Cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy is associated with increased glycemic variability driven by hyperglycemia rather than hypoglycemia in patients with diabetes.

AIM: Cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN) has been suggested to be associated with hypoglycemia and impaired hypoglycemia unawareness. We have assessed the relationship between CAN and extensive measures of glucose variability (GV) in patients with type 1 and type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Participants with diabetes underwent continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) to obtain measures of GV and the extent of hyperglycemia and hypoglycemia and cardiovascular autonomic reflex testing. RESULTS: Of the 40 participants (20 T1DM and 20 T2DM) (aged 40.70 ± 13.73 years, diabetes duration 14.43 ± 7.35 years, HbA1c 8.85 ± 1.70%), 23 (57.5%) had CAN. Despite a lower coefficient of variation (CV) (31.26 ± 11.87 vs. 40.33 ± 11.03, P = 0.018), they had a higher CONGA (8.42 ± 2.58 vs. 6.68 ± 1.88, P = 0.024) with a lower median LBGI (1.60 (range: 0.20-3.50) vs. 4.90 (range: 3.20-7.40), P = 0.010) and percentage median time spent in hypoglycemia (4 (range:4-13) vs. 1 (range:0-5), P = 0.008), compared to those without CAN. The percentage GRADEEuglycemia (3.30 ± 2.78 vs. 5.69 ± 3.09, P = 0.017) and GRADEHypoglycemia (0.3 (range: 0 - 3.80) vs. 1.8 (range: 0.9-6.5), P = 0.036) were significantly lower, while the percentage median GRADEHyperglycemia (95.45 (range:93-98) vs. 91.6 (82.8-95.1), P = 0.013) was significantly higher in participants with CAN compared to those without CAN. CONCLUSION: CAN was associated with increased glycemic variability with less time in euglycemia attributed to a greater time in hyperglycemia but not hypoglycemia.

Predicting COVID-19 cases using bidirectional LSTM on multivariate time series.

To assist policymakers in making adequate decisions to stop the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. This paper presents a deep learning approach to forecast the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases using bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) network applied to multivariate time series. Unlike other forecasting techniques, our proposed approach first groups the countries having similar demographic and socioeconomic aspects and health sector indicators using K-means clustering algorithm. The cumulative case data of the clustered countries enriched with data related to the lockdown measures are fed to the bidirectional LSTM to train the forecasting model. We validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach by studying the disease outbreak in Qatar and the proposed model prediction from December 1st until December 31st, 2020. The quantitative evaluation shows that the proposed technique outperforms state-of-art forecasting approaches.