Fifteen-minute consultation: Empowering children, young people and families through shared decision-making: a practical guide.

Shared decision-making (SDM) is a collaborative approach to healthcare decision-making that involves patients and healthcare professionals working together to make decisions that are informed by the best available medical evidence, as well as the patient's values, preferences and goals. The importance of SDM and the intricate interplay among parents, children and young people (CYP), and healthcare professionals are increasingly acknowledged as the crucial aspects of delivering high-quality paediatric care. While there is a substantial evidence base for SDM improving knowledge and reducing decisional conflict, the evidence for long-term measures such as improved health outcomes is limited and mainly inconclusive. To support healthcare teams in implementing SDM, the authors offer a practical guide to enhance decision-making processes and empower CYP and their families.

Patients' and kidney care team's perspectives of treatment burden and capacity in older people with chronic kidney disease: a qualitative study.

OBJECTIVE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is often a multimorbid condition and progression to more severe disease is commonly associated with increased management requirements, including lifestyle change, more medication and greater clinician involvement. This study explored patients' and kidney care team's perspectives of the nature and extent of this workload (treatment burden) and factors that support capacity (the ability to manage health) for older individuals with CKD. DESIGN: Qualitative semistructured interview and focus group study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Adults (aged 60+) with predialysis CKD stages G3-5 (identified in two general practitioner surgeries and two renal clinics) and a multiprofessional secondary kidney care team in the UK. RESULTS: 29 individuals and 10 kidney team members were recruited. Treatment burden themes were: (1) understanding CKD, its treatment and consequences, (2) adhering to treatments and management and (3) interacting with others (eg, clinicians) in the management of CKD. Capacity themes were: (1) personal attributes (eg, optimism, pragmatism), (2) support network (family/friends, service providers), (3) financial capacity, environment (eg, geographical distance to unit) and life responsibilities (eg, caring for others). Patients reported poor provision of CKD information and lack of choice in treatment, whereas kidney care team members discussed health literacy issues. Patients reported having to withdraw from social activities and loss of employment due to CKD, which further impacted their capacity. CONCLUSION: Improved understanding of and measures to reduce the treatment burden (eg, clear information, simplified medication, joined up care, free parking) associated with CKD in individuals as well as assessment of their capacity and interventions to improve capacity (social care, psychological support) will likely improve patient experience and their engagement with kidney care services.

Who benefits most from extending financial protection for cataract surgery in Vietnam? An extended cost-effectiveness analysis of small incision surgery.

Treatment costs remain a barrier for having timely cataract surgery in Vietnam, particularly for females and the poor, despite significant progress in achieving universal health coverage (UHC). This study evaluated the potential impact, on health and financial protection, of eliminating medical and non-medical out-of-pocket costs associated with cataract surgery. An extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA) was conducted with a societal perspective. The ECEA modelled how many more disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and cases of catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) and medical impoverishment could be averted across income quintiles and between males and females. Two programmes were evaluated: (1) eliminating medical out-of-pocket costs for small incision cataract surgery and (2) Programme A plus a voucher programme covering non-medical out-of-pocket costs. Compared with current, the incremental cost per year of Programme A was estimated to be $833 396 and $1 641 835 for Programme B, each representing <0.01% of total health care spending in 2016. Males and females in the richest income quintiles would avert more DALYs than those in the poorest quintiles. For both programmes, most cases of CHE would be averted by individuals in the poorest income quintile. Programme B would avert the most CHE cases overall and females would have a greater share of benefits. All cases of impoverishing medical expenditure would be averted by individuals in the poorest quintile (A: 115 cases and B: 493 cases) for both programmes. The cost to avert each case of CHE with Programme A ranged from $67 to $292 and $100 to $232 for Programme B. We found a pro-rich health distribution and a pro-poor CHE distribution associated with eliminating out-of-pocket costs of cataract surgery in Vietnam. A programme that addressed both medical and non-medical out-of-pocket costs could have the greatest impact on improving financial protection in this population, particularly among the poorest income quintiles and for females. This study supports the concordance between the objectives of UHC and gender equity.

The global cost of eliminating avoidable blindness.

AIMS: To complete an initial estimate of the global cost of eliminating avoidable blindness, including the investment required to build ongoing primary and secondary health care systems, as well as to eliminate the 'backlog' of avoidable blindness. This analysis also seeks to understand and articulate where key data limitations lie. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were collected in line with a global estimation approach, including separate costing frameworks for the primary and secondary care sectors, and the treatment of backlog. RESULTS: The global direct health cost to eliminate avoidable blindness over a 10-year period from 2011 to 2020 is estimated at $632 billion per year (2009 US$). As countries already spend $592 billion per annum on eye health, this represents additional investment of $397.8 billion over 10 years, which is $40 billion per year or $5.80 per person for each year between 2010 and 2020. This is concentrated in high-income nations, which require 68% of the investment but comprise 16% of the world's inhabitants. For all other regions, the additional investment required is $127 billion. CONCLUSIONS: This costing estimate has identified that low- and middle-income countries require less than half the additional investment compared with high-income nations. Low- and middle-income countries comprise the greater investment proportion in secondary care whereas high-income countries require the majority of investment into the primary sector. However, there is a need to improve sector data. Investment in better data will have positive flow-on effects for the eye health sector.

Evaluation of dietetic advice for modification of cardiovascular disease risk factors in renal transplant recipients.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of dietitian involvement in a multidisciplinary lifestyle intervention comparing risk factor modification for cardiovascular disease with standard posttransplant care in renal transplant recipients (RTR) with abnormal glucose tolerance (AGT). DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial. SETTING: Hospital outpatient department. PATIENTS: Adult RTR with AGT. INTERVENTION: RTR with AGT were randomized to a lifestyle intervention that consisted of either regular consultations with the dietitian and multidisciplinary team or standard care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Dietary intake, physical activity (PA) levels, cardiorespiratory fitness (CF), and anthropometry. RESULTS: Total fat and percent saturated fat intake rates were significantly lower in the intervention group as compared with the control group at 2-year follow-up, 54 g (16 to 105 g) versus 65 g (34 to 118 g), P = .01 and 10% (5% to 17%) versus 13% (4% to 20%), P = .05., respectively. There was a trend for an overweight (but not obese) individual to lose more weight in the intervention group (4% loss vs. a gain of 0.25% at the 2-year follow-up). Overall, RTR were significantly less fit than age- and gender-matched controls, mean peak oxygen uptake was 19.42 ± 7.09 mL/kg per minute versus 28.35 ± 8.80 mL/kg per minute, P = .000. Simple exercise advice was not associated with any improvement in total PA or CF in either group at the 2-year follow-up. CONCLUSION: Dietary advice can contribute to healthier eating habits and a trend for weight loss in RTR with AGT. These improvements in conjunction with multidisciplinary care and pharmacological treatment can lead to improvements in cardiovascular risk factors such as lipid profile. Simple advice to increase PA was not effective in improving CF and other measures are needed.

Higher levels of physical activity are associated with a lower risk of abnormal glucose tolerance in renal transplant recipients.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated and compared diets and physical activity levels of renal transplant recipients (RTRs) with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and abnormal glucose tolerance (AGT), and we identified clinical risk factors for AGT. DESIGN: This study was cross-sectional and observational. SETTING: This study took place in a hospital's renal outpatient department. PATIENTS: Patients included adult RTRs with NGT and AGT. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All patients were assessed regarding age, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist/hip ratio (WHR), percent body fat (measured using dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry), dietary intake (3-day diet diary), and physical activity (PA) levels (total minutes/week, using the Physical Activity Statewide Questionnaire). RESULTS: The RTRs with AGT (n = 47) were significantly more obese (P = .04) and more centrally obese (P = .05) than RTRs with NGT (n = 35). The mean self-reported dietary macronutrient and energy intake was not significantly different between groups. However, the total amount of PA (median) was significantly lower in RTRs with AGT versus RTRs with NGT (255 [median, range 0 to 1940] versus 580 [median, 75 to 1095] minutes/week, respectively, P = .03), particularly in female RTRs (P = .007). After logistic regression analysis, total PA was identified as an independent predictor of AGT in all RTRs (beta = 0.940, R(2) = 0.090, P = .04). Percent body fat according to dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry was inversely associated with a high level of PA (>300 minutes/week) (beta = 0.906, R(2) = 0.211, P = .003). CONCLUSIONS: A higher amount of PA is associated with a lower risk of AGT in RTRs (particularly in females). An emphasis on increasing PA should be encouraged for all RTRs.

Metabolic syndrome in severe chronic kidney disease: Prevalence, predictors, prognostic significance and effects of risk factor modification.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease, mortality and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the general population. However, the prevalence, predictors, prognostic value and treatment of MS in the CKD population have not been rigorously studied. METHODS: The study involved 200 stages 4 and 5 CKD patients enrolled in a randomized controlled trial of intensive multiple risk factor modification (targeting hypercholesterolaemia, hyperhomocysteinaemia, anaemia and disordered bone mineral metabolism) versus usual care. Participants were followed for a median period of 22 months. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of MS was 30.5%. MS was independently predicted by older age, peritoneal dialysis and Maori/Pacific Islander origin. When laboratory parameters were included as covariates, the only significant predictors of MS were higher serum malondialdehyde and lower serum adiponectin concentrations. MS was an independent predictor of time to composite end-point of cardiovascular death, acute coronary syndrome, revascularization, non-fatal stroke and amputation (adjusted hazard ratio 2.46, 95% CI 1.17-5.18). No significant difference in cardiovascular event-free survival was observed in those allocated to intensive risk factor modification compared with usual care. CONCLUSION: Metabolic syndrome occurs in 30.5% of stages 4 and 5 CKD patients and is associated with older age, peritoneal dialysis, ethnicity, increased oxidative stress, lower serum adiponectin concentrations and a significantly increased risk of future cardiovascular events. Intervention strategies targeting hypercholesterolaemia, hyperhomocysteinaemia, anaemia and disordered bone mineral metabolism may not be effective in ameliorating the heightened cardiovascular risk of CKD patients with MS.

Prognostic role of subclinical left ventricular abnormalities and impact of transplantation in chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVE: The outcome of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is influenced by overt left ventricular (LV) abnormalities. We sought the predictive value and treatment response of subclinical LV dysfunction in CKD. METHOD: Resting and dobutamine stress echocardiography were used to identify LV enlargement, dysfunction, or ischemia in 176 patients with CKD. In 129 patients who had normal dobutamine stress echocardiography, myocardial tissue characterization was performed using tissue Doppler imaging and integrated backscatter. Clinical, biochemical, and echocardiographic parameters were recorded at baseline, and patients were followed up for cardiac events and all-cause mortality over 2.4 years. Follow-up echocardiographic and tissue characterization parameters were performed in 80 patients. RESULTS: Previous cardiac history (HR 5.2, P = .002) and serum phosphate (HR 6.2, P = .001) were independent clinical predictors of events (model chi2 = 20.9). Diastolic tissue velocity (HR 0.8, P = .05) was an independent predictor of outcome, and its addition to clinical assessment added incremental prognostic information (model chi2 = 24.8, P < .001). Patients who underwent transplantation (n = 45) showed reduction of wall thickness (P < .001) and LV volumes (P < .001) and increases in diastolic tissue velocity (P = .007) and strain (P = .001), whereas these measurements worsened in those who remained on dialysis. CONCLUSION: In patients with CKD, subclinical LV dysfunction is associated with adverse outcome. Subclinical disease can be improved by transplantation but progresses in patients who continue on dialysis.

Risk stratification of patients with chronic kidney disease: results of screening strategies incorporating clinical risk scoring and dobutamine stress echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac disease is the principal cause of death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Ischemia at dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) is associated with adverse events in these patients. We sought the efficacy of combining clinical risk evaluation with DSE. METHODS: We allocated 244 patients with CKD (mean age 54 years, 140 men, 169 dialysis-dependent at baseline) into low- and high-risk groups based on two disease-specific scores and the Framingham risk model. All underwent DSE and were further stratified according to DSE results. Patients were followed over 20 +/- 14 months for events (death, myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome). RESULTS: There were 49 deaths and 32 cardiac events. Using the different clinical scores, allocation of high risk varied from 34% to 79% of patients, and 39% to 50% of high-risk patients had an abnormal DSE. In the high-risk groups, depending on the clinical score chosen, 25% to 44% with an abnormal DSE had a cardiac event, compared with 8% to 22% with a normal DSE. Cardiac events occurred in 2.0%, 3.1%, and 9.7% of the low-risk patients, using the two disease-specific and Framingham scores, respectively, and DSE results did not add to risk evaluation in this subgroup. Independent DSE predictors of cardiac events were a lower resting diastolic blood pressure, angina during the test, and the combination of ischemia with resting left ventricular dysfunction. CONCLUSION: In CKD patients, high-risk findings by DSE can predict outcome. A stepwise strategy of combining clinical risk scores with DSE for CAD screening in CKD reduces the number of tests required and identifies a high-risk subgroup among whom DSE results more effectively stratify high and low risk.

Should an oral glucose tolerance test be performed routinely in all renal transplant recipients?

Posttransplantation diabetes (PTD) contributes to cardiovascular disease and graft loss in renal transplant recipients (RTR). Current recommendations advise fasting blood glucose (FBG) as the screening and diagnostic test of choice for PTD. This study sought to determine (1) the predictive power of FBG with respect to 2-h blood glucose (2HBG) and (2) the prevalence of PTD using FBG and 2HBG compared with that using FBG alone, in prevalent RTR. A total of 200 RTR (mean age 52 yr; 59% male; median transplant duration 6.6 yr) who were > 6 mo posttransplantation and had no known history of diabetes were studied. Patients with FBG < 126 mg/dl (7.0 mmol/L; n = 188) underwent an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Receiver operating characteristic analyses evaluated the optimal level of FBG predictive of PTD (2HBG > or = 200 mg/dl [11.1 mmol/L]) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT; 2HBG 140 to 200 mg/dl [7.8 to 11.0 mmol/L]). An abnormal OGTT was reported in 79 (42%) nondiabetic RTR: PTD (n = 22) and IGT (n = 57). The optimal FBG that was predictive of PTD was 101 mg/dl (5.6 mmol/L; area under the curve 0.70; sensitivity 64%, specificity 67%, positive predictive value 20%, negative predictive value 93%). The optimal FBG that was predictive of IGT was less well defined (area under the curve 0.54). The prevalence of PTD was higher by OGTT than by FBG alone (17 versus 6%; P < 0.001). FBG may not be the optimal screening or diagnostic tool for PTD or IGT in RTR. Consideration should be given to introducing the OGTT as a routine posttransplantation investigation, although the implications of a pathologic OGTT are still to be determined in this population.

Cardiorespiratory fitness is related to physical inactivity, metabolic risk factors, and atherosclerotic burden in glucose-intolerant renal transplant recipients.

The mechanisms of reduced cardiorespiratory fitness (CF) in renal transplant recipients (RTR) have not been studied closely. This study evaluated the relationships between CF and specific cardiovascular risk factors (metabolic syndrome [MS], physical inactivity, myocardial ischemia, and atherosclerotic burden) in glucose-intolerant RTR. Data were recorded on 71 glucose-intolerant RTR (mean age 55 yr; 55% male; median transplant duration 5.7 yr). MS was defined using National Cholesterol Education Programme Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. Resting and exercise stress echocardiography were performed, and myocardial ischemia was identified by new or worsening wall motion abnormalities. Cardiorespiratory fitness was determined using peak oxygen uptake (VO(2)) by expired gas analysis. Atherosclerotic burden was assessed by carotid intima-media thickness (IMT). Mean peak VO(2) was 19 +/- 7 ml/kg per min and was significantly lower than predicted peak VO(2) (29 +/- 6 ml/kg per min; P < 0.001). Patients with MS (63%) had reduced CF (17 +/- 6 versus 22 +/- 8 ml/kg per min; P = 0.001) and were more likely to be physically inactive (76 versus 48%; P = 0.02). CF was reduced in 14 patients with myocardial ischemia (15 +/- 3 versus 20 +/- 7 ml/kg per min; P = 0.05). CF was positively correlated with male gender, height, and physical activity and inversely correlated with number of MS risk factors and IMT (adjusted R(2) = 0.66). Carotid IMT added incremental value to clinical variables in determining VO(2) (adjusted R(2) = 0.65 versus 0.63; P = 0.04). Reduced CF is associated with physical inactivity, MS, and atherosclerotic burden in glucose-intolerant RTR. Further studies should address whether increasing exercise and modifying MS risk factors improve CF in RTR.

Does uric acid have a pathogenetic role in graft dysfunction and hypertension in renal transplant recipients?

BACKGROUND: Uric acid (UA) may play a pathogenetic role in hypertension and kidney disease. We explored the prevalence of hyperuricemia and the relationship of UA to graft function and hypertension in prevalent renal transplant recipients (RTR). METHODS: Baseline and follow-up data were collected on 90 RTR (mean age 51 yrs, 53% male, median transplant duration 7 years). Graft function was estimated using MDRD Study Equation 7. RESULTS: At baseline, 70% RTR had hyperuricemia (UA >7.0 mg/dl (0.42 mmol/L) in men and >6.0 mg/dl (0.36 mmol/L) in women) compared to 80% after 2.2 years (P=0.06). UA was not associated with blood pressure (BP) level but was higher in RTR with a history of hypertension compared to those without (8.6+/-1.8 vs. 7.3+/-2.2 mg/dl, [0.51+/-0.11 vs. 0.43+/-0.13 mmol/L], P=0.003) and in RTR on > or =3 antihypertensive medications compared to those taking less (9.1+/-1.6 vs. 7.6+/-1.8 mg/dL, [0.54+/-0.1 vs. 0.45+/-0.11 mmol/L], P<0.001). A history of hypertension was independently predictive of UA (beta 0.06, [95% CI 0.02 to 0.10], P=0.007) in addition to sex, cyclosporine dose, prednisolone dose, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRMDRD) and beta-blocker therapy. UA was independently predictive of follow-up eGFRMDRD (beta -22.2 [95% CI -41.2 to -3.2], P=0.02) but did not predict change in eGFRMDRD over time. UA was independently associated with requirement for antihypertensive therapy (beta 0.34, [95% CI 1.05 to 1.90], P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Hyperuricemia is common in RTR and is associated with need for antihypertensive therapy and level of graft function.

Free fatty acids are associated with obesity, insulin resistance, and atherosclerosis in renal transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) may be implicated in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis in renal transplant recipients (RTRs) and be contributed to, in part, by free fatty acids (FFAs), produced in excess in centrally obese individuals. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of IR and the relationships between FFAs, central obesity, and atherosclerosis in a cohort of prevalent RTRs. METHODS: Observational data were collected on 85 RTRs (mean age 54 years; 49% male, 87% Caucasian). Fasting serum was analyzed for FFAs, glucose, and insulin; IR was calculated using the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA-IR) score. Vascular structure was assessed by carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) measurement. Linear regression analyses were performed to determine the factors associated with IR and atherosclerosis. RESULTS: IR occurred in 75% of RTRs, and FFA levels were independently associated with its occurrence (beta: -0.55, 95% CI: -1.02 to -0.07, P = 0.02). Other variables independently associated with IR were male sex, body mass index, central obesity, diabetes, systolic blood pressure and corticosteroid use. There was a significant correlation between FFA levels and IMT (r = 0.3, P=0.01). On multivariate analysis, IMT correlated with elevated FFA (beta: 0.07, 95% CI: 0.02-0.12, P = 0.007), diabetes mellitus (P = 0.05), older age (P < 0.002), and a body mass index >25 kg/m (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: FFAs are associated with the development of IR and may be involved in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis in RTRs. Additional studies are required to explore these associations further before considering whether an interventional trial aimed at lowering FFA would be a worthwhile undertaking.

Obesity is associated with worsening cardiovascular risk factor profiles and proteinuria progression in renal transplant recipients.

Obesity is associated with adverse cardiovascular (CV) parameters and may be involved in the pathogenesis of allograft dysfunction in renal transplant recipients (RTR). We sought the spectrum of body mass index (BMI) and the relationships between BMI, CV parameters and allograft function in prevalent RTR. Data were collected at baseline and 2 years on 90 RTR (mean age 51 years, 53% male, median transplant duration 7 years), categorized by BMI (normal, BMI < or = 24.9 kg/m2; pre-obese, BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2; obese, BMI > or = 30 kg/m2). Proteinuria and glomerular filtration rate (eGFR(MDRD)) were determined. Nine percent RTR were obese pre-transplantation compared to 30% at baseline (p < 0.001) and follow-up (25 +/- 2 months). As BMI increased, prevalence of metabolic syndrome and central obesity increased (12 vs 48 vs 85%, p < 0.001 and 3 vs 42 vs 96%, p < 0.001, respectively). Systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose and lipid parameters changed significantly with BMI category and over time. Proteinuria progression occurred in 65% obese RTR (23 (13-59 g/mol creatinine) to 59 (25-120 g/mol creatinine)). BMI was independently associated with proteinuria progression (beta 0.01, p = 0.008) but not with changing eGFR(MDRD.) In conclusion, obesity is common in RTR and is associated with worsening CV parameters and proteinuria progression.

Impact of obesity on renal transplant outcomes.

Obesity is a frequent and important consideration to be taken into account when assessing patient suitability for renal transplantation. In addition, posttransplant obesity continues to represent a significant challenge to health care professionals caring for renal transplant recipients. Despite the vast amount of evidence that exists on the effect of pretransplant obesity on renal transplant outcomes, there are still conflicting views regarding whether obese renal transplant recipients have a worse outcome, in terms of short- and long-term graft survival and patient survival, compared with their non-obese counterparts. It is well established that any association of obesity with reduced patient survival in renal transplant recipients is mediated in part by its clustering with traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as hypertension, dyslipidaemia, insulin resistance and posttransplant diabetes mellitus, but what is not understood is what mediates the association of obesity with graft failure. Whether it is the higher incidence of cardiovascular comorbidities jeopardising the graft or factors specific to obesity, such as hyperfiltration and glomerulopathy, that might be implicated, currently remains unknown. It can be concluded, however, that pre- and posttransplant obesity should be targeted as aggressively as the more well-established cardiovascular risk factors in order to optimize long-term renal transplant outcomes.

Derivation and validation of a disease-specific risk score for cardiac risk stratification in chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiac events (CE; cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and acute coronary syndrome) are the principal causes of death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We sought to devise and validate a cardiac risk score to risk-stratify patients with CKD. METHODS: Clinical history and biochemical data were obtained in 167 CKD patients. CE were recorded over a median follow-up of 22 months. The hazard ratio (HR) of each independent variable using Cox regression analysis was used to derive a cardiac risk score for the prediction of events. The cardiac risk score was then applied to a validation population of 99 CKD patients to confirm its validity in predicting CE. RESULTS: CE occurred in 20 patients in the derivation group. The independent predictors of CE were cardiac history (HR 9.83, P = 0.001), body mass index (BMI; HR 1.15, P = 0.002), dialysis duration (HR 1.24, P = 0.004) and serum phosphate (HR 4.29, P = 0.001). The resulting cardiac risk score (range 26-67) gave an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.86. CE occurred in 25 patients in the validation group; the ROC curve area was similar (0.84, P = 0.11). An optimal cardiac risk score cut-off of 50 assigned high risk to 29% of the derivation and 35% of the validation group (P = 0.26). CE occurred in 35 and 57% of the high-risk derivation and validation groups, respectively (P = 0.09), and in 2 and 8% of the low-risk groups (P = 0.15). CONCLUSION: Application of a cardiac risk score using cardiac history, dialysis duration, BMI and phosphate identifies CKD patients at risk of future CE.

Elevated white cell count at commencement of peritoneal dialysis predicts overall and cardiac mortality.

BACKGROUND: Higher total white blood cell counts (WCC) have been shown in the general population to be strongly and independently predictive of coronary heart disease and all-cause mortality. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of WCC in patients commencing peritoneal dialysis (PD). METHODS: A cohort of 323 patients (mean age 55.1 +/- 17.7 years, 54% male, 81% Caucasian) commencing PD at the Princess Alexandra Hospital between January 1, 1998 and March 31, 2003 were prospectively followed until death, completion of PD therapy, or otherwise to the end of the study (January 2, 2004), at which point data were censored. Individuals with failed renal transplants (N= 17) and those with acute infections at the time of PD onset (N= 12) were not included. A multivariate Cox's proportional hazards model was applied to calculate hazard ratios and adjusted survival curves for time to death or cardiac death, adjusting for baseline demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics. RESULTS: Median actuarial patient survival was 3.9 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.2-4.7 years]. The highest quartile of WCC (>9.4 x 10(9)/L) was significantly and independently associated with increased risks of both death from all causes [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.27, 95% CI 1.09-4.74, P < 0.05] and cardiac death (HR 3.75, 95% CI 1.2-11.8, P < 0.05). Other adverse risk factors included older age, lower serum albumin, and the presence of coronary artery disease. Similar associations were found between mortality and PMN count, but not lymphocyte count. CONCLUSION: Elevated baseline WCC or PMN count at the commencement of PD (in the absence of acute infection) strongly predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. These data suggest that new PD patients with higher WCC may warrant closer monitoring and extra attention to modifiable cardiovascular risk factors.