Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy.

Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the ecosystem services that it  provides1,2. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as reversing the declining trends in biodiversity3; however, just feeding the growing human population will make this a challenge4. Here we use an ensemble of land-use and biodiversity models to assess whether-and how-humanity can reverse the declines in terrestrial biodiversity caused by habitat conversion, which is a major threat to biodiversity5. We show that immediate efforts, consistent with the broader sustainability agenda but of unprecedented ambition and coordination, could enable the provision of food for the growing human population while reversing the global terrestrial biodiversity trends caused by habitat conversion. If we decide to increase the extent of land under conservation management, restore degraded land and generalize landscape-level conservation planning, biodiversity trends from habitat conversion could become positive by the mid-twenty-first century on average across models (confidence interval, 2042-2061), but this was not the case for all models. Food prices could increase and, on average across models, almost half (confidence interval, 34-50%) of the future biodiversity losses could not be avoided. However, additionally tackling the drivers of land-use change could avoid conflict with affordable food provision and reduces the environmental effects of the food-provision system. Through further sustainable intensification and trade, reduced food waste and more plant-based human diets, more than two thirds of future biodiversity losses are avoided and the biodiversity trends from habitat conversion are reversed by 2050 for almost all of the models. Although limiting further loss will remain challenging in several biodiversity-rich regions, and other threats-such as climate change-must be addressed to truly reverse the declines in biodiversity, our results show that ambitious conservation efforts and food system transformation are central to an effective post-2020 biodiversity strategy.

Incidence and predictors of pacemaker reprogramming: potential consequences for remote follow-up.

AIMS: Remote follow-up (FU) enables to cope with the expanding number of pacemaker (PM) FU. Although remote FU offers comparable monitoring options to in-office FU, reprogramming of device settings is not available, thereby imposing a potentially important restriction to the applicability of remote FU.  The aim of this study was to assess in a large cohort of bradycardia PM recipients, the incidence of PM reprogramming during long-term FU and its predictors, to judge the possibilities for remote FU. METHODS AND RESULTS: Between 2003 and 2010 all in-office FU of 1517 bradycardia PM recipients included in the FOLLOWPACE study were recorded. Only 24.5% of all 13 258 recorded FU visits >3 months after implantation were visits-with-reprogramming (VWRs), occurring in 1158 patients (79%). Fifty percent of patients were free of reprogramming at 9 months, and 29% at 24 months. Using multivariable binary logistic regression analysis, the following patient characteristics were predictive for frequent PM reprogramming, defined as >3 VWRs during 3 year FU: age, a history of atrial arrhythmias, PM complication <3 months after implantation, congestive heart failure, PM indication, and lead fixation method. This model had a receiver operating characteristic area of 0.66 (95% confidence interval 0.61-0.71). CONCLUSION: This study observed a low proportion of VWR (∼25%) during a mean FU of 5.3 years; however, those patients at high risk for PM reprogramming cannot easily be predicted. The vast majority of patients (>80%) do not need frequent reprogramming, suggesting a potential benefit of using remote FU to reduce the number of unnecessary in-office visits.

Risk factors contributing to microbiological contamination of shallow groundwater in Kampala, Uganda.

A study of water quality variation in shallow protected springs in Kampala was undertaken over a 12-month period to assess the causes of microbiological contamination. The microbiological quality of water was assessed using thermotolerant coliforms and faecal streptococci. Sanitary inspections and hazard assessments were undertaken to identify faecal sources (hazards), contaminant pathways and contributory factors. Data were collected on rainfall and population as additional factors potentially exerting an influence on microbiological quality. Initial analysis of the data showed a significant relationship between median level of contamination and rainfall, in particular to short-term rainfall events. Total sanitary risk score showed a significant relationship with median level of contamination, but population density may be a confounding factor. The raw microbiological data were transformed into five water quality targets: <1 and < or =10 cfu 100ml(-1) for faecal streptococci; and <1, < or =10 and < or=50 cfu 100 ml(-1) for thermotolerant coliforms. The presence of individual risk factors as well as variables for rainfall and population density were analysed with respect to failure to meet these water quality targets using contingency tables. Logistic regression models were developed for each of the five water quality targets. The analysis strongly suggested that there is rapid recharge of the springs after rainfall and this leads to microbiological contamination. On-site sanitation was less important than other sources of faecal matter, which was consistent with a low sanitation coverage in the study area. The study suggested that improving sanitary completion and local environmental hygiene was more important than controlling on-site sanitation in improving the quality of these springs.

Microbial contamination of two urban sandstone aquifers in the UK.

Development of urban groundwater has historically been constrained by concerns about its quality. Rising urban water tables and overabstraction from rural aquifers in the UK have led to a renewed interest in urban groundwater, particularly the possibility of finding water of acceptable quality at depth. This study assessed the microbial quality of groundwater collected from depth-specific intervals over a 15-month period within the Permo-Triassic Sherwood Sandstone aquifers underlying the cities of Nottingham and Birmingham. Sewage-derived bacteria (thermotolerant coliforms, faecal streptococci and sulphite-reducing clostridia) and viruses (enteroviruses, Norwalk-like viruses, coliphage) were regularly detected to depths of 60 m in the unconfined sandstone and to a depth of 91 m in the confined sandstone. Microbial concentrations varied temporally and spatially but increased frequency of contamination with depth coincided with geological heterogeneities such as fissures and mudstone bands. Significantly, detection of Norwalk-like viruses and Coxsackievirus B4 in groundwater corresponded with seasonal variations in virus discharge to the sewer system. The observation of low levels of sewage-derived microbial contaminants at depth in the Triassic Sandstone aquifer is explained by the movement of infinitesimal proportions of bulk (macroscopic) groundwater flow along preferential pathways (e.g., fissures, bedding planes). The existence of very high microbial populations at source (raw sewage) and their extremely low detection limits at the receptor (multilevel piezometer) enable these statistically extreme (microscopic) flows to be traced. Rapid penetration of microbial contaminants into sandstone aquifers, not previously reported, highlights the vulnerability of sandstone aquifers to microbial contamination.

Elevated mucosal addressin cell adhesion molecule-1 expression in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome is maintained during antiretroviral therapy by intestinal pathogens and coincides with increased duodenal CD4 T cell densities.

Reduced intestinal CD4 T cell numbers and gastrointestinal disease are common features of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). Duodenal lymphocyte densities and mucosal addressin cell adhesion molecule (MAdCAM)-1 expression were analyzed in patients with AIDS after highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Compared with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-seronegative individuals, HAART-naive patients with AIDS displayed reduced duodenal CD4 T cell densities. After HAART, AIDS patients with opportunistic intestinal pathogens displayed greater increases in duodenal lamina propria (LP) CD4 T cell densities than patients without such infections. Duodenal MAdCAM-1 expression was elevated in all HAART-naive patients with AIDS but remained elevated only in the intestinal pathogen group after HAART. The data suggest that, in HIV-1 infection, lymphocyte migration to the intestine may be promoted by increased MAdCAM-1 expression. After HAART, opportunistic intestinal pathogens maintain elevated MAdCAM-1 expression, which results in prominent increases in LP CD4 T cell densities in the absence of HIV-mediated CD4 T cell destruction.