Data Augmentation for a Virtual-Sensor-Based Nitrogen and Phosphorus Monitoring.

To better control eutrophication, reliable and accurate information on phosphorus and nitrogen loading is desired. However, the high-frequency monitoring of these variables is economically impractical. This necessitates using virtual sensing to predict them by utilizing easily measurable variables as inputs. While the predictive performance of these data-driven, virtual-sensor models depends on the use of adequate training samples (in quality and quantity), the procurement and operational cost of nitrogen and phosphorus sensors make it impractical to acquire sufficient samples. For this reason, the variational autoencoder, which is one of the most prominent methods in generative models, was utilized in the present work for generating synthetic data. The generation capacity of the model was verified using water-quality data from two tributaries of the River Thames in the United Kingdom. Compared to the current state of the art, our novel data augmentation-including proper experimental settings or hyperparameter optimization-improved the root mean squared errors by 23-63%, with the most significant improvements observed when up to three predictors were used. In comparing the predictive algorithms' performances (in terms of the predictive accuracy and computational cost), k-nearest neighbors and extremely randomized trees were the best-performing algorithms on average.

ABV-CoViD: An Ensemble Forecasting Model to Predict Availability of Beds and Ventilators for COVID-19 Like Pandemics.

Recently, healthcare stakeholders have orchestrated steps to strengthen and curb the COVID-19 wave. There has been a surge in vaccinations to curb the virus wave, but it is crucial to strengthen our healthcare resources to fight COVID-19 and like pandemics. Recent researchers have suggested effective forecasting models for COVID-19 transmission rate, spread, and the number of positive cases, but the focus on healthcare resources to meet the current spread is not discussed. Motivated from the gap, in this paper, we propose a scheme, ABV-CoViD (Availibility of Beds and Ventilators for COVID-19 patients), that forms an ensemble forecasting model to predict the availability of beds and ventilators (ABV) for the COVID-19 patients. The scheme considers a region-wise demarcation for the allotment of beds and ventilators (BV), termed resources, based on region-wise ABV and COVID-19 positive patients (inside the hospitals occupying the BV resource). We consider an integration of artificial neural network (ANN) and auto-regressive integrated neural network (ARIMA) model to address both the linear and non-linear dependencies. We also consider the effective wave spread of COVID-19 on external patients (not occupying the BV resources) through a [Formula: see text]- ARNN model, which gives us long-term complex dependencies of BV resources in the future time window. We have considered the COVID-19 healthcare dataset on 3 USA regions (Illinois, Michigan, and Indiana) for testing our ensemble forecasting scheme from January 2021 to May 2022. We evaluated our scheme in terms of statistical performance metrics and validated that ensemble methods have higher accuracy. In simulation, for linear modelling, we considered the [Formula: see text] model, and [Formula: see text] model for ANN modelling. We considered the [Formula: see text](12,6) forecasting. On a population of 2,93,90,897, the obtained mean absolute error (MAE) on average for 3 regions is 170.5514. The average root means square error (RMSE) of [Formula: see text]-ARNN is 333.18, with an accuracy of 98.876%, which shows the scheme's efficacy in ABV measurement over conventional and manual resource allocation schemes.

A Virtual Sensing Concept for Nitrogen and Phosphorus Monitoring Using Machine Learning Techniques.

Harmful cyanobacterial bloom (HCB) is problematic for drinking water treatment, and some of its strains can produce toxins that significantly affect human health. To better control eutrophication and HCB, catchment managers need to continuously keep track of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) in the water bodies. However, the high-frequency monitoring of these water quality indicators is not economical. In these cases, machine learning techniques may serve as viable alternatives since they can learn directly from the available surrogate data. In the present work, a random forest, extremely randomized trees (ET), extreme gradient boosting, k-nearest neighbors, a light gradient boosting machine, and bagging regressor-based virtual sensors were used to predict N and P in two catchments with contrasting land uses. The effect of data scaling and missing value imputation were also assessed, while the Shapley additive explanations were used to rank feature importance. A specification book, sensitivity analysis, and best practices for developing virtual sensors are discussed. Results show that ET, MinMax scaler, and a multivariate imputer were the best predictive model, scaler, and imputer, respectively. The highest predictive performance, reported in terms of R2, was 97% in the rural catchment and 82% in an urban catchment.

From Fully Physical to Virtual Sensing for Water Quality Assessment: A Comprehensive Review of the Relevant State-of-the-Art.

Rapid urbanization, industrial development, and climate change have resulted in water pollution and in the quality deterioration of surface and groundwater at an alarming rate, deeming its quick, accurate, and inexpensive detection imperative. Despite the latest developments in sensor technologies, real-time determination of certain parameters is not easy or uneconomical. In such cases, the use of data-derived virtual sensors can be an effective alternative. In this paper, the feasibility of virtual sensing for water quality assessment is reviewed. The review focuses on the overview of key water quality parameters for a particular use case and the development of the corresponding cost estimates for their monitoring. The review further evaluates the current state-of-the-art in terms of the modeling approaches used, parameters studied, and whether the inputs were pre-processed by interrogating relevant literature published between 2001 and 2021. The review identified artificial neural networks, random forest, and multiple linear regression as dominant machine learning techniques used for developing inferential models. The survey also highlights the need for a comprehensive virtual sensing system in an internet of things environment. Thus, the review formulates the specification book for the advanced water quality assessment process (that involves a virtual sensing module) that can enable near real-time monitoring of water quality.