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Cancer Res ; 74(11): 2913-21, 2014 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24840647

RESUMO

Cancer incidence and deaths in the United States were projected for the most common cancer types for the years 2020 and 2030 based on changing demographics and the average annual percentage changes in incidence and death rates. Breast, prostate, and lung cancers will remain the top cancer diagnoses throughout this time, but thyroid cancer will replace colorectal cancer as the fourth leading cancer diagnosis by 2030, and melanoma and uterine cancer will become the fifth and sixth most common cancers, respectively. Lung cancer is projected to remain the top cancer killer throughout this time period. However, pancreas and liver cancers are projected to surpass breast, prostate, and colorectal cancers to become the second and third leading causes of cancer-related death by 2030, respectively. Advances in screening, prevention, and treatment can change cancer incidence and/or death rates, but it will require a concerted effort by the research and healthcare communities now to effect a substantial change for the future.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Incidência , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidade , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Mortalidade/tendências , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/mortalidade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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