evaluated by evaluating Y-chromosome loci, and aneuploidy was assessed through SNP ratios. Zygosity was correctly predicted in 100% of cases (93/93; 95% confidence interval (CI) 96.1%-100%). Individual fetal sex for both twins was also called with 100% accuracy (102/102; 95% weighted CI 95.2%-100%). All cases with copy number truth were also correctly identified. The dizygotic aneuploidy sensitivity was 100% (10/10; 95% CI 69.2%-100%), and overall specificity was 100% (96/96; 95% weighted CI, 94.8%-100%). The mean fetal fraction (FF) of monozygotic twins (n = 43) was 13.0% (standard deviation (SD), 4.5%); for dizygotic twins (n = 79), the mean lower FF was 6.5% (SD, 3.1%) and the mean higher FF was 8.1% (SD, 3.5%). We conclude SNP-based NIPT for zygosity is of value when chorionicity is uncertain or anomalies are identified. Zygosity, fetal sex, and aneuploidy are complementary evaluations that can be carried out on the same specimen as early as 9 weeks' gestation.

Analytical Validation of a Single-nucleotide Polymorphism-based Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Assay for Detecting Rejection in Kidney Transplant Patients.

BACKGROUND: Early detection of rejection in kidney transplant recipients holds the promise to improve clinical outcomes. Development and implementation of more accurate, noninvasive methods to detect allograft rejection remain an ongoing challenge. The limitations of existing allograft surveillance methods present an opportunity for donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA), which can accurately and rapidly differentiate patients with allograft rejection from patients with stable organ function. METHODS: This study evaluated the analytical performance of a massively multiplexed polymerase chain reaction assay that targets 13 962 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, characterized and validated using 66 unique samples with 1064 replicates, including cell line-derived reference samples, plasma-derived mixtures, and transplant patient samples. The dd-cfDNA fraction was quantified in both related and unrelated donor-recipient pairs. RESULTS: The dd-cfDNA assay showed a limit of blank of 0.11%, a limit of detection and limit of quantitation of 0.15% for unrelated donors, and limit of blank of 0.23%, a limit of detection and limit of quantitation of 0.29% for related donors. All other metrics (linearity, accuracy, and precision) were observed to be equivalent between unrelated and related donors. The measurement precision of coefficient of variation was 1.8% (repeatability, 0.6% dd-cfDNA) and was <5% for all the different reproducibility measures. CONCLUSIONS: This study validates the performance of a single-nucleotide polymorphism-based massively multiplexed polymerase chain reaction assay to detect the dd-cfDNA fraction with improved precision over currently available tests, regardless of donor-recipient relationships.