Network meta-analysis of pembrolizumab as monotherapy and in combination with chemotherapy for first-line treatment of recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma / Metanálise em rede comparativa de pembrolizumabe como monoterapia e em combinação com quimioterapia para tratamento de primeira linha de carcinoma de células escamosas da cabeça e pescoço recorrente ou metastático

Pembrolizumab monotherapy or in combination with chemotherapy is approved as first-line treatment in recurrent/metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC) based on improved overall survival (OS) versus EXTREME regimen in the KEYNOTE-048 trial. The clinical outcomes of pembrolizumab were compared with other recommended first-line treatments in R/M HNSCC in this study through a Bayesian network meta-analysis. A systematic literature review was conducted in July 2022, from which six trials that matched the KEYNOTE-048 patient eligibility criteria were included in the network. The OS and progression-free survival (PFS) outcomes were compared in the approved pembrolizumab indication (i.e., total population for pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy and combined positive score [CPS] ≥ 1 population for pembrolizumab monotherapy). A significant OS improvement was observed for pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy and pembrolizumab monotherapy versus EXTREME regimen (hazard ratio, 95% credible interval: 0.72, 0.60-0.86; 0.73, 0.60-0.88), platinum+5- FU (0.58, 0.43-0.76; 0.58, 0.44-0.78), and platinum+paclitaxel (0.53, 0.35-0.79; 0.53, 0.35-0.81), respectively. A non-significant numeric trend in OS improvement was observed versus the TPEx regimen. PFS was comparable with most first-line treatments and was improved versus platinum+5-FU (0.48, 0.36-0.64; 0.59, 0.45-0.79). Additional analyses in higher CPS subgroups also showed consistent results. Overall, our study results showed an improvement in OS outcomes versus alternative first-line treatments, consistent with the findings of the KEYNOTE-048 trial. These data support using pembrolizumab as a suitable firstline treatment option in R/M HNSCC.

Pembrolizumabe em monoterapia ou em combinação com quimioterapia é aprovado como tratamento de primeira linha em carcinoma de células escamosas recorrente/metastático de cabeça e pescoço (CECCP R/M) com base na melhora da sobrevida global (OS), em comparação com o esquema EXTREME no estudo KEYNOTE-048. Esse estudo comparou os resultados clínicos de pembrolizumabe com outros tratamentos recomendados de primeira linha em CECCP R/M por meio de uma metanálise de rede bayesiana. Uma revisão sistemática da literatura foi conduzida em julho de 2022, a partir da qual seis ensaios clínicos que atendiam aos critérios de elegibilidade de pacientes do KEYNOTE-048 foram incluídos na rede. Os desfechos de OS e sobrevida livre de progressão (PFS) foram comparados na indicação de pembrolizumabe (população total para pembrolizumabe em combinação com quimioterapia e população com escore positivo combinado [CPS] ≥ 1 em monoterapia com pembrolizumabe). Foi observada melhora significativa na OS para pembrolizumabe em combinação com quimioterapia e monoterapia com pembrolizumabe versus o esquema EXTREME (razão de risco, intervalo de confiança de 95%: 0,72, 0,60-0,86; 0,73, 0,60-0,88), platina+5-FU (0,58, 0,43-0,76; 0,58, 0,44-0,78) e platina+paclitaxel (0,53, 0,35-0,79; 0,53, 0,35-0,81), respectivamente. Uma tendência numérica não significativa de melhoria na OS foi observada em relação ao esquema TPEx. A PFS foi comparável com a maioria dos tratamentos de primeira linha e melhor em relação à platina+5-FU (0,48, 0,36-0,64; 0,59, 0,45-0,79). Análises adicionais em subgrupos com CPS mais elevado também mostraram resultados consistentes. No geral, os resultados de nosso estudo mostraram melhora nos desfechos de OS em comparação aos tratamentos de primeira linha alternativos, consistentes com os achados do estudo KEYNOTE-048. Esses dados apoiam o uso de pembrolizumabe como opção de tratamento em primeira linha em pacientes com CECCP R/M.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab Regimens for the First-Line Treatment of Recurrent or Metastatic Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Argentina.

INTRODUCTION: The phase III KEYNOTE-048 trial showed that the programmed death receptor 1 (PD-1) inhibitor pembrolizumab, in the combined positive score (CPS) ≥ 1 population and combined with platinum + 5-fluorouracil in the total population, improves survival over cetuximab + platinum + 5-fluorouracil in recurrent or metastatic (R/M) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab as monotherapy in the CPS ≥ 1 population or combined with platinum + 5-fluorouracil in the total population versus cetuximab + platinum + 5-fluorouracil from the social security perspective in Argentina. METHODS: A partitioned survival model projected costs and outcomes over 20 years with 3% annual discounting. Health state occupancy was modeled using KEYNOTE-048 Kaplan-Meier curves until the final analysis data cutoff, followed by parametric extrapolations guided by statistical criteria. Costs for initial and subsequent treatments, disease and adverse events management, and terminal care were included (AR $74.00 = 1 USD). Time-on-treatment and EuroQol five-dimension scores were taken from KEYNOTE-048. Utilities were derived using an Argentina-specific algorithm. RESULTS: With pembrolizumab monotherapy, patients accrued 1.1040 additional life-years and 0.8768 additional quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), for incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of AR $135,801/life-year and AR $170,985/QALY gained over cetuximab + platinum + 5-fluorouracil. Additional life-years and QALYs gained with pembrolizumab combination therapy versus cetuximab + platinum + 5-fluorouracil were 1.3296 and 1.0536, respectively (ICERs of AR $680,143/life-year and AR $858,306/QALY). Considering a threshold of AR $1,676,122/QALY gained, pembrolizumab monotherapy and combination therapy had an 88.0% and a 77.1% probability of being cost-effective, respectively. CONCLUSION: Pembrolizumab either as monotherapy or in combination with chemotherapy offers substantial survival gains for patients with R/M HNSCC at small additional costs, making it a cost-effective treatment versus cetuximab + platinum + 5-FU in Argentina.

Modeling the effect of water, sanitation, and hygiene and oral cholera vaccine implementation in Haiti.

In 2010, toxigenic Vibrio cholerae was newly introduced to Haiti. Because resources are limited, decision-makers need to understand the effect of different preventive interventions. We built a static model to estimate the potential number of cholera cases averted through improvements in coverage in water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) (i.e., latrines, point-of-use chlorination, and piped water), oral cholera vaccine (OCV), or a combination of both. We allowed indirect effects and non-linear relationships between effect and population coverage. Because there are limited incidence data for endemic cholera in Haiti, we estimated the incidence of cholera over 20 years in Haiti by using data from Malawi. Over the next two decades, scalable WASH interventions could avert 57,949-78,567 cholera cases, OCV could avert 38,569-77,636 cases, and interventions that combined WASH and OCV could avert 71,586-88,974 cases. Rate of implementation is the most influential variable, and combined approaches maximized the effect.