Optimizing Risk Assessment In Simultaneous Liver and Kidney Transplant: Donor and Recipient Factors Associated With Improved Outcome.

Standardization in allocation of kidneys for transplant simultaneous with livers and the creation of a "safety net" for kidney transplant after liver transplant alone (LTA) was designed to encourage clinicians to list patients for LTA when the likelihood of renal recovery and the necessity of simultaneous liver and kidney (SLK) transplant were unclear. We analyzed the United Network for Organ Sharing database of SLK recipients starting January 1, 2015. Organs from one deceased donor were used in each individual case. Univariate analysis was used to analyze recipient and donor characteristics against patient and graft survival of at least 1 year. Cox regression was employed for multivariable analysis controlling for donor risk index variables. SLK recipients who failed to achieve 1 year of post-transplant survival were more likely to be older, have higher model for end-stage liver disease scores, have diabetes, have received dialysis within one week of transplant, and required intensive care unit admission at transplantation. Patients who failed to survive for at least 1 year after SLK were more likely to have received organs from donors who were older with a higher kidney donor profile index. Using national data we identified SLK donor and recipient characteristics associated with poor post-transplant outcome. Clinicians involved in the decision to list patients with liver failure for LTA or SLK may use these associations to help guide decision making.

Acute Kidney Injury in Cirrhosis: Baseline Serum Creatinine Predicts Patient Outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: The International Ascites Club (IAC) recently defined Stage 1 acute kidney injury (AKI) for cirrhosis as an acute increase in serum creatinine (SCr) by ≥0.3 mg/dl or by ≥50% in <48 h from a stable value within 3 months. The baseline SCr may influence AKI risk and patient outcomes. The objective of this study is to determine in cirrhosis whether the baseline SCr has any effect on the in-hospital AKI course and patient survival. METHODS: North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease is a consortium of tertiary-care hepatology centers prospectively enroling non-elective cirrhotic inpatients. Patients with different baseline SCr levels (≤0.5, 0.51-1.0, 1.01-1.5, >1.5 mg/dl) were evaluated for the development of AKI, and compared for AKI outcomes and 30-day survival. RESULTS: 653 hospitalized cirrhotics (56.7±10years, 64% men, 30% with infection) were included. The incidence of AKI was 47% of enrolled patients. Patients with higher baseline SCr were more likely to develop AKI, with significantly higher delta and peak SCr (P<0.001) than the other groups, more likely to have a progressive AKI course (P<0.0001), associated with a significantly reduced 30-day survival (P<0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression showed that the delta SCr during an AKI episode to be the strongest factor impacting AKI outcomes and survival (P<0.001), with a delta SCr of 0.70 mg/dl having a 68% sensitivity and 80% specificity for predicting 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Admitted cirrhotic patients with higher baseline SCr are at higher risk for in-hospital development of AKI, and more likely to have AKI progression with reduced survival. Therefore, such patients should be closely monitored and treated promptly for their AKI.

Survival benefit of repeat liver transplantation in the United States: a serial MELD analysis by hepatitis C status and donor risk index.

Survival benefit (SB) for first liver transplantation (LT) is favorable at Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)≥15. Herein, we identify the MELD threshold for SB from repeat liver transplantation (ReLT) by recipient hepatitis C virus (HCV) status and donor risk index (DRI). We analyzed lab MELD scores in new United Network for Organ Sharing registrants for ReLT from March 2002 to January 2010. Risk of ReLT graft failure≤1 year versus waitlist mortality was calculated using Cox regression, adjusting for recipient characteristics. Of 3057 ReLT candidates, 54% had HCV and 606 died while listed. There were 1985 ReLT recipients, 52% had HCV and 567 ReLT graft failures by 1 year. Unadjusted waitlist mortality and post-ReLT graft failure rates were 416 (95% confidence interval [CI] 384-450) and 375 (95% CI 345-407) per 1000 patient-years, respectively. Waitlist mortality was higher with increasing waitlist MELD (p<0.001). The MELD for SB from ReLT overall was 21 (21 in non-HCV and 24 in HCV patients). MELD for SB varied by DRI in HCV patients (MELD 21, 24 and 27 for low, medium and high DRI, respectively) but did not vary for non-HCV patients. Compared to first LT, ReLT requires a higher MELD threshold to achieve an SB resulting in a narrower therapeutic window to optimize the utility of scarce liver grafts.

Kidney, pancreas and liver allocation and distribution in the United States.

Kidney transplant and liver transplant are the treatments of choice for patients with end-stage renal disease and end-stage liver disease, respectively. Pancreas transplant is most commonly performed along with kidney transplant in diabetic end-stage renal disease patients. Despite a steady increase in the numbers of kidney and liver transplants performed each year in the United States, a significant shortage of kidneys and livers available for transplant remains. Organ allocation is the process the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) uses to determine which candidates are offered which deceased donor organs. OPTN is charged with ensuring the effectiveness, efficiency and equity of organ sharing in the national system of organ allocation. The policy has changed incrementally over time in efforts to optimize allocation to meet these often competing goals. This review describes the history, current status and future direction of policies regarding the allocation of abdominal organs for transplant, namely the kidney, liver and pancreas, in the United States.

Simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation summit: current state and future directions.

Although previous consensus recommendations have helped define patients who would benefit from simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (SLK), there is a current need to reassess published guidelines for SLK because of continuing increase in proportion of liver transplant candidates with renal dysfunction and ongoing donor organ shortage. The purpose of this consensus meeting was to critically evaluate published and registry data regarding patient and renal outcomes following liver transplantation alone or SLK in liver transplant recipients with renal dysfunction. Modifications to the current guidelines for SLK and a research agenda were proposed.

Height contributes to the gender difference in wait-list mortality under the MELD-based liver allocation system.

This study examined factors associated with the gender disparity in wait-list mortality in the MELD era. Adult patients listed for liver transplantation from 2002 to 2008 were included. Females [12 585(36%)] and males [22 126(64%)] differed clinically by age (54 vs. 52 years), height (1.6 vs. 1.8 m), listing estimated glomerular filtration rate [(eGFR); 70 vs. 83 mL/min] and cirrhosis etiology. Holding MELD constant, females were at 19% (95% CI, 1.13-1.25, p < 0.001) higher risk of wait-list mortality than males under the current allocation system. The relative hazard increased with worsening renal function, whether measured by serum creatinine or eGFR. Adjustment for MELD, age, African-American race, cirrhosis etiology, region and ABO group attenuated this relative hazard (HR 1.16; 95% CI, 1.10-1.22; p < 0.001) but additional adjustment for height completely explained this gender disparity in wait-list mortality (HR 1.05; 95% CI, 0.98-1.12; p = 0.2). Transplantation rates, however, remained lower among females, even after adjustment for height (HR 0.88; 95% CI, 0.82-0.92; p < 0.001). In conclusion, under the current liver allocation system, women have a 19% increased risk of wait-list mortality compared to men with the same MELD scores. Height contributes to this gender disparity, possibly reflecting differences in transplantation rates for shorter individuals.

Ascites improves upon [corrected] serum sodium plus [corrected] model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) for predicting mortality in patients with advanced liver disease.

BACKGROUND: The clinical impact of ascites has historically been well recognized; however, its value is unclear in the context of current prognostic models. AIM: To determine whether ascites can improve risk discrimination beyond model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and serum sodium (MELDNa). METHODS: Consecutive cirrhotic patients were evaluated for ascites on the basis of an outpatient CT along with concurrent MELD and Na values. Cox models were used to determine the added value of ascites for predicting 1-year mortality. Increases in the C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and the net reclassification index (NRI) were used to assess improvements in discrimination after the addition of ascites. RESULTS: A total of 1003 patients had Na and MELD scores available within 30 days of the CT scan. A total of 60 deaths occurred within 1 year, with mortality higher in patients with ascites (21.4% vs. 4.0%, HR 6.08, 95% CI 3.62-10.19, P < 0.0005). In the presence of ascites, the MELD and MELDNa scores underestimated mortality risk when the scores were less than 21. The addition of ascites to the MELDNa model substantially improved discrimination by the C-index (0.804 vs. 0.770, increase of 3.4%, 95% CI 0.2-9.9%), IDI (1.8%, P = 0.016) and NRI (15.8%, P = 0.0006). CONCLUSION: The incorporation of radiographic ascites significantly improves upon MELDNa for predicting 1-year mortality. The presence of ascites may help identify patients at increased risk for mortality, not otherwise captured by either MELD or MELDNa.

Survival benefit-based deceased-donor liver allocation.

Currently, patients awaiting deceased-donor liver transplantation are prioritized by medical urgency. Specifically, wait-listed chronic liver failure patients are sequenced in decreasing order of Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. To maximize lifetime gained through liver transplantation, posttransplant survival should be considered in prioritizing liver waiting list candidates. We evaluate a survival benefit based system for allocating deceased-donor livers to chronic liver failure patients. Under the proposed system, at the time of offer, the transplant survival benefit score would be computed for each patient active on the waiting list. The proposed score is based on the difference in 5-year mean lifetime (with vs. without a liver transplant) and accounts for patient and donor characteristics. The rank correlation between benefit score and MELD score is 0.67. There is great overlap in the distribution of benefit scores across MELD categories, since waiting list mortality is significantly affected by several factors. Simulation results indicate that over 2000 life-years would be saved per year if benefit-based allocation was implemented. The shortage of donor livers increases the need to maximize the life-saving capacity of procured livers. Allocation of deceased-donor livers to chronic liver failure patients would be improved by prioritizing patients by transplant survival benefit.