Individualized physiology-based digital twin model for sports performance prediction: a reinterpretation of the Margaria-Morton model.

Performance in many racing sports depends on the ability of the athletes to produce and maintain the highest possible work i.e., the highest power for the duration of the race. To model this energy production in an individualized way, an adaptation and a reinterpretation (including a physiological meaning of parameters) of the three-component Margaria-Morton model were performed. The model is applied to the muscles involved in a given task. The introduction of physiological meanings was possible thanks to the measurement of physiological characteristics for a given athlete. A method for creating a digital twin was therefore proposed and applied for national-level cyclists. The twins thus created were validated by comparison with field performance, experimental observations, and literature data. Simulations of record times and 3-minute all-out tests were consistent with experimental data. Considering the literature, the model provided good estimates of the time course of muscle metabolite concentrations (e.g., lactate and phosphocreatine). It also simulated the behavior of oxygen kinetics at exercise onset and during recovery. This methodology has a wide range of applications, including prediction and optimization of the performance of individually modeled athletes.

Is the Most Commonly Used Strategy for the First 1,500 m of a 2,000 m Rowing Ergometer Race the Most Appropriate?

This study investigated time-courses of physiological and psychological parameters of rowers during the first 1,500 m of a simulated race on a rowing ergometer using different pacing strategies. This provided a picture of the physiological and psychological state of the rowers at the start of the last 500 m of their race. Investigated strategies corresponded either to a degressive (degr), a progressive (prog), or a stable (stab) power output over the traveled distance. Thirteen French rowers (4 oarswomen and 9 oarsmen) of national and ex-international levels volunteered to participate. Handle force and velocity, oxygen uptake, heart rate, blood lactate concentration, and peripheral oxygen saturation were measured during the trials. Power output, generated energy [by O 2 consumption (E oxi ) and blood lactate accumulation (E non-oxi )] and efficiency were computed. Rowers also rated their perceived exertion (RPE) and protocol preference. In the explored strategies, no significant differences were found for E oxi . Final blood lactate concentration ([La] blood ) and RPE were similar for all strategies. However, the increase in [La] blood and RPE occurred sooner for degr than for stab and prog. Therefore, the time spent at higher [La] blood and RPE was longer for degr than for stab and prog. According to the questionnaire, degr was the least preferred protocol. While during 2000 m races, the first 1500 m are usually and empirically often conducted in a degr way, the present results indicate that this strategy was the least preferred by the rowers and led to a higher time spent at high [La] blood and RPE.