Impact of Social Determinants of Health on Predictive Models for Outcomes After Congenital Heart Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Despite documented associations between social determinants of health and outcomes post-congenital heart surgery, clinical risk models typically exclude these factors. OBJECTIVES: The study sought to characterize associations between social determinants and operative and longitudinal mortality as well as assess impacts on risk model performance. METHODS: Demographic and clinical data were obtained for all congenital heart surgeries (2006-2021) from locally held Congenital Heart Surgery Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database data. Neighborhood-level American Community Survey and composite sociodemographic measures were linked by zip code. Model prediction, discrimination, and impact on quality assessment were assessed before and after inclusion of social determinants in models based on the 2020 Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database Mortality Risk Model. RESULTS: Of 14,173 total index operations across New York State, 12,321 cases, representing 10,271 patients at 8 centers, had zip codes for linkage. A total of 327 (2.7%) patients died in the hospital or before 30 days, and 314 children died by December 31, 2021 (total n = 641; 6.2%). Multiple measures of social determinants of health explained as much or more variability in operative and longitudinal mortality than clinical comorbidities or prior cardiac surgery. Inclusion of social determinants minimally improved models' predictive performance (operative: 0.834-0.844; longitudinal 0.808-0.811), but significantly improved model discrimination; 10.0% more survivors and 4.8% more mortalities were appropriately risk classified with inclusion. Wide variation in reclassification was observed by site, resulting in changes in the center performance classification category for 2 of 8 centers. CONCLUSIONS: Although indiscriminate inclusion of social determinants in clinical risk modeling can conceal inequities, thoughtful consideration can help centers understand their performance across populations and guide efforts to improve health equity.

Standard volume infusion unmasked diastolic dysfunction in pediatric heart transplant recipients during surveillance cardiac catheterization, but without echocardiographic correlates.

BACKGROUND: Adult experience evaluating left ventricular diastolic function (LVDFx) includes volume administration during catheterization while obtaining pulmonary capillary wedge pressures (PCWP) or left ventricular end diastolic pressures (LVEDP). Catheterization is inherently challenging in pediatric patients, making echocardiographic assessment ideal. Pediatric echocardiographic studies predicting LVDFx have variable hemodynamic and hydration conditions and have produced inconsistent results. We evaluated the association between simultaneous echocardiographic and catheterization assessment of LVDFx, using a fluid bolus for optimal loading conditions. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of pediatric heart transplant recipients receiving echocardiogram simultaneous with routine cardiac catheterization. Mitral valve inflow velocities, septal and lateral wall tissue Doppler indices, and PCWP and/or LVEDP were obtained and repeated following a 10 ml/kg bolus. Echocardiographic parameters were evaluated for an association with changes in PCWP or LVEDP following the bolus. Abnormal LVDFx was defined as PCWP or LVEDP ≥12 mm Hg. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients underwent catheterization. Median pre-bolus PCWP and LVEDP were 11.0 mm Hg and 10.0 mm Hg, respectively. After bolus, median PCWP and LVEDP increased to 14.0 mm Hg (p < .001) and 13 mm Hg (p < .001), respectively. Of 21 patients with normal pre-bolus catheterization hemodynamics, 14 (66.7%) increased to abnormal following fluid bolus. Using area under an ROC, no echocardiographic parameter of LVDFx, or their ratios, were associated with predetermined abnormal LVEDP and/or PCWP. CONCLUSION: After bolus, our cohort demonstrated significant increases in LVEDP and/or PCWP, unmasking diastolic dysfunction. Fluid challenges should be considered in pediatric patients undergoing cardiac catheterization with suspected diastolic dysfunction. Echocardiographic measurements were unable to discriminate between normal and abnormal LVEDP and/or PCWP.