Delayed diagnosis of tuberculosis: risk factors and effect on mortality among older adults in Hong Kong.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk factors and effects of delayed diagnosis on tuberculosis (TB) mortality in Hong Kong. METHODS: All consecutive patients with TB notified in 2010 were tracked through their clinical records for treatment outcome until 2012. All TB cases notified or confirmed after death were identified for a mortality survey on the timing and causes of death. RESULTS: Of 5092 TB cases notified, 1061 (20.9%) died within 2 years of notification; 211 (4.1%) patients died before notification, 683 (13.4%) died within the first year, and 167 (3.3%) died within the second year after notification. Among the 211 cases with TB notified after death, only 30 were certified to have died from TB. However, 52 (24.6%) died from unspecified pneumonia/sepsis possibly related to pulmonary TB. If these cases are counted, the total TB-related deaths increases from 191 to 243. In 82 (33.7%) of these, TB was notified after death. Over 60% of cases in which TB diagnosed after death involved patients aged ≥80 years and a similar proportion had an advance care directive against resuscitation or investigation. Independent factors for TB notified after death included female sex, living in an old age home, drug abuse, malignancy other than lung cancer, sputum TB smear negative, sputum TB culture positive, and chest X-ray not done. CONCLUSIONS: High mortality was observed among patients with TB aged ≥80 years. Increased vigilance is warranted to avoid delayed diagnosis and reduce the transmission risk, especially among elderly patients with co-morbidities living in old age homes.

TB surveillance in correctional institutions in Hong Kong, 1999-2005.

OBJECTIVE: To understand the epidemiology of tuberculosis (TB) inside the prison system of Hong Kong. METHOD: Prospective territory-wide TB surveillance was conducted among prisoners in 24 correctional institutions. RESULTS: From 1999 to 2005, 622 prevalent TB cases diagnosed before or within 3 months of incarceration and 214 incident cases diagnosed after 3 months were reported by prison staff to a paper-based central prison TB registry. Both crude prevalence and incidence were falling (chi(2) for trend, both P < 0.001), despite a higher sex- and age-adjusted prison TB incidence as compared to the general population (indirectly standardised rate [ISR] 280.6 vs. 108.0/100000, P < 0.001). Illegal immigrants (odds ratio [OR] 3.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.8-7.4) and drug addicts (OR 2.04, 95%CI 1.13-3.7) were two major risk groups. The TB incident risk disappeared after their exclusion (ISR 117.1 vs. 108.0/100000, P = 0.52). No significant difference in the multidrug-resistant rate was found when comparing the group with the general population (3.5% vs. 1.0%, OR 3.6, 95%CI 0.5-28.4). No extensively drug-resistant (XDR) cases were identified. CONCLUSION: TB remains a significant disease in local prisons. Further strengthening of TB control programmes in prisons, especially targeting the higher risk groups, is recommended.

Chest radiograph screening for tuberculosis in a Hong Kong prison.

SETTING: Long-stay prisoners are not regularly screened for TB in Hong Kong. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate tuberculosis (TB) screening in prison. METHOD: All prisoners in a maximum security prison as of 31 October 2001 were screened by chest radiograph (CXR), except for those being followed up for TB or examined by CXR in the last 6 months. RESULTS: A total of 814 male prisoners aged 34.6 +/- 9.6 (mean +/- SD) years were successfully screened. Of 53 cases (6.51%) with radiographic abnormalities, 10 active TB cases (8 culture-negative, 2 culture-positive) were diagnosed, giving an overall yield of 1.23% (95%CI 0.59-2.26). There was no statistical difference in age, ethnicity, place of birth or residency status between those with and those without TB (all P > 0.05). Incarceration > or = 2 years, being in current prison > or = 2 years and not having CXR in last 2 years were associated with TB in univariate analysis (all P < 0.05), but only the last remained an independent predictor in multiple logistic regression (OR 16.8, 95%CI 2.1-132.9, P = 0.008). In that group, the yield was 3.1% (95%CI 1.42-5.89). No further cases were detected in the subsequent 2 years. CONCLUSION: CXR screening of long-stay prisoners gave a high yield in this study.

Tuberculin response in BCG vaccinated schoolchildren and the estimation of annual risk of infection in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: In Hong Kong there has been nearly universal neonatal BCG vaccination coverage since 1980. METHOD: 21 113 schoolchildren aged 6-9 years were skin tested with one unit of tuberculin (PPD RT-23) using the intradermal technique during a routine BCG revaccination programme. Information on sex, date of birth, date of tuberculin testing, and tuberculin reaction size at 72 hours was retrieved. The annual risk of tuberculous infection (ARTI) was estimated by three different approaches. RESULTS: Significantly higher tuberculin positive rates were found in girls and with increasing age at all commonly used cut-off points (5, 10, and 15 mm). Using a cut-off point of > or =10 mm and the formula 1- (1 - tuberculin positive rate)(1/age), the ARTI was estimated to be 1.93% (95% CI 1.84 to 2.03) for girls and 1.41% (95% CI 1.33 to 1.50) for boys. Using the differences in the tuberculin positive rate between the 6-7 year and 8-9 year age groups, the ARTI became 1.90% (95% CI 1.09 to 2.70) and 1.84% (95% CI 1.15 to 2.54) for girls and boys, respectively. When the prevalence of infection was estimated by locating a secondary peak of the tuberculin reaction distribution curve at 15 mm and assuming a symmetrical distribution of reaction sizes among those infected around this peak, the corresponding ARTI was much lower at 0.52% (95% CI 0.46 to 0.59) and 0.43% (95% CI 0.37 to 0.49) for girls and boys, similar to that estimated indirectly from the prevalence of disease. CONCLUSION: The ARTI as estimated by conventional methods was unexpectedly high among BCG vaccinated children and did not agree with that anticipated from the annual incidence of active disease. Further studies are needed to address the discrepancies, including the possible interaction between BCG and other environmental stimuli.

Socio-economic factors and tuberculosis: a district-based ecological analysis in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: Relatively little is known about the impact of socio-economic factors on tuberculosis in a metropolitan city with high disease incidence. METHOD: District-specific tuberculosis notification rates for 1995--1997 and 2000--2002 were indirectly sex- and age-adjusted and compared with the socio-economic characteristics in the 1996 by-census and 2001 census. RESULTS: The differences between the 18 districts persisted after 3-year averaging and indirect standardisation. Only the percentage of population born locally, the percentage of the population widowed or divorced and the percentage of households residing in rooms or bedsits were consistently associated with the standardised notification ratios (SNR) for both periods, the first being negatively so (all P < 0.05). In a combined analysis with a general linear model for both periods, birth in China, residence <7 years, speaking other Asian languages, being married and in a single household were also significantly associated with the SNR (all P < 0.05). Using a backward conditional approach, only local birth, being married, and residing in rooms or bedsits were independent predictors of SNR (all P < 0.05). There was no significant association between SNR and socio-economic indices on education, occupation, unemployment and income. CONCLUSION: Socio-economic factors other than simple poverty are affecting the district-specific tuberculosis rates in Hong Kong.