Halting HIV/AIDS with avatars and havatars: a virtual world approach to modelling epidemics.

BACKGROUND: A major deficit of all approaches to epidemic modelling to date has been the need to approximate or guess at human behaviour in disease-transmission-related contexts. Avatars are generally human-like figures in virtual computer worlds controlled by human individuals. METHODS: We introduce the concept of a "havatar", which is a (human, avatar) pairing. Evidence is mounting that this pairing behaves in virtual contexts much like the human in the pairing might behave in analogous real-world contexts. RESULTS: We propose that studies of havatars, in a virtual world, may give a realistic approximation of human behaviour in real-world contexts. If the virtual world approximates the real world in relevant details (geography, transportation, etc.), virtual epidemics in that world could accurately simulate real-world epidemics. Havatar modelling of epidemics therefore offers a complementary tool for tackling how best to halt epidemics, including perhaps HIV/AIDS, since sexual behaviour is a significant component of some virtual worlds, such as Second Life. CONCLUSION: Havatars place the control parameters of an epidemic in the hands of each individual. By providing tools that everyone can understand and use, we could democratise epidemiology.

A hypothesis linking low folate intake to neural tube defects due to failure of post-translation methylations of the cytoskeleton.

Neural tube defects are serious congenital malformations which can be prevented by periconceptional folic acid supplementation. We hypothesize that folic acid provides the methyl group used for post-translational methylation of arginine and histidine in the highly conserved regulatory domains of the cytoskeleton and that these are required for neural tissue differentiation. Presumptive neural tissue has an unusually high need for folates due to the activity of phosphoethanolamine methyl transferase in producing neural tissue specific lipids at a time when the cytoskeleton is also competing for methylation. According to the cell state splitter hypothesis, the cytoskeleton is required to coordinate the spatial and temporal component of differentiation. When folate supply is low and the cytoskeleton is not methylated properly, the result is a neural tube defect due to failure of this coordination.

The C677T methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase variant and third trimester obstetrical complications in women with unexplained elevations of maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein.

INTRODUCTION: The C677T MTHFR variant has been associated with the same third trimester pregnancy complications as seen in women who have elevations of maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP). We hypothesized that these women with third trimester pregnancy complications and MSAFP elevations would have an increased frequency of the variant compared to an abnormal study control group (women with MSAFP elevations without pregnancy complications) as well as to normal population controls. METHODS: Women who had unexplained elevations of MSAFP in pregnancy were ascertained retrospectively. The frequency of the C677T MTHFR variant among those women with unexplained elevations of MSAFP who had experienced later pregnancy complications was compared to that of women with unexplained elevations of MSAFP without complications as well as to that of the previously established Manitoba frequency. RESULTS: Women who had complications of pregnancy and an unexplained MSAFP elevation had a higher allele frequency for the C677T MTHFR variant (q = 0.36,) compared to women with MSAFP elevations and normal pregnancy outcomes (q = 0.25, OR 1.73 95% CI 1.25-2.37, p = 0.03). The frequency was also higher than that of the population controls (q= 0.25, OR 1.70 95% CI 1.11-2.60, p = 0.007). The frequency in women with MSAFP elevations without pregnancy complications was not significantly different from that of the population controls (p = 0.41). CONCLUSION: Women with unexplained elevations of MSAFP and who experience complications in later pregnancy are more likely to have one or two alleles of the C677T MTHFR variant.

Electrorotation of axolotl embryos.

The frequency dependent dielectric properties of individual axolotl embryos (Ambystoma mexicanum) were investigated experimentally utilizing the technique of electrorotation. Individual axolotl embryos, immersed in low conductivity media, were subjected to a known frequency and fixed amplitude rotating AC electric field and the ensuing rotational motion of the embryo was monitored using a conventional optical microscope. None of the embryos in the pregastrulation or neurulation stages of development exhibited any rotational motion over the field frequency range (10 Hz-5 MHz). Over the same frequency range, the embryos in the gastrulation stage of development exhibited both co-field and counterfield rotation over different ranges of the applied field frequency. Typically, the counterfield rotation exhibited a peak in the rotation spectrum at similar 1 KHz while the co-field peak was located at similar 1-2 MHz. The rotational spectral data was analyzed using a multishelled spherical embryo model to determine the electrical character of embryos during the early development stages (Stages 5-16; i.e., 16 cell through open neural plate stages).