Pandemic inequity in a megacity: a multilevel analysis of individual, community, and health care vulnerability risks for COVID-19 mortality in Jakarta, Indonesia

BackgroundThe 33 recognized megacities comprise approximately 7% of the global population, yet account for 20% COVID-19 deaths. The specific inequities and other factors within megacities that affect vulnerability to COVID-19 mortality remain poorly defined. We assessed individual, community-level and health care factors associated with COVID-19-related mortality in a megacity of Jakarta, Indonesia, during two epidemic waves spanning March 2, 2020, to August 31, 2021. MethodsThis retrospective cohort included all residents of Jakarta, Indonesia, with PCR-confirmed COVID-19. We extracted demographic, clinical, outcome (recovered or died), vaccine coverage data, and disease prevalence from Jakarta Health Office surveillance records, and collected sub-district level socio-demographics data from various official sources. We used multi-level logistic regression to examine individual, community and sub-district-level health care factors and their associations with COVID-19-mortality. FindingsOf 705,503 cases with a definitive outcome by August 31, 2021, 694,706 (98{middle dot}5%) recovered and 10,797 (1{middle dot}5%) died. The median age was 36 years (IQR 24-50), 13{middle dot}2% (93,459) were <18 years, and 51{middle dot}6% were female. The sub-district level accounted for 1{middle dot}5% of variance in mortality (p<0.0001). Individual-level factors associated with death were older age, male sex, comorbidities, and, during the first wave, age <5 years (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1{middle dot}56, 95%CI 1{middle dot}04-2{middle dot}35; reference: age 20-29 years). Community-level factors associated with death were poverty (aOR for the poorer quarter 1{middle dot}35, 95%CI 1{middle dot}17-1{middle dot}55; reference: wealthiest quarter), high population density (aOR for the highest density 1{middle dot}34, 95%CI 1{middle dot}14-2{middle dot}58; reference: the lowest), low vaccine coverage (aOR for the lowest coverage 1{middle dot}25, 95%CI 1{middle dot}13-1{middle dot}38; reference: the highest). InterpretationIn addition to individual risk factors, living in areas with high poverty and density, and low health care performance further increase the vulnerability of communities to COVID-19-associated death in urban low-resource settings. FundingWellcome (UK) Africa Asia Programme Vietnam (106680/Z/14/Z). Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched PubMed on November 22, 2021, for articles that assessed individual, community, and healthcare vulnerability factors associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality, using the search terms ("novel coronavirus" OR "SARS-CoV-2" OR "COVID-19") AND ("death" OR "mortality" OR "deceased") AND ("community" OR "social") AND ("healthcare" OR "health system"). The 33 recognized megacities comprise approximately 7% of the global population, yet account for 20% COVID-19 deaths. The specific inequities and other factors within megacities that affect vulnerability to COVID-19 mortality remain poorly defined. At individual-level, studies have shown COVID-19-related mortality to be associated with older age and common underlying chronic co-morbidities including hypertension, diabetes, obesity, cardiac disease, chronic kidney disease and liver disease. Only few studies from North America, and South America have reported the association between lower community-level socio-economic status and healthcare performance with increased risk of COVID-19-related death. We found no studies have been done to assess individual, community, and healthcare vulnerability factors associated with COVID-19 mortality risk, especially in lower-and middle-income countries (LMIC) where accessing quality health care services is often challenging for substantial proportions of population, due to under-resourced and fragile health systems. In Southeast Asia, by November 22, 2021, COVID-19 case fatality rate had been reported at 2{middle dot}2% (23,951/1,104,835) in Vietnam, 1{middle dot}7% (47,288/2,826,853) in Philippines, 1{middle dot}0% (20,434/2,071,009) in Thailand, 1{middle dot}2% (30,063/2,591,486) in Malaysia, 2{middle dot}4% (2,905/119,904) in Cambodia, and 0{middle dot}3% in Singapore (667/253,649). Indonesia has the highest number of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the region, reporting 3{middle dot}4% case fatality rate (143,744 /4,253,598), with the highest number of cases in the capital city of Jakarta. A preliminary analysis of the first five months of surveillance in Jakarta found that 497 of 4265 (12%) hospitalised patients had died, associated with older age, male sex; pre-existing hypertension, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease; clinical diagnosis of pneumonia; multiple (>3) symptoms; immediate intensive care unit admission, or intubation. Added value of this studyThis retrospective population-based study of the complete epidemiological surveillance data of Jakarta during the first eighteen months of the epidemic is the largest studies in LMIC to date, that comprehensively analysed the individual, community, and healthcare vulnerability associated with COVID-19-related mortality among individuals diagnosed with PCR-confirmed COVID-19. The overall case fatality rate among general population in Jakarta was 1{middle dot}5% (10,797/705,503). Individual factors associated with risk of death were older age, male sex, comorbidities, and, during the first wave, age <5 years (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1{middle dot}56, 95%CI 1{middle dot}04-2{middle dot}35; reference: age 20-29 years). The risk of death was further increased for people living in sub-districts with high rates of poverty (aOR for the poorer quarter 1{middle dot}35, 95%CI 1{middle dot}17-1{middle dot}55; reference: wealthiest quarter), high population density (aOR for the highest density 1{middle dot}34, 95%CI 1{middle dot}14-2{middle dot}58), and low COVID-19 vaccination coverage (aOR for the lowest coverage 1{middle dot}25, 95%CI 1{middle dot}13-1{middle dot}38; reference: the highest). Implications of all available evidenceDifferences in socio-demographics and access to quality health services, among other factors, greatly influence COVID-19 mortality in low-resource settings. This study affirmed that in addition to well-known individual risk factors, community-level socio-demographics and healthcare factors further increase the vulnerability of communities to die from COVID-19 in urban low-resource settings. These results highlight the need for accelerated vaccine rollout and additional preventive interventions to protect the urban poor who are most vulnerable to dying from COVID-19.

Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Survey of Gastroparesis in Asia by Asian Neurogastroenterology and Motility Association

Background/Aims@#Gastroparesis is identified as a subject that is understudied in Asia. The scientific committee of the Asian Neurogastroenterology and Motility Association performed a Knowledge, Attitude, and Practices survey on gastroparesis among doctors in Asia. @*Methods@#The questionnaire was created and developed through a literature review of current gastroparesis works of literature by the scientific committee of Asian Neurogastroenterology and Motility Association. @*Results@#A total of 490 doctors from across Asia (including Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam) participated in the survey. Gastroparesis is a significant gastrointestinal condition. However, a substantial proportion of respondents was unable to give the correct definition and accurate diagnostic test. The main reason for lack of interest in diagnosing gastroparesis was “the lack of reliable diagnostic tests” (46.8%) or “a lack of effective treatment” (41.5%). Only 41.7% of respondents had access to gastric emptying scintigraphy. Most doctors had never diagnosed gastroparesis at all (25.2%) or diagnosed fewer than 5 patients a year (52.1%). @*Conclusions@#Gastroparesis can be challenging to diagnose due to the lack of instrument, standardized method, and paucity of research data on normative value, risk factors, and treatment studies in Asian patients. Future strategies should concentrate on how to disseminate the latest knowledge of gastroparesis in Asia. In particular, there is an urgent need to estimate the magnitude of the problems in high risk and idiopathic patients as well as a standardized diagnostic procedure in Asia.

Second Asian Consensus on Irritable Bowel Syndrome

BACKGROUND/AIMS: There has been major progress in our understanding of the irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), and novel treatment classes have emerged. The Rome IV guidelines were published in 2016 and together with the growing body of Asian data on IBS, we felt it is timely to update the Asian IBS Consensus. METHODS: Key opinion leaders from Asian countries were organized into 4 teams to review 4 themes: symptoms and epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis and investigations, and lifestyle modifications and treatments. The consensus development process was carried out by using a modified Delphi method. RESULTS: Thirty-seven statements were developed. Asian data substantiate the current global viewpoint that IBS is a disorder of gut-brain interaction. Socio-cultural and environmental factors in Asia appear to influence the greater overlap between IBS and upper gastrointestinal symptoms. New classes of treatments comprising low fermentable oligo-, di-, monosacharides, and polyols diet, probiotics, non-absorbable antibiotics, and secretagogues have good evidence base for their efficacy. CONCLUSIONS: Our consensus is that all patients with functional gastrointestinal disorders should be evaluated comprehensively with a view to holistic management. Physicians should be encouraged to take a positive attitude to the treatment outcomes for IBS patients.

Development, Translation and Validation of Enhanced Asian Rome III Questionnaires for Diagnosis of Functional Bowel Diseases in Major Asian Languages: A Rome Foundation-Asian Neurogastroenterology and Motility Association Working Team Report

BAome III criteria. METHODS: After EAR3Q was developed by Asian experts by cCKGROUND/AIMS: The development-processes by regional socio-cultural adaptation of an Enhanced Asian Rome III questionnaire (EAR3Q), a cultural adaptation of the Rome III diagnostic questionnaire (R3DQ), and its translation-validation in Asian languages are presented. As English is not the first language for most Asians, translation-validation of EAR3Q is essential. Hence, we aimed to culturally adapt the R3DQ to develop EAR3Q and linguistically validate it to show that the EAR3Q is able to allocate diagnosis according to Ronsensus, it was translated into Chinese, Hindi-Telugu, Indonesian, Korean, and Thai, following Rome Foundation guidelines; these were then validated on native subjects (healthy [n = 60], and patients with irritable bowel syndrome [n = 59], functional dyspepsia [n = 53] and functional constipation [n = 61]) diagnosed by clinicians using Rome III criteria, negative alarm features and investigations. RESULTS: Experts noted words for constipation, bloating, fullness and heartburn, posed difficulty. The English back-translated questionnaires demonstrated concordance with the original EAR3Q. Sensitivity and specificity of the questionnaires were high enough to diagnose respective functional gastrointestinal disorders (gold standard: clinical diagnoses) in most except Korean and Indonesian languages. Questionnaires often uncovered overlapping functional gastrointestinal disorders. Test-retest agreement (kappa) values of the translated questionnaires were high (0.700-1.000) except in Korean (0.300-0.500) and Indonesian (0.100-0.400) languages at the initial and 2-week follow-up visit. CONCLUSIONS: Though Chinese, Hindi and Telugu translations were performed well, Korean and Indonesian versions were not. Questionnaires often uncovered overlapping FGIDs, which were quite common.