RESUMO
Due to climate change and rapid urbanisation, many Norwegian cities and urban areas suffer from pluvial flooding caused by intense rainfall exceeding the capacity of the stormwater management system. This results in increased runoff rates, volumes and peak flows in the drainage network. In response to these challenges, the authors explore the potential of utilising the urban surface's ability to transport floodwater as an integral component of the stormwater infrastructure. When the capacity of the stormwater drainage system is exceeded, the overland flow paths transporting floodwater are considered a part of the stormwater management system, as floodways. The study proposes a spatial GIS method to map existing drainage lines and identify existing surface areas that function as floodways, combined with an automated process to identify which drainage lines could be implemented as stormwater management measures. Critical points are introduced to assess the floodways' potential hazards, combined with a classification method to evaluate and sort floodways. A case study from Trondheim, Norway, was used to demonstrate how drainage lines can be identified as floodways using the proposed method. The case study is also used to illustrate how a GIS-based analysis can be extended from identifying to evaluating floodways and whether GIS is sufficient for floodway evaluation. The method enables urban planners and municipalities to identify which areas of the urban surface already function as floodways during extreme events, and to prioritise measures to secure such areas and increase the city's flood resilience. The results highlight the need to assess existing areas that function as floodways, and to implement and design needed areas as floodways. GIS-based methods combined with an evaluation scheme can be an adequate tool to map and evaluate floodways in urban areas. When using GIS-based methods, however, the corresponding hazard potential, and also the uncertainty of the floodway's spatial placement, should be considered.
RESUMO
Climate change is expected to alter future temperature and discharge regimes of rivers. These regimes have a strong influence on the life history of most aquatic river species, and are key variables controlling the growth and survival of Atlantic salmon. This study explores how the future abundance of Atlantic salmon may be influenced by climate-induced changes in water temperature and discharge in a regulated river, and investigates how negative impacts in the future can be mitigated by applying different regulated discharge regimes during critical periods for salmon survival. A spatially explicit individual-based model was used to predict juvenile Atlantic salmon population abundance in a regulated river under a range of future water temperature and discharge scenarios (derived from climate data predicted by the Hadley Centre's Global Climate Model (GCM) HadAm3H and the Max Plank Institute's GCM ECHAM4), which were then compared with populations predicted under control scenarios representing past conditions. Parr abundance decreased in all future scenarios compared to the control scenarios due to reduced wetted areas (with the effect depending on climate scenario, GCM, and GCM spatial domain). To examine the potential for mitigation of climate change-induced reductions in wetted area, simulations were run with specific minimum discharge regimes. An increase in abundance of both parr and smolt occurred with an increase in the limit of minimum permitted discharge for three of the four GCM/GCM spatial domains examined. This study shows that, in regulated rivers with upstream storage capacity, negative effects of climate change on Atlantic salmon populations can potentially be mitigated by release of water from reservoirs during critical periods for juvenile salmon.
