Nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate oxidase in pancreatic diseases: Mechanisms and future perspectives.

Pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer (PC) stand as the most worrisome ailments affecting the pancreas. Researchers have dedicated efforts to unraveling the mechanisms underlying these diseases, yet their true nature continues to elude their grasp. Within this realm, oxidative stress is often believed to play a causal and contributory role in the development of pancreatitis and PC. Excessive accumulation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) can cause oxidative stress, and the key enzyme responsible for inducing ROS production in cells is nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate hydrogen oxides (NOX). NOX contribute to pancreatic fibrosis and inflammation by generating ROS that injure acinar cells, activate pancreatic stellate cells, and mediate macrophage polarization. Excessive ROS production occurs during malignant transformation and pancreatic carcinogenesis, creating an oxidative microenvironment that can cause abnormal apoptosis, epithelial to mesenchymal transition and genomic instability. Therefore, understanding the role of NOX in pancreatic diseases contributes to a more in-depth exploration of the exact pathogenesis of these diseases. In this review, we aim to summarize the potential roles of NOX and its mechanism in pancreatic disorders, aiming to provide novel insights into understanding the mechanisms underlying these diseases.

Per-oral endoscopic myotomy is safe and effective for pediatric patients with achalasia: A long-term follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Per-oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) is emerging as a prefer treatment option for pediatric achalasia. However, data are limited on the long-term efficacy of POEM in children and adolescents with achalasia. AIM: To evaluate the safety and long-term efficacy of POEM for pediatric patients with achalasia and compare those outcomes with adult patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted in patients with achalasia who underwent POEM. Patients aged under 18 years were included in the pediatric group; patients aged between 18 to 65 years who underwent POEM in the same period were assigned to the control group. For investigation of long-term follow-up, the pediatric group were matched with patients from the control group in a 1:1 ratio. The procedure-related parameters, adverse events, clinical success, gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) after POEM, and quality of life (QoL) were evaluated. RESULTS: From January 2012 to March 2020, POEM was performed in 1025 patients aged under 65 years old (48 in the pediatric group, 1025 in the control group). No significant differences were observed in the occurrence of POEM complications between the two groups (14.6% vs 14.6%; P = 0.99). Among the 34 pediatric patients (70.8%) who underwent follow-up for 5.7 years (range 2.6-10.6 years), clinical success was achieved in 35 patients (35/36; 97.2%). No differences were observed in post-POEM GERD occurrence (17.6% vs 35.3%; P = 0.10). QoL was significantly improved in both groups after POEM. CONCLUSION: POEM is safe and effective for pediatric patients with achalasia. It can achieve significant symptoms relief and improve QoL.

A modified exposed endoscopic full-thickness resection: Traction-assisted resection while defect closing.

OBJECTIVES: Exposed endoscopic full-thickness resection (Eo-EFTR) has proven effective and economical for patients with gastric submucosal tumors (SMTs), showing great prospects. However, the poor operative field of view, the risk of tumors falling into the peritoneal cavity, especially the difficulties in defect closure, have limited its widespread application. Herein, we described a modified traction-assisted Eo-EFTR technique aimed at simplifying both the dissection and defect closure procedures. METHODS: Nineteen patients who underwent the modified Eo-EFTR for gastric SMTs in the Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital were enrolled in the study. Following a 2/3 circumferential full-thickness incision, a clip with dental floss was anchored to the resected part of the tumor surface. With the dental floss traction, the gastric defect was reshaped into a V shape, which facilitated the deployment of clips to close the defect. The defect closure and tumor dissection procedures were then performed alternately. Patients' demographics, tumor characteristics, and therapeutic outcomes were evaluated retrospectively. RESULTS: All tumors had an R0 resection. The median procedure time was 43 min (range 28-89 min). No severe perioperative adverse events occurred. Two patients experienced transient fever, and three patients complained of mild abdominal pain on the first day after the operation. All patients recovered on the next day with conservative management. No residual lesion or recurrence was reported during the follow-up period of 30.1 months. CONCLUSION: The safety and practicability of the modified technique might allow for wide clinical applications of Eo-EFTR in gastric SMTs.

Linked color imaging vs Lugol chromoendoscopy for esophageal squamous cell cancer and precancerous lesion screening: A noninferiority study.

BACKGROUND: Lugol chromoendoscopy (LCE) has served as a standard screening technique in high-risk patients with esophageal cancer. Nevertheless, LCE is not suitable for general population screening given its side effects. Linked color imaging (LCI) is a novel image-enhanced endoscopic technique that can distinguish subtle diff-erences in mucosal color. AIM: To compare the diagnostic performance of LCI with LCE in detecting esophageal squamous cell cancer and precancerous lesions and to evaluate whether LCE can be replaced by LCI in detecting esophageal neoplastic lesions. METHODS: In this prospective study, we enrolled 543 patients who underwent white light imaging (WLI), LCI and LCE successively. We compared the sensitivity and specificity of LCI and LCE in the detection of esophageal neoplastic lesions. Clinicopathological features and color analysis of lesions were assessed. RESULTS: In total, 43 patients (45 neoplastic lesions) were analyzed. Among them, 36 patients (38 neoplastic lesions) were diagnosed with LCI, and 39 patients (41 neoplastic lesions) were diagnosed with LCE. The sensitivity of LCI was similar to that of LCE (83.7% vs 90.7%, P = 0.520), whereas the specificity of LCI was greater than that of LCE (92.4% vs 87.0%, P = 0.007). The LCI procedure time in the esophageal examination was significantly shorter than that of LCE [42 (34, 50) s vs 160 (130, 189) s, P < 0.001]. The color difference between the lesion and surrounding mucosa in LCI was significantly greater than that observed with WLI. However, the color difference in LCI was similar in different pathological types of esophageal squamous cell cancer. CONCLUSION: LCI offers greater specificity than LCE in the detection of esophageal squamous cell cancer and precancerous lesions, and LCI represents a promising screening strategy for general populations.

Clinical characteristics of smoking-related chronic pancreatitis.

Objective: The pathogenesis of chronic pancreatitis (CP) is not completely clear. With further studies, smoking is toxic to the pancreas. This study classified smoking-related CP as a new etiology of CP and defined the cutoff of smoking. Design: Patients with CP admitted from January 2000 to December 2013 were included in the study. The characteristics were compared between smoking patients, drinking patients, and a group of patients who never smoke or drink (control group). The cumulative rates of steatorrhea, diabetes mellitus (DM), pancreatic pseudocyst (PPC), pancreatic stone, and biliary stricture after the onset of CP were calculated, respectively. Results: A total of 1,324 patients were included. Among them, 55 were smoking patients, 80 were drinking patients, and 1,189 were controls. The characteristics of smokers are different from the other two groups, especially in age at the onset and diagnosis of CP, initial manifestation, and type of pain. The development of DM (P = 0.011) and PPC (P = 0.033) was significantly more common and earlier in the smokers than in the other two groups. Steatorrhea also developed significantly more in the smokers than in the controls (P = 0.029). Smokers tend to delay the formation of pancreatic stones and steatorrhea. Conclusion: The clinical characteristics of smoking-related CP is different from CP of other etiologies. A new type of CP, smoking-related CP, was put forward. Smoking-related CP should be separated from idiopathic CP and defined as a new independent subtype of CP different from alcoholic CP or idiopathic CP.

Changhai advanced endoscopy courses for ERCP (CHANCE) training program: A short-term training model in China.

BACKGROUND: There is huge shortage of ERCP practitioners (ERCPists) in China, and ERCP training is urgently needed. ChangHai Advanced eNdoscopy Courses for ERCP (CHANCE) is a 4-month program for ERCP training since 2004. This study evaluated the efficiency of this short-term training model, and reported on the ERCP careers of the trainees following completion of the CHANCE program. METHODS: This study was a retrospective investigation included all the CHANCE trainees from Jan 2004 to Dec 2014. Questionnaires were sent to all trainees. The career competence percentage, ERCP careers and predictive factors of career competence were investigated and analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 413 trainees participated in the CHANCE program over 11 years covered by the survey and 258 questionnaires were valid for the study. The mean (SD) age of the trainees was 35.36 (4.17), and the male to female ratio was 4.4:1. The average follow-up time was 7.77 (3.44) years. A total of 173 (67.1%) trainees had achieved career competence. In terms of ERCP careers, the mean annual ERCP volume was 120.60 (96.67), with a complication percentage of 8.2%. Hospital qualification, compliance with follow-up learning guidance, participating academic activity, and practitioner type were identified predictive factors of career competence. CONCLUSIONS: As a short-term training program, the CHANCE achieved an acceptable career competence percentage, providing endoscopists more chances to learn ERCP and giving them appropriate training guidance for career competence. This training mode is worth promoting in developing countries with shortage of ERCPists.

Risk factor analysis and nomogram development for steatorrhea in idiopathic chronic pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: Steatorrhea, a sign of severe pancreatic exocrine insufficiency (PEI), is related to consequences caused by pancreatitis. This study aimed to identify predictors and to construct a nomogram for steatorrhea in idiopathic chronic pancreatitis (ICP). METHODS: ICP patients admitted to our hospital from January 2000 to December 2013 were enrolled in this retrospective-prospective cohort study and randomly assigned to the training and validation cohorts. The cumulative rate of steatorrhea was calculated. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify predictors for steatorrhea and construct the nomogram. Internal and external validation of the nomogram was then performed. RESULTS: There were 1633 ICP patients enrolled, with a median follow-up duration of 9.8 years and 20.8% (339/1633) of patients developed steatorrhea following onset of ICP. Steatorrhea was observed in 93, 115, and 133 patients at 1, 3, and 5 years following diagnosis of CP, with a cumulative rate of 6.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.1%-7.9%), 8.0% (95% CI 6.2%-9.8%), and 9.3% (95% CI 6.6%-12.0%), respectively. Male sex (hazard ratio [HR] 2.479, P < 0.001), diabetes mellitus at/before diagnosis of ICP (HR 2.274, P = 0.003), and aged less than 18 years at onset of ICP (HR 0.095, P < 0.001) were identified risk factors for steatorrhea. Initial manifestations were associated with development of steatorrhea. The nomogram was proven to have good concordance indexes. CONCLUSIONS: We identified predictors and developed a nomogram for predicting steatorrhea in ICP. It was recommended that high-risk populations be followed up closely, which might contribute to the early diagnosis and treatment of PEI.

Pancreatic extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy for a patient concurrent with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease: a case report.

Whether pancreatic extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) is safe for patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is unclear. A woman in her early 30s was admitted to our hospital because of intermittent upper abdominal pain and recurrent pancreatitis. The imaging results confirmed the diagnosis of pancreatic stones and ADPKD. We performed pancreatic ESWL using a third-generation lithotripter to pulverize the pancreatic stones. A maximum of 5000 shock waves was delivered per therapeutic session. A second session of ESWL was performed the next day. The patient developed no adverse events or complications related to pancreatic ESWL. Three years after treatment, the patient had developed no relapse of pancreatitis or abdominal pain. Shock waves do not lead to complications such as hematuria, cyst rupture, or deterioration of the inner bleeding of renal cysts. Multiple kidney cysts are not a contraindication for pancreatic ESWL.

Rapid formation of a radiolucent pancreatic stone: a case report (with video).

BACKGROUND: Over 90% of pancreatic stones are radiopaque and can be treated with endoscopy or surgery. However, radiolucent stones are different than radiopaque stones in nature and formation, and therefore, treatment varies.Case presentation: A 25-year-old woman was admitted because of recurrent acute pancreatitis. Imaging examinations confirmed the diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis (CP), and which revealed the existence of radiolucent stones. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) was performed and abundant protein-like radiolucent stones were extracted. Three 10F, 7-cm plastic stents were placed. However, the stents were completely occluded by radiolucent stones 1 month later. A nasopancreatic tube was then inserted and flushed regularly, but protein-like stones formed continuously. After multidisciplinary consultation, the following conservative treatment strategy was applied: 1) no more endotherapy; 2) a diet with 40% to 50% of calories from fat was recommended; 3) no pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy; and 4) regular exercise. The above advice aimed to stimulate the secretion of pancreatic fluid to achieve auto-flushing of the pancreatic duct and prevent protein-like stones from depositing. No acute pancreatitis recurred during the 5-year follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This strategy was effective for auto-flushing the pancreatic duct in patients with radiolucent pancreatic stones after the main pancreatic duct stricture was resolved.

Isoliquiritigenin ameliorates caerulein-induced chronic pancreatitis by inhibiting the activation of PSCs and pancreatic infiltration of macrophages.

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is characterized by persistent inflammation of the pancreas that results in progressive loss of the endocrine and exocrine compartment owing to atrophy and/or replacement with fibrotic tissue. Currently, the clinical therapeutic scheme of CP is mainly symptomatic treatment including pancreatic enzyme replacement, glycaemic control and nutritional support therapy, lacking of specific therapeutic drugs for prevention and suppression of inflammation and fibrosis aggravating in CP. Here, we investigated the effect of isoliquiritigenin (ILG), a chalcone-type dietary compound derived from licorice, on pancreatic fibrosis and inflammation in a model of caerulein-induced murine CP, and the results indicated that ILG notably alleviated pancreatic fibrosis and infiltration of macrophages. Further in vitro studies in human pancreatic stellate cells (hPSCs) showed that ILG exerted significant inhibition on the proliferation and activation of hPSCs, which may be due to negative regulation of the ERK1/2 and JNK1/2 activities. Moreover, ILG significantly restrained the M1 polarization of macrophages (RAW 264.7) via attenuation of the NF-κB signalling pathway, whereas the M2 polarization was hardly affected. These findings indicated that ILG might be a potential anti-inflammatory and anti-fibrotic therapeutic agent for CP.

Risk Factors Analysis and Nomogram Development for Pancreatic Pseudocyst in Idiopathic Chronic Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: The study concerns identifying risk factors and developing nomogram for pancreatic pseudocyst (PPC) in idiopathic chronic pancreatitis (ICP) to facilitate early diagnosis. METHODS: From January 2000 to December 2013, ICP patients admitted to our center were enrolled. Cumulative incidence of PPC was determined by Kaplan-Meier method. Patients were randomized into training group and validation group in a 2:1 ratio. Risk factors of PPC were determined through Cox proportional hazards regression model based on training cohort. The nomogram was constructed according to risk factors. RESULTS: Totally, 1633 ICP patients were included with a median follow-up duration of 9.8 years. Pancreatic pseudocyst was observed in 14.7% (240/1633) of patients after ICP onset. The cumulative incidences of PPC were 8.2%, 10.4%, and 12.9% at 3, 5, and 10 years after ICP onset, respectively. Male sex, smoking history, history of severe acute pancreatitis, and chronic pain at/before diagnosis of ICP and complex pathologic changes in main pancreatic duct were recognized as risk factors of PPC development. The nomogram constructed with these risk factors achieved good concordance indexes. CONCLUSIONS: Risk for PPC could be estimated through the nomogram. High-risk patients were suggested to be followed up closely to help early diagnosis of PPC.

Classification of Early-Onset and Late-Onset Idiopathic Chronic Pancreatitis Needs Reconsideration.

Bimodal classification of idiopathic chronic pancreatitis (ICP) into early-onset (<35 years) and late-onset (>35 years) ICP was proposed in 1994 based on a study of 66 patients. However, bimodal distribution wasn't sufficiently demonstrated. Our objective was to examine the validity and relevance of the age-based bimodal classification of ICP. We analyzed the distribution of age at onset of ICP in our cohort of 1633 patients admitted to our center from January 2000 to December 2013. Classify ICP patients into early-onset ICP(a) and late-onset ICP(a) according to different cut-off values (cut-off value, a = 15, 25, 35, 45, 55, 65 years old) for age at onset. Compare clinical characteristics of early-onset ICP(a) and late-onset ICP(a). We found slightly right skewed distribution of age at onset for ICP in our cohort. There were differences between early-onset and late-onset ICP with respect to basic clinical characteristics and development of key clinical events regardless of the cut off age at onset i.e. 15, 25, 35, 45 or even higher. The validity of the bimodal classification of early-onset and late-onset ICP could not be established in our large patient cohort and therefore such a classification needs to be reconsidered.

Risk factors and nomogram for diabetes mellitus in idiopathic chronic pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a common complication of idiopathic chronic pancreatitis (ICP), which impairs the quality of life for patients. This study aimed to identify risk factors and develop nomogram for DM in ICP to help early diagnosis. METHODS: Idiopathic chronic pancreatitis patients admitted to our center from January 2000 to December 2013 were included. Cumulative rates of DM were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method. Patients were randomly assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, to the training and validation cohort. Based on training cohort, risk factors for DM were identified through Cox proportional hazards regression model, and nomogram was developed. Internal and external validations were performed based on the training and validation cohort, respectively. RESULTS: Totally, 1633 patients with ICP were finally enrolled. The median follow-up duration was 9.8 years. DM was found in 26.3% (430/1633) of patients after the onset of CP. Adult at onset of ICP, biliary stricture at/before diagnosis of CP, steatorrhea at/before diagnosis of CP, and complex pathologic changes in main pancreatic duct were identified risk factors for DM development. The nomogram achieved good concordance indexes in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, with well-fitted calibration curves. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors were identified, and nomogram was developed to determine the risk of DM in ICP patients. Patients with one or more of the risk factors including adult at onset of ICP, biliary stricture at/before diagnosis of CP, steatorrhea at/before diagnosis of CP, and complex pathologic changes in main pancreatic duct have higher incidence of DM.

Risk Factors and Nomogram for Pancreatic Stone Formation in Chronic Pancreatitis over a Long-Term Course: A Cohort of 2,153 Patients.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic stones are pathognomonic of chronic pancreatitis (CP). This study aimed to determine the incidence, identify risk factors, and develop a nomogram for pancreatic stones in CP patients. METHODS: Patients with CP admitted to our center from January 2000 to December 2013 were enrolled. Cumulative rates of pancreatic stones after the onset of CP and after the diagnosis of CP were calculated. Patients were randomly assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, to the training and validation cohort. Based on the training cohort, risk factors were identified through Cox proportional hazards regression model, and nomogram was developed. Internal and external validations were performed based on the training and validation cohort, respectively. RESULTS: With a total of 2,153 CP patients, pancreatic stones were detected in 1,626 (75.5%) patients, with a median follow-up of 7.8 years. Age at the onset of CP, body mass index, smoking, diabetes mellitus, pancreatic pseudocyst, biliary stricture, severe acute pancreatitis, and type of pain were identified risk factors for pancreatic stones development. The nomogram with these 8 factors achieved good accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram achieved an individualized prediction of pancreatic stones development in CP. It may help the management of pancreatic stones.

Risk factor for diabetes mellitus in pediatric chronic pancreatitis patients.

Pediatric patients suffer from chronic pancreatitis (CP), especially those with diabetes mellitus (DM). This study aimed to identify the incidence of and risk factors for DM in pediatric CP.CP patients admitted to our center from January 2000 to December 2013 were assigned to the pediatric (<18 years old) and adult group according to their age at onset of CP. Cumulative rates of DM and risk factors for both groups were calculated and identified.The median follow-up duration for the whole cohort was 7.6 years. In these 2153 patients, 13.5% of them were pediatrics. The mean age at the onset and the diagnosis of CP in pediatrics were 11.622 and 19.727, respectively. DM was detected in 13.1% patients and 31.0% patients in the pediatric group and adult group, respectively. Age at the onset of CP, smoking history, body mass index (BMI), and etiology of CP were identified risk factors for DM in pediatrics.DM was detected in 13.1% pediatric patients. Age at the onset of CP, smoking history, BMI, and etiology of CP were identified risk factors for the development of DM in pediatric CP patients. The high-risk populations were suggested to be monitored frequently. They could also benefit from a lifestyle modification.

Dasatinib ameliorates chronic pancreatitis induced by caerulein via anti-fibrotic and anti-inflammatory mechanism.

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is characterized by persistent inflammation and fibrosis of the pancreas. To date, no clinical therapy is available to reverse the inflammatory damage or pancreatic fibrosis associated with CP. This study systematically investigated the effect of Dasatinib, a multiple tyrosine kinases (TKs) inhibitor, on pancreatic fibrosis and inflammation in vivo and in vitro. We found that Dasatinib notably ameliorated pancreatic fibrosis and infiltration of macrophages in a model of caerulein-induced murine CP. Further RNA-seq and phosphoproteomic analysis and in vitro validation assays indicated that Dasatinib exerted a marked inhibition on the proliferation and activation of PSCs, which may be resulted from increased GSK3ß-mediated ß-catenin cytosol retention by inhibiting upstream multiple TKs (such as PDGFR and Src) and MAPK cascades (including ERK1/2 and p38 MAPK). In addition, Dasatinib significantly restrained both the M1 and M2 polarization of macrophages, and impeded its recruitment and crosstalk with PSCs. Our findings indicated that Dasatinib is a potential anti-inflammatory and anti-fibrotic therapeutic strategy for CP.

Autoantibody detection is not recommended for chronic pancreatitis: a cross-sectional Study of 557 patients.

BACKGROUND: Autoimmune factor was regarded as one of the risk factors in the pathogenesis of chronic pancreatitis (CP), especially for autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP). However, whether autoimmune factor plays a role in non-AIP CP or not was unknown. METHODS: Hospitalized patients with non-AIP CP from January 2010 to October 2016 were detected for 22 autoantibodies at the time of hospital admission. Autoantibodies with frequency > 0.5% were enrolled to calculate the frequency in historial healthy controls through literature search in PubMed. Differentially expressed autoantibodies were determined between patients and historial healthy controls, and related factors were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: In a total of 557 patients, 113 cases were detected with 19 kinds of positive autoantibodies, among them anti-ß2-glycoprotein I (ß2-GPI) antibody was most frequent (9.16%). Compared with historial healthy controls, the frequencies of serum ß2-GPI and anti SS-B antibody in patients were significantly higher, while frequencies of anti-smooth muscle antibody and anticardiolipin antibody were significantly lower (all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis result showed that diabetes mellitus (OR = 2.515) and common bile duct stricture (OR = 2.844) were the risk factors of positive ß2-GPI antibody in patients while diabetes mellitus in first-/second-/third-degree relatives (OR = 0.266) was the protective factor. There were no related factors for other three differentially expressed autoantibodies. CONCLUSIONS: Four autoantibodies were expressed differentially between patients with non-AIP CP and historial healthy controls. Due to limited significance for diagnosis and treatment of chronic pancreatitis, autoantibodies detection is not recommended conventionally unless suspected of AIP.

Risk Factors and Nomogram for Common Bile Duct Stricture in Chronic Pancreatitis: A Cohort of 2153 Patients.

GOALS: To identify the risk factors and develop nomograms for common bile duct (CBD) stricture in chronic pancreatitis (CP) patients. BACKGROUND: CBD stricture is a common complication in CP and has a variable clinical presentation ranging from asymptomatic to overt jaundice and cholangitis. STUDY: Patients with CP admitted to Changhai Hospital (Shanghai, China) from January 2000 to December 2013 were enrolled. Cumulative rates of CBD stricture after onset and diagnosis of CP were calculated. Patients were randomly assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, to the training and validation cohort. On the basis of the training cohort, risk factors for CBD stricture and symptomatic CBD stricture were identified through Cox proportional hazards regression model, and nomograms was developed, respectively. Internal and external validations were performed based on the training and validation cohort, respectively. RESULTS: With a total of 2153 patients, the median duration of follow-up was 7.0 years. CBD strictures were detected in 340 (15.8%) patients, whereas 159 of them were symptomatic. Male gender, age at onset of CP, smoking, body mass index, and morphology of main pancreatic duct were identified risk factors for CBD stricture development. Age at onset of CP, body mass index, and type of pain were identified risk factors for symptomatic CBD stricture development. Both nomograms achieved good concordance indexes with well-fitted calibration curves. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram achieved an individualized prediction of symptomatic CBD stricture development in CP patients. It may help the early diagnosis and intervention of symptomatic CBD stricture and reduce the rates of severe adverse events.