Timing decisions as the next frontier for collective intelligence.

The past decade has witnessed a growing interest in collective decision making, particularly the idea that groups can make more accurate decisions compared with individuals. However, nearly all research to date has focused on spatial decisions (e.g., food patches). Here, we highlight the equally important, but severely understudied, realm of temporal collective decision making (i.e., decisions about when to perform an action). We illustrate differences between temporal and spatial decisions, including the irreversibility of time, cost asymmetries, the speed-accuracy tradeoff, and game theoretic dynamics. Given these fundamental differences, temporal collective decision making likely requires different mechanisms to generate collective intelligence. Research focused on temporal decisions should lead to an expanded understanding of the adaptiveness and constraints of living in groups.

Persistent Correlation in Cellular Noise Determines Longevity of Viral Infections.

The slowly decaying viral dynamics, even after 2-3 weeks from diagnosis, is one of the characteristics of COVID-19 infection that is still unexplored in theoretical and experimental studies. This long-lived characteristic of viral infections in the framework of inherent variations or noise present at the cellular level is often overlooked. Therefore, in this work, we aim to understand the effect of these variations by proposing a stochastic non-Markovian model that not only captures the coupled dynamics between the immune cells and the virus but also enables the study of the effect of fluctuations. Numerical simulations of our model reveal that the long-range temporal correlations in fluctuations dictate the long-lived dynamics of a viral infection and, in turn, also affect the rates of immune response. Furthermore, predictions of our model system are in agreement with the experimental viral load data of COVID-19 patients from various countries.