Incidence rate of mortality and its predictors among tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus coinfected patients on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death among HIV-infected adults and children globally. Therefore, this study was aimed at determining the pooled mortality rate and its predictors among TB/HIV-coinfected patients in Ethiopia. Methods: Extensive database searching was done via PubMed, EMBASE, SCOPUS, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, and Google from the time of idea conception on March 1, 2023, to the last search via Google on March 31, 2023. A meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model to determine the pooled mortality rate and its predictors among TB/HIV-coinfected patients. Heterogeneity was handled using subgroup analysis, meta-regression, and sensitivity analysis. Results: Out of 2,100 records, 18 articles were included, with 26,291 total patients. The pooled incidence rate of mortality among TB/HIV patients was 12.49 (95% CI: 9.24-15.74) per 100 person-years observation (PYO); I2 = 96.9%. The mortality rate among children and adults was 5.10 per 100 PYO (95% CI: 2.15-8.01; I2 = 84.6%) and 15.78 per 100 PYO (95% CI: 10.84-20.73; I2 = 97.7%), respectively. Age ≥ 45 (pooled hazard ratios (PHR) 2.58, 95% CI: 2.00- 3.31), unemployed (PHR 2.17, 95% CI: 1.37-3.46), not HIV-disclosed (PHR = 2.79, 95% CI: 1.65-4.70), bedridden (PHR 5.89, 95% CI: 3.43-10.12), OI (PHR 3.5, 95% CI: 2.16-5.66), WHO stage IV (PHR 3.16, 95% CI: 2.18-4.58), BMI < 18.5 (PHR 4.11, 95% CI: 2.28-7.40), anemia (PHR 4.43, 95% CI: 2.73-7.18), EPTB 5.78, 95% CI: 2.61-12.78 significantly affected the mortality. The effect of TB on mortality was 1.95 times higher (PHR 1.95, 95% CI: 1.19-3.20; I2 = 0) than in TB-free individuals. Conclusions: The mortality rate among TB/HIV-coinfected patients in Ethiopia was higher compared with many African countries. Many clinical factors were identified as significant risk factors for mortality. Therefore, TB/HIV program managers and clinicians need to design an intervention early.

Time to Treatment Failure and Its Predictors Among Second-Line ART Clients in Amhara Region, Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study.

Background: Second-line antiretroviral treatment failure has become a major public health issue, and the time to treatment failure among second-line ART clients varies globally, and the Sub-Saharan African region having a high rate of second-line ART treatment failures. In addition, after the ART treatment guideline changed there is limited information on Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to assess time to treatment failure and its determinants among second-line ART clients in Amhara Region, Ethiopia. Methods: A multi-centered retrospective follow-up study was conducted. A random sample of 860 people on second-line ART was selected by using a computer-generated simple random sampling technique from January 30, 2016, to January 30, 2021, at the University of Gondar Compressive Specialized Hospital, Felege Hiwot Compressive Specialized Referral Hospital, and Debre Tabor Compressive Specialized Referral Hospital, in Amhara region, Ethiopia. Data was captured using a checklist. Results: A total of 81 (9.4%) ART clients developed second-line treatment failure, with a median follow-up time of 29 months with an interquartile range (IQR: 18, 41]. The risk of second-line treatment failure is higher among patients aged 15 to 30 years (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 2.01, 95% confidence interval (CI): [1.16, 3.48]). Being unable to read and write (AHR = 1.312, 95% CI: [1.068, 1.613]), and poor ART drug adherence (AHR = 3.067, 95% CI: [1.845, 5.099]) were significant predictors of second-line ART treatment failures. Conclusion: In the current study, the time to second-line ART treatment failure was high compared with a previous similar study in Ethiopia. Factors like being younger age, ART clients who are not being able to read and write, and having poor ART drug adherence was significant predictors of second-line ART treatment failure.

Incomplete immunization uptake and associated factors among children aged 12-23 months in sub-Saharan African countries; multilevel analysis evidenced from latest demography and health survey data, 2023.

BACKGROUND: In 1974, the World Health Organization (WHO) established the Expanded Program on Immunization to control vaccine-preventable diseases, saving millions of lives annually. However, the coverage of basic vaccines recommended by the WHO in Africa was only 75%, which fell short of the goal of 90% by 2015. To formulate effective policies and implementation programs to reduce incomplete vaccination rates, it is important to conduct a study to determine the factors contributing to incomplete immunization among children aged 12-23 months. METHODS: The study was conducted in 16 sub-Saharan African countries, using data extracted from the latest DHS data. It was a community-based cross-sectional survey that used two-stage stratified probability sampling sample designs. The vaccination coverage was assessed using vaccination cards and mother recalls. Multilevel multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the extent of incomplete immunization and the individual and community-level factors associated with partial immunization among children aged 12-23 months. Variables with a p-value less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant predictors of incomplete immunization. RESULT: A total of 35, 193 weighted samples were used to determine the pooled prevalence of partial immunization. The pooled prevalence of incomplete immunization was 36.06%. In the final model factors significantly associated were: being uneducated mother(AOR:1.75;95%CI:1.48,2.05), being an unemployed mother (AOR:1.16;95%CI:1.09,1.23), no history of family planning utilization (AOR: 1.71; 95% CI: 1.61, 1.84), non-antenatal care (AOR: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.58, 2.04), non-postnatal care (AOR: 1.25; 95%CI: 1.17, 1.35), rural residence(AOR:1.50;95%CI:1.37,1.63), home delivery (AOR: 2.04; 95%CI:1.89, 2.21), having children more than five (AOR: 1.56; 95%CI: 1.13, 2.17), and non-utilization of health insurance (AOR: 1.74; 95%CI: 1.48, 2.05). CONCLUSION: The pooled prevalence of incomplete immunization was found to be high in this investigation. Based on the findings of the study we recommended that policymakers and stakeholders prioritize enhancing prenatal and postnatal care, contraception, and reducing home birth rates to minimize the rate of incomplete immunization.

Incidence and development of validated mortality prediction model among asphyxiated neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care unit at Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia, 2021: retrospective follow-up study.

INTRODUCTION: Perinatal asphyxia is failure to maintain normal breathing at birth. World Health Organization indicates that perinatal asphyxia is the third major cause of neonatal mortality in developing countries accounting for 23% of neonatal deaths every year. At global and national level efforts have done to reduce neonatal mortality, however fatalities from asphyxia remains high in Ethiopia (24%). And there are no sufficient studies to show incidence and prediction of mortality among asphyxiated neonates. Developing validated risk prediction model is one of the crucial strategies to improve neonatal outcomes with asphyxia. Therefore, this study will help to screen asphyxiated neonate at high-risk for mortality during admission by easily accessible predictors. This study aimed to determine the incidence and develop validated Mortality Prediction model among asphyxiated neonates admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit at Felege-Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. METHOD: Retrospective follow-up study was conducted at Felege-Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital from September 1, 2017, to March 31, 2021. Simple random sampling was used to select 774 neonates, and 738 were reviewed. Since was data Secondary, it was collected by checklist. After the description of the data by table and graph, Univariable with p-value < 0.25, and stepwise multivariable analysis with p-value < 0.05 were done to develop final reduced prediction model by likelihood ratio test. To improve clinical utility, we developed a simplified risk score to classify asphyxiated neonates at high or low-risk of mortality. The accuracy of the model was evaluated using area under curve, and calibration plot. To measures all accuracy internal validation using bootstrapping technique were assessed. We evaluated the clinical impact of the model using a decision curve analysis across various threshold probabilities. RESULT: Incidence of neonatal mortality with asphyxia was 27.2% (95% CI: 24.1, 30.6). Rural residence, bad obstetric history, amniotic fluid status, multiple pregnancy, birth weight (< 2500 g), hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (stage II and III), and failure to suck were identified in the final risk prediction score. The area under the curve for mortality using 7 predictors was 0.78 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.82). With ≥ 7 cutoffs the sensitivity and specificity of risk prediction score were 0.64 and 0.82 respectively. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: Incidence of neonatal mortality with asphyxia was high. The risk prediction score had good discrimination power built by rural residence, bad obstetric history, stained amniotic fluid, multiple pregnancy, birth weight (< 2500 g), hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (stage II and III), and failure to suck. Thus, using this score chart and improve neonatal and maternal service reduce mortality among asphyxiated neonates.

Gender-Based Violence - Magnitude and Types in Northwest Ethiopia.

Background: Violence Against Women (VAW) becomes a serious public health issue as unnecessary morbidity and mortalities affect women and girls. Women who experience violence had the possibility of another of violence. Although gender-based violence (GBV) is a common problem in Ethiopia, the burden is not well studied. Objective: This study determines the magnitude of Gender-Based Violence among women receiving Sexual and Reproductive Health Services in a Specialized Hospital. Methods: Institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted at the University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital among gender-based violence (GBV) service users from January 2017 to January 2022. Data were collected from register logbooks and also medical records for some variables, using a tool prepared by refereeing literature and adapting locally available resources and researchers experiences. Epi-info 7 was used to enter the data and exported it to SPSS V-23 for analysis. Descriptive statistics like frequencies, percentages, means and standard deviations are computed for all variables. Results: The lifetime proportion of sexual and physical violence was found to be 81% and 5%, respectively, while 3% of women experienced both sexual and physical violence. One hundred seventy (29.4%) of the incidents were done by an intimate-partners (boyfriend/husband). The majority (86%) had extra genital injuries. After genital examination, about one-fourth (25%) of survivors had fresh hymenal tears. About three-fourths (75.1%) of the survivors visit the health facility within threes day after the incident. Conclusion: The study found that GBV is common in Northwest Ethiopia. Future research should involve sensitive methods and grounded approaches to explore survivors' experiences and views on local gender cultures and other contextual factors. Establishing One-stop-center could improve the quality of the services provided to the women.

The magnitude and determinants of delayed initiation of antenatal care among pregnant women in Gambia; evidence from Gambia demographic and health survey data.

BACKGROUND: Despite gains throughout the 20th century, maternal health remains a major public health concern. Despite global efforts to enhance access to maternal and child healthcare services, women in low- and middle-income countries still have a high risk of dying during pregnancy and after birth. This study aimed to determine the magnitude and determinants of late antenatal care initiation among reproductive age women in Gambia. METHOD: Secondary data analysis was conducted using the 2019-20 Gambian demographic and health survey data. All reproductive age women who gave birth in the five years preceding the survey and who had an antenatal care visit for the last child were included in this study. The total weighted sample size analyzed was 5310. Due to the hierarchical nature of demographic and health survey data, a multi-level logistic regression model was performed to identify the individual and community level factors associated with delayed first antenatal care initiation. RESULT: In this study, the prevalence of delayed initiation of initial antenatal care was 56% ranged from 56 to 59%. Women with age 25-34 [Adjusted Odds Ratio = 0.77; 95% CI 0.67-0.89], 35-49 [Adjusted Odds Ratio = 0.77; 95% CI 0.65-0.90] and women reside in urban area [Adjusted Odds Ratio = 0.59; 95% CI 0.47-0.75] respectively had lower odds of delayed first antenatal care initiation. While women with unplanned pregnancy [Adjusted Odds Ratio = 1.60; 95% CI 1.37-1.84], no health insurance [Adjusted Odds Ratio = 1.78; 95% CI 1.14-2.76] and previous history of cesarean delivery [Adjusted Odds Ratio = 1.50; 95% CI 1.10-2.07] had higher odds of delayed initiation of antenatal care. CONCLUSION: Despite the established advantages of early antenatal care initiation, this study revealed that late antenatal care initiation is still common in Gambia. Unplanned pregnancy, residence, health insurance, history of caesarian delivery, and age were significantly associated with delayed first antenatal care presentation. Therefore, focusing extra attention on these high-risk individuals could reduce delayed first antenatal care visit and this further minimizes maternal and fetal health concerns by recognizing and acting early.

Magnitude and determinants of breastfeeding initiation within one hour among reproductive women in Sub-Saharan Africa; evidence from demographic and health survey data: a multilevel study.

BACKGROUND: Early initiation of breastfeeding is one of the most simple and essential intervention for child development and survival in the world. World Health Organization recommended to begin breast milk with one hour after delivery. The objective of this study was to determine the magnitude of early initiation of breastfeeding in Sub-Saharan Africa using DHS data set. METHODS: This study was carried out within 32 Sub-Saharan African countries from 2010-2020, a pooled study of early initiation of breastfeeding was performed. For assessing model fitness and contrast, intra-class correlation coefficient, median odds ratio, proportional change in variance, and deviance were used. In order to identify possible covariates associated with early initiation of breastfeeding in the study area, the multilevel multivariable logistic regression model was adapted. Adjusted Odds Ratio was used with 95% confidence interval to declare major breastfeeding factors. RESULT: The pooled prevalence of early initiation of breastfeeding in Sub-Saharan Africa countries was 57% (95% CI; 56%-61%), the highest prevalence rate of early initiation of breastfeeding was found in Malawi while the lowest prevalence was found in Congo Brazzaville (24%). In multilevel multivariable logistic regression model; wealth index (AOR = 1.20; 95% CI 1.16 - 1.26), place of delivery (AOR = 1.97; 95% CI 1.89 - 2.05), skin-to-skin contact (AOR = 1.51; 95% CI 1.47 - 1.57), mode of delivery (AOR = 0.27; 95% CI 0.25 - 0.29), media exposure (AOR = 1.36; 95% CI 1.31 - 1.41) were significantly correlated with early initiation of breastfeeding in Sub-Saharan Africa. CONCLUSION: The magnitude of early initiation of breastfeeding rate was low in Sub-Saharan Africa. Covariates significantly associated with early initiation of breastfeeding was wealth index, place of delivery, mode of delivery, women educational status, and media exposure. Structural improvements are required for women with caesarean births to achieve optimal breastfeeding practice in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Prevalence and determinants of women's satisfaction on the quality of safe abortion service in Northwest Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: The standard of treatment in developing countries is harmed by a complex political landscape, an uncertain economic climate, rapid population growth, and clients are constantly complaining about the poor health system. Patients' assessments of the benefits and shortcomings of the service provided to them are expressed as satisfied or dissatisfied. The objective of this study was to determine the magnitude of women's satisfaction on quality of safe abortion and factors associated with it in Northwest Ethiopia. METHODS: Institution-based cross-sectional study design was done to collect data from 618 women in the selected health facilities in Northwest Ethiopia. Women having the gestational trophoblastic disease (partial mole) and those who cannot hear or are seriously ill during the data collection period were excluded. The study subjects were chosen using a randomization process, and each participant was questioned after receiving all necessary abortion treatment and giving verbal consent. Both bivariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was carried out to determine covariates significantly associated with women's satisfaction on quality of abortion. RESULTS: The highest proportion of women who were reasoned out to terminate the fetus in the current pregnancy was due to financial problems (29.36%) and partner coercion (23.85%). Client satisfaction with safe abortion services in the study region was 25.10% (95% CI; 21.81-28.70). Women were 53.2% satisfied with the art of treatment/interpersonal abilities, 59.2% satisfied with the professional quality of care professionals, 54.5% satisfied with the physical environment, and 49.8% satisfied with the structure of the health care system, respectively. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, women's living solely 0.47(0.26-0.87) & living with 2 to 4 people 0.11(0.04-0.29), college and above level of education 1.78(1.01-3.15), wanted the status of pregnancy 0.44(0.23-0.85) and post-abortion contraceptive users 1.70(1.01-2.89) were factors significantly associated with women's satisfaction level. CONCLUSION: In this study, one-fourth of the women were satisfied with the quality of safe abortion services. Family size, women's educational status, maternity status, and post-abortion contraception use were predictors of women's satisfaction with the quality of abortion. Ethiopia's government should concentrate on addressing contraception needs in order to prevent women from having multiple abortions.

Trends and Determinants of Underweight among Children under Five Years in Ethiopia: Further Analysis with Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey 2005-2016-Multivariate Decomposition Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Underweight is one of the paramount major worldwide health problems, and it traces a big number of populations from infancy to old age. This study aimed to analyze the trends and predictors of change in underweight among children under five years in Ethiopia. METHOD: The data for this study were accessed from three Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data sets 2005, 2011, and 2016. The trend was examined separately for the periods 2005-2011, 2005-2016, and 2011-2016. Multivariate decomposition analysis of change in underweight was employed to answer the major research question of this study. The technique employed the output from the logistic regression model to parcel out the observed difference in underweight into components, and STATA 14 was utilized for data management and analysis. RESULT: Perceiving the overall trend, the rate of underweight was decreased from 38% in 2005 to 24% in 2016. The decomposition analysis results revealed that, about 12.60% of declines in underweight have been explained by the difference in population characteristics or endowments (E) over the study period. The size of the child at birth, husband's education, women's education, and household wealth index contributed significantly to the compositional decline in underweight. CONCLUSION: The magnitude of underweight among children under five years indicates a remarkable decline over the last ten years in Ethiopia. In this study, two-twelfth of the overall decrease in underweight among children under five years over the decade was due to the difference in characteristics between 2005 and 2016. Continuing to educate the population and boost the population's economy is needed on the government side in Ethiopia.

Medicine Dose Adjustment Practice and Associated Factors among Renally Impaired Patients in Amhara Regional State, Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: Kidney disease affects absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion of medicines and their metabolites. Therefore, when prescribing medicines for patients with kidney disease, dose adjustment is an accepted standard of practice. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess medicine dose adjustment practice and associated factors among adult patients with renal impairment admitted to medical wards at Amhara region referral hospitals. METHOD: Multicenter, institution-based, cross-sectional study was conducted from March 28, 2020, to August 30, 2020. The data was collected by using a pretested interviewer-administered structured questionnaire. Data were entered into Epi-Data version 4.6 and transferred into SPSS version 25 for further data processing and analysis. Descriptive statistics such as frequencies and percentages were computed. Both bivariable and multivariable binary logistic regression analyses were fitted to identify factors associated with dose adjustment practice. A 95% confidence interval and a p value less than 0.05 were used to declare statistical significance. RESULT: Among 815 medicines' prescriptions that needed dose adjustment, 417 (51.2%) of them were dosed inappropriately. Number of medicines, number of comorbidities, and being unemployed were significantly associated with inappropriate dose adjustment. CONCLUSION: Our study revealed that there was a considerable rate of inappropriate dose adjustment in patients with renal impairment. Training for health care providers, use of guidelines, and communication with clinical pharmacists should be encouraged for good prescription practice.

Predictors of mortality rate among adult HIV-positive patients on antiretroviral therapy in Metema Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia: a retrospective follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Globally Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is an ongoing public health issue associated with high morbidity and mortality. Efforts have been made to reduce HIV/AIDS-related morbidity and mortality by delivering antiretroviral therapy. However, the incidence and predictors of mortality in border areas like Metema were not investigated. This study aimed to assess predictors of mortality rate among adult HIV-positive patients on antiretroviral therapy at Metema Hospital. METHODS: Retrospective follow-up study was employed among ART patients from January 1, 2013, to December 30, 2018. Data were entered in Epi-data 3.1 and exported to STATA 14 for analysis. Kaplan-Meier and Log-Rank test was used to compare survival differences among categories of different variables. In bi-variable analysis p-values < 0.20 were entered into a multivariable analysis. Multivariate Weibull model was used to measure the risk of death and identify the significant predictors of death. Variables that were statistically significant at p-value < 0.05 were concluded as predictors of mortality. RESULT: A total of 542 study participants were included. The overall incidence rate was 6.7 (95% CI: 5.4-8.4) deaths per 100 person-years of observation. Being male (HR = 2.4; 95% CI: 1.24-4.62), STAGE IV (HR = 5.64; 95% CI: 2.53-12.56), stage III (HR = 3.31; 95% CI: 1.35-8.10), TB-coinfection (HR = 3.71; 95% CI: 1.59-8.64), low hemoglobin (HR = 4.14; 95% CI: 2.18-7.86), BMI ≤ 15.4 kg/m2 (HR = 2.45; 95% CI: 1.17-5.10) and viral load > 1000 copy/ml (HR = 6.70; 95% CI: 3.4-13.22) were found to be a significant predictor for mortality among HIV patients on ART treatment. CONCLUSION: The incidence of death was high. Being male, viral load, those with advanced STAGE (III & IV), TB co-infected, low BMI, and low hemoglobin were at a higher risk of mortality. Special attention should be given to male patients and high public interventions needed among HIV patients on ART to reduce the mortality rate.

Magnitude of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases throughout the course of infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections are responsible for potentially significant transmission of COVID-19. Worldwide, a number of studies were conducted to estimate the magnitude of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases. However, there is a need for more robust and well-designed studies to have a relevant public health intervention. Synthesis of the available studies significantly strengthens the quality of evidences for public health practice. Thus, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the overall magnitude of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases throughout the course of infection using available evidences. METHODS: We followed the PRISMA checklist to present this study. Two experienced review authors (MA and DBK) were systematically searched international electronic databases for studies. We performed meta-analysis using R statistical software. The overall weighted proportion of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases throughout the course infection was computed. The pooled estimates with 95% confidence intervals were presented using forest plot. Egger's tests were used to assess publication bias, and primary estimates were pooled using a random effects model. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to assure the robustness of the result. RESULTS: A total of 28 studies that satisfied the eligibility criteria were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Consequently, in the meta-analysis, a total of 6,071 COVID-19 cases were included. The proportion of asymptomatic infections among the included studies ranged from 1.4% to 78.3%. The findings of this meta-analysis showed that the weighted pooled proportion of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases throughout the course of infection was 25% (95%CI: 16-38). The leave-one out result also revealed that the weighted pooled average of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was between 28% and 31.4%. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, one-fourth of SARS-CoV-2 infections are remained asymptomatic throughout the course infection. Scale-up of testing, which targeting high risk populations is recommended to tackle the pandemic.

Trends and determinants of breastfeeding within one hour in Ethiopia, further analysis of Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey: multivariate decomposition analysis.

BACKGROUND: Despite the substantial efforts to improve timely/early initiation of breastfeeding, avoidance of colostrum, and delayed initiation of breastfeeding remains a big challenge in developing countries. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze the trends of early breastfeeding rate over time based on the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS). METHODS: Secondary data analysis was conducted based on the Ethiopian Demographic Health Surveys (EDHSs) conducted in 2005, 2011, and 2016. A total weighted sample of 9, 111, 10,106, and 8564 in 2005, 2011, and 2016 respectively were included for analysis. Trend and Logistic based decomposition analysis technique was used for analyzing the trends of early breastfeeding initiation over time and factors contributing to the change in early breastfeeding initiation rate. STATA 15 was employed for data management and analyses. All analyses presented in this paper were weighted for the sampling probabilities and non-response. RESULT: Among children age less than 5 years the rate of early breastfeeding initiation rate overtime was increased from 70.5% in 2005 to 72.7% in 2016. The highest rate of improvement was seen in the second phase of the study (2011-2016) while it shows a decline in the first phase (2005-2011) from 70.5 to 55.1%. The decomposition analysis indicated that about half of the overall change in early breastfeeding initiation rate was due to the difference in women's composition. Particularly, an increase in health facility delivery and vaginal delivery was a significant predictor of the increasing rate of early breastfeeding initiation over the surveys. CONCLUSION: Early initiation of breastfeeding slightly increasing over the last 10 years in Ethiopia. Half of the overall increase in the early initiation of breastfeeding was due to the change in compositional characteristics of women over 10 years in Ethiopia. Change in the composition of women according to health facility delivery and vaginal delivery were the major source of the increase in early breastfeeding initiation over time. Public interventions including promoting health facility delivery of women for further improvements of early breastfeeding initiation should be needed.

Pooled Prevalence and Determinants of Prelacteal Feeding Practice in Eastern Africa Evidence from Demographic and Health Survey Data: A Multilevel Study.

BACKGROUND: Despite the benefits of breast milk and colostrum for the health and survival of children, early prelacteal feeding is commonly practiced worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. The aim of this study was to evaluate the pooled prevalence and determinants of prelacteal feeding in Eastern Africa. METHODS: This study was carried out within 11 East African countries from 2010 to 2018, a pooled study of prelacteal feeding was performed. For assessing model fitness and contrast, intra-class correlation coefficient, median odds ratio, proportional change in variance, and deviance were used. In order to identify possible covariates associated with prelacteal feeding in the study area, the multilevel multivariable logistic regression model was adapted. Adjusted Odds Ratio was used with 95% confidence interval to declare major prelacteal factors. RESULTS: The pooled prevalence of prelacteal feeding in Eastern Africa was 12% (95% CI: 11.42-12.53%), with the highest prevalence of prelacteal feeding in the Comoros (39%) and the lowest in Malawi (3%). Multilevel multivariable logistic regression model; wealth index (AOR = 1.22; 95% CI 1.03-1.34), ANC visit (AOR = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.12-1.79), institutional delivery (AOR = 0.58; 95% CI: 0.58-0.64), small birth size (AOR = 1.14; 95% CI: 1.30-1.26), delivery type (AOR = 2.61; 95% CI: 2.30-2.96), and high community ANC visit (AOR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.84-0.97) were significantly associated with prelacteal feeding in Eastern Africa. CONCLUSION: In East Africa, the magnitude of prelacteal feeding was still high. The possible determinants of prelacteal feeding in Eastern Africa were wealth index, birth interval, delivery mode, place of delivery, ANC visit, and community ANC visit. Structural improvements are required for women with caesarean births to achieve optimal breastfeeding practice in Eastern Africa.

Serial interval and incubation period of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the epidemiological parameters that determine the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is essential for public health intervention. Globally, a number of studies were conducted to estimate the average serial interval and incubation period of COVID-19. Combining findings of existing studies that estimate the average serial interval and incubation period of COVID-19 significantly improves the quality of evidence. Hence, this study aimed to determine the overall average serial interval and incubation period of COVID-19. METHODS: We followed the PRISMA checklist to present this study. A comprehensive search strategy was carried out from international electronic databases (Google Scholar, PubMed, Science Direct, Web of Science, CINAHL, and Cochrane Library) by two experienced reviewers (MAA and DBK) authors between the 1st of June and the 31st of July 2020. All observational studies either reporting the serial interval or incubation period in persons diagnosed with COVID-19 were included in this study. Heterogeneity across studies was assessed using the I2 and Higgins test. The NOS adapted for cross-sectional studies was used to evaluate the quality of studies. A random effect Meta-analysis was employed to determine the pooled estimate with 95% (CI). Microsoft Excel was used for data extraction and R software was used for analysis. RESULTS: We combined a total of 23 studies to estimate the overall mean serial interval of COVID-19. The mean serial interval of COVID-19 ranged from 4. 2 to 7.5 days. Our meta-analysis showed that the weighted pooled mean serial interval of COVID-19 was 5.2 (95%CI: 4.9-5.5) days. Additionally, to pool the mean incubation period of COVID-19, we included 14 articles. The mean incubation period of COVID-19 also ranged from 4.8 to 9 days. Accordingly, the weighted pooled mean incubation period of COVID-19 was 6.5 (95%CI: 5.9-7.1) days. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis showed that the weighted pooled mean serial interval and incubation period of COVID-19 were 5.2, and 6.5 days, respectively. In this study, the average serial interval of COVID-19 is shorter than the average incubation period, which suggests that substantial numbers of COVID-19 cases will be attributed to presymptomatic transmission.

Trends and determinants of an acceptable antenatal care coverage in Ethiopia, evidence from 2005-2016 Ethiopian demographic and health survey; Multivariate decomposition analysis.

BACKGROUND: an acceptable antenatal care (ANC4+) is defined as attending at least four antenatal care visit, received at least one dose of tetanus toxoid (TT) injections and consumed 100 iron-folic acids (IFA) tablets/syrup during the last pregnancy. Since maternal health care service utilization continues to be an essential indicator for monitoring the improvements of maternal and child health outcomes. This study aimed to analyze the trends and determinants that contributed to the change in an acceptable antenatal care visit over the last 10 years in Ethiopia. METHODS: Nationally representative repeated cross-sectional survey was conducted using 2005, 2011, and 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey datasets. The data were weighted and analyzed by STATA 14.1 software. Multivariate decomposition regression analysis was used to identify factors that contribute for the change in an acceptable antenatal care visit. A p-value < 0.05 was taken to declare statistically significant predictors to acceptable antenatal care visit. RESULTS: among the reproductive age women the rate of an acceptable antenatal care visits was increased from 16% in 2005 to 35% in 2016 in Ethiopia. In the multivariate decomposition analysis, about 29% of the increase in acceptable antenatal care visit was due to a difference in composition of women (endowments) across the surveys. Residence, religion, husband educational attainment, and wealth status was the main source of compositional change factors for the improvements of an acceptable antenatal care visit. Almost two-thirds of an overall change in acceptable antenatal care visit was due to the difference in coefficients/ change in behavior of the population. Religion, educational attainment (both women and husband), and residence are significantly contributed to the change in full antenatal care visit in Ethiopia over the last decades. CONCLUSION: Besides the relevance of receiving an acceptable antenatal care visit for pregnant women and their babies, an acceptable antenatal care visit was slightly increased over time in Ethiopia. Women's characteristics and behavior change were significantly associated with the change in acceptable antenatal care visits. Public interventions needed to improve acceptable antenatal care coverage, women's education, and further advancing of health care facilities in rural communities should be done to maintain the further improvements acceptable antenatal care visits.

Predictors of CD4 count changes over time among children who initiated highly active antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia.

INTRODUCTION: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection results in a gradual depletion of immune function, particularly CD4 cells. The CD4 assessment plays a significant role in assessing treatment responses and clinical decision-making for patients on combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) in resource-limited settings. However, new data on CD4 count changes are scarce; the volatility of CD4 counts after initiation of ART over time remains largely uncharacterized. This study aimed to identify the predictors of CD4 changes over time among HIV-infected children who began ART in Amhara, Ethiopia. METHODS: A retrospective follow-up study was performed. A total of 983 HIV-infected children who initiated ART in government hospitals in the Amhara region between 2010 and 2016 were included using a simple random sampling technique. Data were extracted using a structured checklist. An exploratory data analysis was carried out to explain individual and average profile plots. The linear mixed model was used to identify the CD4 change count predictors over time. Variables with p value < 0.05 were considered statistically significant in a multivariable linear mixed regression analysis. RESULTS: The mean CD4 count of the participants was 465.1 cells/mm3 with an average CD4 count increase of 30.06 cells/mm3 over 6 months from baseline CD4 count and ART initiation. Childhood age (ß = - 0.015; 95% Cl - 0.021, - 0.009), opportunistic infection at ART initiation (ß = - 0.044, 95% CI - 0.085, - 0.004), hemoglobin level (ß = 0.013; 95% CI 0.004, 0.022), and baseline WHO clinical stage II (ß = - 0.046, 95% CI - 0.091, - 0.0003) were significant predictors of CD4 changes over time. CONCLUSIONS: The average CD4 count increase was sufficient in HIV patients who began combined antiretroviral therapy over time. The younger age of the infant, the higher baseline level of hemoglobin, the baseline WHO clinical stage II, and opportunistic infections led to changes in CD4 counts. As a result, timely diagnosis and treatment of opportunistic infections will reduce the risk of opportunistic infections.