Prospective Validation Of Heart Score For Suspected Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients.

BACKGROUND: The HEART score is reported to be a useful tool for the assessment of suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients, however, data regarding its validity in our population is scarce. Therefore, aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic utility of the HEART score to predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) within 6 weeks in patients presenting to emergency department with chest pain. METHODS: This prospective observational study included suspected ACS patients presented with chest pain to the emergency department of a tertiary care cardiac center. Inclusion criteria for the study were consecutive adult patients with suspected ACS, patients with definite diagnosis of ACS based on history, electrocardiography (ECG), and cardiac enzymes were excluded from the study. HEART score was calculated and patients with ≥7 score were also excluded. MACE over the 6-weeks after discharge were observed. RESULTS: Total of 281 patients were included in this analysis, 191 (68%) were male and mean age was 52.58±10.63 years. Mean HEART score was calculated to be 4.27±1.06 with 70.8% (199) in moderate risk [4-6]. Area under the curve of HEART score for the prediction of 6-weeks MACE was 0.874 [0.827-0.920] with MACE rate of 31.7% vs. 0% for low- and moderate-risk group respectively. CONCLUSIONS: HEART score showed good discriminating power for the prediction of 6-weeks MACE. Risk of MACE for the patients with HEART score of 0-3 is very low and such patients can be discharged from ER without extensive cardiac workup with proper follow-up planned.

Prognostic value of GRACE score for in-hospital and 6 months outcomes after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score for predicting in-hospital and 6 months mortality after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). RESULTS: In this observational study, 300 patients with NSTE-ACS of age more than 30 years were included; 16 patients died during the hospital stay (5.3%). Of 284 patients at 6 months assessment, 10 patients died (3.5%), 240 survived (84.5%), and 34 were lost to follow-up (12%) respectively. In high risk category, 10.5% of the patients died within hospital stay and 11.8% died within 6 months (p = 0.001 and p = 0.013). In univariate analysis, gender, diabetes mellitus, family history, smoking, and GRACE score were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality whereas age, obesity, dyslipidemia, and GRACE were significantly associated with 6 months mortality. After adjustment, diabetes mellitus, family history, and GRACE score remained significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (p ≤ 0.05) and age remained significantly associated with 6 months mortality. CONCLUSION: GRACE risk score has good predictive value for the prediction of in-hospital mortality and 6 months mortality among patients with NSTE-ACS.

Validity of TIMI Score for Predicting 14-Day Mortality of Non-ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients.

Background Accurate management of non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients can be achieved by stratifying risks as early as possible on hospital admission. Previously, the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score has been validated and used on patients presenting with NSTEMI or unstable angina (UA) in developed countries. The aim of this study was to assess the validity of the TIMI risk score in patients presenting with NSTEMI in Pakistan. Methods This cross-sectional study was undertaken on 300 patients who were diagnosed with NSTEMI. Data were collected from medical records, the TIMI score was calculated, and 14-day outcome was recorded. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed, and area under the curve (AUC) along with 95% confidence interval (CI) was reported. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed and odds ratio (OR) along with 95% CI was reported. Results This cross-sectional study was undertaken on 300 patients who were diagnosed with NSTEMI. Data were collected from medical records, the TIMI score was calculated, and 14-day outcome was recorded. Validity of TIMI score in predicting hospital mortality 14 days after the diagnosis of NSTEMI in a population in Pakistan was assessed by ROC curve and logistic regression analysis. The AUC of the TIMI score for predicting 14-day outcome was 0.788 [95% CI: 0.689-0.887], with optimal cutoff of ≥4 with sensitivity of 77.78%. On multivariate analysis, cardiac arrest at presentation and the TIMI risk score were found to be independent predictors of 14-day mortality with adjusted ORs of 136.49 [10.23-1821.27] and 2.67 [1.09-6.57], respectively. Conclusions The TIMI risk score is a useful and simple score for the stratification of patients with high risk of 14-day mortality with reasonably acceptable discriminating ability in patients with NSTEMI acute coronary syndrome.