Containment of a multi-index B.1.1.7 outbreak on a university campus through a genomically-informed public health response

The first cluster of SARS-CoV-2 cases with lineage B.1.1.7 in the state of Michigan was identified through intensive university-led surveillance sampling and targeted sequencing. A collaborative investigation and response was conducted by the local and state health departments, and the campus and athletic medicine COVID-19 response teams, using S-gene target failure screening and rapid genomic sequencing to inform containment strategies. A total of 50 cases of B.1.1.7-lineage SARS-CoV-2 were identified in this outbreak, which was due to three coincident introductions of B.1.1.7-lineage SARS-CoV-2, all of which were genetically distinct from lineages which later circulated in the broader community. This investigation demonstrates the successful implementation of a genomically-informed outbreak response which can be extended to university campuses and other settings at high risk for rapid emergence of new variants.

SARS-CoV-2 Genomic Surveillance Reveals Little Spread Between a Large University Campus and the Surrounding Community

COVID-19 has had high incidence at institutions of higher education (IHE) in the United States, but the transmission dynamics in these settings are not well understood. It remains unclear to what extent IHE-associated outbreaks have contributed to transmission in nearby communities. We implemented high-density prospective genomic surveillance to investigate these dynamics at the University of Michigan-Ann Arbor and the surrounding community during the Fall 2020 semester (August 16th -November 24th). We sequenced complete SARS-CoV-2 genomes from 1659 individuals, including 468 students, representing 20% of cases in students and 25% of total confirmed cases in Washtenaw County over the study interval. Phylogenetic analysis identified over 200 introductions into the student population, most of which were not related to other student cases. There were two prolonged transmission clusters among students that spanned across multiple on-campus residences. However, there were very few genetic descendants of student clusters among non-students during a subsequent November wave of infections in the community. We conclude that outbreaks at the University of Michigan did not significantly contribute to the rise in Washtenaw County COVID-19 incidence during November 2020. These results provide valuable insights into the distinct transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 among IHE populations and surrounding communities.

SARS-CoV-2 Total and Subgenomic RNA Viral Load in Hospitalized Patients

Understanding viral load in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 is critical to epidemiology and infection control. Previous studies have demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 RNA can be detected for many weeks after symptom onset. The clinical significance of this finding is unclear and, in most patients, likely does not represent active infection. There are, however, patients who shed infectious virus for weeks. Detection of subgenomic RNA transcripts expressed by SARS-CoV-2 has been proposed to represent productive infection and may be a tractable marker for monitoring infectivity. Here, we use RT-PCR to quantify total and subgenomic nucleocapsid (N) and envelope (E) transcripts in 190 SARS-CoV-2 positive samples collected on hospital admission. We relate these findings to duration of symptoms. We find that all transcripts decline at the same rate; however, subgenomic E becomes undetectable before other transcripts. In Kaplan-Meier analysis the median duration of symptoms to a negative test is 14 days for sgE and 25 days for sgN. There is a linear decline in subgenomic RNA compared to total RNA suggesting subgenomic transcript copy number is highly dependent on copy number of total transcripts. The mean difference between total N and subgenomic N is 16-fold (4.0 cycles) and the mean difference between total E and sub-genomic E is 137-fold (7.1 cycles). This relationship is constant over duration of symptoms allowing prediction of subgenomic copy number from total copy number. Although Subgenomic E is undetectable at a time that may more closely reflect the duration of infectivity, its utility in determining active infection may be no more useful than a copy number threshold determined for total transcripts.

Early introductions and community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 in the United States

The emergence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7, first detected in the United Kingdom, has become a global public health concern because of its increased transmissibility. Over 2500 COVID-19 cases associated with this variant have been detected in the US since December 2020, but the extent of establishment is relatively unknown. Using travel, genomic, and diagnostic data, we highlight the primary ports of entry for B.1.1.7 in the US and locations of possible underreporting of B.1.1.7 cases. Furthermore, we found evidence for many independent B.1.1.7 establishments starting in early December 2020, followed by interstate spread by the end of the month. Finally, we project that B.1.1.7 will be the dominant lineage in many states by mid to late March. Thus, genomic surveillance for B.1.1.7 and other variants urgently needs to be enhanced to better inform the public health response.

Temporal dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 mutation accumulation within and across infected hosts

Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 genetic diversity within infected hosts can provide insight into the generation and spread of new viral variants and may enable high resolution inference of transmission chains. However, little is known about temporal aspects of SARS-CoV-2 intrahost diversity and the extent to which shared diversity reflects convergent evolution as opposed to transmission linkage. Here we use high depth of coverage sequencing to identify within-host genetic variants in 325 specimens from hospitalized COVID-19 patients and infected employees at a single medical center. We validated our variant calling by sequencing defined RNA mixtures and identified a viral load threshold that minimizes false positives. By leveraging clinical metadata, we found that intrahost diversity is low and does not vary by time from symptom onset. This suggests that variants will only rarely rise to appreciable frequency prior to transmission. Although there was generally little shared variation across the sequenced cohort, we identified intrahost variants shared across individuals who were unlikely to be related by transmission. These variants did not precede a rise in frequency in global consensus genomes, suggesting that intrahost variants may have limited utility for predicting future lineages. These results provide important context for sequence-based inference in SARS-CoV-2 evolution and epidemiology.

Prolonged SARS-CoV-2 replication in an immunocompromised patient

We describe a case of chronic COVID-19 in a patient with lymphoma and associated B-cell immunodeficiency. Viral cultures and sequence analysis demonstrate ongoing replication of infectious SARS-CoV-2 virus for at least 119 days. The patient had three admissions related to COVID-19 over a four-month period and was treated twice with remdesivir and convalescent plasma with resolution of symptoms. The lack of seroconversion and prolonged course illustrate the importance of humoral immunity in resolving SARS-CoV-2 infection. This case highlights challenges in managing immunocompromised hosts, who may act as persistent shedders and sources of transmission.