Thyroid Nodule Shape Independently Predicts Risk of Malignancy.

CONTEXT: Predictive models of thyroid nodule cancer risk are presently based upon nodule composition, echogenicity, margins, and the presence of microcalcifications. Nodule shape has shown promise to be an additive factor helping determine the need for nodule biopsy. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine if calculation of a nodule's spherical shape independently associates with cancer risk. METHODS: This prospective cohort study, conducted at a single large academic healthcare system in the United States, included patients with 1 or 2 clinically relevant thyroid nodules (predominantly solid and over 1 cm) presenting for diagnostic evaluation. Thyroid ultrasound, cytological evaluation with fine-needle biopsy, and/or histopathological examination on occasion of thyroid surgery were performed. We calculated the nodule's long to short ratio (spherical shape), and its association with tissue proven benign or malignant endpoints. RESULTS: The long to short nodule ratio was significantly lower in malignant compared to benign nodules indicating greater risk of malignancy in more spherical nodules (1.63 ±â€…0.38 for malignant nodules vs 1.74 ±â€…0.47 for benign, P < 0.0001). The risk of malignancy continually increased as the long to short ratio approached a purely spherical ratio of 1.0 (ratio > 2.00, 14.6% cancer; ratio 1.51-2.00, 19.7%; ratio 1.00-1.50, 25.5%, P < 0.0001). In multiple regression analysis, younger age, male sex, and nodule's spherical shape were each independently associated with cancer risk. CONCLUSION: The more a thyroid nodule is spherically shaped, as indicated by a long to short ratio approaching 1.0, the greater its risk of malignancy. This was independent of age, sex, and nodule size. Incorporating a nodule's sphericity in the risk stratification systems may improve individualized clinical decision making.

Interobserver Reliability of the Antenatal Consensus Classification System for Urinary Tract Dilatation.

OBJECTIVES: The consensus classification system for urinary tract dilatation (UTD) was designed to be more objective and reproducible than previously used systems. We sought to evaluate interobserver reliability of UTD components and overall scores in a prenatal population undergoing third-trimester ultrasound examinations. METHODS: We retrospectively identified patients who underwent antenatal ultrasound examinations for UTD between 28 and 40 weeks' gestation. All images from individual studies of 300 fetuses were reviewed independently by 5 experienced sonologists (1 maternal-fetal medicine specialist and 4 radiologists). Urinary tract dilatation scores (normal, A1, or A2/3) and Society for Fetal Urology (SFU) scores were assigned. Interobserver agreement between raters was evaluated with the Fleiss κ statistic. RESULTS: Overall interobserver agreement for the antenatal UTD risk score showed substantial agreement among all 5 readers (κ = 0.657 [95% confidence interval, 0.632, 0.683]; P < .001). All 5 readers applied the same UTD risk score in 53.7% of cases. Some variability in the antenatal UTD score and individual elements was observed. At least 2 UTD risk scores were assigned to a specific individual patient in 46.3% of cases (139 of 300), and all 3 UTD risk scores were assigned to a specific individual patient in 1.7% of cases (5 of 300). In 18.0% of cases (54 of 300), at least 2 readers assigned a UTD score different from that assigned by the other readers. Agreement was lowest for parenchymal appearance (κ = 0.225). Agreement for the SFU system was fair (κ = 0.368; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Interobserver agreement for the antenatal UTD grading system was substantial. Compared to the SFU system, the antenatal UTD system showed better agreement among readers.