Environmental mechanisms associated with fish kill in a semi-enclosed water body: An integrated numerical modeling approach.

Fish kill incidents are causing increasing concern to coastal communities globally due to the associated economical, commercial and social impacts. In the Arabian/Persian Gulf, human activities have accelerated to meet the rising demands and the economical ambitions, and are associated with organic and inorganic waste loads linked to algal blooms and fish kills in the receiving environment. Understanding the environmental circumstances associated with these events is crucial for planning and coastal management. This study focuses on Kuwait Bay (in the NW of the Gulf) which has a history of repeated fish kills on multiple scales. A numerical model has been successfully utilized, reproducing the key elements associated with fish kill incidents (hydrodynamics, water quality, and particle tracking) and revealing the transport and mixing time scales associated with the major fish kill incident in the Bay in 2020. The study indicated that the environmental circumstances of fish kills can vary in the Bay, so such incidents must be investigated individually. The large scale fish kill incident was found to be associated with unprecedented waste loads during summer 2020. This coincided with a low dynamic period at critical locations within the Bay. As a result, major hypoxic conditions lasting 15 days occurred along the main axis of the Bay in a manner unusual compared to previous events. The model provided key information on the dissolved oxygen, including the mixing and transport time scales, before, during, and after the event. The transport of the dead fish from the hypoxic front to the shoreline was also modeled. Collectively, model results provided generic coastal management approaches suitable for shallow embayments such as the Bay.

Three-dimensional numerical modelling of transport, fate and distribution of microplastics in the northwestern Arabian/Persian Gulf.

Marine plastic litter has been a major concern over the past decade particularly in semi-enclosed seas such as the Arabian/Persian Gulf, which are likely to impose a relatively higher threat to ecosystem and human health. In this work, we have focused our efforts on the transport features of marine surface microplastics (MPs) in the Gulf. The assessment utilizes a 3D hydrodynamic model of the northern Gulf which was coupled with a particle tracking model. We have considered five release locations and investigated two dominant wind conditions by applying different numerical scenarios. The results revealed that the northerly winds result in high dispersion and seaward transport of MPs in the open coastal zones, while in semi-enclosed regions they result in high trapping and beaching verified by visual investigation. The study shows that further detailed field investigations are warranted to enable the models to better parameterize the fate and distributions of MPs.

World record extreme sea surface temperatures in the northwestern Arabian/Persian Gulf verified by in situ measurements.

The Arabian or Persian Gulf is recognized as one of the warmest estuaries globally. The sea surface temperature (SST) has been utilized in several studies to gauge the global warming associated with climate change. In the current investigation we present detailed in situ SST measurements for five consecutive years (2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020) in the northwest of the Gulf, specifically in Kuwait Bay. Results of data analyses were compared with the historical records for the region, revealing that the SST reached an extreme level never previously recorded either in the Gulf. The extreme SST in Kuwait Bay reached 37.6 °C, recorded by the offshore station KISR01 located in the middle of the Bay. The event was associated with heatwave, neap tides, and an extended period of Kous winds which are characterized by high humidity levels and accompanied by large-scale intermittent fish kill incidents that extended the full length of the Kuwait coastline. Several fish kill incidents were reported also at the northern edge of the Gulf along Shatt Al Arab stretch in Iraq. The species found dead during the incident varied considerably, unlike those found in the frequent summer incidents. The records presented in this study may provide evidence to the effects of global warming, aid further research, and encourage the concerned international government bodies to deliver urgent environmental policies.

Hydro-environmental processes governing the formation of hypoxic parcels in an inverse estuarine water body: Assessment of physical controls.

Hypoxia is often thought of as the key factor responsible for fish kill events in coastal areas but fish kill events are too complex to be governed by a single factor. The events are influenced by a combination of chemical, biological and physical processes. Hydrodynamics play a key role in understanding the formation of hypoxia in shallow waters. This study aims to identify the settings of the physical forces that lead to a large-scale depletion of dissolved oxygen in Kuwait Bay at the northwest of the Arabian Gulf. The assessment, made with a validated three-dimensional numerical model (Alosairi and Alsulaiman, 2019), revealed that the pollution from the outfalls leads to nearfield depletion of dissolved oxygen but has only a minor effect on the bay-scale dissolved oxygen. This is a result of the strong dynamics of Kuwait Bay, which mixes the pollutant rapidly before it is transported seawards. Offshore, a low dynamic region has been identified near Jahra Bay which is susceptible to occasional dissolved oxygen depletion. Assessment of the physical forces revealed that the density-driven current and, to a greater extent the wind regime, controlled the formation of a hypoxic parcel near Jahra Bay. The combination of neap tides and low mixed winds reduced mixing and enabled the longer residence times of Kuwait Bay. These are the most critical circumstances, as the average dissolved oxygen can be reduced by 50% during summer. The circumstance resulting in low dynamics near Jahra Bay were also found to be effective in explaining algal blooms.

Responses of salinity and chlorophyll-a to extreme rainfall events in the northwest Arabian Gulf: Emphasis on Shatt Al-Arab.

Recent extreme hydrological events, such as high rainfall and storms, have been linked to climate change worldwide due to their relatively uncommon trends, which are generally described as having varying frequencies and higher intensities. Similar extreme rainfall trends were observed in the northwest Arabian Gulf during the 2018-2019 season. Heavy rainfall events have triggered high discharges in the river of Shatt Al-Arab, where, prior to these events, the discharge rate has exhibited a declining trend over the past 40 years. Shatt Al-Arab provides various physical, chemical, and biological functions in the region. In this study, some recent and extensive measurements of salinity and post-processed satellite images of chlorophyll-a in the northwest Arabian Gulf were recorded to assess the response of the region to the higher discharges. The results indicated that the salinity decreased significantly during and after the rainfall events in response to the higher discharges from Shatt Al-Arab. The effects of higher discharges extended over most of Kuwait's coastline, including Kuwait Bay. The chlorophyll-a distributions doubled after the extreme events, emphasising the effects of Shatt Al-Arab. Collectively, the results indicated that the discharge from Shatt Al-Arab during the extreme event exceeded 1400 m3/s, while, in the previous seasons, it rarely exceeded 80 m3/s. The higher discharge levels of discharge would result in various changes in ecology at multiple levels due to the sudden and reversing shift in the hydro-environmental processes.

Hydro-environmental processes governing the formation of hypoxic parcels in an inverse estuarine water body: Model validation and discussion.

The mechanism of fish kill events is not thoroughly understood in Kuwait Bay (KB). However, it is obvious that fish kill events have a close relationship with hypoxia due to some biogeochemical processes. Hydrodynamics controls the dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration that occurs within various spatial and temporal scales. The current study utilizes a previously validated hydrodynamic model to drive a three-dimensional water quality model for KB. The water quality model was validated using comprehensive field measurements during the summer of 2018. Reasonable model computations were achieved to represent the general patterns of the DO in KB. The model computations reproduced the formation of hypoxic water parcels. Some minor fish kill events that occurred during summer 2018 correlated well with predicted hypoxic parcels. The hydro-environmental controls over the extent of the hypoxic parcels and interplaying forces shall be addressed in a separate article by the same authors.

Three-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling study of reverse estuarine circulation: Kuwait Bay.

Hydrodynamics and associated environmental processes have always been of major concern to coastal-dependent countries, such as Kuwait. This is due to the environmental impact that accompanies the economic and commercial activities along the coastal areas. In the current study, a three-dimensional numerical model is utilized to unveil the main dynamic and physical properties of Kuwait Bay during the critical season. The model performance over the summer months (June, July and August 2012) is assessed against comprehensive field measurements of water levels, velocity, temperature and salinity data before using the model to describe the circulation as driven by tides, gravitational convection and winds. The results showed that the baroclinic conditions in the Bay are mainly determined by the horizontal salinity gradient and to much less extent temperature gradient. The gradients stretched over the southern coast of the Bay where dense water is found at the inner and enclosed areas, while relatively lighter waters are found near the mouth of the Bay. This gradient imposed a reversed estuarine circulation at the main axis of the Bay, particularly during neap tides when landward flow near the surface and seaward flow near the bed are most evident. The results also revealed that the shallow areas, including Sulaibikhat and Jahra Bays, are well mixed and generally flow in the counter-clockwise direction. Clockwise circulations dominated the northern portion of the Bay, forming a sort of large eddy, while turbulent fields associated with tidal currents were localized near the headlands.

Seasonal circulation assessments of the Northern Arabian/Persian Gulf.

Due to the continuous human activities linked to economic expansion in the Arabian Gulf area (also known as Persian Gulf), various activities have had an adverse impact on the coastal environment. Furthermore, reduction of precipitation and river flows has resulted in alterations to the hydro-environment regime at various levels. The current study uses a detailed numerical model that was validated with recent field measurements to determine the comprehensive seasonal circulations of the Northern Arabian/Persian Gulf (NAG). The seasons were studied individually using a three-dimensional setup and by considering the baroclinic effects and meteorological forcing. It was found that the NAG exhibits distinctive circulation characteristics each season. In winter, a dense water mass that forms near Kuwait flows toward the southeast near-bed, whereas relatively weak Indian Ocean Surface Waters (IOSW) flow along the Iranian coast and, to a lesser extent, oppose these currents. In spring, the southeast near bed circulations are weaker, while the IOSW is in highest conditions reaching the northern latitudes of the Gulf without being significantly diluted. In summer, a thermocline develops, particularly at the main axis of the NAG, and increases the chances of upwelling. The surface water during this season is significantly controlled by wind. Most distinctive, a non-uniform flow is evident at the offshore regions along the Arabian coast due to strong density gradients. In the fall, the circulations are relatively weaker compared to other seasons; however, cyclonic features are evident at the southeast of the estuary. Well-known counter clockwise circulations NAG are evident throughout the season, but at various strengths; summer is the most active season, while fall is the least active season. In a similar manner, the along shore current varied spatially and temporally throughout the seasons.