Prediction of mortality in Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection using quick Pitt bacteremia score.

OBJECTIVES: The quick Pitt bacteremia score (qPitt) predicts mortality in patients with serious infections due to gram-negative bacteria. This retrospective cohort study examines utility of qPitt to predict mortality in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection (SAB). METHODS: Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine risk factors for 28-day mortality in hospitalized adults with SAB at four Prisma Health hospitals in South Carolina, USA from January 2015 to December 2017. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to examine model discrimination. RESULTS: Among 692 patients with SAB, 305 (44%) had methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA), and 129 (19%) died within 28 days. After adjustment for age, comorbidities, and MRSA, each component of the qPitt was associated with 28-day mortality. There was a 3-fold increase in the risk of 28-day mortality for each one-point increase in qPitt. Predicted 28-day mortality was 3%, 9%, 22%, 45%, and 70% for qPitt of 0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4, respectively. AUROC of the qPitt in predicting 28-day, 14-day, and in-hospital mortality were 0.80, 0.81, and 0.80, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The qPitt predicts mortality with good discrimination in SAB. These results support using qPitt as a measure of acute severity of illness in future studies.

Derivation of a quick Pitt bacteremia score to predict mortality in patients with Gram-negative bloodstream infection.

PURPOSE: This retrospective cohort study derived a "quick" version of the Pitt bacteremia score (qPitt) using binary variables in patients with Gram-negative bloodstream infections (BSI). The qPitt discrimination was then compared to quick sepsis-related organ failure assessment (qSOFA) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). METHODS: Hospitalized adults with Gram-negative BSI at Palmetto Health hospitals in Columbia, SC, USA from 2010 to 2013 were identified. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine variables associated with 14-day mortality. RESULTS: Among 832 patients with Gram-negative BSI, median age was 65 years and 449 (54%) were women. After adjustments for age and Charleston comorbidity score, all five components of qPitt were independently associated with mortality: temperature < 36 °C [hazard ratio (HR) 3.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.95-4.62], systolic blood pressure < 90 mmHg or vasopressor use (HR 2.40, 95% CI 1.37-4.13), respiratory rate ≥ 25/min or mechanical ventilation (HR 3.01, 95% CI 1.81-5.14), cardiac arrest (HR 5.35, 95% CI 2.81-9.43), and altered mental status (HR 3.99, 95% CI 2.44-6.80). The qPitt had higher discrimination to predict mortality [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.85] than both qSOFA (AUROC 0.77, p < 0.001) and SIRS (AUROC 0.63, p < 0.001). There was a significant difference in mortality between appropriate and inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy in patients with qPitt ≥ 2 (24% vs. 49%, p < 0.001), but not in those with qPitt < 2 (3% vs. 5%, p = 0.36). CONCLUSIONS: The qPitt had good discrimination in predicting mortality following Gram-negative BSI and identifying opportunities for improved survival with appropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy.

Association between inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy and hospital length of stay in Gram-negative bloodstream infections: stratification by prognosis.

OBJECTIVES: The potential benefit from appropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy in patients with favourable prognosis at initial presentation with Gram-negative bloodstream infection (BSI) remains unclear. This retrospective cohort study examined the impact of inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy on hospital length of stay (HLOS) following Gram-negative BSI after stratification by predicted prognosis using the BSI mortality risk score (BSIMRS). METHODS: Hospitalized adults with first episodes of Gram-negative BSI from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2013 at Palmetto Health Hospitals in Columbia, SC, USA were identified. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy and HLOS overall and within each predefined BSIMRS category (<5 and ≥5). RESULTS: Among 830 unique patients with Gram-negative BSI, 469 and 361 had BSIMRS <5 and ≥5, respectively. Overall, the median age was 65 years, 448 (54%) were women, Escherichia coli (444; 53%) was the most common bloodstream isolate and 444 (53%) had a urinary source of infection. After adjustments in the multivariate model, BSIMRS (HR = 1.14 per point, 95% CI = 1.11-1.17, P < 0.001) and inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy (HR = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.07-1.91, P = 0.01) were independently associated with increased risk of remaining hospitalized following Gram-negative BSI. Median HLOS with appropriate and inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy was 7 and 10 days, respectively, in patients with BSIMRS <5 (P = 0.03) and 13 and 17 days, respectively, in those with BSIMRS ≥5 (P = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Inappropriate empirical antimicrobial therapy is associated with prolonged HLOS following Gram-negative BSI in patients with both good and guarded prognosis.