Development and validation of a prognostic index (BODEXS90) for mortality in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

INTRODUCTION: Several multidimensional indices have been proposed to predict mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The BODEX index is simple and easy to use for this purpose in all clinical settings. Only a few prognostic indices have integrated oxygenation variables, with measurement methods that are not practical for real life clinical practice in all settings. OBJECTIVES: To develop and externally validate a new prognostic index (BODEXS90) that combines the variables included in BODEX index with rest peripheral oxygen saturation measured with finger oximetry (SpO2) to predict all-cause mortality in stable COPD. METHOD: Observational, non-intervention, multicenter historic cohort study. The BODEXS90 index was developed in a derivation cohort and externally validated in a validation cohort. Calibration of the index was carried out using Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The discrimination capacity of BODEXS90 and BODEX were compared by means of receiver-operating characteristics curves. Modelling of the index was carried out by crude and adjusted Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The derivation and validation cohorts included 787 and 1179 subjects, respectively. SpO2 predicted all cause-mortality independently of BODEX index. Discrimination capacity of BODEXS90 to predict the outcome was significantly higher than that of BODEX, particularly for more severely affected patients, both in the derivation and in the validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The new index is potentially useful for designing clinical decision-making algorithms in stable COPD.

Echinococcosis: A 15-year epidemiological, clinical and outcome overview.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the epidemiological and clinical characteristics and mortality of patients with cystic echinococcosis (CE) in northern Spain. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective study of the medical records of patients diagnosed with CE and hospitalized from 1997 to 2011 in a University Hospital. RESULTS: A total of 76 patients (44 men) were diagnosed with CE. The mean age was 57.8 years (SD: 19.1 years; range: 14.9-92.7). The yearly average incidence was 1.08 cases/100,000 inhabitants. The highest incidence was registered in patients aged 70-79 years (22.7% of all cases). Liver was the main organ involved (92.1%), followed by lung (6.6%) and peritoneum (1.3%). Fifty-five patients (72%) received treatment: 2 (3.6%) medical treatment with albendazole, 27 (49%) surgical treatment, 3 (5.4%) medical treatment combined with cyst drainage, and 23 (42%) combined medical and surgical treatment. Eight patients had a recurrence. Twenty-four (31.2%) patients died. No patient's death was attributed directly to hydatidosis, though mortality was significantly higher in the untreated vs. the treated patient group (57% vs. 22%, p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Hydatidosis treatment and diagnostic approaches remain heterogeneous. The liver continues being the main organ affected. Mortality was higher in patients who did not receive treatment. However, this result might have been influenced by other factors, mainly age.