Survival of HIV-infected patients after starting tuberculosis treatment: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the probability of survival and to evaluate risk factors for death in a cohort of persons living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) who had started tuberculosis (TB) treatment. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted between June 2007 and December 2009 with HIV-infected patients who had started anti-tuberculosis treatment in the State of Pernambuco, Brazil. Survival data were analysed using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, the log-rank test and the Cox model. Hazard ratios and their respective 95%CIs were estimated. RESULTS: Of a cohort of 2310 HIV-positive individuals, 333 patients who had commenced treatment for TB were analysed. The mortality rate was 5.25 per 10,000 person-years (95%CI 4.15-6.63). The probability of survival at 30 months was 74%. Risk factors for death in the study population were being female, age ≥30 years, having anaemia, not using highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) during treatment for TB and disseminated TB. Protective factors for death were a CD4 lymphocyte count >200 cells/mm(3) and treatment for TB having started in an out-patient clinic. CONCLUSIONS: The use of HAART can prevent deaths among HIV-TB patients, corroborating the efficacy of starting HAART early in individuals with TB.

[Dynamic models and social networks: a review and reflections on their contribution to understanding the HIV epidemic]. / Modelos dinâmicos e redes sociais: revisão e reflexões a respeito de sua contribuição para o entendimento da epidemia do HIV.

Due to certain specificities in the HIV epidemic, its spread has escaped the random transmission pattern of other infectious diseases. Observation of the epidemic has shown that individual behavior - relational patterns among individuals - plays a crucial role in HIV transmission and that strategies to prevent the epidemic's spread should take this factor into account in order to foster efficient allocation of existing resources. Mathematical and statistical models applying the behavioral approach to the epidemic have estimated interactions between groups whose characteristics and behaviors varied. However, such models have been more "post-dictive" than predictive, due to the inadequate representation of social structures in populations through which infectious agents spread. The social network methodology thus came to be applied to the approach to the HIV epidemic. This article discusses alternatives for the application of this methodology to the Brazilian epidemic, considering that sociometric risk networks structure the flow of infectious agents in communities, creating unique opportunities to interrupt their spread.

A magnitude da epidemia da aids e reconstrução da curva epidêmica do HIV no Brasil, 1982-1998

Avalia e aplica métodos estatísticos aos dados do Sistema de Vigilância da aids no Brasil. É composta de quatro artigos: o primeiro apresenta casos notificados até o primeiro semestre de 1996; o segundo compara estimativas por categoria de exposição; o terceiro desenvolve um modelo não estacionário e o quarto métodos de cálculo retroativo

[Use of digitalis in elderly patients admitted to a geriatric unit at a general hospital]. / Uso de digital em idosos admitidos em unidade de geriatria de um hospital geral.

PURPOSE: To determine the prevalence of digoxin use as well as its indications in elderly patients at the time of admission to a geriatric unit of a general hospital. METHODS: One hundred and thirty elderly patients aged 65 and over (mean age = 80 +/- 9 years), 100 women and 30 men were consecutively investigated. Each patient was submitted to a thorough clinical investigation, laboratory work-up, chest X-ray, electrocardiogram and doppler echocardiogram. The use of digoxin was considered appropriate, questionable or inappropriate. RESULTS: At the time of admission to the geriatric unit 27.6% of the patients were receiving digoxin. The indication was considered appropriate in 36.1%, questionable in 11.1% and inappropriate in 52.7%. CONCLUSION: We found a high prevalence of digoxin use in elderly patients admitted to a geriatric unit of a general hospital. In most cases its indications were considered inappropriate or questionable. Due to the increased risk of digitalis intoxication in this age group the drug should be prescribed under more strict indications.

Vitamin B12 deficiency and dementia.

We set out to investigate the possible beneficial effects on cognitive function of demented patients with cobalamin deficiency after cobalamin replacement. A total of 181 consecutive, demented (DSM-III or DSM-III-R criteria and score below 24 on the Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE]) outpatients (mean age 77.5 years) were prospectively evaluated and had their vitamin B12 level measured by radioimmunoassay. The frequency of vitamin B12 deficiency (less than 200 pg/mliter) was 25% (46 patients). Treatment outcome was obtained in 19 patients (19 of 46). Despite cobalamin replacement, 16 of 19 patients persisted in showing progressive decline during follow-up visits (3 to 24 months). The nonresponse to vitamin B12 replacement in most cases seems to reflect the presence of associated irreversible dementia or a follow-up of shorter duration in a few patients. All of the patients who showed some improvement (MMSE returned to normal values) had mild dementia with a history of less than 2 years. Thus, screening for B12 deficiency should be considered in patients with recent onset of mild mental status changes.

Indirect immunofluorescence determination of the frequency of anti-H. pylori antibodies in Brazilian blood donors.

1. The accuracy of an indirect immunofluorescence (IIF) test for the serodiagnosis of Helicobacter pylori infection was evaluated in adult patients and compared with culture, preformed urease test and smears stained with carbolfuchsin. 2. We studied 80 consecutive patients submitted to gastroduodenoscopy (17 of whom were found to have duodenal ulcer) plus 57 patients with duodenal ulcer. 3. H. pylori was identified by microbiological methods in 65 of the 80 consecutive patients and in all 57 patients with duodenal ulcer. 4. Among the 74 patients with duodenal ulcer, 71 presented antibody titers > or = 1:20 and 46 of the 48 H. pylori-positive patients without duodenal ulcer presented antibody titers > or = 1:20. 5. Thirteen of the 15 H. pylori-negative patients presented antibody titers < or = 1:10. 6. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of the IIF test were 95.9%, 88.8% and 98.4%, respectively. 7. The seroprevalence of H. pylori in 380 asymptomatic Brazilian blood donors was also studied by the IIF test. The presence of IgG antibodies against H. pylori was observed in 62.1% of the individuals. The prevalence of H. pylori infection increased with age and no difference was observed between males (60.3%) and females (66.6%).

Indirect immunofluorescence determination of the frequency of anti-H. pylori antibodies in brazilian blood donors

The accuracy of an indirect immunofluorescence (IIF) test for the serodiagnosis of Helicobacter pylori infections was evaluated in adult patients and compared with culture, preformed urease test and smears stained with carbolfuchsin. We studied 80 consecutive patients submitted to gastroduodenioscopy (17 of whom were found to have duodenal ulcer) plus 57 patients with duodenal ulcer. H. pylori was identified by microbiological mehtods in 65 of the 80 consecutive patients and in all 57 patients with duodenal ulcer. Among the 74 patients with duodenal ulcer, 71 presented antibody titers *1:20 and 46 of the 48 H. pylori-positive patients without duodenal ulcer presented antibody titers *1:20. Thirteen of the 15 H. pylori-negative patients presented antibody titers *1:10. The sensitivity,m specificity and positive predictive value of the IIF test were 95.9%, 88.8% and 98.4%, respectively. The seroprevalence of H. pylori in 380 asymptomatic Brazilian was also studied by the IIF teset. The presence of IgG antibodies against H. pylori was observed in 62.1% of the individuals. The prevalence of H. pylori infection increased with age and no difference was observed between males (60.3%) and females (66.6%)

[Tobacco use by students in the 1st and 2d grades in 10 Brazilian capitals: possible contributions of multivariate statistics to the understanding of the phenomenon]. / O uso de tabaco por estudantes de primeiro e segundo graus em dez capitais brasileiras: possíveis contribuições da estatística multivariada para a compreensão do fenômeno.

The use of tobacco among school children in ten Brazilian cities, by means of statistical techniques such as bivariate and multivariate analysis (Logit Model), was analyzed. Bivariate analysis revealed a positive association between the use of tobacco and the school child's non-academic occupation, evening course attendance, poor school performance, and parents' smoking habits. Multivariate techniques and the Logit Model showed that poor school performance (on the evening course) and parents' smoking habits (on the day-time course) were most significant variables. The importance of the utilization of multivariate technics for the real understanding of the various factors involved in complex behavior patterns such as the use of tobacco, alcohol and drugs, was discussed.